GDP growth is expected to hit 5% by the end of the current fiscal year, up from 4.1% in FY2016-17, said Planning Minister Hala El Saeed, according to Reuters. The Finance Ministry had previously said it expects GDP growth during FY2017-18 to come in at no less than 4.6%. Egypt's exports are expected to increase to USD 22.5 bn by the end of year, up from USD 20.5 bn in FY2016-17, she added. El Saeed expects investments to reach EGP 646 bn, up from EGP 530 bn last year.
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MOVES- Former EGX Chairman Mohamed Omran has been named interim head of the Egyptian Financial Supervisory Authority (EFSA) until the House of Representatives reconvenes this fall and confirms his appointment. Speculation arose last week that Omran was being tapped for the job along with Deputy Justice Minister Khaled El Nashar who was reportedly being considered as Deputy Chairman of EFSA. Omran’s appointment has to be approved by Parliament. El Nashar is currently the deputy justice minister in charge of legislative affairs.
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Egypt netted EUR 659.9 mn from the sale of one-year treasury bills on Monday, the CBE said according to Reuters. The sale attracted offers for EUR 734.9 mn of the EUR-denominated bill whose yields averaged 1.80%.
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Third USD 1 bn tranche of World Bank loan coming before year’s end: The third and final USD 1 bn tranche of the USD 3 bn World Bank loan to support the economic and social reform program is expected to be signed before the end of the year, Investment Minister Sahar Nasr said in a statement. Nasr is currently in meetings with a World Bank delegation in town until Thursday to discuss the disbursal.
Separately, ministry officials met with the Saudi Fund for Development (SFD) to discuss disbursing a USD 130 mn tranche of the USD 1.5 bn loan for Sinai development projects, according to Al Mal. The SFD had disbursed a USD 400 mn tranche of the loan last June.
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God bless the DFIs — EBRD, Proparco offer USD 116 mn to finance Benban power plants: The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development and France’s Proparco are each committing USD 58 mn to finance the construction and operation of two 50 MW solar power plants in Benban, according to an EBRD statement. Egyptian subsidiaries of France’s EREN Renewable Energy and Dubai’s Access Power will construct, operate, and own the power plants, according to the statement. “These are truly groundbreaking projects, the first to reach this milestone in Egypt’s ambitious scheme to exploit its outstanding renewable resources,” said Janet Heckman, EBRD’s managing director for the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean. The plants are the first two projects under the second phase of the feed-in tariff program to receive financing, in addition to being the first projects from the EBRD’s USD 500 mn framework to finance renewable energy projects in Egypt, which it approved in June.
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INVESTMENT WATCH- The UAE’s Al Habtoor Group is eyeing potential investment in Al Alamein and could also sink more into existing investments in Egypt, chairman Khalaf Al Habtoor said after a recent visit to Al Alamein, Al Mal reports. The group is looking to invest in Egypt’s education, tourism, and cinema sectors, and is studying investment opportunities in megaprojects such as the New Administrative Capital, according to Al Habtoor. No details were provided on the value of the group’s planned investments.
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This is not ergot-related: Egypt is considering rejecting a 63k tonne shipment of Romanian wheat in the port of Safaga, sources told Reuters. The Agriculture quarantine authority found the shipment to contain poppy seeds and has rejected it, the Agriculture Ministry spokesperson told the newswire. A final decision will be made by the prosecutor's office, to which the case has been transferred. “Some types of poppy seeds cannot be sieved so it would have to be rejected,” a source explained. “If re-exported, the cargo would be the first GASC wheat purchase to be turned away from an Egyptian port since a French wheat cargo was rejected for containing the common grain fungus ergot in 2015.” One trader says rejecting the shipment is “going to make a big problem for GASC in the upcoming tenders, especially if it will be totally rejected.” A more cynical trader says the crackdown is an attempt by the quarantine authority to show that “inspection companies can make mistakes … A case like this could make them (the government) revise the whole idea of using inspection companies at the ports.” Egypt has been using private companies to inspect shipments abroad.
…Stakhanovite moment? The problems with the Romanian shipment come at a time when wheat is increasingly becoming a buyers’ market. Russian farmers are poised to beat the record for grain production set during the Soviet era, Bloomberg reports. The harvest will total at least 130.7 mn tonnes this year on bumper wheat and corn crops — 2.6% above 1978’s all-time high, Director General of ProZerno Vladimir Petrichenko said. ProZerno expects Russian wheat output to reach 80 mn tonnes this year, maybe even 85 mn tonnes, Petrichenko says. The international wheat market has already turned bearish “as the prospect of another season of ample supply has sent prices plunging.”
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OC subsidiary completes largest student housing development in the US for Texas A&M: Orascom Construction (OC) announced on Monday (pdf) that its wholly-owned subsidiary, the Weitz Company, has completed construction of the largest student housing development in the US. Construction of the 2.2 mn sqm residential facility at Texas A&M was completed in just two years and one week ahead of schedule, a rare occurrence for a project of this magnitude, according to Company Vice President Shane Bauer. “This [project] has led to the best student housing development in the country — maybe the world — to be constructed without the university taking on any debt,” said Texas A&M University System Vice Chancellor of Business Affairs Phillip Ray.
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Speaking of wheat, our friends at Blumberg Grain delivered 105 silos to the Supply Ministry as part of the first phase of its latest shouna project, said Supply Minister Ali El Moselhy, according to Al Masry Al Youm. “Our need for wheat silos is very high and the current storage rates do not correspond to the wheat supply season, where the quantities are high,” he noted. He said that the Agricultural Research Center, the Engineering Authority of the Armed Forces and the Ministry of Military Production are currently looking into solutions for storage. The ministry had announced earlier this year that private sector storage facilities would be used in places where the government’s capacities have been maxed out. Blumberg Grain had completed the first phase of its first shouna project ahead of the 2016 wheat harvest, but the facilities had not come online due to delayed implementation by the Supply Ministry. The issue blew up at the height of the wheat corruption scandal that toppled former Supply Minister Khaled Hanafi. A dispute with the company over payment for the 93 shounas delivered had risen, with Blumberg submitting an official request in May to settle the issue.
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Rice smuggling is “rife” despite the official export ban, traders tell Al Mal. Exporters are trying to profit from the favorable exchange rates and are smuggling locally-grown rice to markets including UAE, Syria, Turkey, Libya, and Sudan, they add. Those exports are the main reason why rice prices domestically have increased. The government had decided to continue banning rice exports in July.
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There is “progress” in the effort to restore flights between Russia and Egypt, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said, according to Sputnik after talks with Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry. Lavrov did not explain what that “progress” meant or what it would take to restore the flights. He said during his meeting with Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry: “Today we have noted positive progress in the work of specialists who are solving the relevant issues and proceed from the premise that there will be additional clarity regarding the prospects for resumed direct flights in the very near future.” We note, meanwhile, that the president of International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), Olumuyiwa Benard Aliu, sang Egypt’s praises on airport security on Sunday.
…Likely related and also “in progress”: Lavrov also said “we have many other large-scale projects, the discussion of the nuclear power plant project is still in progress … I hope that the forthcoming meeting of the intergovernmental commission in September will help advance the issue and the project of creating an industrial zone on the banks of the Suez Canal with participation of Russia.” According to Russian state news agency TASS, Lavrov said construction on the Dabaa nuclear plant is contingent in three final contracts being signed. Separately, an Egyptian advisor to the Roscosmos State Corporation, Hussein Al Shafei, expects contractors to break ground on the USD 25 bn Dabaa nuke site in October, according to Egypt Independent.
Also high up on the agenda of talks were regional political developments, particularly Egypt’s role as mediator on the Syrian Civil War. But don’t expect Egypt to play a military role in Syria, Shoukry said at a joint conference with Lavrov, Egypt Independent reports. "Russia and Egypt work actively to help with formation of a collective delegation from the Syrian opposition for talks with the government," said Lavrov, according to TASS. Talks also covered Libya, on which little information was made public.
Shoukry also met with Russia’s Trade and Industry Minister Denis Manturov to discuss Russian investment in Egypt, particularly in the oil and gas sector, Al Shorouk reports.
Shoukry is expected to head next to Estonia and Lithuania following the meetings in Moscow, according to Ahram Online.
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Catalan police shot dead Barcelona attacker Younes Abouyaaqoub, according to the Financial Times.He had been on the run for five days.
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