We’re all going to start paying more for electricity come July: The Electricity Ministry is repricing electricity following the increase in fuel prices as a result of the EGP flotation, ministry spokesman Ayman Hamza told Al Shorouk, without providing details on the new pricing formula. The move comes as the Ismail government is under pressure to show the IMF it is making progress on the reforms to which it has committed as conditions of obtaining a USD 12 bn extended fund facility. A delegation from the IMF is in town now as a prelude to the disbursement of the second tranche.
Last February, the ministry had announced an ambitious five-year plan to eliminate power subsidies by 2025, and the IMF staff report released last month on Egypt’s USD 12 bn bailout noted that the Ismail government is committed to completely lifting electricity subsidies over the next five years. The Electricity Ministry last hiked electricity prices in August 2016 for residential and commercial consumption as production costs increased and would have exacerbated the burden of subsidies (which rose to EGP 60 bn following the EGP float in November) if consumer prices were not raised in step.
Meanwhile, citizens who were removed from the smart card subsidy system are (expectedly) outraged and are claiming that their welfare access was unlawfully revoked, Al Shorouk reports. As we noted yesterday, the Supply Ministry purged 1.2 mn welfare cheats from the country’s smart card subsidy system in the first phase of a large clampdown on Kramers.
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Shoukry to meet EU foreign ministers, but there’s no refugee deal for Egypt on the table: Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry has been invited to attend next month’s meeting of European Union foreign ministers, but a long-rumored financial assistance package to curb the flow of refugees to Europe is not in the cards. That’s the word from yesterday’s meeting of the European Union Foreign Affairs Council. Speaking after the gathering, top EU diplomat Federica Mogherini was directly asked “On Egypt: is there a migration compact in the pipeline?” to which she replied “No, on this question no, clearly not,” adding that any cooperation on the issue would have to run through the usual channels. Austria and Germany have since last fall promoted the notion of a Turkey-style agreement with Egypt that would give the Ismail government incentives to stem the flow of illegal migrants to the EU. Mogherini noted that EU foreign ministers had “agreed to increase the EU's engagement with Egypt, a key country in its region, and help it meet a number of challenges.” Among them: The economy and deepening security cooperation. Watchthe post-meeting press conference (runtime: 19:18), read its official statement or check out this partial readout of Mogherini’s remarks and the Q&A.
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Natural gas reserves in the East Mediterranean can fuel Europe, David Wainer writes in an evergreen story for Bloomberg. Looking at gas from Egypt, Cyprus, and Israel, Wainer writes: “hundreds of miles of undersea pipelines will cost [bns of USD] and pose a technical challenge for their designers. And even that task is dwarfed by the political engineering required to build stable energy routes through a conflict-ridden region.” Amos Hochstein, the former US energy envoy to the region says: “This is the kind of opportunity where either everybody rises or everybody falls.” Eni’s CEO Claudio Descalzi shares the view and sees Egypt as the center of a hub including Israel, Cyprus and Libya that can provide “solutions for European energy security.” Former US diplomat Matthew Bryza sees potential to replicate in the region the success achieved with BP’s Baku-Ceyhan oil pipeline runs from Azerbaijan via Georgia to Turkey’s Mediterranean coast.
Elsewhere, Bloomberg’s Salma El Wardany reports that Egypt plans to import between 100 and 108 LNG shipments in 2017. According to sources close to the matter, the country might phase out imports in 2018 as BP’s North Alexandria concession and Eni’s Zohr field begin production this year ahead of exporting in 2019. As we noted earlier this week, 43 to 45 shipments of LNG will be imported between March and December this year from Oman, Russia’s Rosneft, and France’s Engie, with a tender in November for the remaining shipments.
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The Alexandria Mineral Oils Company (AMOC) board has approved converting 10% of the company’s shares into GDRs, Al Mal reported. We had earlier reported that the company could be offering an additional 10-20% of its shares in 2017, having originally floated 20% of its shares in 2014.
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Remittances from Egyptian expatriates rose 15.4% y-o-y in December 2016 to USD 1.6 bn from USD 1.4 bn last year, the CBE told Reuters. Remittances in 4Q2016 totalled USD 4.6 bn, an 11.8% increase from the same quarter last year.
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Incentives under the Investment Act will last for three years, Youm7quotes General Authority for Investment and Free Zones (GAFI) Mohamed Khodeir as saying. He added that these incentives have been made deliberately short to encourage speedy development of projects. The draftof the law which was shopped to the public had set a five-year timeline for the incentives. Ditto the Supreme Investment Council’s incentives, which also suggests that the new investment incentives program will last for five years. It is unclear whether these were changes to the law recommended by the Egyptian Council of State (which recently completed a review of the law) or the Investment Ministry. Khodeir was coy on the subject, stating that the changes made by the Council were not major without stating what these were.
As for private free zones, Khodeir also said that there is consensus against establishing new private free zones, many of which have turned into graft havens, and have thus been excluded from the legislation (this has the Finance Ministry's fingerprints all over it).
In a bid to sell the faltering one-stop shop policy, Khodeir said that land is being tendered jointly by different government bodies without delays to the investor. He can only be speaking recently, as all of 2015 and 2016 show this not to have been true. In any case, he still does not address the conflict between the policy and other legislation granting other authorities the right to tender land on their own. But thanks anyway. On a related note, GAFI’s investment promotion company, which was sanctioned by the Supreme Investment Council, will be established this month, Al Borsa reported.
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Egypt ranked 108 on Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index for 2016, alongside Algeria, Cote D’Ivoire, Ethiopia, and Guyana. “More countries declined than improved in this year's results, showing the urgent need for committed action to thwart corruption,” the report states. Countries are assessed on the basis of press freedom, judicial independence, transparency on public expenditure, and integrity of public officials and institutions. Denmark and New Zealand both ranked first, while Somalia was last and seen as most corrupt at 176. The UK and US were at 10 and 18, respectively.
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Saudi Aramco has hired four banks to advise on its first bond sale ahead of its 2018 IPO, Bloomberg reported. NCB Capital, Alinma Investment Co., Riyad Capital, and HSBC Holding Plc’s local arm will advise on the sale of SAR-denominated sukuk, which could be followed by USD-denominated bonds, sources close to the matter said. Aramco is hoping to raise USD 10 bn from the bond sale.
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*** Investor relations analyst wanted: Inktank Communications, the Cairo-based investor relations firm that works with both major EGX-listed companies and privately held groups, is looking for two investor relations analysts. The position with our parent company entails working on everything from investor presentations, earnings releases, board material and client transactions to investor-focused press releases and correspondence. Outstanding English-language writing skills are a must. While we have a hiring preference for Egyptian nationals, applications from foreign candidates based in Egypt are welcome. Learn more about the position at inktankcommunications.com/careers or apply now with a cover letter and CV to patrick@inktankcommunications.com.
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