Auditors can now cover five investment funds at once

1

WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

UN-backed International Road Transport has a guarantor

Good morning, friends. It's a Tuesday about clearing bottlenecks — in the audit bench, at the border, and in ground the Pharaohs mined 3k years ago.

The FRA is letting one auditor cover five investment funds at a time, up from three — a small rule tweak that says something bigger about an industry outgrowing the bench that services it.

We also have good news from our borders. The UN-backed TIR transit system finally has a guarantor after sitting dormant since 2021, a missing piece that lets sealed cargo cross Egypt in a single bonded run. The news comes as Maersk puts a third service back on the Suez route and transit trade rises 40% since March.

DON’T MISS- Our foray into the Eastern Desert to visit a copper-and-gold concession held by Ankh Resources, where we attempt to answer a question — can Egypt turn its ancient gold country into a modern multi-metal industry?

***

ARE YOU MORE OF A LISTENER?Morning Drive is a 10-minute summary of today’s issue crafted for you to enjoy with your morning coffee, while getting the kids ready for school, or driving through the morning rush. And if you like it, tell your friends to tell their friends. They can find us on Apple, Spotify, or wherever they get their podcasts.

***

The EnterpriseAM Egypt Forum is back — and this year, we’re giving the full day to the one question on every business leader's mind: What does AI actually mean for your company, your people, and your own job?

Leaders in New York, London, Abu Dhabi, and Singapore are asking the same things, and nobody has built a playbook that works yet. We're all figuring it out in real time — and for Egypt, the stakes are unusually high.

Egypt could leapfrog a generation on the back of this technology — or watch AI hollow out the industries and jobs we can't afford to lose. The leaders who get literate early will be the ones who get to decide which road we take.

Every session on stage answers one question: “So, what do I actually do about it?”

Join us on 5 October in Cairo. Seats are limited and attendance is by invitation only.

Request your invitation here.


The missing piece

TIR now has a guarantor in Egypt: The Customs Authority and the Federation of Egyptian Chambers of Commerce signed an agreement activating the UN-backed International Road Transport (TIR) system, according to a statement. The agreement names the Federation as Egypt’s national TIR association — the body that issues TIR documents and backs the guarantee mechanism, the missing piece that makes the system operational.

BACKGROUND- Egypt joined the TIR Convention in 2020, and the treaty took effect in 2021, but the system never went live. As recently as last year, officials and the International Road Transport Union (IRU) were still discussing implementation, which the IRU said could link Egypt’s Ro-Ro routes to Italy and Turkey and open corridors to the Gulf and Africa.

SOUND SMART- TIR lets sealed shipments cross multiple countries under a single customs document and guarantee, cutting repeated inspections and covering any duties that become due if cargo is diverted. The IRU says it can cut border transit times by up to 92% and transport costs by up to 50% — savings the government expects to widen exporters' access to Arab, African, and European markets.

Where it fits: TIR underpins Egypt's plan for two Europe-Arab trade corridors. The northern route connects Europe with Jordan, Iraq, and Syria via Arish-Taba; the southern route moves cargo between Europe and the Gulf via Safaga and Saudi's Neom — two of eight logistics corridors under development, according to a Transport Ministry statement.

Transit trade is already growing: Our transit trade is up 40% since March, with the Europe-Egypt-GCC route gaining importance during the war, Finance Minister Ahmed Kouchouk said yesterday. Goods passing through Egypt — and the services provided to them — are exempt from VAT under the second tax-facilitation package, he added.

Maersk’s third Suez return

Danish shipping firm Maersk is routing its solely operated WAF6 service — connecting the Middle East, the Mediterranean, and West Africa — back through the Red Sea instead of around the Cape of Good Hope on the Salalah-West Mediterranean leg, according to a statement. The company called it another step toward a gradual return to the trans-Suez corridor. WAF6 is the third Maersk service back on the route, after MECL returned on Saturday and the jointly run AE15 last week — widening what began as a single trial line into a broader Suez comeback.

What’s next: Maersk said it's keeping its Cape of Good Hope contingency plans in place and could revert individual sailings or the whole service if Red Sea security deteriorates.

Still weighing the bid

Egytrans Nosco isn’t ready to decide on AGL’s buyout offer just yet. The board tasked management with studying French logistics group Africa Global Logistics’ (AGL) offer to acquire up to 100% of the EGX-listed firm and will revisit the offer for a final decision once the review wraps, a statement (pdf) said on Sunday. No timeline was given.

ICYMI- AGL made a non-binding indicative offer earlier this month at EGP 11.25-12.25 per share. The top-of-the-range valuation for the integrated transport and project-logistics operator is EGP 2.76 bn — an 18.4% premium to the stock’s last close before the news broke. AGL has also pledged to keep key executives on for at least four years post-acquisition.

The road to delisting: AGL’s planned mandatory tender offer (MTO) is conditional on securing at least 75%, though it says it is prepared to buy out all shareholders, with voluntary delisting being the eventual aim. The French group says it already has the liquidity in hand and could settle in USD or EUR rather than EGP — all pending approvals from both the Financial Regulatory Authority and the Central Bank of Egypt.

REMEMBER- Egytrans Nosco was formed last September in the EGX's first reverse merger, combining listed Egytrans (70.2%) and the then-unlisted Nosco (29.8%).

More of Downtown Cairo

Saudi Arabia’s Al Sharif Holding is reportedly in talks to convert three state-owned buildings in Downtown Cairo into hotels with a combined 750 rooms and an investment of around USD 100 mn. The company is negotiating with the Sovereign Fund of Egypt over two former ministry buildings and with Cairo Governorate for a third.

REMEMBER- This would be Al Sharif’s second wager on historic Downtown hotels. The group signed a 35-year, EGP 1.4 bn contract with the state hotel operator Egoth in 2020 to redevelop the historic Shepheard Hotel — one of the government’s first attempts to revive state-owned heritage hospitality assets through private partners — with the full 42-month restoration estimated to cost EGP 2.5 bn.

PSA-

#1- Egyptians abroad who lose their jobs now have a payout to fall back on. A protocol signed this week by the FRA and the Foreign Ministry adds unfair-dismissal coverage to expats’ optional ins. policy for the first time, letting an insured expat claim up to EGP 100k if they're sent home for reasons outside their control — including collective repatriations tied to political or economic turmoil, according to an FRA statement. The policy, which will take effect on 1 August, will also provide coverage for permanent total disability resulting from an accident, with compensation of EGP 250k. The annual ins. premium for this coverage will be EGP 400.

#2- WEATHER- It’s another toasty day in Cairo today, with a high of 35°C and a low of 24°C, according to our favorite weather app.

It’s slightly more “refreshing” in Alexandria and Sahel, with a high of 31°C and a low of 23°C.

Destination Sahel is back for a second edition — and this year, it's not just about the beach.

Gulf sovereign wealth funds are pouring billions into the North Coast, Gulf buyers keep showing up despite regional headwinds, and a new 400km master plan could reshape the whole coastline before summer’s out.

Over this season's series, stay tuned to see who's really buying Sahel, where the money's coming from, and what could still go wrong.

Plus, the hotels, restaurants, and openings worth checking out this summer.

Coming straight to your inbox — tomorrow, Wednesday, July 15.

The big story abroad

The US-Iran war continues to escalate: The US is reinstating a naval blockade on Iranian shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, US President Donald Trump said, adding that the US will become the waterway’s guardian in exchange for a 20% cargo fee. Full supertankers carrying oil would pay around USD 30 mn by that math.

Strikes are not stopping, either: As the US military carried out its third consecutive night of strikes on Iran yesterday, Trump also threatened to target Pickaxe Mountain — a heavily fortified site near a damaged uranium enrichment facility. Iranian media reported explosions in Bandar Abbas and Kish Island.

ALSO- The UK is set to designate Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps a terrorist group, placing sanctions on the organization. Washington did the same seven years ago.

Meanwhile, on Wall Street: Five of the US’ largest banks are set to earn the highestinvestment banking fees — USD 11.1 bn — in four-and-a-half years, fueled by massive mergers and SpaceX’s blockbuster listing this year. Thanks to SpaceX’s listing alone, 23 investment banks saw USD 500 mn in fees — the highest ever paid by an IPO. The five banks’ M&A fees are forecast to jump 30% y-o-y to over USD 4 bn in 2Q.

And in the AI world: DoorDash, Siemens, and Airbnb are among a slew of companies resorting to China-made AI models, which are cheaper, increasingly capable, and sometimes easier to run. Models like DeepSeek and Z.ai are leapfrogging US rivals in token consumption in 2026, according to data from LLM tracker OpenRouter.

Paramount’s Gulf-backed USD 110 bn acquisition of Warner Bros has hit another roadblock, after 12 US states filed an antitrust lawsuit claiming that the proposed merger will hamper competition and harm cinemas and television distributors. Paramount responded by saying the tie-up will help it compete with companies like Netflix.


*** It’s Going Green day — your weekly briefing of all things green in Egypt: EnterpriseAM’s green economy vertical focuses each Tuesday on the business of renewable energy and sustainable practices in Egypt, everything from solar and wind energy through to water, waste management, sustainable building practices and how you can make your business greener, whatever the sector.

In today’s issue: Petroleum's abatement projects are legible, financeable, and regulable. Waste and agriculture, which produce 24 times more methane, are none of those things.

Some places become part of your story.

This summer, slow down, reconnect, and create moments that linger long after the season ends. From sunrise by the sea to unforgettable experiences, every stay at Somabay is designed to become a memory worth keeping.

2

REGULATION WATCH

More funds per auditor

Auditors can now review up to five investment funds at a time, up from three, with the Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) able to approve a higher cap upon request, as per amendments to the watchdog's Decision No. 58 of 2018 — the rulebook governing how banks and non-bank financial firms run investment-fund activities.

The rationale: FRA Chairman Islam Azzam said the decision, which came in response to market calls, gives funds and auditors more room while cutting costs for the former. In practice, managers running multiple funds can retain fewer auditors to meet coverage rules, while FRA-qualified auditors can take on more funds without seeking clearance each time.

The bottleneck: The old three-fund cap left a shortage of FRA-registered auditors relative to the number of funds needing review, capital markets expert Mohamed Gaballah tells EnterpriseAM — a mismatch that was slowing file completion. The change is one of a string of reforms widening the scope of work for registered auditors, which an FRA source tells EnterpriseAM should improve review efficiency and speed up turnaround.

REMEMBER- The rule tweak follows a sharp expansion in the funds it governs. Egypt added 18 investment funds this year, reaching 190 from 172 at the end of 2025. Net asset value hit EGP 411 bn in 1Q 2026 — up roughly 30% in a single quarter, a jump the FRA attributed to a wave of new fund launches, more diverse mandates, and a growing investor base.

This publication is proudly sponsored by

3

Mining

Lottery ticket

The Pharaohs did it. So did the Romans. Walk through parts of the Eastern Desert, and the evidence stares you in the face if you know what to look for — cut marks, sometimes accompanied by soot, that mark the location of artisanal mines. Fly over the vast rock-and-sand expanse, and you can literally map out the contours of the ancient work sites that fuelled the gold economy in Egypt from the predynastic settlements of the fourth millennium BCE through the last of the pharaohs.

Three thousand years of digging made gold the foundation of pharaonic wealth and an instrument of Egyptian power abroad that had, by the New Kingdom (1550-1070 BCE), made the kingdom the gold superpower of the late Bronze Age. Foreign kings wrote the pharaoh complaining that gold was as plentiful in Egypt as dust. Little wonder, then, that the world’s oldest-known geological map was drawn under Ramesses IV some time around 1150 BCE.

With the passage of time, the veins the pharaohs worked were abandoned, not exhausted — and the Sisi administration is today rolling out the welcome mat for mining companies both foreign and domestic. On offer: A new regulatory and business environment for mining that some industry players tell us meets or exceeds global norms. The hope: That the reforms will draw big and small players alike to high-stakes exploration.

BY THE NUMBERS- The government hopes to launch an international tender for gold and associated minerals across more than 210 blocks in the Eastern Desert this year — its first bid round in more than four years. It follows fresh changes to the executive regulations of the Mineral Resources Law, approved by the Cabinet in April, and amendments to the mining investment law that cut the state’s minimum stake in projects from 25% to 10%.

Lower rents, faster approvals, a smaller state cut, a new aerial survey of the desert — all of it is designed to turn the nation’s solitary commercial-scale gold mine, known as Sukari, into a world-class multi-metal industry that it hopes will account for as much as 6% of GDP by the early 2030s.

To see what that looks like on the ground, we drove into the Eastern Desert near Ras Ghareb to Wadi Dara, a copper-and-gold concession held by Ankh Resources — a privately held junior explorer founded in 2021 by two veterans of Egypt’s mining and venture capital sectors. We walked the ground with the company’s geologists and investors, and sat down with its leadership: non-executive chair Timothy Livesey, consulting geologist Nick Tate, co-founders Tamer Azer and Mostafa Talaat, and exploration chief Abdelhalim Assran. Ankh aims to prove that Wadi Dara could be home to Egypt’s first globally significant copper-gold mine in modern times.

SOUND SMART- The copper angle makes Wadi Dara extra interesting. A copper-gold mine works a deposit in which gold and copper occur together in the same orebody and are recovered at the same time. The copper angle at Wadi Dara is particularly interesting — it’s one of the keys to our digital and green economies. The AI buildout runs on copper — it’s in the GPUs, busways, power-distribution units, transformers, and liquid-cooling cold plates inside data centers. It’s the key link from the solar and wind farms powering them, distributing electricity to the racks and racks of servers that “run” Claude, Gemini, and ChatGPT. Outside data centers, EVs need 2-4x the copper of a petrol-powered car — and the charging infrastructure they need demands more copper still.

Juniors like Ankh will be critical to any Egyptian mining boom. “It’s great to have large multinational companies operating mines in your country, but they only come in on the back of the work that’s done by the juniors,” Livesey — a UK-trained geologist whose CV runs through Anglo American, Barrick, and the Reko Diq project in Pakistan — tells us.

Juniors make some 60% of the world’s mineral discoveries. They raise equity as they go, prove (or kill) targets, and typically aim to sell the project to a major — or partner with one on production. “Egypt [needs] juniors coming in, failing fast, moving through these licenses, testing them, evaluating them, moving on to the next one — because not every license will deliver a deposit,” Livesey says. The fail-fast mantra isn’t defeatism — a junior burns investor money every day it holds ground, so a dead target should be dropped, not nursed for five years.

Every rung on the exploration ladder costs more than the last. The sequence Ankh walked us through runs like this: First, you need to prove something is there (mapping, trenching, surface geochemistry). Next comes drilling to show mineralization continues at depth and along strike. The exploration company needs to drill tighter and deeper to build a resource you can put a number on. Only then can you produce a feasibility study showing how you’ll mine it and what you’ll earn — that’s what finally leads to a production permit or a sale.

Positive results don’t let you coast, but demand you spend more, because each stage needs to be de-risked before capital goes into the next. In a promising program, the budget can double year-on-year, which is why fundraising never stops. Ankh’s holes at Wadi Dara now average around 500 meters, and the company added a geophysics phase before committing to deeper, costlier drilling — it wants the subsurface picture first.

How geology turns into finance: International reporting codes like the Joint Ore ReservesCommittee (JORC) sort a deposit into inferred, indicated, and measured resources by ascending confidence. A tighter drill grid allows the company to talk about their site with more confidence, making the data about the site (a junior’s core proprietary asset at this stage) all the more valuable. Ankh’s team says an inferred asset is worth roughly a third of a proven one on the books.

What the maiden program shows at Wadi Dara: Ankh drilled 17 diamond-core holes totaling 6.4 km in one area at their site. Fourteen of those hit what a third-party formal reviewer defined as “significant” gold and/or copper. By current industry standards, that means at least 0.5 grams of gold per ton of rock; for copper, the comparable figure is 0.33% per ton. Ankh’s early results show the mineralized zone runs at least 600 meters wide — and, crucially, they haven’t found its edges yet — it keeps going in both directions and downward, with the deepest hole showing mineralization at 527 meters below the surface. Results were reported under the JORC Code, the international standard for disclosing drill results, and signed off by independent qualified geologists.

That’s the first-pass, or prospective drilling: Holes spaced far apart, several aimed deliberately at the edges of the system rather than its sweet spots, which is why 14 of 17 counts as encouraging. Even two misses did useful work, drilled where surface data said the zone should continue at depth, but found nothing. That’s the puzzle of the Eastern Desert’s ancient geology — a fault can shift a mineralized zone a few meters or several kilometers, and the job is to work out which way before investing into further drilling.

Ultimately, exploration companies are data collection companies, so there’s more drilling to be done: What’s been drilled covers a small fraction of the roughly 4 km stretch where surface work suggests mineralization. Ankh has yet to explore an entire second target — and the valley floor between the two could itself hold plenty of gold and copper.

Back to money — and discipline. Phase two exploration will see Ankh’s team chasing the edges of the first area it is exploring (they’re calling it “Area A”), drilling the untouched Area B and the valley, and — most important and most expensive — drilling between existing holes to increase the accuracy of the data by reducing the space between drill holes from 200m to 100m, then to 50 and 25. A tighter grid is what turns “we think there’s a deposit here” into a formal resource estimate that bank or buyer will find attractive; accuracy and confidence get a boost with every hole drilled.

The plan is flexible by design: Assran, the lead geologist, is a legend in the regional industry. He and his team redraw their drilling plan as each batch of lab results returns, because a rigid plan wastes meters, and meters are money. Ankh will test the valley floor — loose material with no rock structure to read — with reverse-circulation (RC) drilling, which smashes rock into chips for chemistry, saving the slower, pricier diamond core for ground where reading the rock pays. Drilling cores preserves the rock’s structure and lets geologists model the ore body in three dimensions — as one geologist puts it, core is the DNA test, RC is the blood panel.

The elephant in the room for original investors is dilution: They need to raise capital over and over to keep exploration going. Existing investors are diluted with every raise (unless they participate in the round) and the cost of exploration often rises with subsequent phases. Asked whether shareholders push back on raises, Talaat, one of Ankh’s co-founders, says the strategy is to find a “sweet spot” between dilution and valuation. It’s a bargain that’s re-examined every year: “Don’t rush to take big money early just because it’s offered — let drill results re-rate the company first, then raise,” he says.

Livesey likens it to a snowball rolling down hill: Early success brings investors who fund drilling, which brings more success — and it only works if good (externally validated) results keep coming.

Who’s backing Ankh? Early on, it was primarily Egyptian angel investors with no mining background — their due diligence, Talaat says, was on the people rather than the rocks. Now, investors include family offices inside and outside Egypt, individual mining specialists, and institutional money listed on the London Stock Exchange.

The competition for capital in mining is global: Investors in the industry can put their money anywhere in the world, Livesey notes — what they’re buying is a team spending it wisely to de-risk.

Wadi Dara is at a stage known as “early advanced” exploration — past proof of concept and now building what the industry calls a “resource.” That’s a standard industry definition that means there’s “reasonable prospects for eventual economic extraction.” One advantage the team kept coming back to on two visits earlier this summer is that the site was never torn up by artisanal mining, so the surface indicators that guide drill targeting are intact. An on-site storage facility they call the “core yard” preserves every sample Ankh has drilled since day one, split, logged, and stored so any doubter (or acquirer) can re-assay it. You can think of it as a 3D map of the site you can physically touch.

Livesey’s timeline from here is 18-24 months of expanded drilling to define a maiden resource. Feasibility, the gateway to a production permit, is “at least” three to four years out, results permitting, one company official tells us. Egypt’s licensing fits that clock. As Ankh describes it: Exploration contracts run six years with a two-year technical extension available for large discoveries, renewable two years at a time with ministry approval for companies meeting their obligations.

How easy is it to convince investors to pile money into Ankh? Investors with mining backgrounds get the geology fast, Talaat says. What they really have questions about is the jurisdiction — Egypt. How stable is the mining act? Has an operating company ever been “interrupted?” Are other investors showing up?

Egypt’s best exhibit is Sukari, which has run through three revolutions untouched — the strongest contract-sanctity signal a frontier jurisdiction can send, despite a rocky start in the late 1990s and 2000s before it turned productive.

The reform record backs it: The 2014 Mineral Resources Law was amended in 2019, and the 2020 executive regulations scrapped mandatory profitsharing JVs and capped royalties at 20% — key changes that brought Egyptian law into step with global mining-industry norms. More changes earlier this year added portal-based applications and assay-lab licensing. Petroleum and Mineral Resources Minister Karim Badawi has told parliament mining contributes around 0.5% of GDP today and wants to see that hit 6% by 2030. And the ministry has taken the show on the road, with conferences, investor events, and a national airborne survey, the country’s first in four decades.

The cautionary tale is from Laos. Nick Tate — an Australian geologist consulting for Ankh and who has pop-star status in the field — spent 15 years there during what looked like a mining boom built on newly enacted legislation and hungry juniors. Then the government froze licensing, redrafted the law with outside help, and botched the implementation. (Tate is credited with the reinterpretations that expanded proven copper-gold reserves at the Sepon mine, now one of Asia’s biggest.)

The killer, he told us, was undermining what’s called the “right to mine” — the principle that an explorer who follows the rules and finds a deposit is guaranteed the license to mine it. “It’s the equivalent of a lottery ticket,” he says. “There's an implicit government guarantee that should those numbers come up, you will be paid.” Laos rewrote the terms and conditions on the back of the ticket to say “we’ll think about it,” and juniors and majors alike walked away. The mines that existed are winding down with nothing in the pipeline behind them, and public debt hit roughly 128% of GDP as the currency collapsed.

Egypt’s reforms moved decisively the opposite way, but Tate’s point is that the law on paper matters less than whether the state keeps honoring it for a decade or more. It’s a message that investors in every sector keep telling the Madbouly government: Policy stability is key.

Egypt has competition from Saudi Arabia, which sits on the same Arabian-Nubian Shield as Egypt. The ANS, as it’s known, is one of the last great frontiers in mining. Livesey rates Egypt an easier entry than Saudi Arabia is today — the Kingdom’s bid-round terms carry capital requirements that sit awkwardly with companies that, by design, have no revenue. And Egypt, Talaat adds, doesn’t nudge foreigners toward local partners the way Saudi’s system does in practice.

So what does the exit look like for Ankh? There are three doors, all requiring a code-compliant resource first. Sell the project or company to a major — the classic junior endgame, and why Ankh keeps its data room permanently ready. (When AngloGold Ashanti bought Sukari owner Centamin in November 2024, it walked into archives of preserved drill cores going back to day zero, the diligence asset that makes an acquisition underwriteable.) Ankh could also list on a stock exchange — it’s domiciled in Jersey precisely to keep a future IPO on the table. Or it could opt to build the mine itself, the longest and most capital-hungry road that opens to it only after it proves feasibility and obtains permits.

The prize looks something like Sukari: More than 5.9 mn oz produced since 2009, including roughly 500k oz in 2025, and a workforce Talaat calls “the school of mines of Egypt” — the talent pool that powered one of Ankh’s founders and now exports geologists to Oman, Saudi, and as far as Australia and Canada. Tate’s Laos warning applies here too: when a country’s pipeline dies, the gold stays in the ground but the skills scatter — and they don't come back. Egypt’s recent regulatory reform addresses that warning.

What’s next? The 2H 2026 bid round is the event to watch — both for who shows up (the 2020 and 2022 rounds drew majors, juniors, and local money, including Naguib Sawiris’ AKH Gold) and for the terms on offer. Ankh says it will look at expanding its footprint near its existing ground. Further out sits Sinai, geologically rich, but closed to precious-metals exploration until the state itself offers it. And watch the tender’s fine print for one thing above all, per the people we spoke with: Whether Egypt’s version of the lottery ticket keeps its guarantee printed on the back.

This story originally appeared in EnterpriseAM MENA+, which covers critical trends and what's next across our region every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. Tap or click here to subscribe without charge thanks to the generous support of our friends at Mashreq.

4

Also on our Radar

From Mansoura to Manchester

Egypt’s national universities added six foreign academic partnerships, the latest in a push to internationalize a university system now facing its first labor-market test. The National Universities Council approved one cooperation agreement and five MoUs between Egyptian and foreign institutions, according to a cabinet statement. The agreements aim to expand research partnerships, attract international students, and enable joint and dual-degree programs.

The breakdown:

  • King Salman International University with Germany's Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz (cooperation agreement);
  • Mansoura National University with the UK's University of Manchester;
  • Nile University with Romania's University of Oradea;
  • Galala University with the Dubai arm of diagnostics firm Beckman Coulter, and separately with the University of Jordan;
  • Egypt University of Informatics with France's CESI Graduate School of Engineering.

IN CONTEXT- The new MoUs add to a broader push across Egypt’s national universities that we’ve been tracking. Our recent Blackboard deep-dive found that nine months after the first graduating class from Egypt's post-2018 national universities, hiring traction is still building — with specialized, industry-partnered faculties like New Mansoura's tourism and hotels program (95% employment rate, per the faculty dean) showing the clearest early results. International ranking gains are moving in parallel: Egypt now counts 51 universities in the Times Higher Education rankings, up from three in 2016.

5

PLANET FINANCE

The real test for MENA venture capital starts now

MENA venture capital holds up — for now: Startups across MENA raised USD 1.35 bn across 214 agreements in 1H 2026, down 22% y-o-y, according to a MAGNiTT report seen by EnterpriseAM. The headline steadiness masks a sharper shift underneath as the agreement volume fell 41% to 214, the lowest half-year count since 2022, even as total funding held broadly firm.

MAGNiTT reads the resilience as a lag, not a verdict. 1H capital reflects agreements signed six to nine months ago, before April’s regional conflict, and the firm frames the deal-count slide as part of a global contraction rather than a MENA-specific retreat, as global transaction volumes have now fallen for five straight quarters.

The real test is still ahead: Funding barely moved between the quarters, slipping 2% to USD 667 mn in 2Q from USD 679 mn in 1Q. Agreement activity told a different story, dropping 27% q-o-q to 90 transactions, the lowest quarterly count in at least two years. “Capital deployment in 1H reflects decisions made six to nine months ago, [agreements] already in motion before the regional conflict,” MAGNiTT founder and CEO Philip Bahoshy tells EnterpriseAM. The clearer warning sign, he argues, sits earlier in the funnel: early-stage transactions fell more than 50% y-o-y, “the truest measure of ecosystem appetite.”

Why MAGNiTT is watching 3Q: The firm sees a direct parallel to 2020, when announced agreements carried headline funding through the first half before dealmaking stalled in the third quarter as the pipeline ran dry. With the summer lull compounding the conflict’s drag on new deal formation, MAGNiTT expects 3Q to be the first clean read on whether the region is genuinely resilient or simply drawing down a pre-committed pipeline.

MEANWHILE- A handful of mega rounds held up the average. Two transactions worth a combined USD 480 mn, roughly 36% of all capital deployed in 1H, cushioned the decline, while the 10 largest agreements absorbed 58% of the total. The concentration is the story: strip out the top of the table and the picture thins considerably.

International investors retreat: Active foreign investors fell 48% y-o-y to 95 from 181, while the number of MENA-based investors held broadly steady. Capital deployed by overseas players dropped even harder, down 65% y-o-y.

ALSO- MENA-based investors supplied 81% of all venture funding in 1H, up from 58% a year earlier and their highest share in more than five years. Local capital is now carrying the ecosystem.

The UAE led the headline, but the concentration matters: The UAE attracted USD 895 mn, 66% of all MENA funding and a 53% y-o-y jump, even as its agreement count fell 37%. Some 60% of the UAE’s capital came from three agreements backed by a single investor, BlueFive Capital, among them CargoX (USD 250 mn) and Mal (USD 230 mn), the two mega rounds propping up the regional total. ”Adjusted for those, [the UAE and Saudi] are far closer than the headline figures suggest,” Bahoshy says.

The Kingdom came second at USD 219 mn, down 74% y-o-y, but “the comparison base is doing a lot of the work,” Bahoshy says, noting that 1H 2025 was an exceptional peak for the Kingdom, lifted by large rounds that don’t repeat every cycle. Saudi closed 72 agreements, nearly level with the UAE’s 79.

Elsewhere: Egypt funding fell 29% to USD 142 mn. Among smaller markets, Morocco posted the sharpest gain, up 305% to USD 32 mn, while Oman rose 82% to USD 22 mn.

Fintech stayed the biggest magnet: The sector held its lead at USD 617 mn, despite a 9% y-o-y dip. Transport and logistics was the fastest riser, up 661% to USD 273 mn, but almost entirely on one agreement: CargoX accounted for 92% of the sector’s total. Enterprise software drew USD 115 mn (+4%), food and beverage jumped 310% to USD 76 mn, and real estate startups raised USD 72 mn.

Appetite is shifting up the stages: The deal mix moved modestly beyond the earliest-stage startups, with early-growth rounds rising to 18% of all agreements from 14% in 2025. Earliest-stage agreements slipped to 82% of the count, while late-stage and venture-growth ones stayed effectively absent.

Exits keep slowing: MENA recorded just 16 M&A transactions in 1H, down 56% y-o-y, in step with softer global exit markets, where dealmaking slowed again in 2Q.

Public tech held up better than private: MAGNiTT’s newly launched tech index rebounded 20.9% in 2Q, recovering nearly all of its 1Q losses to finish the half down just 0.2%. The bounce was company-specific, led by Talabat, Space42, and Elm, rather than a ride on the global AI rally, which lifted emerging-market tech stocks 92% over the same window. Regional tech is tracking its own fundamentals.

What to watch: Bahoshy flags three signals that will define 2H: the return of international investors, a recovery in early-stage agreement flow once the summer passes, and the stabilization of exits. All three, he argues, read ecosystem health more honestly than the headline funding figure, and all three will show up first in the 3Q data.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Asia-Pacific markets are mixed in early trading this morning as oil jumped to a one-month high after the US announced it was reinstating its blockade of Iranian shipping and introducing a 20% fee on cargo moving through the Strait of Hormuz. Japan’s Nikkei is flat, while South Korea’s Kospi is looking at gains. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite are both down.

EGX30

52,608

+0.7% (YTD: +25.8%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 50.16

Sell 50.30

USD (CIB)

Buy 50.15

Sell 50.25

Interest rates (CBE)

19.00% deposit

20.00% lending

Tadawul

10,802

-0.2% (YTD: +3.0%)

ADX

9,904

-0.3% (YTD: -0.9%)

DFM

5,967

-1.2% (YTD: -1.3%)

S&P 500

7,515

-0.8% (YTD: +9.8%)

FTSE 100

10,498

0.0% (YTD: +5.7%)

Euro Stoxx 50

6,271

0.0% (YTD: +8.2%)

Brent crude

USD 83.21

+9.5%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.90

-1.5%

Gold

USD 4,006

-2.6%

BTC

USD 62,170

-3.1% (YTD: -29.0%)

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index

1,079

+0.1% (YTD: +8.7%)

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk

151.45

-0.2% (YTD: -0.3%)

VIX (Volatility Index)

17.16

+14.2% (YTD: +14.8%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 rose 0.7% at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 9.6 bn (9.1% above the 90-day average). International investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 25.8% YTD.

In the green: Qalaa Holdings (+2.1%), GB Corp (+1.9%), and TMG Holding (+1.8%).

In the red: Telecom Egypt (-1.7%), Heliopolis Housing (-1.5%), and ADIB (-1.0%).

6

Going Green

4% aced, 96% to go

4% of Egypt’s methane emissions — from oil and gas — has a baseline, a task force, and World Bank financing. The other 96%, from waste and agriculture, has none. Egypt’s First Biennial Transparency Report, submitted to the UNFCCC in December 2024, shows waste accounted for 66% of the country’s methane emissions in 2022, with agriculture responsible for another 30%. The energy sector — including oil and gas — accounted for just 4%, despite attracting the bulk of the country’s methane-specific investment and policy work.

SOUND SMART- Unlike carbon dioxide, methane (CH4) is both a pollutant and a product. Left to leak into the atmosphere, it traps roughly 80 times more heat than CO2 over a 20-year period — making it one of the most powerful greenhouse gases in the near term. Captured instead from landfills, livestock waste, or oil and gas operations, it can be processed into biomethane and used to generate electricity.

Petroleum has the receipts. The sector’s environmental compliance plan, energy-efficiency measures, and methane-abatement practices have cut emissions by some 1.4 mn tons, a government official in the petroleum sector tells EnterpriseAM. Flare gas recovery projects alone reduced emissions by 61.8k tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e), with the sector targeting another 49.4k tons next year, the official says.

The sector now has clear directives tied to Egypt’s international methane commitments, the official tells us — a claim the IMF backs up. Under its 2025 Resilience and Sustainability Facility arrangement with Egypt, the government committed to an MRV system for flaring and methane emissions, plus a forthcoming decree requiring firms to submit emission-reduction targets, with fines after a two-year grace period for noncompliance. Financing remains central to scaling emissions-reduction technologies, even as cooperation with private-sector partners progresses.

The World Bank’s own assessment of the sector lines up with the government’s figures. In a May 2025 project document obtained by EnterpriseAM, the Bank estimates Egypt’s oil and gas operations generate 41 mn tons of CO2e. Methane venting and leaks account for some 48% of that, with flaring responsible for another 14%. Up to 7 mn tons of CO2e could be cut in the short to medium term — an assessment the Bank confirms in its public GFMR Annual Progress Report, which notes it’s been helping Egypt identify and prioritize flaring and methane projects for grant funding.

The Oil Ministry has submitted four priority proposals to the World Bank’s Global Flaring and Methane Reduction Partnership. They target upstream methane emissions through vapor recovery units on storage tanks, recovery of associated gas that would otherwise be flared, permanent flare-measurement systems, and a nationwide leak detection and repair (LDAR) program. The LDAR proposal would build a dedicated task force inside the Ministry’s Center of Excellence for Energy Transition.

“The petroleum sector is mature,” CEO of BioRotterdam Ibrahim Farouk tells EnterpriseAM. Companies in the sector have organizational structures and measurable KPIs, he says — so when a methane project is implemented, emissions can be tracked before and after.

Waste has the know-how, not the structure. The technology is settled — organic waste methane can be captured through engineered landfills or anaerobic digestion units and then used as biogas for electricity or heat. The obstacle is that our waste sector is a patchwork of municipalities and private businesses, making coordinated action harder than in petroleum, where a handful of large players, sufficient financing, and international attention converge.

“What we are doing is control,” Farouk says — sealing waste in systems that capture the gas rather than letting it decompose into the atmosphere. His preferred solution, engineered landfill gas capture, requires most existing dumpsites to be upgraded to a standard they weren't built for. Source separation could help, but it has stalled for years without real incentives. What the sector actually needs, he argues, is concessional loans, streamlined procedures, tax breaks, or other financing tools — the same conditions the petroleum sector has and waste doesn’t.

The environmental side echoes the same complaint, in different words: finance. The slower availability of global climate finance has weighed on the pace of environmental projects, a government official in the environment sector tells us. More finance, the official says, would help accelerate global progress toward the pledge’s 30% methane-reduction goal by 2030.

Agriculture is the third bucket — and the least addressed of the three. Livestock (enteric fermentation and manure management) and rice paddy cultivation together account for 30% of Egypt’s methane emissions, according to the Biennial Transparency Report. Unlike petroleum, agriculture has no equivalent task force, no World Bank-linked financing pipeline, and no ministerial abatement program visible in public documents. The abatement pathways exist globally — feed additives, alternate wetting and drying for rice, and better manure handling — but implementing them in our fragmented agricultural sector faces the same structural obstacle waste does, in a more acute form.

OUR TAKE- Egypt hasn’t broken its methane pledge, but it’s aced the easy part of the test. Petroleum became the first mover because its emissions are easier to measure, its projects are easier to finance, and its companies are easier to regulate. The catch? Waste — despite being the country’s largest methane source — still needs stronger institutions, more private investment, and better project aggregation before it can catch up. Our methane strategy isn’t failing, but it is optimized for the part that was always going to be easiest.


JULY

23 July (Thursday): Revolution Day (TBC).

AUGUST

19 August (Wednesday): Connected Banking Summit, Fairmont Nile City Hotel.

20 August (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s fifth meeting of 2026.

26 August (Wednesday): Prophet Muhammad’s birthday.

SEPTEMBER

8-10 September (Tuesday-Thursday) El Alamein International Airshow, El Alamein International Airport.

10-12 September (Thursday-Saturday): Egyptian Entrepreneurship Sector Diagnostics Report Summit, El Gouna.

15 September (Tuesday): IMF to hold its eighth review of Egypt’s USD 8 bn EFF arrangement.

24 September (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s sixth meeting of 2026.

27-29 September (Sunday-Tuesday): Global Conference on Population, Health, and Human Development.

OCTOBER

6 October (Tuesday): Armed Forces Day.

10-11 October (Saturday-Sunday): Egypt Women’s Health Summit (EWHS), Cairo Marriott Hotel.

26-28 October (Monday-Wednesday): IEX Egypt, Egypt International Exhibition Center, Cairo.

29 October (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s seventh meeting of 2026.

NOVEMBER

6-8 November (Friday-Sunday) : Global Entrepreneurship Festival, JW Marriott Hotel, New Cairo

DECEMBER

7-10 December (Monday-Thursday): Food Africa, Egypt International Exhibition Center, Cairo.

17 December (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s eighth meeting of 2026.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

July 2026: British Prime Minister set to visit Egypt.

2H 2026: Operations at Deli Glass Co’s new USD 70 mn glassware factory kick off.

2026: The Egyptian-American Economic Forum.

4Q 2026: Banque du Caire IPO.

2027

16-18 January (Saturday-Monday): Agri Expo, Cairo International Convention Center.

20 January-7 February: Egypt to host the African Games.

April 2027: Tenth of Ramadan dry port and logistics hub to begin operations.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2027: Egypt to host EBRD’s annual meetings.

2027: Egypt-EU Summit 2027.

End of 2027: Trial operations at the Dabaa nuclear power plant expected to take place.

September 2028: First unit of the Dabaa nuclear power plant begins operations.

Now Playing
Now Playing
00:00
00:00