Poverty in rural Upper Egypt may have fallen sharply, a potential boon for supporters of the Sisi administration’s economic policies. The poverty rate in rural Upper Egypt could have fallen as much as 10 percentage points (or nearly 18%) to 47% in 2018 from 57% three years ago, according to an unnamed government source speaking with the domestic press about the preliminary results of a state-commissioned income and expenditure survey.
The story leaves plenty unclear, starting with the details of the reported study, the fact that the alleged results are preliminary. Heck, the report doesn’t even make clear whose definition of poverty the survey is using. But if rural poverty in Upper Egypt — long one of the most stubborn indicators of progress in the war on poverty — is declining, the story bears watching.
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Egypt’s budget deficit dipped to 3.1% from 3.7% y-o-y during the first five months of FY2018-19, coming in at EGP 162.3 bn, down from EGP 163.6 bn in the same period last year, according to a Finance Ministry report (pdf). Inflows to state coffers during the five-month period came in at EGP 321 bn while expenditures topped EGP 484 bn. Egypt is targeting a budget deficit of 8.4% for the current fiscal year.
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Gov’t puts pen to paper on EastMed energy hub strategy: A government committee has drafted a strategy to advance Egypt’s plan to become the premier energy hub in the Eastern Mediterranean region, according to a Cabinet statement. The strategy involves studying and benchmarking similar projects elsewhere, conducting a cost–benefit analysis, and devising short- and long-term action plans. We could also see our ports become the first to set up natural gas marine fuel stations along the eastern Mediterranean. The committee will hand its recommendation to cabinet for review.
This comes as friendlier oil and gas contracts are set to take effect this quarter: We had noted last October that the Oil Ministry is planning to roll out new production sharing contracts with friendlier terms for international oil companies. The new framework, which is set to take effect this quarter, would grant the companies a larger share of the output and allow them to sell their share of production to anyone they like. This would replace the current, more rigid system, which gives producers only one-third of output and sets the government as the only buyer of their share of production at preset prices. Taken with a push — emphasized last week by President Abdel Fattah El Sisi — for more refining capacity as well as for the repayment of arrears to E&P companies, the move could significantly improve an already bright climate for oil and gas players in Egypt.
Israeli energy minister coming to town next month: Also on the energy hub front: Israeli Energy Minister Yuval Steinitz will be in town between 11-13 February for talks with President Abdel Fattah El Sisi and Electricity Ministry Mohamed Shaker, an Israeli government official told i24NEWS. Steinitz’s visit will coincide with the Egypt Petroleum Show and comes after a USD 1.76 bn international arbitration ruling in November paved the way for Egypt to import as much as USD 15 bn worth of natural gas from Egypt over a 10-year period.
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Etisalat Misr wins EGP 700 mn arbitral award against Vodafone Egypt, Matouk Bassiouny & Hennawy law firm, which presented the former, said in a press release (pdf). Vodafone, which filed the lawsuit in 2016 due to concerns over interconnection fees with Etisalat Misr, is currently processing the verdict in order to respond appropriately, Youm7 noted.
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Passenger car sales were up in October for the ninth consecutive month, rising 55% y-o-y to 14,640 vehicles, according to an Automotive Information Council (AMIC) report (pdf). Bus and car sales also increased 48.6% and 52.1% y-o-y, respectively, during the month. Passenger car sales also registered a 39% y-o-y increase in 11M2018, reaching 123.5k units compared to 88.5k in the same period last year, Al Mal said, citing AMIC data. Chevrolet captured a 21.4% market share during the period, followed by Hyundai (17.6%), Nissan (14.3%), Renault (8.4%), and Toyota (7.1%). The automotive industry has been rebounding since January 2018, following a slump that was exacerbated by the EGP devaluation in 2016.
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Egypt Post could be about to get into the microfinance game: The ICT Ministry is planning to introduce microfinance services through Egypt’s postal offices, minister Amr Talaat said, according to Al Mal. No further details were provided on the timing or specifics of the system. The number of microfinance borrowers in Egypt, who will benefit from the mechanism, is in the range of 2.7 mn, Financial Regulatory Authority head Mohamed Omran said earlier this month, according to a separate report by Ahram.
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Fawry gets insurance brokerage license: The Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) has given e-payments chain Fawry final approval for a license to provide insurance brokerage services, Amwal Al Ghad reports, citing unnamed sources. Fawry’s insurance brokerage arm will kick off with EGP 2 mn in capital. There are now a total of 80 companies that provide the service in Egypt.
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INVESTMENT WATCH- UAE’s DP World moving ahead with EGP 1.6 bn expansion of Ain Sokhna port: DP World has signed an EGP 1.6 bn agreement to move ahead with part of its project to expand Ain Sokhna port, the domestic press reports, citing unnamed sources. Rowad Modern Engineering has been hired as a contractor for the project, which will bring the port’s total capacity at 1 mn TEU per year. Bringing DP’s total investments in the Ain Sokhna port to more than EGP 8.9 bn, the project is expected to be the largest environmentally friendly container handling facility in Egypt, according to AMAY.
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Hyundai Rotem lands USD 134.5 mn contract to supply metro cars: Hyundai Rotem has landed a USD 134.5 mn contract to supply Egypt with 48 air-conditioned cars for line two of the Cairo Metro by 2021, South Korea’s Pulse News reports. The agreement will be funded via a facility fund from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) amid government efforts to upgrade the country’s metro system, Youm7 reported. The agreement includes Hyundai provides maintenance for the cars through 2031. This is the third time the South Korean company has won a bid to supply Egypt’s National Authority for Tunnels with metro cars. In 2017, it signed a c.EUR 350 mn agreement to supply 32 cars for Cairo Metro’s lines three and four. The Korea Herald also had the story.
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Something’s going on out by the Pyramids, but we can’t quite put our finger on it: The latest turn in the saga between Naguib Sawiris’ Orascom Investment Holding (OIH) and Prism International sees Prism ceding its exclusive right to run the Sound and Light show at the Giza Plateau to a joint venture it had earlier created with OIH, sources told Al Mal. The JV is 70% owned by OIH, which the story claims had “asked” Prism to walk away from the project as the Sound and Light Cinema Company (SLCC) prepared to annul the USD 10 mn contract. And the SLCC? It’s still going to pull the plug on the contract, says Mervat Hataba, chairperson of the state-owned General Company for Tourism and Hotels (better known as EGOTH). She says the SLCC is putting the right to commercialize the sound and light show back out for tender. Prism, meanwhile, is reportedly looking to take OIH to arbitration — mirroring a threat OIH had previously made.
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CABINET WATCH- Cabinet approves three funding facilities for water projects: Cabinet ratified during yesterday’s Council of Ministers meeting four agreements with preferential funding terms for water, sewage treatment and sanitation projects, according to a statement. The first, a KWD 15 mn facility from the Kuwait Fund for Arab Economic Development (KFAED), will be used to set up four desalination plants in South Sinai. The second, a KWD 25 mn facility also from KFAED, will go towards the construction of a sewage treatment facility in Sharqia. The third and fourth, EUR 79 mn and EUR 69 mn from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, will be used for the Kitchener Drain depollution project. The latter project had also received funding from other sources.
Also approved during the meeting:
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MOVES- National Tunnel Authority gets new boss: Transport Minister Hisham Arafat has appointed Gen. Ahmed Abdel Moneim Mohamed as the new president of the National Transport Authority, according to a ministry statement.
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Three Egyptian startups made Disrupt Africa’s list of “12 African startups to watch in 2019”: Elves, a personal assistant app, raised USD 2 mn in seed funding at the end of 2017, which gave it room for expansion and growth in 2018. Shezlong, an online psychotherapy platform, raised USD 350k in funding last year and presented at the African Early Stage Investor summit. Halan, a tuk-tuk and motorbike ride-hailing app, last year also raised multi-mns during a series A round.
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