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Chinese manufacturers have more and more appetite for Egypt

1

What We're Tracking Today

House approves USD 2 bn loan for Egypt’s FinMin

Good morning, friends. It’s another busy morning here in Egypt led by a whole lot of very welcome manufacturing news.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Could we be looking at another electricity price hike soon? The Madbouly government is reviewing electricity prices in light of global changes, Electricity Minister Mahmoud Esmat told Al Arabiya.

Remember: The Electricity Ministry last hiked electricity prices for households, businesses, and the public sector in September. Prices rose 14-40% across the board, with the sharpest increases faced by households with the heaviest consumption.


#2- Four new logistics zones in the making: The Supply Ministry’s Internal Trade Development Authority (ITDA) is planning to set up four logistics zones across the country during 1H 2025 with investments ranging from EGP 18-20 bn, authority head Heba El Sayed told Asharq Business. The authority is looking to kick off more projects in partnership with foreign investors, particularly from the UAE and Saudi Arabia.

IN THE HOUSE-

The House approved a USD 2 bn loan from Emirates NBD, Standard Chartered, and a number of other banks. The funds will go to the Finance Ministry to help meet the basic needs of Egyptians amid ongoing geopolitical tension.

MPs also gave preliminary approval to two draft bills on maritime inspection fees and maritime trade, with a final vote set for a later session. The first bill will update fee structures (no word on how much of an increase folks could be facing), while the second will regulate the process of a vessel acquiring the Egyptian nationality.

On the agenda today: Investment Minister Hassan El Khatib will deliver a statement on the ministry’s efforts to attract investors and make Egyptian exports more competitive.

HAPPENING TODAY-

#1- Investors still have the chance to subscribe to Catalyst SPAC capital increase: Investors have until Thursday to subscribe to Impact investor Catalyst Partners’ SPAC, Catalyst Partners Middle East’ (CMPE) capital increase. The SPAC wants to raise its capital to EGP 235 mn by offering 22.5 mn shares — valued at EGP 10 per share.

Demand is high: The offering was fully covered during its first day, sources close to the transaction told EnterpriseAM.

#2- It’s day two of the D-8 Organization for Economic Cooperation meeting, which Egypt is hosting. The meeting is taking place in the lead up to the Session of the D-8 Council of Foreign Ministers — being held tomorrow — and the D-8 Summit — being held on Thursday.

The D-what? The so-called Developing Eight, founded back in the mid-1990s, includes Egypt, Turkey, Indonesia, Iran, Malaysia, Nigeria, Bangladesh, and Pakistan.

PSA-

WEATHER- It’s another cool day in Cairo, with a high of 22°C and a low of 11°C, according to our favorite weather app.

It’s just as cold in Alexandria, with a high of 21°C and a low of 11°C.

** DID YOU KNOW that we now cover Saudi Arabia and the UAE?

** Were you forwarded this email? Tap or click here to get your own copy delivered every weekday before 7am Cairo time — without charge.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

It’s a busy morning in the international pages, with a number of business and political headlines worth noting.

US forces struck Isis targets in Syria, killing 12 in a precision air raid aimed at disrupting the group’s resurgence. The strikes targeted “former Regime and Russian controlled areas ensuring pressure is maintained on Isis,” the US Centcom said following the attack. The Centcom vowed continued action to ensure Isis doesn’t exploit current instability in Syria. (Financial Times | AP)

OVER IN CANADA- Canada’s Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland abruptly resigned after clashes with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau over fiscal policy and US trade threats as president-elect Donald Trump prepares to step into the White House. Freeland’s exit, framed by some as a “leadership crisis,” leaves Trudeau politically vulnerable as his government faces lower approval ratings ahead of next year’s elections. Her resignation follows the departure of several other key ministers, amplifying pressure on Trudeau to step down. Trudeau has tapped close friend Dominic LeBlanc to replace Freeland. (Reuters | New York Times | Financial Times | AP | The Economist | Washington Post | WSJ)

AND- Scholz loses confidence vote: German Chancellor Olaf Scholz lost a confidence vote in the country’s parliament, putting the country on track for an early election next February. The vote follows the collapse of his coalition government after a fallout with his former finance minister.

In context: Scholz wanted the confidence vote to fail so that he could call early elections. Friedrich Merz’s conservative CDU currently leads in polls. (CNBC | Reuters | The Guardian | The Washington Post | France 24 | Bloomberg)

*** It’s Going Green day — your weekly briefing of all things green in Egypt: Enterprise’s green economy vertical focuses each Tuesday on the business of renewable energy and sustainable practices in Egypt, everything from solar and wind energy through to water, waste management, sustainable building practices and how you can make your business greener, whatever the sector.

In today’s issue: We look at what Egypt is doing to up its energy efficiency to help meet climate goals.

Somabay, every reason to fall in love.

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Manufacturing

China’s Wu’an Xin Feng eyes USD 1.7 bn industrial complex in Egypt’s SCZone

Big-ticket Chinese investments are once again leading domestic business news, with news of an in-the-works industrial complex targeting the automotive industry at the same time as construction kicks off on a solar cell factory — two sectors that are very much priorities of the Madbouly government’s industrial policy.

WU’AN XIN FENG EYES USD 1.7 BN INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX-

Chinese steelmaker Wu’an Xin Feng has a plan to set up a USD 1.7 bn integrated industrial complex in the Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCZone). It sees the facility eventually being home to nine factories and sees it creating some 8k jobs. It will be built out over a five-year period, according to an Industry Ministry statement.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

The first phase will include four factories for automotive brake components, household appliance parts, standard fasteners, and hot-rolled steel coils, while the second phase will add five more factories, producing automotive parts made from aluminum and magnesium alloys, construction machinery components, and cold-rolled steel coils.

This isn’t the first time Wu’an Xin Feng has shown interest investing in Egypt, as the Chinese steel maker inked an agreement in April with the SCZone to lease a plot of land to set up a USD 297 mn hot-rolled steel coils plant. It’s so far unclear if the project is the hot-rolled steel coil factory that will be set up in the industrial complex or a separate project entirely.

USD 150 MN SOLAR CELL FACTORY-

China’s Elite Solar laid the foundation stone for its USD 150 mn solar cell factory, with the first phase set to be complete by September 2025, according to an SCZone statement. The project will create 600 jobs.

Déjà vu? We first got wind of the project during the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation in Beijing last September, when the renewables company inked a land agreement for the project — which at the time was valued at USD 100 mn.

LUTHIA TEXTILE COULD SET UP SHOP HERE-

The world’s largest producer of dyed fabrics and shirts could soon be setting up shop in Egypt, with Chinese dyed fabric giant LuthaiTextile mulling a USD 385 mn factory — which would mark Luthai’s first in the country — according to a statement from the General Authority for Investment and Freezones. The factory’s entire output will be earmarked for export, according to one company official.

This publication is proudly sponsored by

3

M&A WATCH

PIF-backed SIC gets the green light to acquire up to 100% of CIRA Education

FRA greenlights SIC bid for up to 100% of CIRA: The Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) has approved CIRA Education majority shareholder Social Impact Capital’s (SIC) mandatory tender offer to acquire up to an additional 48.78% of CIRA, the authority said in a disclosure (pdf) yesterday.

It’s all part of the PIF’s plan to acquire CIRA and use it as a regional platform: The Saudi Egyptian Investment Company — a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Public Investment Fund — said in May that it would buy into SIC. SIC used the cash injection to launch its mandatory tender offer for the rest of CIRA’s shares.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

Remember: SIC has offered to purchase some 284.3 mn of CIRA’s shares at EGP 15 a piece putting the transaction’s value at EGP 4.26 bn. SIC currently holds a 51.2% stake in the country’s leading private education company.

A tempting offer: SIC’s offer of EGP 15.00 per share represents a 21.8% premium on CIRA’s average share price of EGP 12.32 over the three months leading up to when SIC submitted its offer, and a 9.9% premium on its average share price of EGP 13.65 over the six-month period leading up to the offer.

What’s next for CIRA? If the mandatory tender offer is successful, SIC plans to delist CIRA Education from the EGX, with the founding El Kalla family expected to remain invested in the company and our friend Mohamed El Kalla staying on as CEO to lead the company’s regional growth.

Post-acquisition plans: SIC plans to enhance the quality of education offered at CIRA schools, open up a number of universities in partnership with local and foreign players, and expand regionally — all within a year of the acquisition.

The transaction was nearly two years in the making, a source with first-hand knowledge of events told us earlier this year, but it took the float of the EGP this spring and CIRA’s clear ambition to become a regional player in education to bring it home. PIF is known to be exceptionally rigorous in its investment decision making process, employing top advisors to make certain that it invests only in companies with clear growth prospects that fit the fund’s mandate to grow Saudi and regional champions.

ADVISORS: Our friends at EFG Hermes are brokering the transaction and Matouk Bassiouny & Hennawy is buy-side legal counsel.

IN OTHER M&A NEWS:-

Axa Egypt and Morocco’s Wafa Assurance’s bid for Delta Ins. is moving forward after the FRA gave it the greenlight to begin its due diligence, it said in an EGX disclosure (pdf). Axa Egypt and Wafa Assurance earlier this month registered their interest through non-binding offers to buy up to 100% of the Egypt Kuwait Holding (EKH) subsidiary.

The offers: Both Axa and Wafa Assurance value Delta’s shares at an initial price of EGP 50 a pop, bringing the total value of a purchase of 100% of the company’s shares to EGP 5 bn.

4

Energy

BP and Adnoc set up Arcius Energy JV to ramp up Egypt energy exploration

BP, Adnoc’s XRG launch Arcius Energy: BP and the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company’s (Adnoc) investment arm, XRG, finalized the establishment of Arcius Energy, a joint venture aimed at expanding natural gas operations in Egypt, according to a joint press release (pdf). With BP holding 51% and XRG 49%, Arcius will kick off its operations in Egypt before expanding elsewhere.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

What’s the plan? The new platform will tap into BP’s stakes in key gas assets, including the Zohr field in the Shorouk concession (10%), the Atoll field in North Damietta (100%), and exploration areas in North El Tabya, Bellatrix-Seti East, and North El Fayrouz.

Leadership moves: Arcius Energy has named Adnoc’s sustainability and strategy VP, Naser Saif Al Yafei, as CEO and BP’s VP for gas and low carbon energy growth, Katerina Papalexandri as CFO, bringing their expertise from their roles at the two energy giants..

What they said: “This progressive partnership will unlock a lower-carbon transition fuel to build a future where smarter, cleaner and more affordable energy is accessible for Egypt and the world,” XRG Executive Chair and Adnoc CEO Sultan Al Jaber said.

We’ve been waiting for a while now: Both companies agreed in February to form a JV that targets the development of natural gas assets in Egypt.

The story caught the attention of the international press: Reuters.

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A MESSAGE FROM HSBC

Opportunity is rarely a straight line. Our international network connects you to what’s next. Search HSBC Egypt.

6

Energy

Egypt aims to boost gas production by 400-500 mn cubic feet per day by March

Egypt has big domestic energy production targets to meet in 2025: The Oil Ministry is aiming to increase gas production by 400-500 mn cubic feet per day by March 2025, a senior government source told EnterpriseAM. This comes on the back of recently-introduced oil and gas incentives and the regular payment of dues to foreign partners.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

By the numbers: Egypt currently produces 4.3 bn cubic feet per day, alongside 900 mn cubic feet per day of imported gas, our source said, against demand of more than 6 bn cubic feet per day. The Oil Ministry wants to see local rise to the point that it’s forced to import just four shipments monthly. Electricity is the largest consumer of gas, accounting for 58% of annual consumption and peaking at 87% at the peak of last summer.

What’s driving the growth? Some foreign companies have ramped up investment since October, the source tells us. That’s after Oil Minister Karim Badawi led an outreach drive to listen to industry complaints — and began addressing overdue payments to some producers. The Oil Ministry wants to see 46 new exploration wells drilled in the current fiscal year, with investments amounting to USD 748.5 mn, according to one domestic report.

LNG imports are still part of the plan: After figuring out how much domestic production will increase, the government will launch an international tender to procure additional gas shipments early next year to reduce the risk of electricity outages, the source said.

Also in the cards: The Madbouly government has been in talks with foreign partners over a new set of incentives for the oil and gas industry that aim to boost oil and gas production. The measures include increasing production sharing ratios with foreign companies in exchange for new investments, enhancing exploration efforts, and increasing extraction rates.

Despite energy price hikes, the cost of energy subsidies is expected to jump once again: Egypt’s oil subsidy bill for the current fiscal year is expected to surpass EGP 200 bn, significantly higher than the EGP 154 bn initially allocated, the source told us. A weakening EGP and growing demand will drive up the cost of imports despite favorable global petroleum product prices.

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Investment Watch

Madbouly, Saudi industry and mining minister highlight sectors earmarked for investment

Egypt, KSA pinpoint sectors earmarked for investment: Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly met with Saudi Industry and Mineral Resources Minister Bandar Alkhorayef yesterday, where they agreed to include the sectors of petrochemical, pharma, and automotive in the broader agreements signed between the two countries back in October, according to statements from both nations.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background and outside sources.)

Remember: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi had met with Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman in Cairo back in October, where they oversaw the signing of two agreements focused on streamlining mutual investments and providing investment guarantees. The inking of the Agreement on Promotion and Mutual Protection of Investments between Egypt and Saudi is expected to bring in upwards of USD 10 bn in bilateral investments over the next three years.

A whole lotta projects mulled: The two discussed potential projects including the production of polyesters, pharma raw materials and automotive manufacturing as well as electrical appliances and household tools, Saudi Deputy Industry Minister Khalil Ibn Salamah said during the meeting.

Putting pen to paper soon? Ibn Salamah expects the two sides to ink fresh investment agreements over the coming months.

BACKGROUND- Mohamed bin Salman said back in September that he had directed the PIF to invest USD 5 bn in Egypt as part of the “first phase” of a larger program.

Who attended the meeting? Alkhorayef was joined by the CEOs of the Saudi Export Development Authority and the Saudi EXIM Bank. Transport and Industry Minister Kamel El Wazir was also in attendance alongside other policymakers.

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EARNINGS WATCH

Concrete Fashion Group ends 9M 2024 in the green

Concrete Fashion Group’s (CFG) posted a net income of USD 11.7 mn during the first nine months of the year, up from a net loss of USD 474k during the same period last year, the company said in its latest earnings release (pdf). The company ending the period in the green highlights “the effectiveness of the Group’s strategies post-demerger and the potential of the business going forward.”

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

Despite the rise in net income, revenues inched down, with CFG recording a 1.1% y-o-y dip in net sales to USD 102 mn during the nine-month period. A 6.3% y-o-y decline in retail sales helped bring the overall figure down, which the clothes maker attributed “to the impact of a lower EGP on the segment’s USD-denominated results.” Net sales from its manufacturing segment rose by 0.1% y-o-y, stemming from improvements in orders from Europe and the US.

What the future holds: “We remain cautiously optimistic about the coming year, confident that an improving macroeconomic situation at home and our regional expansion efforts will position us for accelerated growth in 2025 and beyond,” said CEO Alaa Arafa.

Remember: CFG split from Arafa Holding during a demerger this year, which also produced GETEX Holding. Both emerging firms started trading on the EGX last March.

PLUS- CFG’s board greenlight expanding into Saudi Arabia and Oman, with a plan to establish wholly-owned and yet unnamed subsidiaries in the two countries given approval, according to an EGX disclosure (pdf).

9

LAST NIGHT’S TALK SHOWS

El SIsi, Jordan’s King Abdallah discuss regional developments

It was a diplomacy-heavy night on the airwaves, with the nation’s talking heads bringing us coverage of King Abdallah II’s time in Cairo and his meeting with President Abdel Fattah El Sisi.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

Discussions escalating tensions in some places around the region: During their meeting, the two heads of state emphasized the importance of Syria’s stability, security and sovereignty and reiterated calls for a ceasefire in Lebanon to be observed and an end to the war on Gaza, according to statements from Ittihadiya and the Jordan News Agency. Ala Masouleety’s Ahmed Moussa had coverage of the meeting (watch, runtime 3:27).

El Sisi also discussed regional tension with King of Bahrain Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa during a phone call, stressing the need for joint efforts to address the ongoing war in Gaza, calling for an immediate ceasefire and delivery of humanitarian aid, according to another Ittihadiya statement. Both leaders also emphasized the need to preserve the unity and territorial integrity of Lebanon and Syria.

The developments in Syria received coverage from Moussa (watch, runtime 45:06) and El Hekaya’s Amr Adib (watch, runtime 8:40).

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Also on our Radar

Gov’t mulls USD 250 mn EgyptAlum revamp

MANUFACTURING-

#1- Gov’t considers USD 250 mn plan to revamp EgyptAlum: The Industry Ministry is mulling a five-year, USD 250 mn plan to develop state-owned and EGX-listed Egypt Aluminum (EgyptAlum), according to a statement following a meeting of the ministerial group for industrial development. The proposed project would keep the company’s assets, while developing production lines, capacity, and preparing the company for the EU’s incoming Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

What’s next? The Public Enterprises Ministry will present a fuller plan to develop the company with a timeframe the next time the ministerial group meets.


#2- Subsidized loan program open to the animal feed industry: Industry Minister Kamel El Wazir confirmed in the meeting that the animal feed industry has become eligible to participate in the subsidized loan program that offers businesses loans at a 15% interest rate — nearly half the central bank's post-float 28.25% lending rate.


#3- Industrial license renewals for projects in residential and unplanned industrial areas put on indefinite hold: The ministerial group also greenlit the proposal to not renew industrial licenses for any factory situated in residential areas or unplanned industrial areas.


#4- Turkish investment in Egypt’s gold sector? Turkish investors could be interested in Egypt’s gold sector, the head of the gold division at the Federation of Egyptian Chambers of Commerce, Ehab Wassef, told Asharq Business. The discussions are part of wider plans to promote the sector to foreign investors and make Egypt one of the top 10 gold exports by 2027 — we currently rank in the top 30.

EXPANSION-

Zeta Pharma eyes Saudi expansion: Egypt-based Zeta Pharma is looking to complete its SAR 200 mn factory in Saudi Arabia — dubbed Zeta Gulf — within 1.5 years, Al Borsa quotes the company's Commercial Director Mohsen Hassan as saying. The factory is being set up in the Sudair Industrial City and will target the Saudi market and other neighboring Gulf markets.

LOGISTICS-

EDSCO awarded 30-year contract for Alexandra Port logistics hub development: Egyptian-Dutch JV Egyptian-Dutch Shipping Company (EDSCO) was awarded a 30-year concession to develop a 35k sqm dry bulk logistics zone at Alexandria Port, according to a decision by President Abdel Fattah El Sisi published in the Official Gazette. EDSCO — a partnership between Netherlands-based Vitra and Egypt’s El Fateh — will manage and maintain the logistics zone, which is designed for dry bulk cargo with an annual capacity of 5 mn tons.

RETAIL-

GMG has tripled its retail presence in three years: UAE-based retailer GMG has tripled its retail footprint in Egypt since entering the market in 2021, the company said in a press release (pdf). GMG currently has some 30 locations across Egypt, representing brands including JD Sports, Nike, and Dropkick.

What they said: “Egypt's retail sector presents unprecedented opportunities, driven by a young, digitally savvy population and robust economic growth,” said Senior Vice President of Geographies and Marketplace Imad El Ghazal. “Our success in tripling our retail footprint … reflects both the strength of our brand portfolio and the increasing sophistication of Egyptian consumers.”

DEVELOPMENT FINANCE-

AfDB mulls grant to fund development unit: The African Development Bank (AfDB) has proposed a USD 668.7k grant to develop an aid coordination and resource mobilization unit at the Planning and International Cooperation Ministry, according to a report from the development bank. The ministry will also put forward USD 117.9k for the project

REAL ESTATE-

Mahawer has big investment plans in the pipeline: Mahawer Developments — the newly-launched real estate developer by an Egyptian-Gulf coalition of real estate developers — plans to invest EGP 7 bn in projects across New Damietta City and the Delta, Al Mal reports.

11

PLANET FINANCE

More volatility in 2025

Expect more swings across stock markets in 2025 on the back of geopolitical tensions and uncertainties surrounding US president-elect Donald Trump’s tax and tariff policies, Bloomberg cites strategists at Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Spain’s Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (BBVA) as saying. JPMorgan sees the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) averaging around 16, slightly higher than 15.5 across 2024 — still, it believes macro indicators suggest volatility will be higher, with data pointing to a VIX level of around 19 on average.

Markets could see long bouts of calm interrupted by “fat tails” — extreme market swings — with BofA forecasting a fivefold increase in market fragility shocks in the S&P 500 Index compared to the past 80 years, with a major index shock likely on the cards.

That trend has already started: “The magnitude of fragility shocks in the largest S&P stocks reached 30+ year extremes in 2024 with few signs of dissipating if the AI boom continues,” BofA strategists including Benjamin Bowler wrote.

Volatility will likely be concentrated in the first half of the year: “We could go straight into a relatively elevated equity volatility environment in the first half of next year,” UBS Group’s head of US equity-derivatives research Max Grinacoff said. Certainty around Trump’s policy direction later in the year could later lower bond volatility, according to UBS.

But some expect volatility to last through to 2026: Societe Generale SA strategists forecast rising volatility through 2025 and 2026, recommending buying the dips in volatility.

Helping suppress volatility in the market: Quantitative selling strategies such as zero-day to-expiry options by banks and EFTs to exploit returns are pushing investors towards long gamma trading — meaning that dealers are making moves against the prevailing market action to hedge their risks, thereby suppressing volatility. Volatility selling is steady in the US and Europe, while in Asia, the demand for volatility is expected to rise, especially in China and Hong Kong, driven by economic pressures and stimulus measures.

Heightened volatility makes an “active investment approach, diversification, and strong risk management” essential, Goldman Sachs also said in its Asset Management 2025 Outlook report (pdf). The investment bank believes that investment-grade bonds are an ideal option in 2025, as rate cuts continue — albeit at different timelines. The investment bank also sees opportunity in US stocks and in emerging markets.

It also recommends investing in small-cap stocks to benefit from their large valuation discounts. Smaller companies are expected to be more resilient in light of tariffs in comparison to their larger peers, due to larger domestic revenue sources and shorter supply chains, the report says.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Asian markets are mixed once again as traders await the Fed’s interest rate decision this week, with Japan’s Nikkei and Topix both up and South Korea’s Kospi and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng down. Over on Wall Street, futures point to a lower open, after the Dow Jones fell yesterday to log its longest losing streak since 2018.

EGX30

30,799

+0.1% (YTD: +23.7%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 50.75

Sell 50.89

USD (CIB)

Buy 50.76

Sell 50.86

Interest rates (CBE)

27.25% deposit

28.25% lending

Tadawul

12,097

+0.3% (YTD: +1.4%)

ADX

9,280

+0.2% (YTD: -3.1%)

DFM

5,048

+4.5% (YTD: +24.3%)

S&P 500

6,074

+0.4% (YTD: +27.3%)

FTSE 100

8,262

-0.5% (YTD: +6.8%)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,947

-0.4% (YTD: +9.4%)

Brent crude

USD 73.90

-0.8%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 3.21

-2.0%

Gold

USD 2,670

-0.2%

BTC

USD 105,823

+3.1% (YTD: +151%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 rose 0.1% at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 3.9 bn (6.9% below the 90-day average). Foreign investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 23.7% YTD.

In the green: GB Corp (+4.4%), TMG Holding (+2.5%), and Emaar Misr (+1.8%).

In the red: Cleopatra Hospitals (-2.4%), Oriental Weavers (-1.6%), and Elsewedy Electric (-1.5%).

CORPORATE ACTIONS-

The Financial Regulatory Authority has given its approval for Ezz Steel to begin procedures for delisting its shares from the EGX, with the board-approved decision to now be put forward to a general assembly, according to an EGX disclosure (pdf).

The details: Under the proposal, objecting shareholders can sell their shares back to the company at either the highest closing price during the month preceding the board of directors’ statement — EGP 118.98 per share — or the fair value of the company’s shares as determined by an independent financial advisor registered with the FRA. The board has authorized a delisting price of up to EGP 120 per share, with the company retaining the right to void the delisting should the price per share exceed that threshold.

12

Going Green

Egypt is looking towards upping energy efficiency to help meet its climate goals

Global progress in energy efficiency — as measured by energy intensity rate of change — is projected to see only a weak improvement of 1% in 2024, according to a recent International Energy Agency’s (IEA) report (pdf). This rate is roughly half the average rate between 2010 and 2019. Despite accelerated efforts in certain countries in response to the energy crisis, overall improvements in energy efficiency have decelerated.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

This is bad news for the global green transition, as an accelerated improvement in energy efficiency could contribute to a reduction of over 70% in projected oil demand and 50% in projected gas demand by 2030, according to the IEA's net-zero emissions scenario by 2050.

But wait, what do we mean by energy efficiency? In short, energy efficiency is about doing more with less. By using technology or even just smart practices, energy efficiency aims to maintain the same desired goal — which could be you driving to work, the food you put in your stomach, you watching television, or endless other examples — but to reduce the amount of energy used in the process. Instead of just focussing on replacing traditional petrochemicals with green energy, having more energy efficient systems — both big and small — helps reduce the amount of watts you need to replace to bring about a carbon neutral economy.

Global public and private spending on energy efficiency is forecast to remain at pretty much the same level, rising only 4% in 2024 to USD 660 bn, which the report largely attributes to a flatlining of this type of investment in some of the world’s most advanced economies.

But it's a different story for efficiency investment in emerging regions — including our own — with the report projecting energy investment in Africa to grow 60% y-o-y, 40% y-o-y in the Middle East, and 20% y-o-y in Central and South America. Despite the jump in investments, these regions still collectively account for only about 5% of global investment, while Europe, North America, and the Asia-Pacific region constitute the lion’s share.

Energy efficiency is a key part of Egypt’s carbon reduction plan, with the Oil Ministry following a plan that it says lowers emissions and offers economic returns. The ministry has implemented around 340 projects aimed at optimizing energy use, resulting in annual savings of USD 135.5 mn and reducing 1.2 mn tons of CO2 emissions a year. Part of the initiative included detailed energy audits in five key energy companies and the training of some 250 engineers.

Energy efficiency centers have helped lead these initiatives, as the ministry established an energy efficiency center in Alexandria — complementing an already existing center in Cairo that develops and oversees energy-saving policies. Along with optimizing energy use, these centers also train employees and contribute to sustainable development and emission reduction. There is also a plan for every local petroleum company to have its own energy efficiency department to further this mission.

Wider EV adoption will be one of the key ways for Egypt to improve energy efficiency in its transport sector, which the government is pursuing with an electric mobility strategy to increase the market share of private EVs to 50% by 2040. A plan was also announced to ban new sales of internal combustion engine vehicles beginning 2040.

It seems that government efforts to promote EV investment and localization have been working, as it seems that every couple of days there’s a new agreement to localize EV production and increase supply. In just the first ten days of this month, we heard news that that Ezz Elarab Group launched a new Volvo EV with plans to open a EV service center and Volvo showroom next year, Alkan Auto will bring another Chinese EV brand to market by February, and National Automotive Company will distribute Chinese Neta Auto EVs by mid-next year.

Private and public manufacturing players have also been looking for ways to increase energy efficiency, often through investing in newer equipment that reduce emissions and save money in the long run. Egypt highlighted efficient motor regulations as one of the main mitigation projects in its updated National Determined Contributions in 2023, and said that it aims to allocate some USD 11.6 bn to efficient motors under industry projects.

In addition to existing building energy efficiency codes, the country is looking for more ways to reduce consumption via its National Smart Cities Strategy. Through smart cities — which the government wants to soon increase to 37 nationwide — the government is planning on upping energy efficiency by having cities that are designed to consume less energy in the first place, both in buildings and on the streets.


Your top green economy stories for the week:

  • The Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation will receive a USD 959k grant to reduce methane emissions in the oil sector, under an agreement with the US Trade and Development Agency. The grant will help build a roadmap for the project that will be developed alongside S&P Global.
  • The Environment Ministry inaugurated a USD 1.2 mn wastewater treatment plant at Interstate Paper Industries in Sadat city. The facility has a processing capacity of 2.1k cubic meters per day of wastewater. (Statement)
  • Engazaat and Contact partner up to support Western Desert farmers: Contact Financial subsidiary Contact Ins. Brokerage and power and water producer Engazaat will work together to insure small farmers and support them in establishing sustainable farming practices in the Al Moghra region of the Western Desert, according to a statement (pdf).
  • The Arab Organization for Industrialization’s Atico Wood Industries Factory received an internationally accredited carbon footprint report for applying green economy standards in its industrial production. (Statement)

2024

DECEMBER

12-21 December (Thursday-Saturday): Turathna handicrafts and heritage exhibition, Egypt International Exhibitions Center, Cairo

15-17 December (Sunday-Tuesday): Nebu Expo for Gold & Jewelry, Cairo, Egypt

16-17 December (Monday-Tuesday): Mining World Conference 2024, London, UK

17-18 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): US Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

22 December (Sunday): The Nahda University Economic Forum’s third edition is set to take place

22 December (Sunday): Waha Connect 2024, New Assiut Technology Park, Egypt

26 December (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

End of 2024: The launch of the high-speed train line linking Ain Sokhna with Al Alamein City

2025

January: CBE to launch InstaPay remittances for Egyptians abroad

February: Orascom Pyramids Entertainment to bring total investments in the Pyramids Plateau to EGP 1.5 bn

1 January (Wednesday): The minimum pension will increase to EGP 1.5k, and the maximum to EGP 11.6k

14 January (Tuesday): The 4th edition of the Egypt Economic Summit will take place.

28 January (Tuesday): Nigeria to inaugurate the USD 5 bn Africa Energy Bank in Abuja

28-29 January (Tuesday-Wednesday): US Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

17-19 February (Monday-Wednesday): EGYPES Technical Conference, Egypt International Exhibition Center, Cairo, Egypt.

18-19 February (Saturday-Sunday): German-Egyptian Joint Economic Committee meetings, Cairo, Egypt

7-10 April 2025 (Monday-Thursday): EFG Hermes One on One conference, Dubai, UAE

May 2025: Egyptian Exporters Association (Expolink) exhibition, Italy

May 2025: French rolling stock manufacturer Alstom will submit technical and financial bids for Cairo Metro Line 6.

July 2025: The first operational trail of Egypt-KSA electricity interconnection line.

March 2025: Operation of phase one of the Amotope wind farm

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

Early 2025: The Communications Ministry will unveil the second edition of its national AI strategy in early 2025

1H 2025: Digital Financial Identity Company will launch an electronic bank account opening service

1Q 2025: Eipico’s biopharma plant to begin operations

1Q 2025: Finance Ministry to launch public consultations on its tax policy document

2Q 2025: Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) to introduce derivatives on the EGX

2Q 2025: Safaga Terminal 2 to start operations

Mid-2025: The Administrative Capital for Urban Developments to roll out the second phase of offering industrial plots to investors

2025: The InterAcademy Partnership assembly

2025: Nile Basin States Summit, Cairo, Egypt

2025: Release of the government’s Startup Charter document

2027

20 January-7 February: Egypt to host the African Games

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

End of 2027: Trial operations at the Dabaa nuclear power plant expected to take place

September 2028: First unit of the Dabaa nuclear power plant begins operations

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