Pilot purgatory

1

OPENING NOTE

Riyadh is pressing ahead with its events calendar

Good morning, friends. Saudi Arabia is pressing ahead with its marquee business calendar, even as Houthi attacks on the country’s biggest airports have led some execs to rethink their travel plans.

The World Petroleum Council’s Energy Congress kicked off yesterday and runs through to the end of the week, with the Future Investment Initiative following later this month, both at the King Abdulaziz International Conference Center in Riyadh. The UK has warned against all but essential travel to the capital and other parts of the Kingdom, consultancies are curbing trips, and Italy’s energy minister will address the congress by video, the Financial Times reports.

But even as some are staying away, plenty are still going: Senior Middle East bankers are planning smaller delegations and several foreign energy executives said they will be there on the view that “the Saudis remember who their friends were in bad times.

Kroll associate managing director Phil Miles told the FT that executives are loath to pull out of an event the size of FII, so firms are “deferring decision-making” until the last possible moment. One banker expecting a thinner foreign turnout was blunter about it, saying it would mean “less competition for face time.”

FII organizers said on Friday that the summit will go ahead with “comprehensive security measures.” Officials are treating this week’s energy congress as the bellwether, a person familiar with their thinking told the salmon-colored paper, and the final call rests on state security’s confidence that the airports, the venue and the hotels are protected against cruise missiles.

Across the pond, the Trump administration froze PERM green card processing for Microsoft, Adobe, Tata Consultancy Services and Capgemini over allegations that the system was being abused, Reuters reported. Microsoft is the largest single filer of PERM applications on Labor Department data and said 80% of its H-1B filings last fiscal year were extensions or status changes for existing staff, paid on the same terms as US peers. The administration has also opened investigations into nine universities including Harvard, Yale and Stanford over alleged misuse of J-1 exchange visas to hold down labor costs. Both squeezes hit pipelines that Gulf employers and universities are recruiting from. –Salma

2

THE LEDE

GCC AI adoption surges on paper, but scaling past the pilot stays the hard part

Nearly two-thirds of GCC organizations now report “functional” AI adoption, up from 19% a year ago, new data from the UAE-based consultancy Cooper Fitch’s survey of 250k employees shows. That means AI is in use for specific tasks rather than company-wide in two-thirds of the surveyed organizations, Cooper Fitch CEO Trefor Murphy tells EnterpriseAM.

But only 4% have fully embedded it. That compares with 34% at multinational firms benchmarked in the same survey.

That is what AI looks like inside a MENA business this year: It is increasingly becoming operational, measurable, and increasingly central to earnings reporting. It is also uneven — concentrated in large firms with the data, the engineers, and the budget to deploy it, and still fragile enough that most of what gets called “AI adoption” in regional surveys is really pilot work that may or may not reach production.

The on-the-ground picture at the EnterpriseAM Egypt Forum last week tracks with this pattern. Qalaa Holdings’ Egyptian Refining Company (ERC) is piloting an agent that reads the pressure, temperature, vibration, and flow signatures of its machinery to flag failures before they happen — a problem that costs the refinery USD 5 mn a day it is offline, and USD 35 mn in a single outage once a seven-day restart is factored in. Capgemini Egypt has built a service-desk tool for one client that already handles 56% of traffic with no human in the loop, CEO Hossam Seifeldin told the Forum. MNT-Halan’s in-house credit-risk tool Apollo tells CEO Mounir Nakhla each month-end which collection accounts to work and will roll out across “many departments” within three months. “Very soon, I think Apollo will replace me. That’s scaring me,” Nakhla said.

Scaling is the challenge

Scaling isn’t about the tech: “Scaling requires changes to governance, data management, ways of working and workforce capabilities,” EY’s MENA Chief Technology Officer Mazen Baroudi tells EnterpriseAM. Organizations that stay in pilot mode “tend to begin with technology, applying AI to an existing process and achieving incremental efficiency within one function, but without creating the conditions for wider adoption.” The ones that scale, in Baroudi’s experience, combine three things: executive sponsorship, an industrialized technology platform, and genuine data readiness.

That data-readiness piece is where Cloudera says most regional enterprises come up short. “Most organizations are not yet ready to scale AI across the enterprise, even if they have the infrastructure to begin experimenting,” Cloudera VP for the Middle East and Turkey Nick Loumakis tells EnterpriseAM. In the firm’s EMEA Data Readiness Index, 91% of IT leaders say their data infrastructure can support strategic priorities over the next two to three years — but only 26% say all their data is fully governed, and just 34% have fully integrated data sources across environments. Legacy systems, fragmented ownership, and information trapped across separate platforms make it difficult to give AI models consistent access to reliable data, Loumakis says, which is why so many promising pilots fail when they move into production.

On the ground in Riyadh, that early-stage picture is what founders are selling against. Saudi organizations are “still at the very early stages of AI,” Gaia co-founder and CEO Badr Al Malluh told EnterpriseAM last month, after raising a USD 1.5 mn pre-seed round to build a Saudi-specific AI operational layer. The common bottleneck his team ran into while talking to local enterprise leaders: “Institutional knowledge getting lost, operational inefficiency, and global AI platforms that didn’t meet Saudi regulations.”

That also lines up with what Capgemini’s Seifeldin told us: Most firms are at stage one, where AI boosts productivity; stage two is business-process re-engineering, which has barely started; stage three is new business models, which is further off. The bottleneck in working towards advanced stages is “inconsistent data and undocumented legacy code,” which puts incumbents at a structural disadvantage against startups that can build their AI foundation from scratch.

Inside the firm and the industry

How AI is used inside firm functions is as uneven as the country-level picture. Cooper Fitch’s department breakdown shows Strategy and Transformation functions leading on adoption maturity, with 100% of respondents reporting functional-or-higher deployment and 72% at functional stage. Technology, IT, and Digital follow at 75%, with 25% already reporting AI as fully embedded — the highest embedding rate in the sample. Executive leadership sits at 69%, HR at 64%, and finance trails at 40%. The investment case shifts with the function: Finance teams invest for automation of repetitive work; tech teams invest for cost reduction and efficiency; strategy teams invest for broader transformation, where 86% report productivity as the highest measurable impact.

The sectoral pattern is even sharper than the departmental one. Cooper Fitch sorts respondent sectors into three groups by priority. Consulting and professional services, retail and e-commerce, tech, and real estate are the “faster execution” cluster — AI shortens research, planning, and customer-response cycles, with 44% of consulting respondents and 43% of retail respondents prioritising speed and execution. Finance, banking and insurance, government, energy, transport and logistics, and media are the “automating workflows” cluster, where AI handles structured, repeatable tasks and shifts people toward oversight. Education, hospitality, and healthcare sit in a mixed cluster where investment priorities split across operational and commercial objectives.

Are jobs more resilient than thought?

While adoption rises, something unexpected is happening — expectations of AI-driven job losses have fallen hard. About 31% of GCC respondents expected AI to eliminate roles within 12 to 24 months in last year’s Cooper Fitch survey. In this year’s report, that figure is down to 14%.

Direct job elimination is not the pattern that materialized. Role consolidation is. Some 22% of respondents say they have already combined roles because of AI, and a further 41% are actively exploring consolidation. This consolidation was highest in tech functions, where development, testing, maintenance, and troubleshooting are being combined into broader technical roles, killing off “monotonous roles such as testing or code clean-up.” In support and operations, admin work, reporting, coordination, finance processing, and customer-service tasks are being absorbed into wider positions, scrapping the traditional admin and junior roles.

“There has been a significant reduction in how organizations see this around eliminating jobs,” Murphy tells EnterpriseAM. The reductions firms are seeing are small — roughly 80% of respondents report either no reduction or less than 5% of roles cut, with only a long tail seeing cuts above 10%. “A fractional amount of everyone’s job” is how Murphy describes the net effect across the sample.

But the data still cements the concerns about entry-level jobs: The entry-level tasks being automated are the same tasks employees have traditionally used to build commercial judgement, Murphy tells us. “In typical entry-level roles, you do the same thing over and over until you know it inside out. Then you start thinking about how and why things are done a certain way. As you gain experience, you become someone who can question things,” he says. “Fast-forward 10 years, and the people who started their jobs with a GenAI tool are not actually questioning what GenAI is doing for them. That is going to be a problem,” Murphy adds.

The rising appreciation of the human element appears in how Sarwa, an Abu Dhabi-based wealth platform, is embracing AI, CEO Mark Chahwan previously told us. An AI chatbot already handles around half of inbound client interactions, but the company has pushed back against driving that number toward 100%. “We still see an important role for the human part, especially in financial services, and especially when you are an institution trusted with people’s life savings and money,” Chahwan said, adding that Sarwa recently extended hours and hired more human support staff for weekends.

What’s next: Governance needs to catch up

Enterprise-level AI governance across the GCC is a long way behind the usage curve. 81% of GCC regional organizations describe their AI governance as absent, informal, or evolving, with 27% operating under no governance framework at all and only partially established frameworks at 19% of firms, according to the Cooper Fitch report. None of the 250k employees Cooper Fitch surveyed reported a fully established policy at a GCC regional company. “We have no governance and less oversight than necessary,” Murphy says.

EY argues the fix is proportionate governance. “Innovation and governance can advance together. The key is to apply governance in proportion to the level of risk,” Baroudi says. A marketing chatbot does not need the same approval path as a model supporting credit decisions — each solution should be registered, classified by risk, and independently reviewed before deployment, he adds.

The regional policy picture is just as uneven. The MENA Observatory on Responsible AI at AUC — which led the regional data collection for the 2026 Global Index on Responsible AI — scores AI governance maturity in Middle East countries at an average of around 32 out of 100, with Egypt (41.26), Jordan (40.46), and Qatar (38.88) at the top of the regional table and the UAE (38.54) fourth. Most frameworks in the Global South are non-binding. “Technological advancement usually outpaces policy change because it moves so fast,” the Observatory’s Nadine Weheba tells us. Reaching enforcement is “a whole separate layer” that still requires budgets, implementing bodies, public awareness, and capacity-building across the public service, she adds.

For regional startups, the operating risk sits with data sovereignty. Saudi Arabia and the broader GCC require data to stay on local servers. “Responsible startups might choose European servers to comply with GDPR, but others without privacy awareness might use unsecure servers anywhere, exposing user data to third parties,” the Observatory’s country researcher Marwa Seoudi tells EnterpriseAM. Cooper Fitch’s respondents point to the same risk from the enterprise side: Data privacy and regulatory risk is the leading barrier to AI advancement for 44% of GCC regional respondents, ahead of systems integration at 36%.

With solid resources allowing for compliance, the risk in larger firms is mostly cyber, not governance. Three recent attacks saw oil and gas companies pay out “huge sums of money” to unlock their data, Heikal told the Forum, without providing further detail. Industries that robotics could pull back to developed markets — textiles in particular — are the other long-tail risk he flagged.

3

WAR WATCH

Foreign carriers suspend Riyadh flights as Houthi airport strikes continue

The Houthis have claimed responsibility for four large-scale attacks on Saudi airports and Aramco facilities over the past 24 hours, using ballistic and cruise missiles and drones. Spokesperson Yahya Saree listed King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh, King Fahd International Airport in Dammam, and Aramco’s Shedgum gas plant and Tanajib oil facility in a statement released yesterday. Saudi authorities confirmed the strikes on both airports. Saudi-led coalition forces intercepted a ballistic missile launched by the Houthis targeting Khamis Mushait earlier today, coalition spokesperson Major General Turki Al Maliki said.

Riyadh’s airport was hit for a second day running: An unknown projectile hit Passenger Hall 4 at King Khalid International Airport, igniting a fire, the Saudi-led coalition said. The attack resulted in the death of one Pakistani national and 11 injuries, while the material damage is still being assessed, SPA reported. Air defenses also intercepted and destroyed a separate cruise missile near the airport. The airport has been shut since Saturday’s strike, when the Saudi General Authority of Civil Aviation (GACA) suspended operations, with no confirmed reopening date.

A projectile hit the tarmac at Dammam’s King Fahd International Airport yesterday as well: GACA said late yesterday that the airport had come under attack and that safety inspections were underway, according to a statement. Flightradar24 showed delays and cancellations at the airport, the kingdom’s third-largest.

ICYMI- Saturday’s attack on Riyadh airport killed 13 people and injured more than 300. Earlier strikes last week closed Saudi airports briefly — Abha International and King Khalid were hit on 6 and 7 October, killing two residents at Abha (28 injured) and one at King Khalid (eight injured). Two more strikes on King Khalid on 8 October, aimed at airport facilities and a Saudia aircraft, killed three Saudi citizens, including Saudia Captain Hamoud Al Kalthami. Saree claimed responsibility for Thursday’s strikes on King Khalid, Najran airport, and the Khamis Mushait airbase.

The Houthis say every Saudi airport except in the holy cities of Mecca and Medina is a potential target. The group is warning carriers, airport staff, and travelers against using Saudi airspace.

Foreign carriers are suspending Riyadh flights: Analytics firm Cirium counted around 300 cancellations at Riyadh on Thursday, and Flightradar24 logged another 131 at Riyadh on Friday. By Sunday, some 606 flights had been listed as canceled at King Khalid International Airport. Qatar Airways, EgyptAir, and Singapore Airlines are among those that suspended Riyadh service. Etihad Airways has canceled its Abu Dhabi-Riyadh flights through tomorrow, while flydubai has suspended flights to Riyadh and Abha up to and including Wednesday, 14 October.

Regulators are telling airlines to stay away: The EU’s EASA widened its Saudi airspace advisory, citing the risk that air defenses could misidentify civil aircraft. OpsGroup, a network of nearly 10k aviation professionals, sent members a “do not fly” warning.

Riyadh’s energy week opened as planned yesterday, without some of the industry’s top executives. The five-day WPC Energy Congress is being held at a convention center about 10km from the airport, the Saudi energy ministry said, and the International Energy Forum’s ministerial meeting, co-hosted by Italy and Nigeria, also went ahead with media access limited to invited journalists, The National reports. Chief executives of oil companies, including ExxonMobil, TotalEnergies, Shell, and BP, have canceled their plans to attend, the Financial Times reports, citing two people familiar with the matter.

President Donald Trump says the US will decide quickly whether to join strikes on the Houthis. “We may. We’re going to look at it,” he told reporters, adding that the US had “just found out about the recent attack. So we’ll make a decision. We move very quickly.” Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araqchi, told his Saudi counterpart that Tehran is ready to help facilitate dialogue between Saudi Arabia and Yemen, Reuters reports. The UK could “potentially” provide more support to Saudi Arabia, UK Defence Secretary Wes Streeting suggested, the BBC reports.

REMEMBER- The Houthis attacked Yemen’s Aden International Airport last week with two ballistic missiles and several drones, hitting the runway and passenger terminal. They also struck Saudi airports and sites including King Khalid, Jazan’s King Abdullah bin Abdulaziz International, Najran International, and Abha, plus Aramco’s Rabigh refinery.

ALSO- A fully laden crude supertanker was struck by an unknown projectile 13 nautical miles west of Al Jazeera in the UAE over the weekend in what maritime security sources say could signal a widening of shipping risk beyond the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reports. The Panama-flagged Gem No. 2 caught fire after the strike, though the blaze was extinguished; the crew’s status, damage, and any environmental impact remain unclear.

That shifts the geography of the problem: Last month, attacks were still concentrated around the strait itself, including one on the Adnoc-operated Al Maryah. The latest strike happened outside the Hormuz area and came days after another tanker was hit off Qatar, pointing to a broader threat across Gulf waters rather than just at the chokepoint.

4

THE SCORECARD

MENA startups set a mega-round record in Q3 as the early-stage deal base thinned 45%

Venture capital mega rounds reached a record high in 3Q, but the early-stage dealbase kept shrinking, according to Magnitt 3Q 2026 data seen by EnterpriseAM. Three rounds above USD 100 mn — Tabby’s USD 233 mn series F, barq’s USD 329.5 mn series A, and Moove’s USD 250 mn — pushed quarterly mega-round funding to a record USD 813 mn. Early-stage dealcount across the first nine months, meanwhile, fell 45% y-o-y.

In perspective: Regional startups raised about USD 3 bn across 351 transactions in 9M 2026, down 7% in value and 33% in volume compared with the same period last year, according to the report. Strip out mega-rounds and 9M funding would be down 32% y-o-y.

Mega-rounds raised USD 1.5 bn across six transactions in 9M 2026 — more than the entirety of 2025 with a quarter still to go. The six were all in UAE or Saudi: barq (USD 329.5 mn), CargoX (USD 250 mn), Moove (USD 250 mn), Tabby (USD 233 mn), Mal (USD 230 mn), and Spiro (USD 215 mn).

September announcements did the heavy lifting. Two of the three 3Q mega-rounds were announced in that month, led by barq, Farah El Nahlawi, Magnitt’s research director, tells us. “After two slow summer months, September marked a rebound. It accounted for two of the quarter’s three mega-rounds and recorded the third-highest monthly deal count of 2026, supported by the return of major regional events such as LEAP and Money20/20.”

The UAE went one way, Saudi and Egypt the other. UAE funding rose 17% y-o-y to USD 1.6 bn, with close to USD 1 bn of that from mega-rounds. Saudi funding fell 29% y-o-y to USD 1 bn and Egypt dropped 20% to USD 206 mn. The UAE and Saudi together recorded 68% of regional deals, broadly in line with 70% a year earlier.

Fintech kept its place as VC’s favorite sector. The sector raised USD 1.7 bn across 93 transactions — pulling 58% of regional funding and 26% of deals, with four mega-rounds (barq, Moove, Tabby, Mal) accounting for 60% of the 9M funding. Transport and manufacturing followed at USD 298 mn and USD 218 mn, powered by CargoX and Spiro, respectively.

Local capital is filling the gap left by foreigners, a trend that we previously reported on in both stock markets and venture capital. MENA-based investors supplied 58% of capital deployed in 9M, up from 50% a year earlier and a three-year high for the share, while foreign investors’ share declined to 42%, with US-based investor deployment falling from 15% to 9%.

What’s next: The report expects a “higher for longer” interest rate environment to weigh on VC activity through 2027, with the US Federal Reserve having raised rates on 16 September for the first time since 2023 and projecting further tightening before year-end. Exits would be the other thing to keep an eye on — MENA recorded 31 M&A transactions in 9M 2026, down 26% y-o-y — consistent with Magnitt’s March scenario that expected buyer caution to show up within three to six months.

5

Banking

Kuwaiti banks pull half their deposits from the CBK in 9M 2026

Kuwait’s banks are burning through their reserves at the central bank to keep lending through the war: Lenders’ deposits at the Central Bank of Kuwait (CBK) halved to KWD 2.4 bn by the end of September, from KWD 4.8 bn at the end of 2025, according to CBK data (pdf).

Wartime policy easing made this possible. In March, the CBK temporarily lowered banks’ liquidity minimums. It cut the liquidity coverage and net stable funding ratios to 80% from 100%, and the regulatory liquidity ratio to 15% from 18%. It also raised their lending ceiling and released part of their capital buffer. Banks no longer need as much cash sitting idle, and they’ve been lending it out: Credit to residents rose c. 3.4% in the first eight months, the data shows.

Banks also had room to spare when the easing began: Their liquidity and capital ratios exceeded regulatory requirements by comfortable margins, the CBK said in March.

Why it matters: The war-time stimulus provided the buffers to keep lending going, but that won’t last forever amid economic slowdown and disrupted crude flows. Kuwait’s public debt rose fivefold midway through the year. The Finance Ministry says the FY 2025-26 deficit widened nearly 13% to KWD 7 bn.

What’s next: Once the old minimums return, banks will need to rebuild that cash, and lending could slow as they do. The CBK has already asked banks how ready they are to return to pre-March liquidity rules, the Times Kuwait reports. With buffers now half the size they were in January, that unwind will test how much of this year’s lending growth banks can keep up. The mortgage law awaiting the emir’s signature would add another source of loan demand.

6

MARKETS + DEALS

Banque du Caire files weeks behind MNT-Halan, testing Egypt’s market depth

Egypt is about to find out whether its market can fill two state-scale books back to back at the same time rising regional tension tests sentiment. Banque du Caire filed its ITF yesterday, weeks behind MNT-Halan, nearly two decades since the Egyptian government first tried to take the bank public. MNT’s retail tranche was 62% covered after its first day, with no private-tranche number out yet. Ezdehar is already writing EGX listings back into the exit plans for its next fund.

Banque du Caire has filed to sell 30% on the EGX, weeks behind MNT-Halan. Banque Misr is offloading 4.575 bn of its shares and keeping all the proceeds, with subscriptions wrapping up in late October and a November debut. At the EGP 80-80.5 bn fair value we reported in September, the stake is worth about EGP 24 bn (c. USD 460 mn), by our math — roughly triple the USD 150 mn on offer in MNT’s IPO.

Nothing new is being issued, so the bank itself raises nothing. That leaves the development-finance piece unexplained: In August, our Egypt desk reported the EBRD and IFC were eyeing 10% between them, with an EBRD official saying the lender wanted to “contribute to Banque du Caire’s capital.” Yesterday’s notice names neither, and no price range, tranche split, or cornerstones were disclosed.

The calendar is the risk. BdC’s book stands a better chance if it opens after MNT refunds unallocated cash, banking analyst Hany Abou El Fotouh tells our Egypt desk, and fund managers may treat the two as competing for a single Egypt allocation. With no demand figures from either yet, “you can’t say for certain whether there’s a liquidity squeeze or demand that can absorb both offerings.”

The state is lining up buyers. A European roadshow last month brought international investors into a large part of the private placement, a government source tells us, with roadshows for BdC and Misr Life Ins. still running. At home it is pressing the National Social Ins. Authority, Egypt Post, and the Awqaf Authority to lift equity exposure ahead of the state IPO slate. BdC would be the first state IPO since United Bank floated in late 2024, and the privatization record is one of the things the IMF tracks under the USD 8 bn program.


MNT-Halan’s retail tranche was 62% covered on its first day. Retail investors put in orders for 29.9 mn of the 48 mn shares on offer, Al Borsa reports, citing EGX order screens, which is roughly EGP 733 mn at the EGP 24.5 offer price, by our math. The 272 mn-share private tranche closes tomorrow with no demand figures out yet.

REFRESHER- MNT priced its 320 mn secondary shares, 20% of the company, at EGP 24.5 apiece, valuing it at EGP 39.2 bn. The retail book closes 15 October and the private tranche can be upsized to take the total to 25% of the company, subject to FRA approval. CIB has committed up to EGP 2 bn as a cornerstone and London’s Redwheel for about USD 20 mn. Founder and CEO Mounir Nakhla expects trading to start on 20 October.


Ezdehar is targeting c. USD 200 mn for an Egypt-only third fund, with EGX exits back in the plan. Egypt “can’t handle much bigger funds at this stage,” founder and managing director Emad Barsoum tells our Egypt desk. Fundraising starts in 1Q or 2Q 2027, with a first close around mid-2027 and a final close by early 2028. Barsoum puts the odds of closing within a year at 50/50.

The exit pipeline: Fund II was USD 175 mn and will be fully deployed by October or November, with the Consolidated Group add-on to DalyDress among its last deals. Exits from Rich Food and Al Tayseer Hospital are targeted within three to six months, one Fund I company in which it holds about 25% could list next year, and DalyDress and Zahran Market are candidates after that. Local institutions have largely stayed out, with Fund II taking a small allocation through Avanz Capital, a fund-of-funds backed by local banks.


Airtel Money fell below its offer price on its first day in London. The Dubai-based fintech rose to GBP 2 before slipping to GBP 1.93, under the GBP 1.96 offer price, despite a heavily oversubscribed book, Reuters reports. The secondary sale raised about USD 703 mn for existing shareholders selling 270 mn shares, at a valuation of around USD 7 bn.

A telecom selloff did not help. Shares in parent Airtel Africa, which held nearly 78% before the IPO and remains the majority shareholder, fell about 6% in London.


Asian lenders wrote most of Qatar’s paper this week. QatarEnergy secured a USD 3 bn five-year facility from Bank of China, ICBC, Agricultural Bank of China, and China Construction Bank Asia at 50bp over SOFR, Bloomberg reports. That one facility is larger than the USD 2.3 bn Chinese lenders had deployed across the GCC so far this year, against a record USD 11.5 bn last year.

QNB got more money and more time. It closed a USD 2.5 bn unsecured syndicated term loan, upsized from USD 2 bn at 75 bps over SOFR, with 25 banks committing more than twice the size, it said in a stock exchange filing. Nine Asian lenders put in c. USD 1.25 bn, half the facility, and three of the five lead arrangers are Asian. It is rolling over a USD 2 bn three-year loan signed in October 2023, taking USD 500 mn more and two extra years of tenor, Bloomberg reports.


Masayoshi Son is asking Gulf investors for up to USD 100 bn. The SoftBank founder has approached potential backers in the UAE for a new AI-focused acquisition fund that would buy companies and rebuild their operations around AI, the Financial Times reports, citing people it says are familiar with the discussions. SoftBank’s robotics arm Roze, which Son wants to take public, is likely to be involved. No commitments have been announced and the fundraising could still fall through.


Mubadala is in talks for a stake in Italy’s biggest mobile tower operator. Any stake would come as part of a wider take-private of Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane, Reuters reports, citing sources it says are familiar with the matter. One structure under discussion would have Ardian, which holds 32%, and Oak Holdings, an investment vehicle backed by KKR, Vodafone, and GIP, which holds 39%, buy out the remaining minorities with bank financing. Talks are ongoing.


Adia is weighing an anchor ticket in Zetwerk’s Indian IPO. The offering could value the manufacturing platform at USD 3.1 bn, Livemint reports, citing two sources it says are familiar with the matter. Adia is one of more than 30 investors considering the anchor book, alongside Norges Bank, BlackRock, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, and HDFC Asset Management. Zetwerk is expected to announce its price band today, with the offer opening within weeks.


Turkey is folding two state Islamic banking arms into one vehicle. Ziraat Bank’s Ziraat Katılım and Halk Katılım have applied for regulatory approval to transfer their 99.9% stakes to TVF Katılım Finans Yatırımları, a wholly owned Turkey Wealth Fund subsidiary, the fund said in a statement. It is targeting completion by the end of 2026, pending approvals, and calls this the first stage of a wider consolidation of state-owned Islamic finance.

Vakıf is not in this one. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan laid out a plan four months ago to merge Vakif, Halk, and Ziraat’s Islamic arm and to take real-estate-focused Emlak Katılım public. Turkish Islamic banking holds more than TRY 4.7 tn of assets, about 9.5% of the banking sector, and ranks ninth globally by asset size, AGBI reported this year. Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek said in June that Turkey wants a top-five sector.


A Riyadh firm that deploys AI for Saudi government and corporate clients has raised an undisclosed round. Echelon took money from East40, RAED Ventures, and Avra, alongside Ben Horowitz, to widen AI deployment across the Kingdom’s private and public sectors, it said in a press release. It plans an applied AI engineering unit and a training institute in 4Q 2026 and a defense-focused division in 1Q 2027, then the wider region. Founded in Riyadh 10 years ago by Prince Khalid Bin Bader Al Saud, it connects AI providers with businesses and government bodies, with Applied Intuition, IFS, and Rubrik among its partners.

Market Snapshot

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Brent USD 104.13 / bbl • Gold USD 4,221 / oz • USD / SAR 3.75 • USD / EGP 52.66

7

ALSO ON OUR RADAR

Bond windfall drives jump in Jordan pension fund income

Returns from bond investments have propped up Jordan’s pension fund, even as equity gains slowed down. The Social Security Investment Fund (SSIF) held c. JOD 20.1 bn (USD 28.4 bn) in assets at the end of September, up 8% since January, it said in a statement. Net income rose 8.6% y-o-y to JOD 879 mn (USD 1.2 bn) during the same period, led by a JOD 511.4 mn (USD 721.3 mn) windfall from bonds. Revaluation gains on SSIF’s strategic equity stakes, though, fell to JOD 492.4 mn (USD 694.5 mn) from JOD 741.7 mn (USD 1.1 bn) a year earlier.

The SSIF is as close as it gets to a sovereign fund in Jordan. More than half of its assets are invested in bonds, followed by 21.3% in equities, 12% in money market, and 6% in real estate. The SSIF is now taking a more active role in banking infrastructure and investment ventures, much of which are GCC-partnered projects. The SSIF holds 20% of the IPP7 combined-cycle power plant, a 15% in the National Water Carrier Project, and a 7% of the Emirati-Jordanian Aqaba-Al Shidiya-Maan railway, a bet meant to cut transport costs for the phosphate mining and processing industries. The fund also owns 50% of a USD 100 mn joint vehicle with the Oman Investment Authority, and is finalizing plans to buy 20% in a purified phosphoric acid production plant project co-developed with Phosphate Mines Company and Arab Potash Company.

From crude to cathode

Aramco tapped oilfield services firm National Energy Services Reunited (Nesr) to set up a lithium demonstration project in the Kingdom, according to a statement. The five-year USD 200 mn agreement will see Nesr’s environmental unit use its proprietary Lithara platform to extract lithium from brine, targeting 2k tons a year of battery-grade lithium carbonate from late 2027.

Why it matters: We reported in January that access to critical minerals like lithium — which goes into rechargeable batteries for everything from phones and laptops to EVs and grid storage — was moving up the policy agenda across the GCC in 2026 as industrial development and energy transition efforts gather pace. The Shura Council already raised the issue of locally sourcing lithium in 2024, citing future demand for electric vehicles.

Sting operation

Edge is going to Morocco: UAE’s defense champion Edge Group will provide Morocco’s air force with its Desert Sting 16 (DS 16) air-to-surface guided glide munitions and Thunder P31 precision munition, under an agreement with the Royal Armed Forces’ Administration of National Defense (ADN). Both products will be arming Morocco’s growing fleet of drones. About the products: The DS 16 is a 23-kg bomb with a 15-km range, while the Thunder P31 is a guided package that is added on top of the US-made MK 81 to convert it from a general-purpose bomb into a precision weapon. ALSO- Edge inked an MoU with ADN to explore local manufacturing ventures in Morocco, with a focus on small arms and aerospace engines. Under the MoU, Edge’s small arms subsidiary Caracal and aerosystems arm Powertech will explore possible partnerships with Moroccan counterparts.

Oil for asphalt

Iraq and Turkey are closing in on an arrangement to finance the Iraq Development Road (IDR) projects. Under the arrangement, Baghdad and Ankara will set up a joint fund financed by Iraqi oil exports to Turkey, with the funds to be disbursed to Turkish contractors executing the USD 17 bn rail and road corridor project, Fadel Abbas, director of projects at the General Company for Iraqi Railways, told the state-run Iraq News Agency. About the IDR: The corridor is designed to support Europe-GCC trade flows through Turkey, leveraging the upcoming Grand Faw Port on the Gulf and a spate of road and rail connections. The first phase of the project is expected to get World Bank financing and is targeting rail freight capacity of 2.5 mn tons.

Cairo to Algiers, by EV

Elsewedy Electric eyes EV-making in wider Algeria push: Egyptian industrial conglomerate Elsewedy Electric has submitted a feasibility study to the Algerian prime minister's office to build an electric and hybrid vehicle plant under the Elsewedy EZZ brand. The factory targets 50-60% local content, and plans to source the remaining key parts from Germany and China. REMEMBER- The Egyptian company said in May it will invest an additional USD 1.3 bn in Algeria’s industry, housing, tourism, and agriculture sectors, on top of a USD 2.5 bn multi-factory commitment spanning water treatment, agriculture, irrigation, sanitation, and aluminum, the firm’s Algeria General Manager Mostafa Elhalawani said then.

Where does the Algeria push currently stand? Elsewedy is waiting for approvals for a steel plant, an aluminum facility, and seven pipeline manufacturing sites. Once online, Elsewedy plans to export a quarter of its Algerian production to roughly 20 international markets. Elsewedy has operated in the country for 15 years, where it remains the main local producer of high-voltage cables (up to 220 kV) and partners with state utility Sonelgaz.

Seoul mates

Egypt and South Korea upgraded their relationship to a strategic partnership last week, with Presidents Abdel Fattah El Sisi and Lee Jae Myung launching negotiations for a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA), according to a joint statement. Both sides agreed to hold the first formal negotiation round in 1H 2027 and work toward an early conclusion. The pair also inked 12 cooperation documents, covering shipbuilding, clean energy, power infrastructure, and ICT sectors.

A renewed pitch for SCZone: The visit — El Sisi’s first to South Korea since 2016 — included a roundtable with 23 Korean companies where the president renewed Egypt’s invitation for a Korean industrial zone in the Suez Canal Economic Zone.

Why it matters: Korean companies in Egypt generate more than USD 1.5 bn in annual production, roughly 80% exported to 47 markets across Africa and the Middle East. Samsung Electronics and Hyundai Rotem anchor that footprint. The strategic partnership upgrades the bilateral relationship from project-by-project cooperation to an institutional framework with regular foreign-ministerial strategic dialogue, defense-industry coordination, and a formal CEPA track.


October 2026

12 Oct — Oman Electricity and Energy Conference. Oman

15-17 Oct — Syria Cement and Concrete Industry Conference and Exhibition. Syria.

21 Oct — 12th World Green Economy Summit (WGES). UAE

21 Oct —

13-15 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Annual Meeting of Global Future Leaders, Dubai.

20-22 October (Tuesday-Thursday): Future Health Summit, Adnec Center Abu Dhabi.

21 October (Wednesday): Reuters NEXT Gulf, St. Regis Saadiyat Island Resort, Abu Dhabi.

25 Oct — Liberation Day (public holiday, markets closed). Libya

25 Oct — Palestinian Investment Forum 2026. UAE.

25-27 Oct — World Investment Forum 2026. Qatar

26-29 Oct — Future Investment Initiative. Saudi Arabia

27-28 Oct — US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting.

29 Oct — Central Bank of Egypt monetary policy decision. Egypt

November 2026

1 Nov — Revolution Anniversary (public holiday, markets closed). Algeria

2 Nov — Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition + Conference (ADIPEC) opens (through 5 Nov). UAE

2-5 November (Monday-Thursday): Adipec, Adnec Center, Abu Dhabi.

2-6 November (Monday-Friday): Dubai Future Finance Week, Dubai.

6 Nov — Green March Anniversary (public holiday, markets closed). Morocco 19 Nov — Jordan-EU Investment Conference. Jordan

16 Nov — Cityscape Global begins (through 19 Nov). Saudi Arabia

24-26 Nov — Libya International Energy Conference and Exhibition (LIBYES 2026). Libya

December 2026

4-6 December (Friday-Sunday): Formula 1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix, Abu Dhabi.

8-9 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Capital Market Summit, Madinat Jumeirah, Dubai.

8-9 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.

7-10 December (Monday-Thursday): Abu Dhabi Finance Week, Al Maryah Island, Abu Dhabi.

17 Dec — Central Bank of Egypt monetary policy decision. Egypt

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