Good morning, friends. We end this short workweek with a rather long issue — leading with Ascom inching closer to snapping up a 90% stake in Raya’s Ostool, setting the stage for the logistics firm to essentially return home to Qalaa Holdings.
We have two major — and worrying — macro stories to digest today. Our domestic savings rate has collapsed to a mere 1.2% of GDP, as relentless inflation leaves households with virtually nothing left to save. Also, the non-oil private sector contracted for a fifth straight month in May, marked by a historic surge in selling-price inflation as businesses pass their mounting costs onto consumers.
But pleasant news comes from the EGX, which eked out a 1.73% gain last month. However, the real momentum has rotated down-market to smaller caps. Also to watch at the bourse: it introduced a strict six-month launch timeline for new index-tracking funds.
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Index fund countdown begins
The EGX rolled out new rules for investment funds tracking its indices, effective Tuesday, 2 June, according to a bourse filing (pdf). Fund managers are now required to be official EGX member firms licensed by the Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA). Managers of existing index-tracking funds who do not hold membership are being given a six-month grace period to comply.
The new framework also adds a ticking clock to product launches. Funds now have a maximum of six months to close their subscription rounds and issue certificates after receiving preliminary EGX approval. If they fail to meet the deadline or submit misleading data, the initial approval is automatically voided, and the exchange will formally notify the applicant and the FRA within 48 hours of the cancellation. Applicants must also commit in writing to paying the index licensing fee before approval is granted.
“There is genuine demand from retail investors for index tracking,” Thndr Chief Equity Strategist Amr El Alfy tells EnterpriseAM, pointing to massive interest in funds tracking the EGX100, EGX70, and the recently introduced EGX30 Capped. With retail investors accounting for more than three-quarters of market trading volume, the equity market’s strong run over the past period has meaningfully accelerated appetite for these products, El Alfy argues.
IN CONTEXT- The new rules arrive amid explosive growth in the broader investment fundindustry, which jumped 30% in 1Q 2026 to hit an overall net asset value of EGP 411 bn. However, index funds still represent a tiny fraction of that market, holding just EGP 243.7 mn in net asset value, despite returning a solid 7.54% during the quarter.
CBE steps out, SFE steps in
The Sovereign Fund of Egypt (SFE) plans to take a 10-20% stake in two new industrial investment funds with targeted capital of EGP 5 bn, the Arabic press reports, citing unnamed government officials. Launched with CI Capital and Cairo Capital, the funds will target scalable, export-driven manufacturers. Prospectuses are heading to the Financial Regulatory Authority this month for a September rollout — a slight delay from the initial July target. The move provides a firm timeline for the broader pipeline announced in March, which will ultimately see the SFE partner with five major investment banks on a suite of debt and equity vehicles.
Why it matters: Manufacturers have been squeezed by borrowing costs north of 30% after subsidized central bank lending initiatives were rolled back under IMF pressure. By using the SFE to de-risk investments and crowd in private capital, the government is shifting industrial growth from a fiscal burden to a capital market play. This also aligns with the government’s goal to divert liquidity away from safe havens — like real estate and gold — into productive sectors. The state aims to raise the industrial sector’s GDP contribution to 20% and double industrial jobs to 7 mn by 2030.
Data point
USD 4.6 bn — that’s Egypt’s trade deficit for March, marking a 48.8% y-o-y surge, according to Capmas’ latest monthly foreign trade report. The widening gap was driven by a 17.8% y-o-y spike in imports to USD 9.3 bn, heavily fueled by ballooning energy and food bills — crude petroleum imports soared 90.4%, wheat jumped 41.9%, petroleum products rose 16.7%, and natural gas climbed 16.6%. This import surge completely overwhelmed a minor 2.5% y-o-y retreat in exports, which landed at USD 4.6 bn.
PSA
If you were traveling to Kuwait today, your trip may have been canceled. EgyptAir suspended flights to and from Kuwait yesterday and today, citing regional developments, after an Iranian attack targeted Kuwait International Airport. The airline says the suspension is temporary and urged passengers to check their bookings and contact customer service for the latest updates. The government condemned the attack, which the Foreign Ministry said caused injuries and serious damage to airport facilities.
WEATHER- It’s very hot and sunny in Cairo today, with the capital looking at a high of 38°C and a low of 24°C, according to our favorite weather app.
It’s a little cooler in Alexandria, which is in for a high of 30°C and a low of 19°C.
And over the weekend, expect to see similar conditions in the capital (a high of 36-37°C) and a cooler 32°C for our friends on the Mediterranean.
The big story abroad
We have a slew of updates on the regional conflict. A Republican-controlled US House of Representatives has voted to block President Donald Trump from launching further strikes on Iran unless congressional approval is obtained. This is the House’s fourth attempt to curb Trump’s military actions and still requires approval from the Senate.
Is headway being made? Trump has said that Tehran has “already agreed” not to have nuclear weapons, adding that it can still change its mind. Iran’s Foreign Ministry declined to weigh in while an unnamed government source said the president’s comments were misleading.
More strikes: Kuwait International Airport was targeted yesterday in a strike that injured several people and forced flight cancellations. While regime-affiliated media reported that Iranian authorities have denied responsibility and blamed US interceptor rockets, the US military rejected those claims.
ALSO- Lebanon and Israel have agreed to a ceasefire. The truce — brokered by Washington — is contingent on a complete halt to Hezbollah fire and the total evacuation of its operatives from the South Litani Sector.
Meanwhile, Uber is reportedly plugging some USD 500 mn into Nuro, a self-driving startup. The startup — backed by Nvidia and Soft Bank — aims to license its software to carmakers and is expected to launch later this year.
SpaceX’s IPO isn’t the only offering making headlines: Anthropic has reportedly tapped Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs to lead its highly-anticipated IPO this year, which could take place as early as October.