Good morning, nice people. We are heading into the weekend with an issue all about things waiting to move. The bourse is waiting on the green light from the Tax Authority, and our gas fields are sitting on more than they are giving.
Up first: The EGX has asked for a full income tax exemption on transferable-asset funds, and the target is stalled real estate. Think mortgage-backed Ijarah funds that bolt the property market onto the capital market. Officials tell us this can be a strong investment tool that draws fresh capital through the bourse. The request is sitting with the Tax Authority, and we’re on the lookout for how long it will take.
And then there is the gas story — a gap between drilling and producing that’s getting harder to ignore. New wells are coming. The fields are ready. The question is whether the new output can keep pace with what the old fields are losing.

Morning Drive just turned one! And we’re celebrating with new artwork and a few guest appearances. Listen to today’s episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or Anghami.
Morning Drive is your daily download of the essential headlines shaping Egypt. A condensed version of the newsletter in audio form. Hosted by ‘Synthetic Salma’ — an AI-powered version of our own executive editor, Salma.
Futures deliver, finally
The EGX’s first single-stock futures completed their first full lifecycle. September contracts expired at yesterday’s close, with CIB settling at EGP 131.75 and TMG at EGP 95, according to a statement (pdf). This is the first time an equity-linked derivative ran the full course from listing to final settlement on the Egyptian exchange. CIB’s contract went out 9.1% below its June listing price of EGP 145, while TMG’s ended 7.8% below its EGP 103 listing price, but the shares themselves fell only 3.6% and 2.1%, by our math.
The EGX lowered the initial margin on the upcoming December 2026 contracts to EGP 5.5k for the index (from EGP 5.9k) and to EGP 1.5k for both CIB and TMG (from EGP 1.6k).
The next round is already priced: The EGX30 index contract, on a six-month cycle since the March launch, settled at roughly 54.8k, up 4.2% from the 52.6k where the June contract went out. March 2027 contracts start trading today at EGP 149 on CIB, EGP 107 on TMG, and 61.1k on the index. Those are premiums of 13.1%, 12.6%, and 11.5% to yesterday’s closes, or roughly 25% annualized to carry a position to expiry.
REFRESHER- Derivatives are the centerpiece of the EGX’s push to modernize. Index futures kicked off in March as Egypt’s first-ever product, with single-stock contracts following in June on the exchange’s two most-traded names. Volumes have been thin so far. “When you place a derivative contract on stocks that people already like and see value in, it supports the chances of success,” Al Ahly Pharos head of research Hany Genena told us at the time.
A faster, cheaper route
Cosco made its first transit through the Suez Canal since the Red Sea crisis began, Suez Canal Authority Chairman Osama Rabie said in a statement yesterday. The OOCL Portugal, a Cosco-group vessel with a 24k TEU capacity, crossed from Belgium toward China on an Ocean Alliance service, carrying 247k tons of cargo.
There’s been a broader return to Suez recently, but it’s still selective. CMA CGM sent its Vendome through the canal in June, marking the first southbound transit of its FAL3 service since January. MSC said it would partially restore Suez transits for its Indusa service, westbound only, while Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd announced that four more Gemini services would switch from the Cape of Good Hope to Suez.
The carrier-by-carrier return is beginning to show up in canal traffic. Container ships moved 72.1 mn tons of net tonnage through Suez in the first eight months of 2026, up 54.2% y-o-y from 46.7 mn tons. The uptick is positive, but regional tensions are still a near-term concern as containers return.
A slower, pricier route
Ukraine’s Danube bottleneck is tripling grain transit times to Egypt. Grain shipments from Ukraine are now taking more than a month, up from around 12 days, as vessels spend weeks waiting to enter and exit the Danube through the Sulina Canal, Reuters reports. Ukraine has rerouted its exports since Russian attacks effectively blocked its main Black Sea ports, which previously handled around 90% of the country’s grain exports.
The cost of getting grain to Egypt has also more than tripled. Shipping 1 tonne of grain from Danube ports to Egyptian ports costs around USD 105 as of 11 September, up from USD 30 on 11 July, when Ukraine’s Black Sea ports were still operating, according to the report. Ships are reportedly waiting roughly 15 days to enter the canal and another three days to exit, while a shortage of coaster tonnage willing to take the voyages is allowing owners to keep freight offers elevated.
What’s next: Autumn and winter weather could further risk Danube transit times heading into the colder months, Avalon Shipping’s Katerina Kononenko told Reuters.
Editor’s note: An earlier version of this story framed TrèFLE as though funding flowed to individual schools and asked where the money had gone. The program is a teacher-training and curriculum grant and does not disburse funds to schools. The earlier version also suggested the first phase might not have been evaluated while AFD has spoken on record that the first phase was externally evaluated, though the findings have not been made public at this time. We have corrected these points and restored AFD’s full response on teacher retention.

The EnterpriseAM Egypt Forum is less than a month away — and here’s some of what’s shaping up on the agenda:
- Where AI fits on the list of topics keeping CEOs awake at night
- What AI means for your company, your team, your job, and your family
- What’s the AI opportunity for Egypt
- Building the AI infrastructure
Join us on 5 October in Cairo. Attendance is by invitation only, and seats are filling up quickly.
Request your invitation here.
PSA-
WEATHER- It looks like today could be the last day of this late-summer heat wave in Cairo, with a high of 37°C and a low of 24°C, according to our favorite weather app.
Alexandria will be a little cooler, with a high of 32°C and a low of 24°C.
And over the weekend, expect a welcome cooldown in the capital (a high of 32-33°C) and milder conditions for our friends on the Mediterranean (a high of 28-29°C).
The big story abroad
News of the Fed’s rate hike is all over the front pages today. We dive into the decision, as well as its rationale and wider context in Planet Finance below.
In the AI world: Crux AI, the joint cloud venture launched by Alphabet and Blackstone, has secured USD 22 bn in debt financing from a 10-bank syndicate that includes Goldman Sachs and Barclays. The venture — which aims to bring its first 500 MW of capacity online next year — reflects a broader surge in AI infrastructure spending, where tech firms are raising bns of USD to fund data center construction to keep pace with soaring compute demand.
Atomic power behind AI revolution on hold? Nuclear energy player Holtec International has put its IPO plans on hold as a “perfect storm” affects the AI industry, company CEO Kris Singh said. The company — which has expanded into restarting a dormant Michigan nuclear facility and developing small modular reactors — had planned to raise USD 900 mn this week, while the US nuclear sector lines up tens of bns of USD to back the AI boom.
Major defaults in Turkey: Istanbul-based asset manager Tera Portfoy Yonetimi announced that two of its funds, managing USD 7.5 bn in assets, were unable to process investor redemptions. This news follows a default just one day prior by fellow Turkish manager Pusula Portfoy Yonetimi, which helped trigger a 7.7% plunge in the Borsa Istanbul 100 Index — its sharpest single-day loss since March 2025.




