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PIF subsidiary and CIRA Education’s majority shareholder to acquire up to 100% of the company

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What We're Tracking Today

The EGX’s long-awaited sharia-compliant index to launch before the end of June

Good morning, friends. It may only be a three-day work for those of us in Egypt, but it’s already shaping up to be a busy one for local business and economy news. We’ve got a packed issue for you today, so let’s jump right in.

** DID YOU KNOW that we now cover Saudi Arabia and the UAE?

** Were you forwarded this? Tap or click here to get your own copy delivered every weekday before 7am Cairo time — without charge.

PSA-

Power cuts will be limited to the afternoons until July: The government will limit rolling blackouts to 3-7pm from today through 20 July in a bid to give students more uninterrupted study time during the examination period, according to a statement by the Egyptian Electricity Holding Company.


WEATHER- We’ve got even more beautiful weather to come in Cairo today, with sunny skies throughout the day and a high of 31°C and a low of 19°C, according to our favorite weather app.

While for our friends in Alexandria, expect to see sunny skies throughout the day with a high of 26°C and a low of 18°C.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- A contracting company will list its shares on the EGX next week, bourse head Ahmed El Sheikh told Asharq Business without naming the company (watch, runtime: 2:13). El Sheikh hopes that two of the recently-listed companies on the exchange will offer their shares soon, he added without specifying the companies.

What we know: Act Financial got the green light last month to list its shares on EGX with a plan to move forward with the IPO in the current quarter. Qalaa Holdings’ subsidiary National Printing Company is also expected to hit EGX in 2Q 2024 after the EGX approved its temporary listing in February.


#2- The EGX’s long-awaited sharia-compliant index to launch before the end of June: The bourse has put together a committee to launch the index this quarter with 30 to 50 companies, El Sheikh said. The EGX has been working for the past five months on the index, hand-picking EGX-listed companies whose activities are sharia compliant in preparation to launch the index in May or June 2024, El Sheikh added.


#3- The government is working to amend the economic zones law in a bid to make domestic economic zones more attractive in the face of international competition, according to a cabinet statement. The changes are currently being discussed and the Supreme Committee for Legislative Reform will prepare the amendments before they are presented to cabinet for approval.

HAPPENING TODAY-

#1- We’re getting our first proper insight into private sector activity following the EGP float: S&P Global will publish Egypt’s PMI figures for Apriltoday measuring the country’s non-oil private sector activity, which has been in contraction for the last 40 months.

Remember: We’re still yet to see the hoped for uptick in business activity following the float of the EGP, with March’s data showing “ softer but still-solid deterioration ” on the back of persistent currency challenges and elevated inflationary pressures. Data for April will give us an insight into the private sector during the first full month following the float of the national currency.

HAPPENING TOMORROW-

#1- Inflation nation no more? State statistics agency Capmas will be out with inflation data for April tomorrow. Analysts and policymakers are optimistic — and with good reason — that we’re on a deflationary path and that we will see inflation easing for a second consecutive month. Annual urban inflation cooled 2.4 percentage points to 33.3% in March on the back of a softer increase in food prices as traders priced in a lower exchange rate following the fall of the parallel market.

The polls are already in: Annual urban inflation is expected to slow 0.5 percentage points to 32.8% in April, according to a median forecast of 17 analysts polled by Reuters. Standard Chartered’s Carla Slim projected headline inflation to fall further to 32.1% and they “expect Egypt’s broader disinflation trend to continue, with annual inflation declining to 25% by the end of the fiscal year 2023-24.”

Core inflation is projected to decline 1.0 percentage point to 32.7%, according to a median of nine analysts surveyed by the newswire.

But not everyone is so optimistic: “The effective EGP exchange rate weakened by 3% m-o-m against the USD in April and coupled with the administered 0-21% hike in local fuel prices, this will have pushed up the headline rate to 34% y-o-y in April,” said Capital Economics’ James Swanston.


#2- It’s day two of the Egyptian-Jordanian Joint Higher Committee meeting: Ministers from both countries are meeting in Cairo today to discuss strengthening trade relations, crossborder investments, banking collaboration, and pushing for greater energy, logistics, and food security cooperation, according to a statement from the International Cooperation Ministry. The meetings will conclude tomorrow, according to the statement.

ATTENTION, EGYPT INVESTORS-

Foreign investors are falling in love with Egypt again… Foreign investors we speak with (debt, equity, and strategic alike) have a growing appetite for Egypt. They’re buying into local debt, eyeing promising shares, and committing bns of USD to both new ventures here and the growth of their existing businesses. They like the Egypt story that’s taking shape after the float of the EGP, and its competitive advantages are clear to many of them: It’s a massive consumer opportunity and a regional export hub of tomorrow.

The Enterprise Optimism Forum 2024 will do exactly what it says on the tin: Spark conversations about a future that we think is much brighter than so many in our community feel right now. Think of it as much-needed shock therapy combined with an early, actionable roadmap for those of us who are “long Egypt.”

We’ll be talking with you about the agenda over the coming couple of weeks.It features speakers from Egypt and abroad who are future-proofing their businesses and angling to capture tomorrow’s opportunities — and who aren’t afraid to answer some tough questions.

*** Interested in attending? Tap or click here to let us know. Seating is limited.

DATA POINT-

Egypt is planning to ramp up natural gas production 8% y-o-y next fiscal year to an average of 5.7 bn cubic feet a day, Asharq Business reports, citing an anonymous government source. Egypt’s average daily natural gas production hit an average of 5.8 bn cubic feet per day in 2023, Oil Minister Tarek El Molla previously said. That’s 6.8% less than the 6.2 bn cubic feet the country produced per day in FY 2022-2023.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

It’s a busy morning on the front pages of the world’s business press. Truce talks between Hamas and Israel continue even as Israeli forces took over control of the Rafah crossing into Egypt, a key port of entry for humanitarian aid.

The Wall Street Journal is leading with Stormy Daniels’ “salacious details of her allegedtrystwith former US President Donald Trump, but gives more prominence to a deep look at The Line, Saudi Arabia’s ambitious Neom gigaproject, where it claims “construction costs per square foot are more than double what is standard on other Middle East towers.”

MEANWHILE- The US will no longer allow Intel and Qualcomm to sell chips to Huawei, the Dow has now posted its longest streak in the green since December, and Semafor reports on the pipeline that’s now driving Wall Street financial firms to load up on former military brass.

FOR OUR FELLOW TECH NERDS- Apple finally moved the iPad’s FaceTime camera to the long edge as it launched a redesign of the iconic gadget that also leapfrogged the M3 generation of processors straight to M4. The Verge notes that the tablet is super-thin and that the Pro’s new keyboard case aims to make it feel “just like a MacBook.”

AND- Google launched yesterday its Pixel 8A phone, a midrange device that packs most of the power of the Pixel 8 and 8 Pro into a package that will now include seven years of software updates.

FINALLY- OpenAI is getting into the AI search game, developing a product to rival Google, Bing, and Perplexity, Bloomberg reports. The ChatGPT maker is also reportedly poaching Google staff for the project, per the Verge.

ENTERPRISE IS LOOKING FOR SMART, TALENTED PEOPLE of all backgrounds to help us build some very cool new things. Enterprise — the essential morning read on all the important news shaping business and the economy in Egypt and the region — is looking for writers, reporters and editors to help us build out new publications.

NEVER WORKED IN A NEWSROOM BEFORE? We have the Enterprise Business Writing Development Program. Whether you are a recent graduate, an industry vet, or looking to switch careers, the Enterprise Business Writing Development Program will give you the tools you need to tell the most important stories to our audience of C-suite officials, government ministers, diplomats, financiers, investors and entrepreneurs.

Not an internship program — a career: The three-month program will see full-time, paid participants take part in workshops and lectures from veteran business journalists on subject matter knowledge, while also working on constructing and filing Enterprise stories that will run on any of our publications. Those who have successfully completed the program, will then be given long-term job offers.

Apply directly to jobs@enterprisemea.com and mention “writing development program” in your subject line.

*** It’s Hardhat day — your weekly briefing of all things infrastructure in Egypt: Enterprise’s industry vertical focuses each Wednesday on infrastructure, covering everything from energy, water, transportation, and urban development, as well as social infrastructure such as health and education.

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M&A WATCH

PIF subsidiary join up with CIRA Education’s majority shareholder to acquire up to 100% of the company

Egypt’s leading private education company could delist from the EGX and become the regional education platform of Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund. The transaction is the first investment by the Saudi Egyptian Investment Company (SEIC) since the float of the EGP. SEIC is a unit of the Public Investment Fund.

What’s the transaction? SEIC, a wholly-owned PIF subsidiary, will buy into Social Impact Capital (SIC), the vehicle through which the founding El Kalla family holds a controlling take in EGX-listed CIRA Education, the nation’s leading private-sector education company. SIC will use the cash injection to launch a mandatory tender offer to buy CIRA shares at a price of EGP 14 each, the two companies said in a joint statement (pdf).

CIRA shares closed up 9.8% yesterday at EGP 14.00, giving the company a market cap of a bit under EGP 8.2 bn, by our math.

SIC will look to take 75-100% of CIRA and to delist it from the EGX. CIRA is 51.2% owned by SIC with the remaining shares in freefloat, according to the company’s website. The Kallas will remain invested in CIRA, we’re told, and our friend Mohamed El-Kalla is staying on as CEO to lead the company’s regional growth.

We’ve seen this movie before: PIF has a proven track record of turning national players into regional champions, with the global growth of born-in-Egypt driller Ades Holding being a case in point. Since acquiring Ades and taking it private, PIF has helped Ades land contracts in Saudi Arabia and new markets, refine its strategy, and go public again on KSA’s Tadawul.

Faster when private? A source close to the transaction tells us that given the “restructuring, licensing, and re-gearing needed to pursue a regional growth strategy it just makes sense.” CIRA has itself delisted from EGX before and re-listed after growing.

It’s also a test of how investment-friendly we want to be. The transactions will require a range of regulatory approvals, providing investors with a highly visibly test case of officials’ willingness to fast-track things after the float of the EGP, which cleared the foreign currency overhang that had prevented a number of high-profile strategic and financial investors from pulling the trigger investments here.

The PIF has already deployed substantial capital in Egypt: The fund — which ranked as the world’s highest-spending sovereign wealth fund in 2023 — invested over USD 1.3 bn via SEIC to acquire stakes in state-held EGX-listed companies in 2022. Its holdings here include a 25% stake in Mopco, a 19.82% stake in Abu Qir Fertilizers, a 27% stake in E-finance, and a 20% stake in Alexandria Container and Cargo Handling.

The SIC-CIRA transaction was nearly two-years in the making, a source with first-hand knowledge of events tells us, but it took the float of the EGP this spring and CIRA’s clear ambition to become a regional player in education to bring it home. PIF is known to be exceptionally rigorous in its investment decision making process, employing top advisors to make certain that it invests only in companies with clear growth prospects that fit the fund’s mandate to grow Saudi and regional champions.

The fine print: “The conditional agreement between SIC and SEIC is subject to due diligence, applicable regulatory approvals, and the execution of definitive agreements” before the two sides move ahead with the mandatory tender offer for CIRA shares, they said.

ADVISORS- Rothschild & Co is advising PIF, with Allen & Overy and our friends at Matouk Bassiouny doing legal duties. Our friends at EFG Hermes are advising El Kalla family, while White & Case is legal counsel, we’re told.

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Economy

Egypt’s foreign currency reserves hit their highest level since February 2020

FX reserves hit their highest since pre-pandemic levels: Net foreign reserves increased by USD 696 mn from the month before to USD 41.1 bn at the end of April, reaching their highest level in more than four years, according to central bank figures.

And they’re expected to rise even more in the coming months: Credit rating agency Fitch Ratings expects Egypt’s foreign currency reserves to reach USD 49.7 bn in the current fiscal year and USD 53.3 bn in the next, the agency said last week.

Driving inflows: The nation’s coffers continue to reap the benefits of the USD 35 bn Ras ElHekma agreement, the first USD 15 bn tranche of which was delivered in February. This was shortly followed by the central bank floating the EGP and hiking rates by 600 bps, which helped attract FX liquidity back to the official banking system. The International Monetary Fund also approved a decision to let the state immediately draw around USD 820 mn after approving an expanded USD 8 bn loan program last month.

More where that came from: Egypt has a whole lot of funds coming in over the next few months, including EUR 1 bn from the EU’s EUR 7.4 bn package before the summer and USD 14 bn from the Ras El Hekma agreement that was expected to arrive by 30 April, but it’s not clear if this has already arrived or when it will arrive if its still in the pipeline.

All in all: Egypt has lined up a total of USD 57 bn of finance over the past few months, which will trickle in over a period of years as we meet reform milestones or as investments reach financial close.

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Startup watch

Swypex launches its services after raising USD 4 mn in seed funding

Swypex raises USD 4 mn in seed round: Local fintech platform Swypex has announced its launch, after raising USD 4 mn in a seed investment round, the startup said in a statement (pdf). The US-based VC firm Accel led the round — making its first fintech investment in the region — which saw participation from Egypt’s Foundation Ventures and Africa-focussed VC firm The Raba Partnership, along with other angel investors.

Where the money will go: Swypex will look to grow its business by expanding its staff and rolling out new products, Swypex CEO Ahmed Mokhtar (LinkedIn) told Enterprise.

About Swypex: Swypex is an all-in-one financial management platform that allows businesses to digitalize and monitor their transactions. The platform is licensed by the Central Bank of Egypt.

The platform aims to provide a hassle-free solution for common problems businesses face, including “difficulty making payments at scale, inefficient expense management, complex invoicing processes, and fragmented financial workflows,” Mokhtar added.

What they said: “This investment will enable us to continue developing category-defining products and delivering exceptional value to the greatest number of businesses. To achieve this, we are hiring top-tier talent, both locally and globally, to build a world-class team,” Mokhtar told us.

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EARNINGS WATCH

Qalaa Holdings’ bottomline increased five-fold in 2023 on the back of stake sale

Qalaa Holdings saw its net income after minority interest jumped 419% in 2023 to EGP 6.5 bn, driven by gains from stake sales and debt restructuring and settlement, the company said in its latest earnings release (pdf). The company’s revenues grew 17% y-o-y in 2023 to EGP 97.1 bn, primarily driven by the company’s flagship oil refinery, the Egyptian Refining Company (ERC), which accounted for around 90% of Qalaa’s total revenues for the year.

What’s behind Qalaa’s bottomline surge? Qalaa said it has received EGP 2.4 bn so far from the sale of its stake in Ethiopia’s Kurmuk Gold Project. In addition, the company also received EGP 1.5 bn from the sale of assets in TAQA Arabia and the revaluation of the energy company also brought EGP 1.5 bn into Qalaa’s coffers. Qalaa also gained EGP 1.3 bn from the settlement of ASEC Holdings’ debt.

On a quarterly basis: The company logged EGP 4.8 bn in net income after minority interest during 4Q 2023, up 1070% from the EGP 408.9 mn in the same period a year earlier. The company saw its revenue up 9% y-o-y to EGP 26.4 bn.

Receivables owed to the ERC went up: ERC’s receivables owed by the state-run Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation (EGPC) rose to USD 384 mn by the end of April, up from USD 332 mn at the end of December 2023. ERC’s net senior debt stood at USD 600 by the end of April, after paying back USD 632 mn in 2023. ERC is targeting to fully settle its senior debt next year.

What’s next: “As we head into 2024, we are looking to continue building on our strong top-line performance over the past year. In parallel, we remain committed to prioritizing the growth of our subsidiaries’ cashflows and deploying them in a prudent manner towards high-yield incremental investments that fall in line with our debt repayment plan,” Qalaa Holdings Chairman Ahmed Heikal said.

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Moves

Private equity veteran Abdalla ElEbiary named managing director at Alvarez & Marsal, based out of Dubai

Professional services firm Alvarez & Marsal has welcomed our friend Abdalla ElEbiary (bio) as managing director for sovereign advisory, the firm said yesterday in a statement. He will be based in Dubai. ElEbiary, who has 30-years of experience working with sovereign wealth funds, private equity, investment banking, and corporate finance, will support the firm’s sovereign advisory services that it provides to governments, state-owned companies, sovereign wealth funds, central banks, and multilateral development banks.

ElEbiary was the first chief investment officer of the Sovereign Fund of Egypt, where he helped close more than 23 investments in sectors including infrastructure, banking, education, healthcare, and real estate, and helped lead sales of state-owned enterprises that collectively brought in USD 5 bn. He is also past chair of the Egyptian Private Equity and Venture Capital Association and was managing director at Qalaa Holdings, where he served for 14 years.

Alvarez & Marsal noted ElEbiary’s proven experience advising on a range of issues including “investment, the restructuring and IPO of state-owned enterprises, promotion of FDI, and interfacing with DFIs (such as the IMF, IFC, and EBRD) as well as international equity and sovereign debt investors.”

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LAST NIGHT’S TALK SHOWS

Israel's invasion of the Palestinian side of the Rafah crossing dominated the airwaves last night

Israel's invasion of the Palestinian side of the Rafah crossing dominated the airwaves last night, with the nation’s talking heads discussing the developments on the ground and whether Israel’s attacks constitute a violation of the 1979 Egypt–Israel peace treaty.

Israel violated its terms of cooperation with Egypt when it attacked and closed the Kerem Shalom border crossing, international law professor at Cairo University Mofeed Shehab said in a phone call with Ala Mas’ouleety’s Ahmed Moussa (watch, runtime: 10:31). Along with the closure of the Rafah crossing, the move effectively sealed off the main entry points for aid into Gaza, Shehab said. Israel used force and threatened Egypt and the region at large in actions that violate international law, he added.

How should Egypt react? “Legally, I cannot say that there has been a violation of the peace treaty” that would allow Egypt to take a definitive stance, “but Egypt has condemned the entire Israeli position since 7 October,” Shehab said. If Israel’s assault pushes Palestinians across the border, it would be “a direct infringement on Egyptian sovereignty and not merely a threat, which I'm confident Egypt would not accept,” he added.

A worrying escalation, but not a violation of the peace treaty: Israel’s occupation of the Rafah crossing is not a violation of its peace treaty with Egypt because the Rafah crossing lies outside the Philadelphi Corridor and is far from the Egyptian border, Brigadier General Mahmoud Mohieldin told Kelma Akhira’s Lamis El Hadidi (watch, runtime: 4:43).

Israel’s operation in Rafah is aimed at pressuring Palestinian negotiators to cede to Israeli demands, Mohieddin said. He believes Israel will not expand its military operation in Rafah and will succumb to Egyptian and American pressures. The Israeli army is focused on the northern front and is aware that pushing into Rafah would be a waste of resources, he explained.

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Also on our Radar

Beltone inks strategic partnership with the UAE’s Comera to develop payment, financing products. PLUS: Thames Freeport + Gorilla Technology, industry fund, Belmazad, Fawry

FINTECH-

#1-Beltone + Comera: Beltone Holding and Abu Dhabi-based tech company ComeraFinancial Holding have inked a strategic partnership to work together to launch payment, consumer finance, SME finance, and supply chain finance solutions in Egypt and other countries in the MENA region, according to a statement (pdf) by Beltone released today.

Comera? Comera Financial Holding runs a video call and messaging application called Comera that offers end-to-end encryption, file sharing, and conference calls with up to 50 people.

What they said: “This collaboration represents a pivotal step forward in our commitment to enhancing digital access and improving financial services for our customers. Together, we aim to set new standards in efficiency and customer satisfaction, driving significant growth and sustainable development in our markets,” said Beltone Holding CEO Dalia Khorshid.


#2- Fawry eyes Saudi expansion: EGX-listed fintech giant Fawry is holding preliminary talks with six Saudi companies over a potential partnership, as the firm looks to expand into the kingdom, Fawry CEO Ashraf Sabry told Asharq Business. The company also held talks with companies in the UAE and Kuwait, Sabry adds.

INVESTMENT-

#1- Thames Freeport, Gorilla Technology to set up USD 100 mn innovation center: The UK’s Thames Freeport is gearing up to set up a USD 100 mn innovation center in Egypt in partnership with British data analytics firm Gorilla Technology, Thames Freeport CEO Martin Whiteley told Al Borsa on the sidelines of a British Embassy event two weeks ago. Thames Freeport is working with the Defense Ministry to kickstart the project, which will span 10-15 years.

Remember: Gorilla Technology signed a three-year, USD 270 mn contract with the government last year to roll out a new cybersecurity system to enable “better decision-making, proactive threat detection, and quick response to emerging risks.”


#2- The country’s first industrial fund to go live this month? Cairo Financial Holding’s brokerage arm Cairo Capital Securities (CCS) and the National Initiative for Developing Egyptian Industry (Ebda) plan to launch the country’s first specialized industrial investment fund this month, Al Borsa reports, citing CCS Head of Research Shady Sharaf.

About the fund: The Nile Fund for Industrial Investment — which was unveiled by Ebda and CCS last week — aims to invest in all industrial sectors to ramp up exports and lower the country’s import bill. The fund will be launched on the EGX with an initial value of EGP 2.5 bn and a lifespan of 5-7 years.


#3- Banque Misr invests in real estate auction platform Belmazad: Banque Misr has announced the signing a strategic partnership with Egyptian property auction platform Belmazad, which will see it carry out a “significant investment” in the company, Banque Misr said in a press release(pdf). The statement did not disclose the size or terms of the investment.

ENERGY-

Foreign companies owed at least USD 450 mn in receivables from the Electricity Ministry: The Electricity Ministry’s debts to foreign energy firms amounted to USD 450 mn by the end of March, with Siemens and General Electric being owed the most in receivables, Asharq Business reports, citing unnamed government officials. The Electricity Ministry is reportedly in talks with the Central Bank of Egypt to secure the necessary USD to pay off its debts.

TAXATION-

Tax Authority’s e-invoicing is getting tighter starting August: The minimum value of e-invoicing tax bills that include the buyer’s national ID number will be reduced to EGP 25k starting next August, down from EGP 50k currently, Tax Authority head Rasha Abdel Aal said in a statement.

SPORTS-

Melee, Adeer to launch social sports management JV in KSA: Local development company Melee Development and real estate marketing firm Adeer — a subsidiary of KSA’s Sumou Holding Group — are set to establish a social sports JV in Saudi Arabia, according to Al Borsa. The company will develop and manage a number of social sports clubs under an MoU inked by the two parties.

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PLANET FINANCE

The Dubai International Financial Center is looking forward to its “busiest year ever”

2024 is set to be Dubai International Financial Center’s (DIFC) “busiest year ever,” Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) CEO Ian Johnston tells Bloomberg, saying the financial center will see a “record number of firms” registering in 2024. The financial hub is “already about 50% ahead” of its record registrations last year, which saw the DFSA issue over 112 financial services licenses.

Another Chinese lender will soon set up shop in DIFC, Johnston also said, without disclosing the name of the Chinese bank, marking the fifth to establish a presence in the business center. “Of the 29 globally systemically important banks in the world, we have 27 doing business in DIFC,” Johnston said.

REFRESHER- DFSA saw a 125% y-o-y uptick in registrations by hedge fund managers in 2023and expects continued strong interest from global hedge funds looking to set up shop in DIFC, Johnston said in February. DIFC company registrations jumped 34% y-o-y, with 1.4k firms registering to set up shop in the freezone. The record growth in registrations was “supported by both financial and innovation companies and non-financial companies.”

THE MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Asian markets are mixed this morning as investors sift through earnings reports, CNBC reports, while US stock futures are largely unchanged after the Dow yesterday hit its longest stint in the green since December. European equities futures were also little changed in overnight trading.

EGX30

26,430

+1.2% (YTD: +6.2%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 47.65

Sell 47.79

USD (CIB)

Buy 47.67

Sell 47.77

Interest rates (CBE)

27.25% deposit

28.25% lending

Tadawul

12,358

-0.1% (YTD: +3.3%)

ADX

9,072

+0.4% (YTD: -5.3%)

DFM

4,156

0.0% (YTD: +2.4%)

S&P 500

5,188

+0.1% (YTD: +8.8%)

FTSE 100

8,314

+1.2% (YTD: +9.1%)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,016

+1.2% (YTD: +10.9%)

Brent crude

USD 83.16

-0.2%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.21

+0.6%

Gold

USD 2,324.20

-0.3%

BTC

USD 63,141.70

-0.3% (YTD: -49.3%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 rose 1.2% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 2.9 bn (41.6% below the 90-day average). Foreign investors were net buyers. The index is up 6.2% YTD.

In the green: Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank (+8.8%), Qalaa Holdings (+8.8%), and CIB (+5.1%).

In the red: Telecom Egypt (-5.6%), E-finance (-3.8%), and Eipico (-2.4%).

CORPORATE ACTIONS-

#1- Telecom Egypt is pursuing a USD 500 mn financing for suppliers from a Chinese institution, rather than a loan, as previously reported, the company clarified in an EGX disclosure (pdf).


#2- City Lab approves GCC alliance sale: Medical diagnostic services company City Lab’s extraordinary general assembly approved selling up to EGP 250 mn worth of shares to a consortium that includes Premium Diagnostics’ Saudi, Emirati, US, and Egyptian arms, the company said in an EGX disclosure (pdf).

10

HARDHAT

EGP float jumpstarts Cairo’s real estate market in Q1 2024

Cairo’s residential real estate market made a strong start in Q1 2024, with construction, handovers, and project launches progressing on the back of price stability following the EGP float, global real estate consultancy JLL said in its quarterly Cairo Real Estate Market Overview report (pdf). This strong performance marks “a turning point in the sustained growth and development of the country’s real estate market,” a separate statement (pdf) by JLL reads.

The why: The EGP float has reignited investor confidence and provided developers with clarity on pricing after they had been basing prices on speculations of the future exchange rate on a volatile and unpredictable parallel market.

By the numbers: Over 7k residential units were completed during the quarter, bringing the total residential stock to around 276k units. Residential sales prices jumped 83% y-o-y in Sixth of October and 95% y-o-y in New Cairo. Meanwhile, rental rates in the two districts rose 42% y-o-y and 43% y-o-y, respectively.

It was a mixed bag for the office sector: Nearly 9.5k sqm of office space was delivered in the first quarter with the completion of Trivium Zayed in West Cairo, bringing the total office stock to over 2 mn sqm. While the sales market took a hit as the weakening currency rendered office spaces unaffordable to many buyers, prices on the rental market were virtually unchanged y-o-y. Average rent across the city inched down 1% q-o-q to USD 357 per sqm, while rent in prime locations dropped 6% q-o-q to USD 480 per sqm.

A shifting retail landscape: Occupancy rates in many malls rose as the float paved the way for affordable local brands to enter the retail sphere in lieu of the international brands that exited the market amid a drop in consumer purchasing power. Average rental rates across both primary and secondary malls in Cairo rose around 8% y-o-y and 14% y-o-y during the quarter. The average vacancy rate inched down 1 percentage point y-o-y to 8%.

Hotel occupancy on the decline: Hotel occupancy across the city dropped to register 65% at the for the year by the end of March. Meanwhile, the average daily rate dropped 10% y-o-y to USD 123 in the same period, driving down the revenue per available room by 19% y-o-y to USD 80.

More growth in the cards? “The long-term outlook for Cairo’s real estate market remains positive, thanks to renewed confidence in Egypt's economy and a sustained demand for diverse types of asset classes,” said JLL’s Egypt head Ayman Sami, adding that “the market is poised for significant expansion.”

In the pipeline: Around 24k residential units, 1.4k hotel rooms, 402k sqm of gross leasable area for retail activity, and 555k sqm of office space are slated for completion this year.


Your top infrastructure stories for the week:

  • Egypt and France to cooperate on Metro Line 6: The Transport Ministry has signed an MoU with France’s Finance Ministry to work towards the localization of the railway industry and the implementation of Metro Line 6, according to a Transport Ministry statement.
  • Rebar production and sales surge amid lower production costs: Local rebar production rose over 24% y-o-y to over 2 mn tons, while sales grew 8.3% in 1Q 2024, Asharq Business reports. This was attributed to a drop in input prices and increased FX liquidity over the last two months.

2024

MAY

19-21 May (Sunday-Tuesday): Egypt International Summit for Digital Transformation and Cybersecurity.

20 May (Monday): Malaysian Palm Oil Forum in Cairo, with attendance from Malaysian Plantation and Commodities Minister Johari Abdul Ghani.

23 May (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

29 May (Wednesday): Virtual launch of Chicago Booth Executive Program.

JUNE

15-19 June (Saturday-Wednesday): Eid El Adha (TBC) (national holiday).

29-30 June (Saturday-Sunday): EU-Egypt Investment Conference.

30 June (Sunday): June 30 Revolution Day (national holiday).

JULY

7 July (Sunday): National holiday in observance of Islamic New Year (TBC).

18 July (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

23 July (Tuesday): Revolution Day (national holiday).

AUGUST

4-5 August (Monday-Tuesday): Egypt Expat Forum.

SEPTEMBER

2-5 September (Monday-Thursday): Egypt International Airshow, El Alamein International Airport.

5 September (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

15 September (Sunday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

25-26 September (Wednesday - Thursday): The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank’s (AIIB) 2024 annual meeting, Samarkand, Uzbekistan.

OCTOBER

6 October (Sunday): Armed Forces Day.

17 October (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

21-27 October (Monday-Sunday): The World Bank and IMF annual meetings.

NOVEMBER

21 November (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

DECEMBER

26 December (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

April 2024: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi will visit Turkey.

1Q 2024: Egyptian-Qatari Joint Supreme Committee.

1Q 2024: Opening of the newly developed Pyramids Plateau in Giza.

1Q 2024: The government is set to finalize the sale of the Gabal El Zeit wind farm.

February-May: The Grand Egyptian Museum could officially open to visitors.

March 2024: The USD 2.7 bn MIDOR Refinery is set to begin full operations.

May 2024: Egypt to receive USD 20 bn of Ras El Hekma funds.

May 2024: Arab Finance Ministers’ meeting at Egypt’s administrative capital.

June 2024: Gov’t expects to finalize sale of Beni Suef combined-cycle power plant.

Mid-year: The fifth Japan-Arab Economic Forum.

1H 2024: Gov’t expects to finalize sale of four water desalination plants.

2H 2024: Gov’t to launch the Cairo Ring Road BRT buses.

November 2024: Egypt to host the World Urban Forum (WUF12).

End of 2024: The launch of the high-speed train line linking Ain Sokhna with Al Alamein City.

2025

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2Q 2025: Safaga Terminal 2 to start operations.

2027

20 January-7 February: Egypt to host the African Games

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

End of 2027: Trial operations at the Dabaa nuclear power plant expected to take place.

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