Good morning, folks. Two stories today that are really one story: how and where money is moving.
The EGX numbers first. The benchmark index closed 2Q up 11.4% — a strong quarter, even after a June selloff gave back some of the April-May gains. Profit-taking and mid-year portfolio rebalancing are the explanation, not a change in fundamentals.
And in banking, one-year savings certificates are disappearing as banks reposition for lower rates — but bankers and analysts tell us this is a transitional phase, not a permanent shift. If you have savings decisions to make before the next cut, this morning's piece is the one to read.
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The EnterpriseAM Egypt Forum is back — and this year, we’re giving the full day to the one question on every business leader's mind: What does AI actually mean for your company, your people, and your own job?
Leaders in New York, London, Abu Dhabi, and Singapore are asking the same things, and nobody has built a playbook that works yet. We're all figuring it out in real time — and for Egypt, the stakes are unusually high.
Egypt could leapfrog a generation on the back of this technology — or watch AI hollow out the industries and jobs we can't afford to lose. The leaders who get literate early will be the ones who get to decide which road we take.
Every session on stage answers one question: “So, what do I actually do about it?”
Join us on 5 October in Cairo. Seats are limited and attendance is by invitation only.
Request your invitation here.
IMF board timeline
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Executive Board is expected to decide on the seventh review of Egypt’s loan program by mid-August, Mohamed Maait, executive director for Arab States and the Maldives at the IMF, tells EnterpriseAM. Board procedures usually run four to six weeks after a staff-level agreement, he says, and Cairo should receive around USD 1.6 bn within days of board approval.
REMEMBER- After reaching a staff-level agreement with the Fund at end-June, Egypt is set to receive USD 1.5 bn under the Extended Fund Facility and around USD 136 mn under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility. The program is meeting its targets, Maait says, with around USD 3.5 bn in total left to disburse before it ends in December — covering both the seventh review and the eighth and final review due in the fall.
Post-program decisions rest with Cairo, Maait says. Asked whether geopolitical tensions might warrant a new program, he said recurring external shocks are now a basic part of economic planning — and that Egypt “has settled this matter beyond doubt.” Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly signaled last month that there will be no successor program.
Saudi registers Egypt contractors
Saudi Arabia’s Investment Ministry has begun registering Egyptian contractors, a step toward licensing them to bid on infrastructure projects under the Kingdom’s Housing Ministry. The Investment Ministry is working with the Egyptian Federation of Construction Contractors to facilitate the move, board member Shamseldin Youssef tells EnterpriseAM. The target client is Saudi's National Housing Company, which wants large Egyptian names to bid, including Orascom, Hassan Allam, and Arab Contractors. The move also opens the door for “thousands of smaller firms” to bid as well, Youssef says.
Registration requirements include paid-up capital of EGP 10-20 mn or more, annual revenue of at least EGP 50 mn in each of the past five years, eight years of contracting experience, EGP 100 mn in completed work over five years, and one single project worth EGP 60 mn in that window.
REMEMBER- The push builds on a trend we've flagged: local contractors, pressured by high domestic interest rates, are increasingly taking on work across the Red Sea. Youssef says 25 firms have already qualified to bid on the National Housing Company's SAR 200 bn (c.USD 53 bn) project pipeline.
Why it matters: Financing, not qualification, is the sector’s bottleneck. Outside a few giants that can self-fund, Egyptian firms struggle to get bank guarantees for work abroad — and even the Saudi branches of National Bank of Egypt and Banque Misr operate only as accounting units there, not lenders that can serve Egyptian companies, Youssef says. Saudi banks issue guarantees to firms with a long Kingdom track record but require 60% of the value as cover, against roughly 10% at home — six times the cash tied up for the same guarantee, squeezing the liquidity left for more work.
PSA-
WEATHER- Another hot day in Cairo today, with a high of 35°C and a low of 25°C, according to our favorite weather app.
It’s slightly cooler in Alexandria, with a high of 32°C and a low of 24°C.
The big story abroad
The US continued to strike Iran yesterday in efforts to force the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. US officials say that US President Donald Trump is considering a significant expansion of military operations in the Islamic Republic that could include escalating airstrikes, deploying ground forces to seize strategic Iranian islands near the strait, and bombing a heavily fortified site that could host covert nuclear development.
That being said, Trump said yesterday that Tehran wants to return to the negotiating table and make a deal. Trump claimed that Iranian leaders “want to settle so badly,” yet defense analysts speaking to CNBC say they see no realistic path toward settlement.
Oil markets are already reacting to the closure of Hormuz, with traders warning that the latest flare up threatens a fresh crude supply crunch. The market now lacks the reserves that helped absorb price shocks earlier in the war — “we’ve burned through all of the buffers we had. Everything,” the FT quotes one trader as saying. “All of that’s now gone.”
IN OTHER NEWS- Anthropic is moving ahead with its planned IPO and plans to begin meeting with prospective investors over the coming weeks, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The Claude developer is looking to make its market debut as soon as October, joining a growing list of AI players going public.
PLUS- Argentina and Spain will face off in the 2026 World Cup final on Sunday, after Argentina secured its spot following a dramatic 2-1 comeback victory against England last night. England will take on France hours earlier in the third place play-off.






