Gold drops from highs in 2Q but buyers keep up the momentum

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

E-finance confirms Tamweely acquisition at up to EGP 4.8 bn

Good afternoon, folks, and happy Thursday — the weekend is hours away. Today, we’re taking a look at how the global gold market performed in 2Q: prices pulled back from record highs, and central banks, long-term holders, and Egyptian savers kept buying. We break it down.

Elsewhere in today’s issue: We have a review of Prime Video’s Ride or Die, which turns out to be less about assassins and more about friendships that refuse to fall apart. PSG held on to the Super Cup last night, La Liga kicks off this weekend, and Hakim is headed to Sahel.

But first, the news…

THE BIG STORY TODAY-

📍 E-finance will pay as much as EGP 4.8 bn for full ownership of MSME lender Tamweely Financial Services, the EGX-listed fintech infrastructure player said in a bourse filing (pdf), confirming the acquisition we had flagged earlier this week. This puts Tamweely’s valuation 71% above the price it fetched when it was last sold almost two years ago. The transaction still needs shareholder and regulatory sign-off — from the Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) and the Egyptian Competition Authority (ECA) — before it can go through, with E-finance eyeing a close in 3Q or 4Q 2026, the release reads.

The pitch? The idea is to pair Tamweely’s lending capacity with the cashflow data already running through E-finance’s rails, giving E-finance a way to underwrite borrowers beyond traditional collateral. The move delivers on a plan laid out when E-finance listed, rather than marking a change in direction, E-finance Chairman and Managing Director Ibrahim Sarhan says.

Transaction mechanics: The consideration comes in two parts: EGP 956.4 mn in upfront cash and roughly 146.1 mn newly issued E-finance shares priced at EGP 26.34 apiece, in line with what we had reported earlier. That values the share leg at around EGP 3.85 bn by our math, handing Tamweely’s shareholders close to 4% of E-finance once the swap completes. SPE Capital and Tanmiya Capital Ventures will be among those staying on as E-finance holders, both said in the release.

Part of that price has to be earned: A chunk of the price only gets paid if Tamweely clears agreed net income targets for FY 2026 and FY 2027, which means E-finance built in downside protection. Management expects the acquisition to boost EPS immediately in both 2026 and 2027, even before factoring in any synergies.

REFRESHER- Tamweely was one of the state’s privatization program’s flagship exits: A consortium of international investors — namely SPE Capital’s SPE PEF III fund, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Tanmiya Capital Ventures, and the UK government’s British International Investment — bought the company outright from its state-owned shareholders in September 2024 for EGP 2.8 bn, ending Ayadi for Investment & Development, NI Capital, and Post for Investment’s hold on the lender after 20 months of negotiations.

About Tamweely: Founded in 2017, Tamweely brings a roughly 250-branch network — with 50 new branches due to open this year — serves some 600k clients, and has an EGP 20 bn lending book. It dropped “Microfinance” from its name last year as it pushed into SME lending, leasing, and micro-ins. The company debuted an EGP 782 mn securitization in late 2024 that drew 2.6x demand, followed by an EGP 1.2 bn securitization bond in December 2025, and secured an EGP 250 mn EBRD facility in March.

ADVISORS- EFG Hermes advised E-finance, PwC handled financial and tax due diligence, and Zulficar & Partners and A&O Shearman provided counsel. Graviton Financial was the independent financial advisor.


IN OTHER NEWS- Following reports earlier this week that a small cargo ship attacked by Yemen’s Houthis in Bab Al Mandab was Egyptian-owned, the Egyptian cabinet confirmed in a statement earlier today that the ship — named Tihama — is Tanzanian-flagged and owned by a Yemeni national. The vessel, operated by Blue Sea for Management Marine, was not en route to Egypt, the statement said.


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THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

🌐 It’s relatively calm on the global front pages this afternoon, with no single story getting top billing. Getting some ink, however, is an announcement from US President Donald Trump that White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt will step down at the end of August. Leavitt cited wanting to spend more time with her children and family as the reason for stepping down. At 28, she is the youngest person in US history to hold the role. Trump, who has called her one of his “most trusted aides,” took to Truth Social to say it is a “decision I totally understand and respect.” It is not yet clear who will replace Leavitt.

^^Read more on: BBC and The Guardian.

AND ICYMI- US consumer prices eased in July, falling to 3.4% from 3.5% in June. Prices remain elevated compared to pre-war levels, with increases hitting a three-year high in May and annual inflation reaching 4.2%. Inflation rose 0.1% m-o-m, while core prices — excluding food and energy — rose 2.5% annually.

^^Read more on: BBC and The Guardian.

** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:

  • Norwegian renewable energy developer Scatec brought the rest of its 1.1 GW Obelisk solar-and-battery project in Nagaa Hammadi fully online. The USD 600 mn project’s second and final phase added 564 MW of solar capacity. The company calls Obelisk Africa’s largest hybrid solar-and-battery project. The full project is expected to generate more than 3 TWh of clean electricity annually;
  • A Gafi inspection into Premium Healthcare Group’s (PHG) board and auditors identified “serious financial and administrative violations.” The violations are serious enough that Gafi has voided the notice for PHG’s 25 August general assembly and says it will call the meeting itself. The probe also flagged potential criminal conduct, some of which is already under investigation by prosecutors;
  • The government wants to more than double annual tourism revenue to USD 38 bn by FY 2029/30, relying on EGP 118.5 bn of tourism and antiquities investment in FY 2026/27, of which private investors are expected to provide EGP 117.8 bn. The new EGP 105.5 bn estimate for FY 2025/26 is 9.2% below the government’s last-year target of EGP 116.2 bn. That earlier plan expected private investors to provide EGP 115.6 bn of the total;
  • Talaat Moustafa Group reported a 21% y-o-y increase in net income to EGP 4.5 bn in 2Q 2026. Revenues surged 14% y-o-y over the same period to EGP 17.1 bn on the back of continued construction progress and the delivery of some 1.5k units across the group’s developments, namely Madinaty and Celia.

The EnterpriseAM Egypt Forum is back — and we’re devoting the full day to the singular set of questions on everyone’s mind: What does AI actually mean for your company, your people, your economy, your own job — and your kids’ future?

Every session on stage answers one question: “So, what do I actually do about it?”

Join us on 5 October in Cairo. Seats are limited, and attendance is by invitation only.

Request your invitation here.


☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- Cairo’s in for a hot weekend starting tomorrow, with sunny highs going up to 38°C and a warm low of 26°C. As for the North Coast, it’s looking a little humid for the folks up there this weekend, as highs climb to 32°C, with a low of 24°C, according to our favorite weather app.

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PLUG IN

In 2Q: Gold backs off record highs, but major buyers keep stacking

📈 The speculative phase in the gold market appears to have drawn to a close, making way for a more stable, strategic period, according to the World Gold Council’s 2Q report released in late July. The report highlights a divergence that largely defined the quarter: as gold prices pulled back from record highs, the two halves of the market reacted in opposing directions.

How it happened: Individual buyers purchasing gold for short-term speculation pulled back, whereas long-term holders seized the price dip as an entry point to buy. Central banks ramped up their net purchases once again to 289 tons — a nearly 62% y-o-y surge and a record high for a second quarter, the report noted.

Brics+ nations spearheaded this trend, viewing gold as a long-term sovereign hedge against a monetary system they no longer fully trust. Although overall 2Q demand held steady at nearly 1.27k tons, total demand value soared to an all-time high of USD 380 bn in 1H — representing 2% growth, with the London Bullion Market benchmark averaging USD 4,506/oz in 2Q.

At the retail level, shifting consumer habits were on full display. Global jewelry demand slipped to 278 tons, marking its weakest quarter since the pandemic as record prices deterred casual buyers. However, overall expenditure climbed 14% to USD 40 bn, meaning consumers received fewer grams of gold for more money — signaling that the metal maintains its share of household budgets despite lower physical volumes.

Investment products told a similar story from a different angle. Physical gold-backed ETFs saw outflows of 45 tons as institutions pulled funds amid USD strength and shifting interest rate expectations. Meanwhile, demand for bars and coins remained robust. A 2% rise in mine production offset a 6% decline in recycling — a direct reflection of price sensitivity, as lower average 2Q prices relative to 1Q reduced the incentive for individuals to sell scrap gold.

On the local level

Turning to the local market, the picture looks slightly different. Egyptian demand reached 11.1 tons in 2Q — down 4.3% y-o-y — with the scales tipping decisively toward investment over adornment for the first time. Gold bars and coins accounted for 6.2 tons, or 55.8% of total volume (up nearly 6% y-o-y), outpacing total jewelry expenditure of 4.9 tons, which dropped 14% compared to 2Q 2025.

This shift marks a fundamental change in how Egyptians preserve wealth. Appetite is moving toward bullion, which carries lower fabrication fees and maximizes hedging value — precisely the behavior expected in a market that no longer views gold merely as jewelry that might one day be resold, but as a long-term savings and investment tool.

The price trajectory was volatile yet notably orderly this time around. 21-karat gold — the most heavily traded grade among Egyptians — opened the year at record highs of EGP 7350-7650/g before undergoing a sharp correction in June to around EGP 5850, eventually hitting its true trough at EGP 5820 on 7 July.

From that point, prices rebounded on account of escalating regional tensions. The spot price sits at USD 4441/ounce, with raw 24-karat gold crossing just over the EGP 7200/gram mark, and 21-karat reaching EGP 6610 at the time of publishing. Swings of this magnitude typically trigger chaotic conditions in the Egyptian gold market, but that was notably absent this time.

Credit goes to the EGP: The primary stabilizing factor was not the precious metal itself, but the fact that official exchange rates held steady below EGP 50 per USD throughout the year. This stability compressed the domestic price premium — the markup added to local gold above global spot value during currency volatility.

For the first time in years, international spot prices dictated local valuation rather than currency fluctuations, creating a more efficient and well-supplied market, particularly for small-weight bars and coins. Meanwhile, 21-karat gold remained below EGP 6k for extended periods during the quarter.

The result? Egyptian investors can now read the gold market through the same lens as a trader in London or Dubai — using global economic and geopolitical signals — rather than hedging against currency risks first and the metal second.

What lies ahead?

The principal headwind remains US monetary policy, as elevated interest rates continue to pressure non-yielding assets like gold. The Federal Reserve could enact a 25 basis-point rate hike in December to settle rates in the 3.75-4.0% range, according to JPMorgan projections. Bank of America supports a similar outlook, anticipating a 0.75% rate increase by year-end, despite counter-projections suggesting the Fed will hold steady unless it pivots toward cuts.

These dynamics come amid criticism directed at new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh over the lack of an explicit, concrete roadmap to tackle inflation, alongside doubts raised regarding the reliance on the PCE index as the primary medium-term inflation target. JPMorgan notes that rate hikes could be pulled forward to September instead of December if CPI and inflation prints run hot — which has yet to materialize given the July inflation figures, which pointed to a modest cooling in rate pressures — whereas weaker data could afford the Fed room to remain on hold, providing greater stability, if not upward momentum, for precious metals.

Domestically, gold price stability hinges on the USD remaining below the EGP 50 mark. If that exchange rate holds, fair pricing will persist; if it breaks, currency pressures will once again take center stage. The World Gold Council report emphasizes a new reality: gold has fully transitioned from a speculative instrument into a strategic asset — and Egyptian savers, now favoring bullion over jewelry, have officially joined the trend.

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ON THE TUBE TONIGHT

Prime Video’s Ride or Die has friendship, firearms, and fantastic chemistry

📺 If there’s one thing Prime Video’s latest series Ride or Die proves, it’s that you’re never too old to discover that your best friend has been hiding a very dark secret. In this case, that secret happens to be that she’s an internationally trained elite assassin. Starring Octavia Spencer and Hannah Waddingham, the eight-episode series combines action, mystery, comedy, and plenty of globe-trotting chaos with something far more wholesome at its core: a two-decade friendship that refuses to fall apart.

The plot: Debbie (Spencer) has settled into a seemingly ordinary life in London. She’s married to a member of the British Parliament, and effectively keeps her husband’s political operation running behind the scenes. Her best friend Judith (Waddingham), meanwhile, is a freespirit with a secret life that couldn’t be further from Debbie’s world: she works as an international assassin.

When Judith is sent after a member of a crime syndicate, things quickly go sideways, forcing her secret life into the open. Debbie is dragged into a world of assassins, elusive targets, and dangerous conspiracies as the pair travel across Europe in an attempt to uncover the truth — and stay alive in the process — all while a mysterious figure hunts Judith, adding another layer to an already complicated adventure.

What we liked: The heart of Ride or Die is its central friendship. The show gives both women room to exist beyond the action, exploring their histories, vulnerabilities, and the experiences that have kept them together for 20 years. Judith may look like the unshakable femme fatale, but Waddingham brings an unexpectedly vulnerable side to her character. Spencer is equally fantastic, giving Debbie plenty of wit and bravery as she’s thrown headfirst into a life she never expected. The chemistry between the two actresses is what makes the show’s more ridiculous situations feel surprisingly believable.

The action sequences are slick and well-shot, the European locations give the series a glossy, adventurous feel, and the costume design cleverly reflects the transformation from Debbie’s everyday life to her new reality. The soundtrack is also stacked, moving from Dua Lipa and Robyn to Salt-N-Pepa and Doja Cat, alongside a selection of Spanish and French tracks.

Our verdict: Ride or Die is exactly the kind of series that knows how to have fun without losing sight of its characters. It’s fast-paced, stylish, and genuinely fun. With Spencer and Waddingham proving to be an excellent duo, Ride or Die makes for an easy, entertaining binge-watch.

WHERE TO WATCH- You can stream Ride or Die on Prime Video. Check out the trailer on YouTube (watch, runtime: 2:18).

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Sports

Paris Saint-Germain beats Aston Villa to walk away with the Super Cup

⚽ European football’s new season is underway. PSG held onto the UEFA Super Cup last night for the second year in a row, beating Aston Villa 2-1 in Salzburg in a match that had more twists than your average pre-season fixture. PSG’s Khvicha Kvaratskhelia opened the scoring in the 20th minute before 17-year-old Brian Madjo — making his competitive debut for Villa days after a FIFA registration dispute was resolved in the club’s favor — evened the playing field.

Désiré Doué secured it for PSG in the 61st minute with a goal initially ruled out for offside before a VAR check. Les Parisiens became the first club to seize the cup back-to-back since Real Madrid in 2016 and 2017.

AND- The leagues kick off this weekend. La Liga’s 2026/27 season starts Saturday, with kick-off staggered to accommodate clubs whose players went deep into the World Cup. Real Madrid, Barcelona, and Atlético Madrid have all had their opening fixtures pushed back — they won’t play until the weekend of 22-23 August, with some fixtures rescheduled as midweek games. Saturday’s early action features Alaves vs Getafe at 8:30pm on beIN Sports 3, followed by Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano at 10:30pm on beIN Sports 1.

**The EnterpriseAM Fantasy Football League is live. Join the Classic League and lock in your picks — click on this link or use the code hm029y to join.

This publication is proudly sponsored by

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Mark Your Calendar

Hakim is bringing the energy to The Roman Theater in Sahel

🎤 Clear your calendar for Thursday, 20 August because the legendary Hakim is heading to Sahel, joining the Tiatro Romano’s big-name summer line-up for a performance at The Roman Theater in Marina 2, Al Alamein. The concert kicks off at 10pm, with tickets available on TicketsMarché.

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GO WITH THE FLOW

What the markets are doing on 13 August 2026

The EGX30 rose 0.4% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 14.1 bn (36% above the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 32.1% YTD.

In the green: AMOC (+7.9%), Telecom Egypt (+5.1%), and Abu Qir Fertilizers (+3.8%).

In the red: Misr Cement (-4.4%), Heliopolis Housing (-3.7%), and GB Corp (-2.2%).


🗓️ AUGUST

1 August - September 15 (Saturday-Tuesday): El Alamein Book Fair.

6-15 August (Thursday-Saturday): The Garden Market at Lakeyard, Hacienda Bay, North Coast.

11-17 August (Tuesday-Monday): El Sawy CultureWheel Sakia Book Fair, Zamalek.

13 August (Thursday): Hisham Abbas at Premiere Show, Golf Porto.

14 August (Friday): The High Five: In & Out Standup Comedy Show at Teatro 90.

14 August (Friday): Tough Mudder Kids by The TriFactory at Ramla by Marakez, North Coast.

14 August (Friday): Tul8te at U Arena, North Coast.

14 August (Friday): Mohamed Ramadan at Porto Golf, Al Alamein City.

14 August (Friday): Nawal El Zoghby and Wael Jassar at Tiatro Romano, Marina 2, Al Alamein.

15-24 August (Saturday-Monday): The International Citadel Festival for Music at Saleh El Din Citadel.

15 August (Saturday): Riham Abdel Hakim at Mahka Theatre, Salah El Din Citadel.

15 August (Saturday): El Leila El Kebira at Teatro 90.

16 August (Sunday): Aziz Maraka and Samar Tarik at Mahka Theatre, Salah El Din Citadel.

17 August (Monday): Wust El Balad and Nesma Mahgoub at Mahka Theatre, Salah El Din Citadel.

17-18 August (Monday-Tuesday): Omar Khairat at Bibliotheca Alexandrina.

19 August (Wednesday): Hisham Abbas and Sherif Mounir at Mahka Theatre, Salah El Din Citadel.

19 August (Wednesday): Autostrad at CJC 610.

20 August (Thursday): Hakim at Tiatro Romano, Marina 2, Al Alamein.

20 August (Thursday): Saad El Oud and Fouad & Mounib at Mahka Theatre, Salah El Din Citadel.

20 August (Thursday): Mohamed Fouad at Premiere Show, Golf Porto.

20 August (Thursday): Hisham Abbas at Bibliotheca Alexandrina.

20-29 August (Thursday-Saturday): Leila Assal at Theatro Arkan.

20-26 August (Thursday-Wednesday): I Want a Pet Dinosaur at Rawabet Art Space.

21 August (Friday): Ain Gamal at Al Anfoshy Cultural Palace, Alexandria.

21 August (Friday): Black Coffee at Cubix North Coast.

21 August (Friday): Ruby and Ramy Ayach at Tiatro Romano, Marina 2, Al Alamein.

21 August (Friday): Autostrad at Bibliotheca Alexandrina.

22 August (Saturday): Wust El Balad at Bibliotheca Alexandrina.

23 August (Sunday): Autostrad at El Sawy Culturewheel, Zamalek.

23 August (Sunday): Ali El Haggar at Mahka Theatre, Salah El Din Citadel.

24 August (Monday): Medhat Saleh, Amr Selim, and Nesma Abdel Aziz at Mahka Theatre, Salah El Din Citadel.

25 August (Tuesday): Prophet Muhammad’s Birthday.

27 August (Thursday): Jadal at Bibliotheca Alexandrina.

28 August (Friday): Ramy Sabry at Tiatro Romano, Marina 2, Al Alamein.

29 August (Saturday): Jadal at El Sawy Culturewheel, Nile University, Sheikh Zayed.

30 August (Sunday): Tamer Ashour at Bibliotheca Alexandrina.

SEPTEMBER

4 September (Friday): Ehab Tawfik at Premiere Show, Golf Porto.

4 September (Friday): Abyusif and Shehab at Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria.

4 September (Friday): The High Five: In & Out Vol.3 at Al Anfoushy Cultural Palace, Alexandria.

6-9 September (Sunday-Wednesday): Khayal Mareed at Theatro Arkan.

11-14 September (Friday-Monday): MedFest Egypt at AUC Tahrir Square.

26 September (Saturday): John Achkar’s Feena Nehke at Theatro Arkan.

OCTOBER

1-4 October (Thursday-Sunday): She Arts festival across Cairo and Alexandria.

6 October (Tuesday): Armed Forces Day.

15-23 October (Thursday-Friday): El Gouna Film Festival.

17 October (Saturday): Konnect Summit at The Greek Campus, El Tahrir St.

24 October (Saturday): Blue 25th Anniversary Tour at New Capital.

28-31 October (Wednesday-Saturday): Egypt’s Cheese Festival at Al Horreya Garden, Zamalek.

NOVEMBER

5 November (Thursday): Gala De Danza at the Grand Egyptian Museum.

2-7 November (Monday-Saturday): Barbara O’Neill Wellness Journey at Sheraton Miramar Resort, El Gouna.

11-20 November (Wednesday-Friday): Cairo International Film Festival.

19-28 November (Thursday-Saturday): Cairo Design Week.

21 November (Saturday): El Gouna Half Marathon.

28 November (Saturday): Shakira at the Pyramids of Giza.

DECEMBER

11-12 December (Friday-Saturday): The Marakez Pyramids Half Marathon at the Pyramids of Giza.

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