Good morning, ladies and gents. There’s a theme forming across today’s issue, and it’s this: everyone’s looking for a way around the chokepoint rather than through it.
Iran and Oman are talking about reopening Hormuz’s middle passage — a real sign of progress. But it’s worth noting what’s actually on the table: Oman is pushing for a regional management system, not an Iranian-controlled corridor, with a Gulf-backed mechanism modeled on Strait of Malacca cooperation — a voluntary fund covering navigation, environmental protection, and search-and-rescue.
Iraq isn’t waiting to find out how long that takes. Fuel oil is already reaching US buyers by truck via Syria's Baniyas port, and Baghdad just authorized talks to turn that route into a pipeline.
And Alexandria just got more expensive. ALCN is adding new container charges from 1 September, right as Egypt’s ports pick up rerouted Gulf trade.

Destination Sahel is back for a second edition — and this year, it’s not just about the beach.
Gulf sovereign wealth funds are pouring serious capital into the North Coast, Gulf buyers keep showing up despite regional headwinds, and a new 400 km master plan could reshape the whole coastline before summer’s out.
Over this season’s series, stay tuned to see who’s really buying Sahel, where the money’s coming from, and what could still go wrong.
Plus, the hotels, restaurants, and openings worth checking out this season.
Coming straight to your inbox — today.
Hormuz’s middle path
Iran and Oman are negotiating an agreement to restart commercial shipping through Hormuz — with one proposal centered on reopening the waterway’s middle passage — in a sign the physical chokepoint on Gulf oil exports could start easing before the diplomatic freeze fully lifts, Bloomberg reports. Even after an agreement, owners would still need naval safety assessments, ins. guidance, and proof the pause in attacks will hold — as the middle passage contains mines laid by Iran, and those would need to be cleared before ships can use it regularly.
Oman is pushing a regional management system, not an Iranian-controlled corridor. Muscat has reportedly presented Tehran with a Gulf-backed mechanism modeled on cooperation in the Strait of Malacca, Reuters reports. The proposal would prevent any one state from controlling Hormuz and create a voluntary fund paid into by users to cover navigation management, environmental protection, and search-and-rescue services
IN CONTEXT- Oman had previously introduced temporary routes north and south of Hormuz’s regular traffic lanes, while Iran pushed ships toward monitored crossings close to its coast for maritime services.
Red Sea’s loss, Sidi Kerir’s gain
At least eight VLCCs are heading to Egypt’s Sidi Kerir Mediterranean terminal, with arrivals scheduled through mid-August, as Houthi threats and rising war-risk ins. costs make Yanbu-loaded exports riskier and push Saudi crude onto Egypt’s pipeline workaround instead, Bloomberg reports. Aramco started offering additional crude cargoes from Sidi Kerir on a spot basis earlier this week, with no volumes or pricing disclosed.
Why Sidi Kerir? Sidi Kerir lets tankers collect Saudi crude in the Mediterranean without ever entering the Red Sea or paying Suez Canal tolls. Saudi barrels move through Aramco’s East-West Pipeline to Yanbu, then north through the Red Sea to Ain Sokhna. From there, the crude crosses Egypt via the Sumed pipeline and loads onto tankers at Sidi Kerir on the Mediterranean.
Aramco is weighing a new pricing mechanism for Sidi Kerir cargoes sold to Asia to reflect the higher shipping costs created by rerouting through Sumed, Reuters reports, citing three sources in the know. One source estimated the detour around the Cape of Good Hope could add about USD 10 mn per cargo — roughly USD 5 / bbl.
At the loading point, it’s a different story: No tankers were publicly visible at Yanbu early yesterday, although some may have loaded with their transponders switched off. Traffic through Bab Al Mandab remained relatively brisk, with Chinese vessels, tankers carrying Russian crude, and ships linked to Iran-friendly countries continuing to transit, while Western and more risk-averse Asian operators diverted or limited their exposure.
Market watch
Oil prices rose USD 3 this morning on Iraq strikes, intercepted Iranian missiles, and a US crude draw, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures gained USD 3.30 to USD 87.39 / bbl by 03.00 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) increased USD 3.05 to USD 82.31 / bbl.
The Baltic Index keeps losing momentum: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — was down 1.2% to 2,664 points on Tuesday. The capesize index fell 1.4% to 4,140 points, while the panamax declined 0..6% to 1,998 points. The smaller supramax dipped 1.3% at 1,648 points.
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