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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

Declining non-oil private sector points finger at consumer spending

Good afternoon, friends, and a happy humpday to you all. Today’s slower newscycle comes as a respite in this warmer weather, with today’s issue bringing you coverage of Egypt’s declining non-oil private sector, Netflix’s dropoff at the hands of Trump, and a suggestion of a guilt-free sweet treat to offset it all.

THE BIG STORY TODAY-

Egypt’s non-oil private sector continued to decline in April, which non-oil firms’ attribute to declining demand amid weaker consumer spending, according to S&P Global’s latest Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) report (pdf). Egypt’s headline figure fell 0.7 percentage points to 48.5 in April, down from 49.2 in March, marking the lowest PMI reading for the country in 2025 so far.

Businesses reported a drop in customer spending, which led to lower intakes of new business — and this, in turn, led to a reduction in output, with the rates of contraction for both new orders and output reaching their lowest level in four months.

The effect of rising fuel prices is starting to show: Input prices rose at their highest level in four months in April, with panelists indicating that this was down to an increase in fuel prices, as well as higher material and staff costs. However, this did not reflect on output prices, which remained unchanged during the month. “Although input costs rose at a much sharper pace over the month, this was mainly attributed to the roughly 15% uplift in fuel prices, rather than underlying inflationary pressures," S&P Global Senior Economist David Owen said.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD

Friedrich Merz fails in first round of Chancellorship vote: Leader of Germany’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party Friedrich Merz, has failed to secure enough votes in the first round of voting at the Bundestag to become chancellor, despite his party’s coalition with the Social Democratic Party (SPD) holding a majority of seats. This marks the first failure in Germany’s post-war history for a chancellor candidate to secure first-time backing from parliament. (FT I Reuters)

Political uncertainty looms: Merz received only 310 votes when 316 were needed for confirmation, indicating that several coalition members either defected or abstained. This unexpected outcome has triggered market shock and political uncertainty, especially as it comes just before the Christian Democrat was set to take office on Tuesday. A second round of voting will be required, though no date has been announced. The same threshold of 316 votes will apply for the next attempt. In the meantime, Olaf Scholz continues to serve as acting chancellor.


☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- The temperature’s upwards trend is still going strong, with the mercury in the capital tomorrow projected to rise to 35°C throughout the day, followed by a warmer-than-usual 20°C at night, according to our favorite weather app.

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FOR YOUR COMMUTE

Cut, camera, industry collapse

Is Netflix about to stream its own funeral? US President Donald Trump’s latest announcement comes at a devastating cost for the streaming giant. Yesterday, Trump took to Truth Social — a Trump Media-owned “free speech” social media platform — to express his grievances with Hollywood’s current state. In his post, the president wrote “Hollywood, and many other areas within the [US], are being devastated,” claiming that death is imminent for the movie industry in the country, and that this “is a concerted effort by other Nations and, therefore, a National Security threat.” Trump’s claims were not backed by data.

Make US movies “great again”? The icing on the digital cake was Trump’s shocking announcement to begin imposing a 100% tariff on “any and all” films going into the US that were filmed on foreign lands. The issue is, that’s almost all of them. This year’s top-grossing box office films — A Minecraft Movie, Captain America: A Brave New World, as well as several upcoming movies expected to top the charts like the upcoming Mission Impossible and John Wick spinoff —, all of which will find their way to streaming services, have all been shot abroad and across a slew of countries. Yet it remains unclear how these films are to be affected by the Tariffs, Forbes Middle East reports.

Netflix isn’t having a good time, and misery loves company. The White House was quick to issue a statement walking back Trump’s announcement, confirming that no final decision has yet been made on the matter of film tariffs, with several options being explored, according to Reuters. By that point, however? The damage was already done. The streaming giant, with productions spanning the entire globe, took the brunt of it, suffering a loss of USD 20 bn as Netflix stocks dropped 6.2% yesterday, with other streaming services following suit. Paramount global dropped 3.1%, Walt Disney 3.6%, and Warner Bros. Discovery 3.3%.

Did Trump just wake up one day and choose chaos? Given the givens, it’s fair to assume so, yet it seems Trump’s statement was months in the making. Shortly before taking to Truth Social, Trump had met with his “special ambassador” to Hollywood, actor Jon Voight, The Guardian reports. The actor had been formulating a plan in conjunction with studios, streamers, and unions to strengthen film production in the US, and had only suggested the use of tariffs under certain circumstances — a far cry from Trump’s 100% tariff announcement — according to the British newspaper.

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EAT THIS TONIGHT

Magic or mastery? This bakery makes all sorts of sugar- and guilt-free desserts

? All the late night cravings with none of the guilt? The folks behind the counter at 4 Seeds are nothing short of alchemists. After all — how do you take everyone’s favourite desserts, rid them of sugar, flour, and dairy, and still have them taste the same without some magical ability?

Oats, quinoa, flax, and chia seeds walk into a bakery. At 4 Seeds, the entire menu is crafted using these main seeds — hence the name. Sugar is replaced by stevia, carbs are strictly monitored, and gluten is banned from entry. The menu boasts a variety of cakes, cookies, tarts, and a roster of savory keto breads and pastas.

We know you’re here for the chocolate, and so are we. We might have gone a little overboard with our order, but who’s counting calories when it’s healthy? We tried the molten cake, the chocolate brownies, the cinnamon biscuits, the orange tea biscuits, and the strawberry cheesecake. The verdict? A four-way tie for first place, and a runner-up not far after.

The molten cake takes… well, the cake. Easy to heat and easier to devour, 4 Seeds’ molten chocolate cake immaculately balances both texture and taste. Between spoonfuls, it was difficult to believe that this molten cake was sugar-free. Similarly, the strawberry cheesecake did not disappoint. The orange tea biscuits and cinnamon biscuits proved ideal companions for a hot cup of tea — though if you had us pick one, we’d gladly crown the orange tea biscuits for their smooth, silky texture and light, zesty taste.

Who’s the runner-up? The chocolate brownies were objectively tasty, yet when compared to their stellar sugar-free peers, they somewhat pale in comparison.

WHERE TO GET IT- 4 Seeds has three branches in Cairo — Chillout Sadat Axis, inside Royal House Heliopolis, and inside Royal House El Shorouk. 4 Seeds also delivers through their own website.

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Sports

Inter and Barcelona duke it out for the Champions League final

⚽ Within the next two days, four of Europe’s strongest teams will face two decisive matches to determine the matchup for the 24/25 UEFA Champions League final, which will take place on the Allianz Arena pitch in Munich for the second time since 2012.

Inter Milan will go head to head against Barcelona at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium for the second leg of their semifinal tonight at 10pm. The Nerazzurri walk on the pitch with a recent history of fluctuating results, which has seen them fall into second place in the Serie A standings, while the Blaugrana’s consistent strong performances has earned them four consecutive victories in La Liga.

A decade-long absence from the podium: Inter has lifted the big-eared trophy three times, most recently in 2010. The team aspires to return to the podium after a narrow loss in 2023 against Manchester City. Barcelona has clinched the title each of the last four times they made it into the finals, the most recent of which was 2015.


On the homefront: Smouha will be facing Tala’ea El Gaish at 5pm, followed by a match between Zed and Al Ittihad at 8pm. These matches come as part of the relegation group matches in the Egyptian Premier League.

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OUT AND ABOUT

Spring of the artists

MARK YOUR CALENDAR-

? The French Embassy in Cairo is hosting an art show to support street children and vulnerable women in Cairo. The Printemps des Artistes exhibition will feature contemporary art, and will be held at Villa M by Marakez in Zamalek on Friday, 16 May and Saturday, 17 May. Entrance to the exhibition is unpaid.

HAPPENING THIS WEEK-

The RiseUp Summit returns once again, starting this Thursday, 8 May through Saturday, 10 May at the Grand Egyptian Museum, bringing together investors, leaders, entrepreneurs, and promising startups in Egypt and the Arab region. You can grab your tickets from Ticketsmarché.

Omar Khairat’s Grand Show is taking place on Friday, 9 May. Dress up in your finest formal wear and head to the Qubba Palace to experience the iconic composer’s unforgettable talent. Tickets are available on Ticketsmarché.

In the mood for vocals that will have you shedding a tear? Medhat Saleh would like a word. On Friday, 9 May, the Egyptian singer and songwriter will be taking to the stage at the Must Theatre in 6th of October. The concert starts at 8pm, and you can secure your seat through Ticketsmarché.

Calling all coffee enthusiasts: The Egypt Coffee Festival is bringing caffeine laymen and experts together for a full day of java-themed activities, competitions, and discussions. The event will kick off at 9am on Saturday, 10 May at Kamelizer in District 5. You can grab your tickets through Ticketsmarché.

HAPPENING LATER-

Fans of smooth jazz have a rare chance to see Michael Bublé live on Monday, May 26 at the New Capital. The Grammy winner promises a landmark concert with his smooth, soulful voice and timeless hits for one special evening in Egypt. Tickets are now live on Ticketsmarché.

It seems German DJ and Record Producer Adam Port couldn’t get enough of Egypt. Bringing the beats to the New Administrative Capital’s Green River on Friday, 30 May, Port will once more turn it up with his signature house beats, sprinkled with a musical dash of jazz and soul. Tickets are available through Ticketsmarché.

Rock’n’rollers: Don’t miss out on celebrating 50 Years of AC/DC on Friday 6 June at Mazeej Platform in Somabay, featuring the band’s original voice and co-founder Dave Evans hitting the stage. You can grab tickets on Tazkarti.

The Cairokee Empire rises once more, this time at the Cairo International Stadium. On Saturday, 28 June, the band promises over a decade’s worth of iconic music at the largest venue in Africa. You can grab your tickets through Tazkarti.

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GO WITH THE FLOW

What the markets are doing on 6 May 2025

The EGX30 rose 0.2% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 3.8 bn (15.5% below the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 8.6% YTD.

In the green: Emaar Misr (+1.4%), CIB (+1.3%), and Orascom Construction (+1.1%).

In the red: Juhayna (-2.6%), Qalaa Holdings (-1.7%), and TMG Holding (-1.5%).


MAY

7 May (Wednesday): The Royal Philharmonic Orchestra concert featuring Samih Sawiris.

8-10 May (Thursday-Saturday): RiseUp Summit.

8-18 May (Thursday-Sunday): Cairo Photo Week in Downtown Cairo and District 5.

9 April (Friday): The Grand Show: Omar Khairat at Qubba Palace.

10 May (Saturday): Egypt Coffee Festival at Kamelizer.

16 May (Friday): Angham at the Cairo Opera House.

21-31 May (Wednesday-Saturday): Disney On Ice at Cairo International Stadium.

23 May (Friday): Project Meem at Cairo Festival City.

30 May (Friday): Adam Port at the New Administrative Capital’s Green River.

JUNE

6 June (Friday): 50 Years of AC/DC concert.

28 June (Saturday): Cairokee Empire concert at Cairo International Stadium.

OCTOBER

16-24 October (Thursday-Friday): Gouna Film Festival.

30 October - 22 November (Thursday-Saturday): Forever is Now at the Great Pyramids of Giza.

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