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AngloGold to become owner of Egypt’s largest gold mine with USD 2.5 bn Centamin acquisition

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What We're Tracking Today

Goodbye capital gains tax, hello stamp tax?

Good morning, friends. We’ve got a busy issue for you today, with a whole lot of news — welcome and unwelcome. Hopefully helping you wake up on the right side of bed this morning is news that Kouchouk and Madbouly are set to announce tax incentives later today and some big ticket local M&A news to dig your teeth into. But over in the bad news corner, is data showing that inflation has picked up again after easing for five whole months. We’ve got all this and more in today's packed issue, so let’s jump right in.

HAPPENING TODAY-

#1- The government’s new tax incentives and other tax measures will be announced later today, a senior government source told Enterprise earlier this week. Finance Minister Ahmed Kouchouk told the American Chamber of Commerce yesterday that the new rules would lay the foundations for greater cooperation with the business community, according to a ministry statement.

There’s already some hype being built up in the run up: The talkshows, which later confirmed that Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly would announce the incentives together with Kouchouk during a presser today, saw Ahmed Moussa describe the upcoming announcement as “a new beginning for the relationship between the tax authority and the financial, business, and investment sectors” (watch, runtime: 5:27). We’ve got more reactions to the news from the nation’s talking heads in our Last Night’s Talk Shows section below.

A stamp tax replacing the proposed capital gains tax may be part of the plan: The government is studying alternatives to tax EGX capital gains, including imposing a 0.15% stamp tax to replace the long-awaited, and many times postponed capital gains tax for EGX transactions, a senior government source told Enterprise.

The why: The alternative tax is being explored amid reports that the government is thinking about scrapping its proposed capital gains tax that is supposed to begin collecting taxes on capital gains incurred from trading EGX-listed financial securities starting March-April 2025. The government is reportedly concerned that the tax could be detrimental to the country’s investment climate and Investment Minister Hassan El Khatib confirmed that “work is underway” to assess the situation.


#2- Mohamed Farid to take to the stage at the 10th EFG Hermes London Conference: Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) head Mohamed Farid is in London today to participate in the four-day annual conference in London, EFG Hermes said in a statement statement(pdf). Farid will be taking part in a fireside chat — under the title Regulations as a Catalyst for Growth: Unleashing Innovation in Capital Markets, Insuretech, and Fintech — that will dive into the latest in capital markets, regulations and fintech.

It’s day three of the four-day conference that aims to “delve into the profound potential emerging in key sectors across the global economy, offering participants unparalleled insights and connections in a rapidly evolving landscape.”

WATCH THIS SPACE-

The showdown between egg producers and the competition watchdog continues: The Table Egg Division of the Poultry Producers Union yesterday shot down allegations of price collusion leveled against its members by the Egyptian Competition Authority (ECA). The division said it has not received an official notification from investigating authorities in a statement yesterday, insisting that the market is driven by supply and demand. The ECA’s “vague announcement, lacking data on the accused, is a disservice to investment in the egg sector, which serves mns of Egyptians daily,” the division said. The body is considering submitting a memorandum to the cabinet to highlight the risk posed to investment by the ECA’s statement.

PSA-

#1- The EGX is also getting a long weekend: Traders, brokers, and everyone else as the bourse will also be off next Sunday in observance of Prophet Mohammed’s birthday, according to a bulletin by the bourse. The day was announced as a holiday for the private and public sectors earlier this week.

#2- Uber introduces new safety features: The ride hailing app has added a number of new safety measures for both riders and drivers, including on-trip audio recording, an in-app emergency button that connects riders and drivers to the police, and phone masking — which deletes any phone number shared in chats between riders and drivers, the company said in a press release (pdf). Uber has also introduced new layers to its screening process, including validating a driver’s documents and visual identity before they are able to create an account on the app and conducting monthly random drug testing for drivers.


WEATHER- A heatwave is pushing temperatures up in Cairo today, with a high of 40°C and a low of 28°C, according to our favorite weather app. This should be as hot it gets this week, with temperatures in the capital projected to gradually fall starting tomorrow.

It’s also much hotter than originally projected in Alexandria, with a high of 36°C and a low of 26°C. But the hot spell won’t last long up north, with the daily high falling to 32°C as of tomorrow and continuing to slowly fall throughout the rest of the week.

** DID YOU KNOW that we now cover Saudi Arabia and the UAE?

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THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

The much-anticipated Harris-Trump debate ends with bang, not a whimper, as the two presidential hopefuls repeatedly accused each other of lying and clashed on the economy, January 6, abortion rights, Gaza, migration, and of course crowd sizes throughout the night.

Trump remained firm on his insistence that he won the 2020 election against Biden, going on to say that there was “so much proof” — conveniently without providing any. Doubling down, Trump alleged that Democrats were ferrying in undocumented migrants across the border to “get them to vote.”

Harris was keen to present Trump as a danger to democracy, telling the camera that the former president “incited a violent mob to attack our nation's Capitol, to desecrate our nation’s Capitol” after being “fired by 81 mn people.”

“She hates Israel. If she is president I believe that Israel will not exist in two years from now,” Trump argued, adding in Trumpian fashion that the war would have “never started” if he were still in the White House.

The economy was also an important point of contention, with Harris accusing Trump of leaving the country with the “worst unemployment since the Great Depression.” Trump hit back with how she and Biden had handled inflation that has “been a disaster for people, for the middle class, for every class.”

At points the debate got personal and verged on name-calling, with Harris telling Trump that world leaders described him as a “disgrace” and Trump calling Harris “the worst vice-president in history.”

Let the polls roll in: Prior to the debate, the two candidates appeared to be neck and neck for the US government’s top job. In the coming days, we’ll get more of a sense of how each candidate’s performance played with potential voters, as the US presidential elections, only 54 days away, inch closer.

WHILE IN FINANCE NEWS- The US Federal Reserve has halved its proposed increase in capital requirements for the US’ biggest banks from 19% to 9%, the central bank’s top regulator Michael Barr announced yesterday. The lower increase represents a big win for the banking lobby, which has decried the capital requirement hike as damaging for the economy and potentially crimping lending since it was first proposed last year.

The “reproposal,” as Barr has called it, will still introduce capital requirements related to operational risk for banks with USD 250 bn in assets — one of the key targets of banking sector lobbying efforts. Assessments of operational risk, however, will now exclude asset management and other of banks’ biggest non-lending businesses. The new proposal has also nixed provisions that adjust capital requirements based on past operational losses, and has reduced risk weighting on certain kinds of financing deals.

AND ON THE OIL MARKETS- Oil futures reached near three-year lows yesterday after OPEC’s downward revision of its demand forecasts for 2024 and 2025, Reuters reports. Brent crude futures were down USD 2.65 or 3.69% yesterday to USD 69.19 at market’s close.

*** It’s Hardhat day — your weekly briefing of all things infrastructure in Egypt: Enterprise’s industry vertical focuses each Wednesday on infrastructure, covering everything from energy, water, transportation, and urban development, as well as social infrastructure such as health and education.

In today’s issue: We speak to a number of contractors to learn more about why Egyptian construction and real estate players are ramping up efforts to expand abroad.

Beauty unveiled amidst ancient wonders: Celebrate the beauty, nature, and cultural legacy of 30 nations as Miss Elite 2024 returns to the enchanting shores of Somabay from 2-14 September. For the fourth consecutive year, Somabay is hosting this prestigious international beauty pageant, celebrating women’s beauty and intelligence on a global scale. Experience the fusion of antiquity and modern elegance by attending the Grand Finale on 13 September at Mazeej Soma Beach Platform.

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Economy

Inflation in Egypt accelerates to 26.2% in August following five months of cooling

Inflation picks up again after months of cooling: Annual urban inflation has accelerated 0.5 percentage points to 26.2% in August after having fallen to 25.7% — its lowest level since December 2022 — in July, according to figures from state statistics agency Capmas.

Some analysts that we spoke to saw this coming: Some analysts we spoke to for our customary interest rate poll saw inflation picking up again in August on the back of recent price hikes. IBIS Consultancy economist Ali Metwally saw inflation in August and September rising to somewhere in the range of 30-31% between August and September. The favorable base effect played a crucial role in reducing inflation over the five months ending in July, but this will change for August, September, and October as these months will reflect the impact of increased fuel and electricity prices,” Zilla Capital’s Aya Zoheir told us.

But most of those who spoke to Reuters had a different outlook: A median forecast of 19 analysts polled by Reuters saw inflation slowing by 0.6 percentage points to 25.1% in August.

Fingers were firmly pointed to energy and transport price hikes: "We expected this, as the August reading reflects energy price hikes that were announced in the last week of July. This included diesel, which has a broad-based effect," CI Capital’s Sara Saada told Reuters. The firm saw inflation rising between 3-5 percentage points between August and September due to the increase in transport prices stemming fuel price hikes, co-head of research at CI Capital, Monsef Morsy, told Asharq Business. Transport costs were up 13.1 percentage points to 31.0 y-o-y in August, while on a monthly basis, prices were up 11.8%.

Food and beverage inflation continued to retreat on an annual basis: Food and beverage prices — the largest component of the basket of goods and services used to calculate headline inflation — continued to rise but at a softer rate of 29.0% y-o-y in August, down from 29.7% in July. On a m-o-m basis, however, food prices climbed to 1.8% in August — from 0.3% the month before — contributing to the 2.1% m-o-m rise in urban inflation.

Annual core inflation — which excludes volatile items like food and fuel — also rose, with the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) recording an annual core inflation of 25.1% in August 2024, up 0.7 percentage points from 24.4% in July. Meanwhile, monthly core inflation was back in the red, coming in at 0.9% in August compared to -0.5% in July — only the second time monthly core inflation had ventured into negative territory since August 2021.

We could be looking at another month of inflation acceleration: “The impact of the recent electricity price hike is not reflected in August's inflation figures, which keeps us highly alert for September’s reading. We still expect indirect and second-round effects of the fuel price hike to show up in September’s inflation,” Economist Mona Bedair said in a note on LinkedIn.

Rising inflation could mean that rate cuts may be further away than initially expected: “The new data increases the likelihood of Egypt’s central bank keeping interest rates at an all-time high of 27.25% for a fourth consecutive meeting when it next meets on 17 October,” Bloomberg reports.

Remember: The central bank left interest rates unchanged on Thursday, citing cooling domestic and global inflation, an uncertain local trajectory for commodity prices, and slow economic growth.The Monetary Policy Committee sees inflation hovering around July’s levels until 4Q 2024, before it declines significantly in 1Q 2025 “due to the cumulative impact of monetary policy tightening and favorable base effects.”

What do analysts think? Prior to August’s inflation figures, analysts saw the CBE easing monetary policy by late 2024 or early 2025. EFG Hermes’ Mohamed Abu Basha sees the CBE cutting rates during the first quarter of 2025 expecting inflation to have materially slowed down by then, he told Bloomberg. “Monetary easing will be delayed because the CBE’s open market operations alone are insufficient to absorb these large inflationary shocks,” economist Medhat Nafei said following the release of the data.

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M&A WATCH

AngloGold Ashanti to buy Centamin in USD 2.5 bn transaction in bid to acquire Egypt’s Sukari mine

Egypt’s largest gold mine is about to get a new owner: NYSE-listed global miner AngloGoldAshanti will buy Egypt-focused LSE- and TSX-listed Centamin in a cash and share transaction valued at around USD 2.5 bn, the two companies said yesterday (here, pdf and here). The acquisition will give AngloGold — the sixth largest gold miner in the world — ownership of the Centamin-run Sukari mine in Egypt, one of the world’s largest gold mines.

The details: The transaction values Centamin shares at GBP 1.63 — equivalent to USD 2.14 — marking a premium of around 37.6% to its average price during the 30 days leading to 9 September. Centamin shareholders will receive nearly 0.07 new AngloGold shares for each Centamin share and USD 0.13 in cash. Once the transaction is completed, AngloGold shareholders will own about 83.6% of the company, while Centamin investors will hold approximately 16.4%.

Why Anglogold thinks it’s struck gold: The Johannesburg-headquartered AngloGold describes Sukari as a “world-class Tier 1 asset” boasting competitive operating costs and promising development potential. The mine incurred total cash costs of USD 970 per ounce and all-in sustaining costs of USD 1.2k per ounce in 2023. The takeover “offers enormous geological potential” that AngloGold is “very well placed to develop,” the company’s chairman Jochen Tilk said.

The acquisition will instantly elevate AngloGold’s portfolio: Sukari will add about 450k ounces to AngloGold’s annual production, pushing it past 3 mn ounces and making it the world’s fourth largest gold producer. The Sukari gold mine, which is Centamin's flagship asset, will add another key gold-producing region to AngloGold's portfolio, which currently spans nine countries — Tanzania, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ghana, Guinea, Australia, the US, Brazil, Argentina, and Colombia.

What’s next? The acquisition is yet to receive Centamin shareholder and regulatory approvals. Centamin shareholders are scheduled to vote on the transaction at the end of October for the transaction to be finalized before year end.

Market reax: Centamin shares rose 22.9% by the end of trading yesterday on the London Stock Exchange to close at GBP 146.90. While over the pond, AngloGold shares dropped 4.7% to USD 27.45 on the NYSE.

The story is everywhere in the foreign press: Reuters | Bloomberg | Financial Times | WallStreet Journal.

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M&A WATCH

Kellanova to sell its entire stake in Bisco Misr to UAE-based HSA Group

Bisco Misr to welcome new majority shareholder: American cereal and snack maker Kellanova (FKA Kellogg Company) will sell its entire majority stake in Egypt’s largest biscuit company, Bisco Misr, to UAE-based business conglomerate Hayel Saeed Anam Group (HSA), the companies said in a press release (pdf). The companies didn’t disclose the value of the transaction.

What’s next? The transaction is set to close by 1Q 2025, “subject to the satisfaction of customary conditions, relevant regulatory approvals and the completion of a mandatory tender offer process for minority shares,” the statement read.

Remember: Kellanova acquired 86% of Bisco Misr back in 2015, as part of a number of investments that it made into Egypt’s F&B sector at the time.

HSA is no stranger to Egypt: The group has been present in the local market over the past 30 years through local F&B player ARMA Group. The Bisco Misr acquisition will help the group develop its presence in Egypt and “accelerate the internationalization of Bisco Misr’s popular brands.”

Bisco fever: “We firmly believe that our agreement today will help open a remarkable growth for Bisco Misr, a highly valued and iconic brand in Egypt. Bisco Misr’s deep-rooted legacy and reputation perfectly align with our vision. We are committed to continuing to grow our investments in Egypt and tapping into the immense potential of this market, contributing to its economic prosperity while continuing to deliver the high-quality products that consumers love and trust,” HSA Group board member and ARMA group chairman, Muneer Hayel Saeed, said.

Advisors: Zaki Hashem is advising the buy side, while Clifford Chance is acting as legal advisor to Kellanova, according to Al Borsa.

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EARNINGS WATCH

Ezz Steel sees net profits jump fourfold in the first half of the year

Ezz Steel’s bottom line jumps 380% y-o-y to EGP 2.28 bn in 1H 2024: EGX- and LSE-listed Ezz Steel saw its consolidated net profits rise just over 380.0% y-o-y to EGP 2.28 bn, up from losses of EGP 809.7 mn in 1H 2023, according to the company’s London Stock Exchange filing. The company also saw its topline increase 62.9% y-o-y to just under EGP 101.7 bn, up from EGP 62.3 bn in the same period last year.

Exports held steady: The company saw exports inch up 3.5% y-o-y to USD 822 mn, with hot-rolled coil steel making up around 66% of total exports at USD 544 mn at and the remainder consisting of reinforcing steel and making up USD 278 mn.

The company weathered some big FX losses in 1H 2024: FX losses in the first half of the year amounted to some EGP 1.3 bn, according to the company’s statement. However, this a big improvement from the EGP 13.1 bn in FX losses that company dealt with in the first half of 2023, according to company’s financial’s for the period (pdf)

Remember- Ezz Steel is having a much better year than 2023: Ezz Steel closed 2023 in the red, posting a net loss of of EGP 717 mn for the year despite a 70% y-o-y jump in revenues, as the FX crisis that persisted until earlier this year contributed to FX exchange losses for the steel maker and domestic demand dropped. However, the comp

Ezz Steel also weighed in on the EU’s recently announced anti-dumping proceedings on imports of hot-rolled flat steel originating in Egypt, India, Japan, and Vietnam, saying that “Ezz Steel emphasizes its commitment to fair trade, and its full compliance with the trade principles stipulated by the WTO,” adding that the company “will fully cooperate with the EU investigation authority, provide all the data required, and submit its defences and arguments to protect its and the Egyptian industry’s interests.”

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Moves

Tamim Khalllaf named as Egypt’s new Foreign Ministry spokesperson

The Foreign Ministry has a new spokesperson: Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty has appointed Tamim Khallaf as the official spokesperson for the Foreign Ministry, succeeding Ahmed Abu Zeid, who became Egypt’s ambassador to Brussels, according to a Foreign Ministry statement. Khallaf last served as the deputy assistant secretary foreign minister for North American affairs and has previously worked as a political advisor at the Egyptian embassy in Washington.

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LAST NIGHT’S TALK SHOWS

New tax measures set to be announced today were the talk of the town last night

Highly anticipated new tax measures steal the show(s): Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly and Finance Minister Ahmed Kouchouk’s upcoming press conference set to announce new tax measures was the talk of the talk show circuit last night, with Egypt-Saudi relations also getting a look in.

“The press conference will see the announcement of new, clear tax policies for business and investors,” Ahmed Moussa said on his program Ala Mas’ouleety (watch, runtime: 5:27), adding that the announcement marks “a new beginning for the relationship between the tax authority and the financial, business, and investment sectors.” Moussa added that “the capital gains tax will be among the topics addressed at today’s press conference,” saying that “the Egyptian stock market needs substantial support and numerous incentives.” The press conference will also see “the formulation of some new financial policies for business and investors,” Moussa said, stating that “the government is keen on improving the investment climate in the country in order to encourage investors.”

“The government’s primary goal is to put in place a stable and improved investment climate. It wants to send a message to the business community that there is no intention of raising taxes,” said professor of finance and investment Hisham Ibrahim in a phone call with Azza Mostafa on her program El Sa’a El Sadesa (watch, runtime: 8:47). Ibrahim added that the government is currently moving toward simplifying and easing procedures for investors.

ALSO ON THE AIRWAVES- “Egypt and Saudi Arabia are in the final stages of launching the High Egyptian-Saudi Coordination Council, chaired by President Abdel Fattah El Sisi and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman,” Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty said yesterday in a joint press conference with his Saudi counterpart, Prince Faisal bin Farhan (watch, runtime: 25:16). “The coordination council will serve as a comprehensive framework for further deepening bilateral relations between the two brotherly countries and advancing the horizon of bilateral cooperation in the political, economic, commercial, developmental, and investment fields, serving the interests of both nations,” said Abdelaty. The minister’s statements were also covered by Ahmed Moussa on his show Ala Mas’ouleety (watch, runtime: 3:50).

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EGYPT IN THE NEWS

A dispute over the dismissal of Libya’s central bank head could be the first test of thawing Egypt-Turkey relations, writes the Guardian

The Guardian takes a look at what political jockeying in Libya could mean for revived Egypt-Turkey relations: Egypt and Turkey have long stood on separate sides of the long-running conflict in Libya, with Egyptian displeasure over Turkey’s involvement in the conflict causing some diplomatic ripples in past years. As such, the recent dismissal of the Libyan central bank’s governor Sadiq Al Kabir may be the first test of whether relations between the two countries have warmed to the levels heralded by Abdel Fattah El Sisi’s recent landmark visit to Ankara, the Guardian’s diplomatic editor Patrick Wintour writes, adding that the Turkish government had dispatched its head of intelligence to Tripoli immediately after El Sisi’s visit.

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Also on our Radar

Palm Hills to embark on USD 300 mn project to set up 15 Saudi schools. PLUS: Contact Financial, Brotinni, ISIS Organic, EFG Hermes, Ayadi, Vacsera

EXPANSION-

#1- Palm Hills has big education plans for Saudi Arabia: Egyptian real estate developer Palm Hills Developments is looking to develop up to 15 new schools in Saudi Arabia in partnership with Dallah Albaraka with combined investments of USD 300 mn, Chairman Yasseen Mansour told Al Arabiya. The developer also has plans to set up ten schools in the Egyptian market.

Remember: Badya University, a joint venture between Palm Hills Developments and higher education outfit Taaleem, was inaugurated earlier this week. The first phase of the project saw total investments of some EGP 1.8 bn — EGP 500 mn were spent on the land, while the remaining EGP 1.3 bn were spent on construction and infrastructure.


#2- Contact Financial heads to Dubai: Non-banking financial services firm Contact Financial Holding opened its first branch in Dubai yesterday, according to a statement (pdf). The expansion aims to cater to Egyptian expats in the UAE by giving them access to a suite of financing and ins. services in Egypt without the need to travel. Expats can pay for services in Egypt such as mortgages, club memberships, car installments, green finance, and much more.

The company has its eyes on other overseas markets: Contact Financial plans to expand into other Arab countries, especially within the GCC, and is also looking into stepping foot into Europe.


#3- Brotinni eyes KSA, UAE expansions: Local food solutions provider startup Brotinni is looking to expand into the Saudi and Emirati markets in 3Q 2025, AlMal reports, citing co-founder and CEO Dalia Abou Omar. The news comes hot on the heels of Cairo-based startup accelerator and consulting firm Entlaq Holding’s acquisition of a minority stake in Brotinni, a move which will help the startup carry out its expansion plans.


#4- Isis Organic to expand into Saudi Arabia and Algeria by mid-2025: SEKEM subsidiary Isis Organic has announced that it will be building two new factories in Saudi Arabia and Algeria with a total of EGP 80 mn in investments, Al Borsa reported, citing General Manager Mohamed Anwer. The factories will see EGP 40 mn in investments each, with the Saudi factory to open in 4Q 2024 and the Algerian factory to open in 1H 2025.

CAPITAL MARKETS-

#1- Ayadi for Investment & Development is mulling an IPO: State-owned Ayadi for Investment & Development is considering offering shares on the EGX within two years, Chairman Osama Saleh told Al Borsa. The company currently has 12 companies in its portfolio, according to Saleh, with plans to exit one of its service sector companies in the near future.


#2- EFG Hermes is working on six IPOs in Saudi Arabia over the next few months, with four scheduled to take place before the end of the year and two others taking place during 1Q 2025, investment banking co-CEO Mohamed Ebeid told Asharq Business. Earlier this year, EFG Holding announced plans to increase its staff in Saudi Arabia by 30% as its investment bank arm gears up to be involved in a number of IPOs in the kingdom.

There are also some IPOs in the pipeline here in Egypt: EFG Hermes is currently working on two EGX offerings for private firms, Ebeid said.

ENERGY-

Could we be in for more Israeli gas? Chevron’s Tamar gas field in Israel is set to undergo developments starting the second half of October to increase the amount of gas supplied to Egypt starting next June to 1.3 bn cf/d, CNN Business Arabic reports citing an unnamed source it says has knowledge of the matter. The move will eventually bring the field’s production capacity up to 1.6 bn cf/d, up from 1 bn currently.

Remember: The Oil Ministry is reportedly looking to increase its Israeli gas imports by the equivalent of 150 mn cf/d to reach 1.1 bn by October. The Israeli Energy Ministry also greenlit an agreement in February to increase its gas exports to Egypt from the Tamar field three-fold starting July 2025 and carrying on for the next 11 years.

HEALTHCARE-

#1- Qasr El Ainy Hospital set for a revample: The state is embarking on a plan to redevelop Cairo’s historic Qasr El Ainy Hospital in a bid to restore its aging infrastructure and upgrade its capabilities, according to a cabinet statement. The three-phase project will expand the hospital's size to around 280k sqm to increase its annual patient capacity from over 2 mn currently. Outdated buildings will be demolished to create more efficient spaces and accommodate new services. The project is supposed to enable the hospital to double the number of surgeries performed from a current 100k per year.


#2- Vacsera in talks with Bavarian Nordic on mpox vaccine production: State-owned vaccine maker Vacsera is currently negotiating with Denmark’s Bavarian Nordic to produce a mpox vaccine that could be exported throughout Africa, Managing Director Sherif Elfeel told CNN. El Feel told the outlet that he expects Egypt would produce between 3 and 5 mn doses if the negotiations — which are set to wrap up by 27 September — end with an agreement.

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PLANET FINANCE

Apple, Google lose ongoing battles with EU court, with the two set to pay bns in EUR in fines, taxes

In a big day for the EU’s crackdown on Big Tech, both Google and Apple lost their battles with the EU’s Court of Justice — leaving Apple with a EUR 13 bn tax bill and Google to pay EUR 2.4 bn in fines.

#1- Apple lost a decade-long battle over its tax setup in Ireland after the court ruled it must pay EUR 13 bn in back taxes, CNBC reports. The European Commission first ordered the repayment in 2016, when it accused Apple of receiving illegal tax perks from Ireland for two decades — a claim Apple denied and contested in court. The tech giant confirmed it will incur a USD 10 bn one-time tax charge by the end of its fourth fiscal quarter on 28 September 2024 in a filing yesterday.

Market reax: The court’s ruling comes on the same day Apple launched its new iPhone, Apple Watch, and AirPods. Shares of the tech giant dipped 1% following the decision.

Ireland’s government downplayed the case, stating that it “involved an issue that is now of historical relevance only,” in a statement.

Meanwhile, Apple stood its ground that it had paid all the taxes it owed, with a spokesperson quoted as saying that “this case has never been about how much tax we pay, but which government we are required to pay it to,” and that the European Commission is “trying to retroactively change the rules and ignore that, as required by international tax law, our income was already subject to taxes in the US.”

#2- The EU court also upheld a EUR 2.4 bn antitrust fine for Google parent Alphabet in a case that has been ongoing for seven years, that aimed to crack down on Google’s use of its search engine to rank its own product listings higher.

The two cases highlight the ongoing friction between US tech firms and the EU, which has pushed for stronger regulations on everything from data protection to taxes and antitrust issues. Recently, Apple also faced a EUR 1.8 bn fine for antitrust violations related to music streaming apps and is being scrutinized under the EU’s Digital Markets Act due to its app store squeezing out rival marketplaces.

ALSO WORTH KNOWING- Oman’s state energy firm OQ is looking to offer 25% of its exploration and production unit in a USD 2 bn IPO, in what would be the GCC's biggest IPO in 2024. (Bloomberg).

THE MARKETS THIS MORNING-

It’s red as far as the eyes can see among Asian markets, as traders assess economic data — including unemployment figures and business sentiment gauges — from Japan and South Korea. South Korea’s small-cap Kosdaq fell 1.6%, while Japan’s Nikkei is down 0.7% and Topix is down 0.8%. Meanwhile, Wall Street futures are little changed as traders await the US’ August inflation report.

EGX30

30,104

-0.9% (YTD: +20.9%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 48.29

Sell 48.42

USD (CIB)

Buy 48.31

Sell 48.41

Interest rates (CBE)

27.25% deposit

28.25% lending

Tadawul

11,987

+0.2% (YTD: +0.2%)

ADX

9,402

+0.5% (YTD: -1.8%)

DFM

4,387

+0.7% (YTD: +8.1%)

S&P 500

5,496

+0.5% (YTD: +15.2%)

FTSE 100

8,206

-0.8% (YTD: +6.1%)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,747

-0.7% (YTD: +5.0%)

Brent crude

USD 69.67

-3.0%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.23

+2.9%

Gold

USD 2,545.90

+0.5%

BTC

USD 57,708.20

+1.2% (YTD: +36.1%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 fell 0.9% at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 3.8 bn (2.7% below the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 20.9% YTD.

In the green: EK Holding -USD (3.0%), Edita (+2.5%), and Telecom Egypt (+2.4%).

In the red: Ezz Steel (-4.5%), ADIB (-3.6%), and Palm Hills Developments (-2.9%).

CORPORATE ACTIONS-

E-finance plans to pay a dividend of EGP 0.197 per share on its 1H 2024 earnings, the company said in an EGX disclosure (pdf). The move will be presented in the upcoming annual general assembly.

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HARDHAT

Egyptian construction firms are expanding abroad — where are they expanding to and what obstacles are they facing?

Construction and real estate players are looking abroad: Egyptian construction and real estate players are ramping up efforts to expand abroad as domestic opportunities shrink, industry leaders told Enterprise. Part of these efforts are seeing local players look to capitalize on the significant international support to developing infrastructure in nations affected by wars and conflicts.

Where are they going? While local developers are looking almost everywhere, there seems to be a particular appetite for the Iraqi, Saudi, and Libyan markets.

TO IRAQ-

Demand is high in Iraq: The Iraqi construction market is expected to grow significantly over the coming ten years, our sources said, adding that they expect demand to exceed the USD 500 bn market over the next decade. Housing, electricity grids, and drinking water projects are particularly in demand.

But, competition is also high: Industry players are looking at the government for support to help them compete with their Turkish and Chinese counterparts, which have already established a name for themselves in the Iraqi market, industry players told Enterprise.

Some local players are already preparing to penetrate the market: Last month, Talaat Moustafa Group (TMG) announced that it is carrying out the legal and technical procedures needed ahead of carrying out investments and projects in Iraq. And earlier this year, Sawiris-owned Ora Developers inked an agreement with the Iraqi government to develop a new residential city in Iraq — dubbed Ali Al Wardi New City — which will house 120k residential units and is set to be the biggest residential complex in Iraq.

Another chance to enter the market: The Iraqi-Jordanian Company for Industry, a joint venture between the Jordanian and Iraqi governments, has launched a tender for construction companies to develop, establish, fund, manage, and maintain the first phase of the Iraqi-Jordanian Economic City — a city on the borders of the two countries that aims to boost trade ties between the two sides and create jobs. Companies can submit their bids on 29 September, according to the tender’s booklet (pdf).

But there’s a catch: Shams El Din Youssef, member of the Egyptian Federation for Construction and Building Contractors (EFCBC) and chairman of AlShams for Contracting, told Enterprise that while his company got the tender’s conditions booklet, a USD 750 mn letter of guarantee requirement caught him by surprise. “We approached several banks for the letter, but it's a huge amount that requires government backing,” he said.

HEADING TO KSA-

A lot of projects are also up for grabs in the Saudi market: The Saudi National HousingCompany is offering a whole lot of projects to Egyptian construction companies — expected to have a combined value of USD 200 bn, government sources told Enterprise.

Remember: TMG is setting up a mixed-use project in Benan City in eastern Riyadh’s Al Fursan in partnership with the Saudi National Housing Company. The SAR 65 bn city will house nearly 28k residential units and it marks the Egyptian real estate giant’s first overseas project. Real estate developer Palm Hills also set up a Saudi branch last month.

A promising regulated market: The Saudi market is large, stable, and welcoming to Egyptian construction companies, EFCBC head Mohamed Sami Saad told Enterprise. This makes it a particularly attractive market for Egyptian firms whose operations have been impacted locally over the past two years.

Companies are lining up for a piece of the Saudi market: Sources told us that 16 companies are preparing to submit offers to the projects on offer, but securing the required letters of guarantee remains an obstacle in the face of finalizing these agreements. The EFCBC is in discussions with the Central Bank of Egypt regarding a solution to this problem, potentially allowing branches of Egyptian banks abroad to guarantee the companies.

MOVING WEST TO LIBYA-

Local firms already have a Libyan presence: Egyptian construction firms have already secured contracts worth about USD 15 bn in Libya. Youssef believes Libya sits on USD 300 bn of potential projects as the country looks to develop its infrastructure. The Central Bank of Libya and another local bank have been supporting Egyptian construction companies working in Libya and facilitating the issuance of letters of guarantee, Youssef told us, adding that this support needs to continue even with Libya preparing to welcome a new central bank governor.

Where things currently stand: Of the 23k contractors registered with the EFCBC, only 40 are currently able to secure construction work abroad, according to Saad. Egyptian firms have gained significant experience in unprecedented projects in recent years, including skyscrapers, seawater desalination, waste management, and housing, Contractors Union member Mamdouh Morshedy told Enterprise.

Local firms have invested bns in expanding and buying the necessary equipment: “In the past, Egypt exported labor and engineers, but now the volume of work, expertise, and tech advancements allow for exporting company operations, especially with domestic projects declining by at least 70%,” said Morshedy.

The market is highly competitive: Morshedy emphasized that there is strong competition from Turkish, Chinese, and Israeli firms for contracting work in Africa and the Arab region.

CHALLENGES FACING EGYPTIAN CONTRACTORS-

A contracting sector: The contracting sector is working to regain balance amid changes in economic conditions like the recent FX shortage and many companies’ shift from now-scarce government projects to those led by the private sector, Saad previously told Enterprise. This comes on top of the letters of guarantee issue, which if resolved could pave the way for hundreds of companies executing major projects abroad.

What’s causing the letters of guarantee headache? Morshedy stated that participating in foreign tenders requires USD-denominated letters of guarantee, and with the decline in the credit rating of local banks, obtaining these guarantees has become very difficult.

A breakthrough on the horizon? EFCBC Secretary General Hesham Yousry told us that the main obstacles facing construction exports were presented to Housing Minister Sherif El Sherbiny, who promised effective solutions.


Your top infrastructure stories for the week:

  • The National Railway Authority (NRA) will issue a tender in November for civil works to develop and modernize the signals on the Tanta-Mansoura-Damietta railway line. (Al Borsa)
  • EGPC wants to boost the country’s refining capacity by nearly 10% this fiscal year: The Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation (EGPC) aims to ramp up the capacity of the country's oil refineries by to 34 mn tons of crude oil in the fiscal year 2024-2025, up from 31 mn tons the previous fiscal year. (Al Arabiya)
  • Egypt and Cyprus have “begun serious steps” to reach an agreement to build a 90-km marine natural gas pipeline to connect the two countries, unconfirmed reports claimed earlier this week. The pipeline will reportedly connect the Aphrodite gas field in Cypriot waters to the Zohr field’s production facilities in Egypt, carrying 1 bn cubic feet of gas per day.

2024

SEPTEMBER

9-12 September (Monday-Thursday): The annual EFG Hermes London Conference.

12 September (Thursday): Egypt’s tender for 20 LNG cargoes is set to close.

15 September (Sunday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday.

16 September (Monday): Egypt-UK Investment and Opportunities Forum, London.

18-20 September (Wednesday-Friday): BEBA mission to the UK, London.

24 September (Tuesday): Enterprise Finance Forum, Cairo, Egypt.

25-26 September (Wednesday-Thursday): The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank’s (AIIB) 2024 annual meeting, Samarkand, Uzbekistan.

25-28 September (Wednesday-Saturday): Cityscape Egypt, Egypt International Exhibition Center, Cairo.

29 September (Sunday): AmCham Egypt Real Estate Conference.

30 September (Monday): Ban on sugar exports expiration.

30 September (Monday): Portfolio Egypt 2024, Nile Ritz-Carlton, Cairo.

30 September (Monday): Egypt Business Forum, Paris.

OCTOBER

1 October (Tuesday): Egypt Business Forum, Marseille.

1-3 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Cairo Sustainable Energy Week, Cairo, Egypt.

5-8 October (Saturday- Tuesday): Techne Summit Alexandria, Biblioteca, Alexandria.

6 October (Sunday): Armed Forces Day.

10-12 October (Thursday-Saturday): Egy Health Expo, Egypt International Exhibition Center, Cairo.

10-12 October (Thursday-Saturday): The FinExpo Conference and Exhibition, Cairo.

17 October (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

13-17 October (Sunday-Thursday): Cairo Water Week, Water and Climate: Building Resilient Communities, Cairo, Egypt.

20-22 October (Sunday-Tuesday): Mediterranean Offshore Conference (MOC), Alexandria, Egypt.

21-27 October (Monday-Sunday): The World Bank and IMF annual meetings.

NOVEMBER

4-8 November (Monday-Friday): World Urban Forum, Cairo, Egypt.

12-15 November (Tuesday-Friday): Arab African Investment and International Cooperation Summit, Aswan, Egypt.

21 November (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

26-28 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Egypt Energy Show, Cairo, Egypt.

30 November (Saturday): Deadline to apply for renewable energy projects under the peer-to-peer (P2P) system.

DECEMBER

26 December (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2H 2024: Gov’t to launch the Cairo Ring Road BRT buses.

3Q 2024: Egyptian-Armenian Joint Committee.

September 2024: Turkish-Egyptian Business Council meeting in Turkey.

End of September: The Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCZone) roadshows in Paris and Marseille, France.

First week of November: Egypt-Turkey high-level trade consultation mechanism.

November 2024: Egypt to host the World Urban Forum (WUF12).

End of 2024: The launch of the high-speed train line linking Ain Sokhna with Al Alamein City.

2025

July 2025: The first operational trail of Egypt-KSA electricity interconnection line.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2Q 2025: Safaga Terminal 2 to start operations.

2027

20 January-7 February: Egypt to host the African Games

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

End of 2027: Trial operations at the Dabaa nuclear power plant expected to take place.

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