Good morning, friends. The war is back in the headlines, but it’s not the only thing moving this morning.
The US launched a barrage of airstrikes on Iran yesterday, attacking Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targets. The strikes — which focused on air defense and radar systems alongside minelaying and communications capabilities — were in retaliation for Tehran’s attempt to lay mines in Hormuz, US President Donald Trump said on Truth Social.
Tehran’s response? Iranian parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf warned that US attacks could lead to a blockade on all oil exports through the critical waterway, while Iran’s military threatened to inflict high costs on US forces in the region.
Meanwhile, Riyadh is building the physical stack underneath its AI ambition. A cluster of agreements timed to this week’s Leap conference spans new data centers, cloud regions from AWS and Microsoft, and even a self-driving trucking partnership with Humain.
The EnterpriseAM Egypt Forum is back — and we’re devoting the full day to the singular set of questions on everyone’s mind: What does AI actually mean for your company, your people, your economy, your own job — and your kids’ future?
Every session on stage answers one question: “So, what do I actually do about it?”
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Algeria gets closer to the European gas race
Algeria could help Germany close its gas storage gap. German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul described Algeria as a “reliable partner,” though no supply volumes or agreement were disclosed, Reuters reports. Berlin’s storage sat at 52% in late August, against a 1 October deadline of 80% that it’s currently on track to miss.
REMEMBER- We called Algeria North Africa’s near-term leader in the race to backfill Europe’s gas back in April — Egypt still has more flexibility as a liquefaction hub, and Morocco’s play remains years out.
State producer Sonatrach already runs two pipelines into Europe — one to Italy, one to Spain — with 43 bcm of combined annual capacity. Algeria supplied about 20 bcm to Italy last year, or 30% of Italian consumption, while Spain is looking to squeeze another 10% out of the Medgaz pipeline. Germany has no direct pipeline link of its own — it would need Algerian gas as LNG through its own regasification terminals, or indirectly through the European pipeline network.
Ruwais is back online
Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) has fully resumed production at Ruwais, the UAE’s largest refinery, months after a drone strike forced operations to halt, Bloomberg reports, citing sources familiar with the matter. The 922k bbl / d facility has been running at full capacity for about a month, while exports of diesel, jet fuel, and naphtha have recovered to around 70% of pre-war levels.
BACKGROUND- The refinery was shut after an Iranian drone strike caused a fire back in March, after already running at reduced rates as Strait of Hormuz traffic constraints disrupted supplies. Ruwais is a major exporter of refined products, including diesel to Europe, making its return more significant as global product markets remain tight.
Market watch
Oil prices rose this morning as US-Iran strikes heightened supply disruption risks,
Reuters reports. Brent crude futures increased around 0.75 to USD 95.40 / bbl by 03.45 GMT, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained USD 0.44 to USD 90.66 / bbl.
The Baltic Index dips once again: The Baltic Exchange’s dry bulk index — which tracks rates for the capesize, panamax, and supramax vessel segments — fell 0.9% to 3,157 points on Tuesday. The capesize index declined 2.1% to 5,221 points, while the panamax increased by 1.9% to 2,360 points. The smaller supramax inched up 0.2% to 1,650 points.
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