Egypt and the UAE are “maneuvering to bring Mohammed Dahlan back to Gaza,” Michelle Dunne and Jake Walles write for the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Dunne and Walles point out that getting Dahlan back could carry the short-term benefit of a “more economically stable and less desperate Gaza.” However, they note that “outside powers such as Israel, Egypt, and the UAE can try to promote certain choices (Dahlan), constrain others (Hamas), and prevent still others (Barghouti), but in the end such plans often go awry. Local factors might still prevent Dahlan from gaining dominance, and even if he were to do so, he might prove to be far less tractable than his outside patrons expect.”
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