Good morning, all. We have an issue busy with capital markets news — Valu got the green light to temporarily list its shares on the EGX and Bonyan announced its intention to float.
PSA-
WEATHER- It’s another cool day in Cairo, with a high of 32°C and a low of 20°C, according to our favorite weather app.
It’s even cooler in Alexandria, with a high of 27°C and a low of 17°C.
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WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- Egypt and China are in talks to bring a Chinese bank to the local market to support companies operating in the Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCZone), SCZone head Walid Gamal El Din told Al Arabiya. The move would make it easier for Chinese firms to transact in CNY and would further support bilateral trade, he said. Gamal El Din added that Egyptian banks have recently started allowing companies to open CNY-denominated accounts — a step that has already helped some Chinese firms operate more efficiently.
We first heard about plans to open up a Chinese bank last year, when then-trade minister Ahmed Samir floated the idea in a meeting with his Chinese counterpart.
#2 – Fertilizer producers want to import gas directly: Several fertilizer manufacturers are preparing to submit a formal request to the government to import natural gas directly from global markets, sources told Al Borsa. The move comes after the government cut gas supplies to local fertilizer and methanol factories by 50% for a 15-day period. Abu Qir Fertilizers (pdf) and Mopco (pdf) both said that the move will result in a 30% drop in production.
HAPPENING TODAY-
To cut, or not to cut, that is the question facing the central bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) today. The committee will meet later today to decide whether or not to extend the easing cycle it kicked off in April with a 225 bps cut — its first since 2020. But with inflation inching up in April and external risks still in play, policymakers face a balancing act.
Most analysts are penciling in another cut — but not everyone agrees on how much. Five of eight analysts polled by EnterpriseAM this week expect the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) to cut rates again today, penciling 100-200 bps reductions. A rate cut now would help “stimulate economic growth, given a relative stability in the domestic and international economic conditions compared to the previous month,” HC Securities’ Heba Mounir told us. Ahly Pharos’ Hany Genena added that real interest rates are nearing 10%, global commodity prices are steady, and the EGP is appreciating — all factors that strengthen the case for a cut.
But not everyone is convinced the CBE will move again so quickly. With annual urban inflation rising for a second straight month in April to 13.9%, some observers are cautioning against rushing to cut again. Economist Hany Abou El Fotouh thinks that a second cut when the MPC meets today is unlikely, echoing the IMF’s warning against premature easing. Others say a short pause after a cut now could give the bank space to monitor fiscal changes ahead — including fuel price hikes and VAT adjustments — before resuming the cycle in the summer.
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CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
A US Chamber Business Delegation will be heading our way next week to take part in the two-day US-Egypt Policy Leaders Forum kicking off next Sunday at the Four Seasons Nile Plaza. The forum will bring together big names from the cabinet — Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly and the whole Economic Ministerial Group, and much more — members of the US business community, and officials from the IFC, IMF, and World Bank.
Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
Another dramatic White House meeting unfolded yesterday, as President Donald Trump dimmedthe lights in the Oval Office to watch a video of what he claimed was evidence of genocide and “horrible death” of white farmers in South Africa.
His guest — South Africa’s Cyril Ramaphosa — rejected the claims made in the video and a stack of papers Trump shuffled through, albeit in a calm, less confrontational manner than the full-display tussle with Ukraine’s Zelenskyy last February. Ramaphosa tried to get the conversation back on track to focus on trade relations with the US.
SPEAKING OF THE US- The Trump administration formally accepted Qatar’s USD 400 mn Being 747 jet, gifted to be used as the President’s Air Force One. He will not be using it any time soon, though — experts put the cost of installing the necessary systems at over USD 1 bn, with the process taking years.
“I am sorry I don’t have a plane to give you,” Ramaphosa said when Trump was asked about the jet by reporters during the meeting.
CLOSER TO HOME- Pressure on Israel is mounting after the military fired shots at a delegationof Arab and European diplomats near the Jenin refugee camp in the West Bank, triggering wide international backlash. Meanwhile, Israeli PM Netanyahu said Israel “probably” killed Hamas’ de facto leader Mohammed Sinwar, and vowed to establish complete control over Gaza.
OVER IN TECH- OpenAI will fully acquire AI startup IO — founded a year ago by ex-Apple executive John Ivy — for USD 6.5 bn, its largest transaction to date. Ivy and his team will join OpenAI to work on “a new family of products” designed to bring artificial general intelligence into physical, everyday-use gadgets.
ALSO- US export controls on semiconductors “backfired,” Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said yesterday, adding they encouraged China’s companies to accelerate development.




