Good morning, everyone. The UAE’s foreign trade grew at its slowest pace this year in 3Q 2026, though 9M volumes neared the AED 3 tn mark — a record high for the period — and the war and its supply chain disruptions are to blame.
One piece of good news, though? The GCC is making headway on a regional railway, which would give Gulf freight a route by land to ports outside the Strait of Hormuz, after signing a general agreement laying out the regulatory groundwork for the project.
Also in today’s issue: Plenty of UAE names are looking to lock in funding, with Modon securing its largest financing package yet at AED 13.7 bn and an Adia subsidiary seeking a USD 7.5 bn loan for financing existing and future private market investments.
Plus: India is looking into holding part of its petroleum reserves in Fujairah where tankers can load outside of Hormuz, and Adnoc’s overseas LNG push finds its first buyer in India’s Gujarat Energy, marking the first sale from XRG’s overseas portfolio.
Making railway
The GCC signed the regulatory framework for its long-delayed regional railway, which would give Gulf freight a route by land to ports outside the Strait of Hormuz. Transport ministers signed the General Agreement for the GCC Railway Project in Bahrain on Sunday, according to a press release. The agreement sets common rules for rail transport across member states so the six national sections can run as a single network. Bahrain’s transport minister told The National that the pact finalizes the regulatory groundwork the project needs to proceed.
The 2.1k-km line is 55.9% complete and still targeting full operations by December 2030, GCC Secretary General Jasem Albudaiwi was quoted as saying by Ajel. It would connect Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman. Each country finances and tenders its own section, and the agreement doesn’t set out a shared financing package or operating company. The most advanced cross-border piece is Hafeet Rail, the USD 2.5 bn, 238-km line linking Oman’s Sohar port to the UAE network, which has secured USD 1.5 bn in debt financing through a joint venture of Etihad Rail, Oman’s Asyad Group, and Mubadala.
Why it matters: Cargo moving between GCC states went by truck throughout the war, and the railway is projected to carry more than 95 mn tons of goods a year by 2045. Still, capturing that freight from trucks and short-sea shipping will depend on tariffs, transit times, and how well the line connects to ports and industrial zones.
Reserve seat
Meanwhile, New Delhi could keep part of its emergency oil in Fujairah: India is exploring holding part of its strategic petroleum reserve in Fujairah, where tankers can load outside the Strait of Hormuz, Gulf News reports. The UAE is India’s fourth-largest crude supplier and its second-largest for LNG and LPG, according to India’s Foreign Ministry.
The storage push runs in both directions: Adnoc could expand its storage in India to as much as 30 mn barrels, nearly triple the roughly 11 mn barrels it already leases through India’s strategic reserve system. The Indian prime minister’s office has identified two sites, one in Andhra Pradesh and the other in Odisha.
More of Adnoc’s crude is set to load outside Hormuz: The Habshan-Fujairah pipeline can carry around 1.8 mn bbl / d, and an expansion due to start operating in early 2027 could double that bypass capacity. Adnoc has told some Asian refiners that part of their supply is likely to arrive through the expanded line from early next year. Other countries in the region, including the Philippines and Indonesia, have been in talks with the UAE on fuel supply and storage options, after Adnoc already agreed to increase its crude storage presence in India, Japan, and South Korea.
Adia lines up USD 7.5 bn for its private market push
A subsidiary of Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (Adia) is seeking a USD 7.5 bn loan to finance existing and future private-market investments, including infrastructure, private equity, and real estate, Zawya reports, citing loan market publication LPC. The subscription credit facility will have an initial one-year term, with options to extend it twice for another year each. Banks have until 27 November to submit commitments, with signing scheduled for 11 December.
Who's putting up the money? First Abu Dhabi Bank, HSBC, Société Générale, and Standard Chartered are among the banks arranging the financing, with Standard Chartered acting as sole coordinator. The borrower is Platinum PAD FinCo1 A 2026 RSC. The facility would provide financing for the fund’s private-asset investments, although borrowing costs and the eventual lender commitments haven’t been disclosed.
REMEMBER- Adia has been tapping lenders to support its overseas portfolio: The wealth fund sought AUD 3.75 bn (USD 2.6 bn) in financing earlier this year, backed by stakes in Australian infrastructure assets. The latest facility comes as Adia raises its long-term private equity allocation range to 15-20% from 12-17%, giving it a larger target allocation for investments in companies outside public markets. The new loan would provide another source of capital for that strategy without necessarily requiring Adia to sell existing investments.
UAE eyes involvement in Gabon mining
An Abu Dhabi-based miner is behind a proposed USD 2 bn plan to revive one of Gabon's long-stalled rare-earth projects, according to a statement from Gabon’s presidency. Abu Dhabi-based minerals developer and investor New Energy Metals (NEM) and its subsidiary Dusk Gabon presented a technical study for the Mabounié niobium and rare-earth deposit to Gabonese President Brice Clotaire Oligui Nguema during his visit to Beijing. The study was prepared with Chinese engineering partner ENFI and puts the investment at USD 2 bn, with more than 2.5k direct jobs. Construction could start in 2027, Bloomberg reports.
Gabon wants the processing done at home: The president’s condition is that the niobium be processed in Gabon, in line with a broader push to make foreign industrial partners create jobs and value locally. Mabounié, c. 200 km southeast of Libreville, has been prospected for years without reaching commercial production. Neither the presidency nor Bloomberg said how the project would be financed.
IN CONTEXT- The UAE has been building closer economic ties with Gabon this year: the two countries signed a trade agreement in January, and mining development featured in several bilateral MoUs signed in February.
Data point
AED 171.26 bn — that’s the value of Abu Dhabi’s real estate transactions in 9M 2026, up 76.1% y-o-y, according to Abu Dhabi Real Estate Centre data published by the Abu Dhabi Media Office. Transaction volume grew at a slower pace of 32.8% to nearly 38.5k, with property sales doing much of the heavy lifting: total value more than doubled to AED 119.33 bn (+105%), while the number of sales transactions rose 49.2%. The figures extend a record-breaking run that saw the market surpass its full-year 2025 transaction value by September.
And foreign money is still flowing in: Investment by non-resident individuals reached AED 17.22 bn in 9M 2026, more than double the AED 8.2 bn recorded throughout 2025, with Al Reem (AED 29.86 bn) and Al Hudayriyat (AED 28.62 bn) islands leading overall transaction value.
But the headline growth doesn’t tell the whole story: As we reported last week, residential sales volume fell 17.3% q-o-q in 3Q even as home prices rose 16.8% y-o-y, pointing to a market where values are climbing despite slower activity in some segments.
PSA
WEATHER- Abu Dhabi will see a high of 36°C and a low of 26°C today, while in Dubai, temperatures will reach 35°C before cooling to 27°C overnight, according to our favorite weather app.
Happening tomorrow
European representation will be joining the trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US peace talks held in Abu Dhabi tomorrow and on Wednesday. French Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot said Europe would be “well represented,” Reuters reports, and that France would be in attendance. Talks will focus on post-war security agreements, humanitarian efforts, and de-escalation.
The big story abroad
Nvidia is investigating its own boss. The company said in a brief statement yesterday that it will look into whether CEO Jensen Huang “has been the target of a foreign intelligence effort.” Huang was reportedly in a romantic relationship with Alice Huang, an executive at Megaspeed and an alleged Chinese spy. Megaspeed is a Singapore-based Nvidia customer that has come under US scrutiny over alleged smuggling of Nvidia chips into China. Nvidia is caught between Washington and Beijing — the Trump administration has licensed it to sell a limited range of chips to China, but Beijing has blocked their import.
Singapore has overtaken Ireland as Apple’s largest tax shelter, the Financial Times reports. The tech giant used Singapore’s tax incentive regime to cut USD 2.7 bn from its tax bill this year after attributing up to USD 50 bn in earnings to its Asian hub, according to disclosures filed with its annual report under new US reporting rules. That beats the USD 2.6 bn reduction it secured through Ireland, home to its European headquarters.
Anthropic is pushing further into the energy sector. The AI lab secured commitments for 1.7 GW of heavy-duty gas-fired generators for data centers in September, paying USD 3.4 bn to Texas-based equipment supplier OnePWR Solutions, the Financial Times reports. The order includes the engineering and construction expertise needed to get the generators up and running. It marks the biggest known one-off acquisition of power-generation equipment by an AI lab, as developers increasingly go straight to suppliers to secure hard-to-find power gear.
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