EXCLUSIVE- Major amendments to the tax code coming during next legislative term: The Finance Ministry plans to introduce a package of new legislation when the House of Representatives reconvenes from its summer recess, Finance Minister Mohamed Maait told Enterprise. Topping the list of laws are amendments to the tax code which are meant to facilitate and streamline tax procedures and cut red tape, Maait added. While Maait did not delve into specifics, he did tell us that the law would reduce the amount of documentation required for taxation. Other clauses would impact sales and real estate taxes, he added without providing details. Another ministry source tells us that the amendments have already been drafted and are ready.
Are tax incentives for SMEs in the works after all? The Finance Ministry is looking to raise the turnover limit to be exempt from the VAT, sources said. As it stands, businesses with a turnover of less than EGP 500k a year are exempt from VAT. The ministry is considering raising that ceiling to EGP 1 mn in order to accommodate SMEs making less than that amount, sources added, without revealing when the ministry is planning to issue the law. The move comes as part of a series of incentives the government hopes to extend to SMEs. While a senior government source had told us that the SMEs Act — the key legislation looking to incentivize SMEs to join the formal economy — will not contain tax incentives, amendments to the VAT Act the ministry is considering appear to be an attempt to lighten the tax load on SMEs who have registered. Sources noted that SMEs making under EGP 1 mn must still pay income taxes. Under the SMEs Act, the government will be guided by the CBE’s definition of SMEs, which counts “micro-enterprises” as businesses making less than EGP 1 mn.
Other items on the ministry’s legislative agenda it hopes to see passed in the upcoming cycle include a new and improved Customs Act, the source told us. While the House of Representatives had already signed off on a series of amendments to the already existing act, the ministry is planning to introduce a new and more comprehensive law, according to Maait. Sources had told us previously that the new legislation also includes a host of measures that would facilitate the flow of goods through Egypt’s ports, including establishing a “white list” of importers who will benefit from expedited clearance of goods.
Other laws due to be passed in the next legislative term also include a new Public Finances Act — which will impact how the budget is drafted — and a new Pensions Act, Maait told us. The ministry is also looking to complete the executive regulations on a number of laws which have recently been passed in the House, including the Public Procurement Act (formerly the Auctions and Tenders Act).
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While the glint from Egypt’s bonds may have faded, there is still no need to begin preparing a survival bunker for the EM zombie apocalypse, according to a recent report from Capital Economics (we are unable to link to the report for copyright reasons). “The surge in foreign investment into Egyptian bonds and equities that followed the devaluation appears to have faded – in fact, daily data show that foreign investors have been net sellers of Egyptian stocks for the past two months.” Nonetheless, the report notes that we are not yet in crisis mode when it comes to portfolio outflows as the fundamentals — particularly the government’s adherence to the economic reforms — remains strong. “With the government set to stick to orthodox policy making, however, overall capital inflows should hold up well,” notes the report.
As a matter of fact, things may even look good for carry traders down the road, as Capital Economics sees the EGP depreciating over the coming years. “We expect the currency to fall from EGP 17.9 per USD 1 at the time of writing to EGP 19 to the USD by the end of this year and to EGP 20 by end-2019,” says the report.
Monetary easing to continue later this year: The depreciating EGP, coupled with an improving balance of payments and account deficit, should see inflation trend downwards, says the firm. This downward trend is expected to resume later this year, providing scope for the central bank to resume its easing cycle. “We expect the central bank to lower its overnight deposit rate by a further 550 bps by the end of next year,” according to the report.
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El Sisi inaugurates combined-cycle power plants, Gabal El Zeit wind farm: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi inaugurated yesterday the three 14.4 GW combined-cycle power plants in Burullus, Beni Suef and the new capital, which were developed by Siemens and our friends Orascom Construction (OC) and Elsewedy Electric. OC said in a press release yesterday (pdf) that the company “completed two out of the three mega power plants...with a total power generation capacity of 9.6 GW,” adding that work on the Burullus plant was exceptionally challenging given its remote location. Electricity Ministry spokesperson Ayman Hamza had said that the plants — which are expected to feed into Egypt’s planned regional power interconnection projects once they’re complete — would raise Egypt’s energy supply by c. 25% and ensure local power demand was covered.
The Electricity Ministry had reportedly settled on Siemens to run and manage the three plants, but the two sides have yet to sign official contracts. Sources had previously said that the EGP 6 bn, eight-year management contracts would be signed this month.
El Sisi also inaugurated the EGP 12 bn 580 MW Gabal El Zeit wind farm yesterday, according to the Associated Press. Hamza said the project is the largest of its kind in the world and “is part of a wider plan to make Egypt a regional energy hub.” Egypt has invested c. EGP 515 bn in electricity projects since 2014, Electricity Minister Mohamed Shaker also said yesterday.
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INVESTMENT WATCH- Germany’s FTI plans massive expansion of Labranda World resorts in Egypt: German hospitality group FTI, which counts Samih Sawiris as a minority shareholder, is planning a massive expansion in Makadi Bay in the Red Sea, CEO Dietmar Gunz tells German tourism publication FVW. The company has bought three hotels on a 500,000 sqm site from Sawiris’ Orascom Development. It will first renovate the existing Labranda Club will be renovated first of all. Then, over the next 2-3 years, the group plans to build more hotels, an aqua-park, restaurants, shops and other facilities at the Makadi Bay site. Overall, it “will be bigger than Stella once fully built”, Gunz said. He did not mention how much the company plans to spend on the expansion.
Furthermore, FTI subsidiary Meeting Point Hotels also plans to open its first hotel in Egypt this winter with the 357-room Kairaba Lagoon in Sahl Hasheesh, said company head Roula Jouny.
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EFG Hermes concludes Humansoft Holding’s USD 226 mn Kuwait Exchange accelerated book build in record timing: EFG Hermes announced yesterday that it successfully concluded the secondary offering of Al Othman Commercial Enterprises Company’s education outfit, Humansoft Holding Company, on the Kuwait Stock Exchange. The USD 226 mn transaction saw Al Othman Commercial Enterprises sell 17% of Human Soft shares on the Kuwait Stock Exchange. EFG acted as the sole sellside bookrunner and financial advisor, for what was “the largest accelerated equity offering in the Middle East and North Africa” in 2018, the company said in a press release (pdf). “Our position as one of the largest securities brokers in Kuwait and the largest in the region, in addition to being the leading ECM advisor in MENA has enabled us to launch and close this transaction in a record time; the transaction was successfully placed in 8 hours,” said EFG Investment Banking Co-CEO Mohamed Ebeid. “More importantly the transaction offered us the opportunity to avail a highly compelling investment play in one of the region’s most promising markets and sectors.”
The Humansoft accelerated book build is EFG’s third equity market transaction in less than two months, having just concluded advisory services last week on the GBP 125 mn IPO of microfinance lender ASA International on the LSE and advising on the USD 52 mn accelerated equity offering of Orascom Construction Industries on Nasdaq Dubai last month.
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EARNINGS WATCH- Etisalat Misr reported revenues of AED 1.35 bn (c. EGP 6.58 bn) for 1H2018 on total consolidated group revenues of AED 26.2 bn, an increase of 3.6% y-o-y, the company said in its earnings release (pdf).
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A drought across the Europe and the Black Sea region will force Egypt to pay a higher price for new wheat imports, Gianlucca De Paoli writes for Bloomberg. The General Authority for Supply Commodities (GASC) purchased yesterday 420k tonnes of Russian, Ukrainian, and Romanian wheat, according to Reuters’ Arabic service. The lowest price presented at yesterday’s tender was USD 217.95 per tonne from Russia’s GTCS — USD 14 higher per tonne than what GASC paid for its last shipment at USD 234.26 a tonne including freight, Bloomberg says. “Egypt paid an average USD 220.25 a tonne for 175k tonnes of Russian wheat in the last tender on July 10,” according to the business information service, which claims that the second-lowest offer of USD 235.66 per tonne came from Daewoo.
Traders do see an opportunity to flex, but acknowledge that it could be a short term problem for the time being. “Egypt will have to pay more," BGC Partners’ Pierre Tronc said before the offers were presented. "It is just a question of price. I don’t see supply being a problem." He added that “Russia will probably continue to dominate Egypt’s wheat tenders.”
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One step closer to global gas export hub status: Egypt is expected to resume LNG exports to Jordan via pipeline on 1 January 2019, an unnamed government official tells Hellenic Shipping News. Oil Minister Tarek El Molla had said a few months back that Egypt was planning to resume LNG exports to Jordan — which have been disrupted since 2011 — early on in 2019, without specifying the exact timeline or volume of shipments. EGAS and state energy firm Enppi had also signed a USD 13 mn agreement to build a 17 km steel pipeline for the Jordanian-Egyptian Fajr for Natural Gas Transport and Supply Company that should be complete in 2020. The piece notes that it is “unclear whether Egypt still owed Jordan any compensation for the disruption in flows.”
Go home, Turkey. You’re drunk and jealous and feeling left behind. This comes as Turkish media once again accuses Egypt of being too greedy with its oil and gas exploration in the East Mediterranean, with the latest piece from Turkish daily Yeni Safaksaying that Egypt and Israel are both trying to “abort” agreements they had struck with Ankara years ago over maritime jurisdiction in their efforts to secure reserves in the area. Turkey has been resorting to bullying Cyprus over the past year, interfering with exploration operations at the Aphrodite gas field. This prompted Cypriot Energy Minister George Lakkotrypis to vow that the government will do everything necessary to ensure ExxonMobil’s offshore oil and gas search runs smoothly, despite threats from Turkey, Offshore Technology reports.
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LEGISLATION WATCH- State coffers to claim as much as 25% of slush funds: The House of Representatives’ general assembly granted its preliminary approval yesterday to a draft bill approved by the Madbouly Cabinet last week earmarking a portion of ministerial “private funds” to support the state budget, Al Masry Al Youm reports. The bill was referred to the House Planning and Budgeting Committee for review. The legislation would claim a portion of ministerial funds for state coffers that could be as much as 25%, up from a current 15%, Rep. Medhat El Sherif tells Al Mal. The proposed law would also lay claim to 25% of any annual surplus funds generated by government agencies, exempting only agencies that provide “economic or national services,” and funds that are education and research-focused, as well as those geared for social insurance, social housing, and university hospitals.
Background: These so-called “private accounts,” which have gained an unsavory reputation as slush funds, are typically maintained outside the budget system and have for years been the subject of scrutiny by both the domestic press and corruption watchdogs, and more recently, House Reps. MPs have been calling for greater oversight since it was revealed that a private fund belonging to the Cairo Governorate recorded a surplus of EGP 140 mn.
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Egyptian state-owned and private television channels have begun airing ads warning against rumors and false news. Several of the ads refer to specific “fake stories” that have been circulating and provide the real story behind the rumors. The broadcasting of these ads comes a few short days after President Abdel Fattah El Sisi warned that rumors spreading discontent are the biggest threat to Egypt’s stability. “‘Don’t believe everything you see on social media,’ [one] advert says. ‘Check news before you share it. Get news from a well-trusted source.’” We wonder if Ahmed Moussa’s gripping report on Russian operations in Syria using the credible source that is the video game Apache Air Assault counts as fake news (watch, runtime: 7:50). The ads have not yet materialized on the interwebs. BBC has the story.
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