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Three lenders are interested in acquiring United Bank

1

What We're Tracking Today

Cabinet gives green light to local-currency bond issuance by the IFC

Good morning, wonderful people. A flurry of reported interest in the potential sale of two state-owned banks, together with Rameda Pharma’s acquisitiveness, make M&A the headline story of this morning’s edition.

WATCH THIS SPACE- Are our friends at the IFC possibly looking to raise funds for investment in Egypt? Cabinet said last week it has given the Finance Ministry the green light to engage with the International Finance Corporation on a potential local-currency bond issuance. The brief statement says the transaction could potentially see IFC invest more in Egypt as well as give the institution more FX to “finance the needs of the private sector.”

Background: The IFC raised a heavily oversubscribed USD 2 bn bond last September to support its investment in emerging and developing markets and issued local currency bonds a decade ago in both Nigeria and Russia in transactions it said would help deepen domestic capital markets.

HAPPENING THIS WEEK-

#1- Brics summit: Expect plenty of talk about de-dollarisation and geopolitics when the leaders of Brazil, India, China and South Africa (but not Russia) meet in South Africa for the annual Brics summit this week.

The verbal pyrotechnics have already started: China is urging the Brics to become a “full scale” geopolitical rival to the G7 group of industrialized nations — and Beijing is already clashing with New Delhi over the proposed expansion of the group, the Financial Times reports.

Egypt is on the guestlist: South Africa has invited all African heads of state to the summit, though we’re yet to hear from the presidency about whether President Abdel Fattah El Sisi will attend in person.

Remember: Egypt wants in. Egypt has reportedly submitted a bid to join the loose alliance of emerging economies, having earlier this year became a member country of the group’s multilateral lender.

Could this be the moment Egypt gets an invite? Several officials tell the salmon-colored paper that several countries could be invited into the organization during the summit. Each of the five members have come out in support of enlarging the bloc, the most recent of which was South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, who said yesterday that a bigger BRICS will create “a more balanced world order.” More than 20 countries have formally applied to join the organization, he said.


#2- Tansik results out Wednesday: Prospective students who applied for places in public universities during the second phase of tansik will know by Wednesday where they’re heading, the Higher Education Ministry said yesterday. The third and final phase will be announced after the results are announced.

#3- The financial markets will have their eyes on Wyoming this week when global central bankers, economists and policymakers head to Jackson Hole for an annual meeting of central bank officials. US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech will be the headline event as investors try to gauge where interest rates are heading in the coming months. The event runs Thursday through Saturday.

The Fed is probably done hiking rates -poll: Ninety percent of 110 economists polled by Reuters think the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged at its meeting next month and 80% don’t expect any further changes for the rest of the year. Meanwhile, a slim majority believe the central bank will wait until at least 2Q 2024 before beginning to loosen policy.

The historically-low pre-2022 interest rates could be gone for the foreseeable future: That’s an idea gaining traction among some economists as the US economy holds up amid the highest interest rates in more than two decades. Per the Wall Street Journal, economists are now debating whether structural changes in the economy have pushed up the “neutral rate of interest” — which if true could mean higher rates for longer even if inflation falls back to target. The Brookings Institute has deep dive on the neutral rate of interest here.

HAPPENING SOON-

The Japanese FM could be paying us a visit: Japan's Foreign Minister Yoshimasa Hayashi could visit Egypt alongside his planned trip to Saudi Arabia in early September, Kyodo news agency reported yesterday, citing diplomatic sources. Hayashi will meet with GCC foreign ministers during his visit to the kingdom, and could head to Cairo for talks with Arab League ministers, according to the report.

This would be the second high-level Japanese visit to Egypt in four months: Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida was in town in May for talks with President Abdel Fattah El Sisi and PM Moustafa Madbouly.

The National Dialogue: The National Dialogue will hold a new round of public sessions in the coming days to discuss the remaining issues on its agenda.

THE BIG STORIES ABROAD-

China’s 40-Year Boom Is Over. What Comes Next? That’s the headline of the leading story on the front page of the Wall Street Journal this morning in the latest obituary of the Chinese economic model.

Storm Hilary: Much of the US media is leading with Storm Hilary, which hit the Californian coast last night, bringing heavy rain and flooding. The tropical storm is said to be the first to hit the south of the state in 84 years. (Associated Press | Reuters | New York Times | Washington Post)

Russia just made it to the moon for the first time in almost 50 years. It didn’t go well. Russia’s first moon mission in 47 years ended in disaster on Saturday after the Luna-25 probe crash landed. (Reuters | Bloomberg | Financial Times | Wall Street Journal)

MORNING MISCELLANY-

  • Unrest at Goldman: Folks at Goldman Sachs aren’t happy about David Solomon’s tenure as CEO. (New York Times | Bloomberg)
  • Stocks v VCs: Morgan Stanley strategists make the case for steering clear of VCs. (Financial Times)
  • If you can’t beat it, join it: US schools are teaching kids how to use ChatGPT. (CNN)

ICYMI-

Missed this week’s Inside Industry? In our weekly vertical exploring all things industry and manufacturing, we looked at the new industrial land sales launched by the Industrial Development Authority last week.

CHECK OUT OUR AGENDA-

The Enterprise Finance Forum is taking place on 18-19 September at the St. Regis Hotel in Cairo. This flagship forum is the latest in our must-attend series of invitation-only, C-suite-level gatherings that allow senior members of our community to openly and frankly discuss critical issues in key sectors of the economy.

This is our first two-day event,which should give us plenty of time to dive into the nitty gritty of this industry we love. Our panels will see CEOs, bankers, investors and founders gather to discuss the future and trends shaping banking, finance, fintech and NBFS.

Our full agenda will be out at month’s end. Among the topics we’ll be discussing:

  • Looking into the crystal ball: Top industry CEOs will join us on stage to answer tough questions on where we are as an industry, the forces that will shape all of our businesses going forward, and their views on dealflow in the year ahead.
  • Surviving nuclear winter: We discuss how private equity and venture capital players are tackling challenges including fundraising and deployment in an environment in which it’s awfully difficult to price your local asset in USD terms.
  • The robots are coming: We explore what the coming AI and big data means for the industry in our part of the world and what can bankers, NBFI, and fintech players do to capitalize on them.
  • What do you do when nobody wants to be a banker — and when those who are already (investment or commercial) bankers are either (a) dreaming of doing their own startup or (b) moving to Dubai (or, increasingly, Riyadh)? We go deep into the weeds with industry leaders on how they’re building talent for tomorrow.
  • NBFIs are a bubble. Prove me wrong: We chart the explosive rise of NBFIs and ask whether the industry is ready for a wave of consolidation. We’ll dive into whether consumer finance is starting to mature as a segment — and ask which sector is next.
  • Handicapping the winners and losers in fintech in 2024: We dive deep into which categories are getting traction, where the untapped opportunities are, what business they would start today if they could, and what we can expect of the sector in the year ahead.
  • What’s a bank, anyway? Wherein we talk challenger and neobanks with the players looking to shake up the brick-and-mortar industry.

** NEW: MORE NETWORKING TIME- Our agenda includes expanded networking time, including an expanded coffee break and a post-event networking room for you to interact with your peers and speak one-on-one with the team at Enterprise.

STAY TUNED for more detail about our exciting agenda in the weeks to come.

TAP OR CLICK HERE if you want to express interest in attending. We’ll be sending out the first batch of invitations soon.

Do you want to become a commercial partner? Ping a note to Moustafa Taalab, our head of commercial.

LISTEN TO OUR PODCAST-

MISSED OUR PREVIOUS FORUMS? The EnterprisePodcast has you covered : The Enterprise Podcast’s forum series has been bringing you audio recordings of what was said on stage at the Enterprise Exports and FDI Forum and the Enterprise Climate Forum.

WANT TO LISTEN? Head to: Apple Podcast | Spotify | Google Podcast | Anghami.

IN THIS WEEK’S EPISODE- In our second panel from the Enterprise Climate Forum, We dive deep into what the business leaders in the climate industry in Egypt and the region have to say about how the private sector is adopting greentech, where they see the opportunities and what they’d like policymakers to do to encourage further participation. We were joined by Amr Allam, co-CEO of Hassan Allam Holding, Mohamed Ismail Mansour, CEO and co-founder of Infinity, and Sherif El Kholy, longtime partner and head of MENA private equity at Actis.

*** It’s Blackboard day: We have our weekly look at the business of education in Egypt, from pre-K through the highest reaches of higher ed.

In today’s issue: Private sector education players are struggling amid high land prices and red-hot inflation.

Solasi Wellbeing Festival has been lovingly created by Yes Yoga and Osana Family Wellness and takes place at beautiful Somabay from 21-23 September. Solasi brings you sunrise yoga, sound healing, funky classes, morning runs, enlightening workshops, healing treatments, tai chi, meditation, kids’ activities, locally sourced food, and lots of dancing.

Don't miss your chance to take #ThreeDaysOff and flow with us at Solasi at Somabay. Head to solasifestival.com to find out more and book your pass today.

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Privatization

Three lenders are interested in United Bank + BdC to IPO in 4Q 2023?

Privatization was back in the news cycle yesterday after two unconfirmed reports in the domestic press suggested the government is making progress in its quest to sell stakes in two of the three banks included in its privatization program.

INTEREST IN UNITED BANK-

Mashreq Bank Egypt, Credit Agricole Egypt, and the National Bank of Kuwait’s Egypt unit have begun due diligence on United Ban k with a view to potentially acquiring a stake in the CBE-owned lender, As harq Busin ess reports, citing a source it says has knowledge of the planned sale. A second source is reported as confirming that three lenders have begun due diligence, without naming them.

Folks are mum on this one: Multiple sources we reached out to yesterday declined to comment on the report.

Remember: United Bank is one of the three lenders among the 32 state companies and assetsthat the government plans to sell stakes in as part of its privatization program. The CBE in May appointed Barclays to join CI Capital as an advisor on the sale, and the duo were reportedly planning a promotional roadshow in June targeting Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, and the UAE.

It’s unclear whether PIF is still in the running: The CBE — which owns 99.99% of United Bank — was negotiating to sell the lender to Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund PIF before talks stalled in February, apparently due to a dispute over valuation amid uncertainty over the exchange rate.

BDC IPO THIS YEAR?

Could Banque du Caire’s long-awaited IPO go ahead in 4Q 2023? The government is planning to offer a 49% stake in state-owned lender Banque du Caire (BdC) via the EGX in 4Q 2023, Al Borsa reported yesterday, citing unnamed sources it says are close to the transaction. Shares are set to be offered to both institutional and retail investors, the sources are quoted as saying.

Gauging demand: The state is reportedly waiting to see the results of the roadshow to promote the sale of United Bank — the second of three financial institutions in the government’s privatization program — before it moves forward with the BdC transaction.

CI Capital on board? The government is looking into bringing CI Capital in on the transaction as an advisor alongside EFG Hermes, according to the newspaper.

Still more no comments: Sources with first-hand knowledge of the potential BdC transaction declined to comment when we reached out to them yesterday.

It’s been a long time coming: The state has been planning to sell a stake in BdC since 2016 but has delayed the IPO multiple times due to poor market conditions. The bank was among three financial institutions earmarked for sale in the government’s privatization strategy unveiled earlier this year.

BdC may need to renew its IPO approval: It’s not clear if the bank will need to reapply to the Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) for listing approval since its most recent deadline expired on 31 March of this year. That approval is largely a procedural matter that wouldn’t slow down the transaction if it were indeed to go ahead this year.

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Commodities

Egypt to start accessing UAE wheat finance from January -supply minister

We’re waiting on MPs for the UAE wheat financing pact to come into play : Our USD 500 mn financing agreement to purchasewheat from Emirati agribusiness Al Dahra will likely kick off in January, Supply Minister Ali El Moselhy told reporters on a trip to Tanta yesterday. The agreement is expected to be greenlit by parliament after MPs reconvene in October, the minister said.

Refresher: The pact signed earlier this month will allow Egypt to import USD 100 mn of milling wheat a year over a five-year period, with the Abu Dhabi Exports Office (ADEX) providing the financing. ADEX is the export finance arm of the Abu Dhabi Fund for Development.

Al Dahra is already a key supplier: Al Dahra owns 28k hectares of land in Toshka and East Owaynat and is the biggest private-sector wheat producer in Egypt. The company has sold more than 180k tons of wheat to the government over the past three years, making it GASC’s largest local private-sector supplier.

It will also be allowed to participate in tenders: Al Dahra will be able to bid in internationalwheat tenders to supply imported wheat to state grain buyer GASC like other suppliers, which would be funded by ADEX, El Moselhy said.

This is the latest financing agreement to support wheat imports: As the world’s largest wheat importer, Egypt has received support from international lenders to fund imports since the conflict in Ukraine upended global food markets and triggered an FX crunch at home. The World Bank and the International Islamic Trade Finance Corporation (IFTC) have together provided bns of USD in loans for wheat imports amid higher wheat prices and difficulties making payment due to the FX crunch.

We’re doing more to grow local: In a bid to improve the country’s food security, the government will in the coming months begin cultivating another 3 mn feddans for agriculture, President Abdel Fattah El Sisi said last week.

Local production has been on the decline this year: The government had procured 3.41 mn tons of local wheat this season as of 15 July, down 10% from 2022, according to figures from the National Food Safety Authority. Its target for domestic wheat purchases this year is 4 mn tons.

The news earned coverage internationally: Bloomberg

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M&A WATCH

Egypt’s Rameda Pharma wants to acquire majority stakes in two companies

Rameda Pharma is kicking the tires on two potential acquisitions in the medical sector, the company said in a regulatory filing (pdf) yesterday.

Who could they be? One of the targets is a pharma company and the other is a cosmeceuticals firm, Finance Director Mohamed Aboamira told us yesterday, without disclosing their identities. Rameda is looking to acquire stakes of over 50% in each firm, he said.

Talks are at an advanced stage: Rameda expects to ink MoUs with the targeted companies by the end of the month, after which it will start conducting due diligence, Aboamira said. Once the MoUs are signed, the company should finalize the deal within three months as required by regulators, he added.

Up to EGP 2 bn set aside for expansion: The company plans to spend up to EGP 2 bn on acquisitions and purchasing new medications in Egypt and abroad in the medium term, Aboamira said.

Regional expansion in the cards: Rameda has been working on expanding across the continent “aggressively,” Aboamira said. The company aims to grow its export business from a current 7-8% to 10% of total sales in the medium term. It has already registered a number of products in several African countries — including Uganda, Niger, Mali, South Sudan, and Nigeria — and will begin to offer them on the market by 2H 2024. It also plans to enter new markets in West Africa including Ghana and Kenya. Rameda’s main export markets are Libya, Iraq, and Yemen, to which over 95% of its exports are directed. The remainder of its exports are scattered across Africa.

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M&A WATCH

Dragon Oil wants to purchase a stake in Egypt’s Nargis offshore concession

Dragon Oil wants in on Egypt’s Nargis gas block: Emirates National Oil Company (ENOC) subsidiary Dragon Oil wants to purchase a stake of at least 20% in the Nargis offshore concession in the Eastern Mediterranean from Chevron, writes Asharq Business, citing an anonymous government official. No information was given about the estimated value of the transaction or the timeline for its completion. This would be the Emirati company’s first acquisition of an Egyptian gas asset.

The current owners: Chevron and Italy’s Eni each own a 45% stake in the concession, while state-owned Tharwa Petroleum holds the remaining 10%.

Initial signs at Nargis are promising : Chevron and Eni last year announced a “significant” gas discovery at the block, without disclosing how much gas is estimated to be in place. An unconfirmed media report put the estimated volume at 3.5 tn cubic feet.

Dragon Oil has more upstream expansion plans: The Emirati firm is expected to up it s local oil output by 27% to 70k barrels a day in October when it begins production at its North Safa oil field in the Gulf of Suez, the news outlet quoted a government official as saying earlier this month. Discovered last year, the field has confirmed reserves of around 170 mn barrels, making it one of the largest discoveries in the last two decades. Dragon Oil bought the field along with the rest of BP’s oil assets in the Gulf of Suez more than three years ago.

Meanwhile, Chevron is expanding its gas exploration elsewhere: The company, together with Eni, ExxonMobil, Shell, and BP, will spend a combined USD 1.8 bn to drill 35 gas exploration wells in the Mediterranean and Nile Delta over the next two years, Oil Minister Tarek El Molla said in July.

6

LAST NIGHT’S TALK SHOWS

Food security + blackouts get brief mentions on a slow night on the airwaves

It was an even quieter night on the talk shows yesterday after Al Hayah Al Youm’s Lobna Assal took the night off. This meant that Ala Mas’ouleety and Masaa DMC had the airwaves to themselves, and neither had much to talk about.

Ala Mas’ouleety’s Ahmed Moussa spent most of the night talking about Zamalek football club, but also featured yesterday’s press conference by the supply minister (more on that in the news well, above) (watch, runtime: 11:39) and echoed the governments hopes for an end to the ongoing blackouts in the next 2-4 weeks (watch, runtime: 4:36).

Meanwhile on DMC: A controversy surrounding Mahraganat artist Kozbara (watch, runtime: 13:33), government efforts to protect children (watch, runtime: 14:04), and the dangers of eating too much turmeric (watch, runtime: 9:09).

This publication is proudly sponsored by

7

Also on our Radar

A Chinese firm wants to acquire a state-owned textiles company. PLUS: News from Emaar Misr + Cairo airport

M&A-

Kingdom Holdings eyes state textiles firm: Chinese textile mills firm K ingdom Holdings(no, not _that_ Kingdom Holding) is in negotiations to acquire an unnamed textile company owned by the Public Enterprises Ministry, A l Mal reports, citing what it says is a government source. The acquisition would mark the first foray into Egypt for the company, whose representatives reportedly visited the country in May to study potential investments. In the same month, the Suez Canal Economic Zone signed with Chinese firms for up to USD 700 mn of fresh projects in China’s TEDA industrial zone in Ain Sokhna, including in textiles.

Plan B: Kingdom Holdings wants to invest some USD 60 mn to set up its own factory here if the acquisition talks fall through, according to the newspaper. The factory would supply the local textile industry and export products to Europe and could create some 1.5k jobs.

HOSPITALITY-

Emaar launches new North Coast hotel: Emaar Misr yesterday inaugurated the Address Marassi Beach Resort located in its Marassi project on the North Coast, according to a press release picked up by Zawya. The 356-key hotel features rooms, suites, apartments and beach-side cabins, and is the second “Address Hotels and Resorts” branded hotel in Egypt. Emaar worked with our friends at Hassan Allam Construction to build the destination (watch, runtime: 3:03). The company is planning more launches including Vida Marina Resort & Yacht Club Marassi this year and the new Vida Residences Cairo Gate next year.

TRANSPORT-

VIP train tender: Companies have until 15 September to bid in an international tender launched by the government to manage and operate 596 luxury railway carriages, Asharq Business reports, citing a government source. The 15-year contract would see the chosen firm pay rent on the carriages and to use tracks and stations in the national rail network, with an unspecified portion of the income earmarked for the Egyptian Railway Authority, according to the outlet.

INFRASTRUCTURE -

Singapore’s Changi Airport is set to help upgrade Cairo International Airport under two consultancy agreements it inked with Cairo Airport Company on Thursday, according to statements by the Civi l Aviation Minis try and the Singaporean company. The first agreement seeks to enhance the passenger experience by improving services. The second agreement will see Changi Airport conduct feasibility studies on the design, operation, management, and marketing of Cargo City, a new area at the airport designated for cargo and logistics development.

A helping hand from the world’s finest: Known for its spectacular forest-surrounded indoor waterfall, Changi Airport currently has the top spot on Skytrax’s rankings of the world’s best airports, a position it held for eight consecutive years from 2013 to 2020.

8

PLANET FINANCE

Political, economic concerns hit emerging markets

It hasn’t been a good month for emerging-market assets: Political instability in several countries has combined with ongoing economic challenges this month to send emerging-market bonds and stocks on track for their worst month since last September, Bloomberg reports. A surprise election in Argentina and the assassination of a presidential candidate in Ecuador as well as China’s economic struggles and surging US treasury yields have sent bonds sliding and stocks poised for their worst August since 2015. Currencies, meanwhile, have seen almost all of their 2023 gains erased, according to an MSCI gauge.

ALSO WORTH KNOWING-

  • Turkey is taking the guardrails off the TRY: Turkey’s central bank has begun unwinding measures introduced last year to defend the TRY which are estimated to have cost the government and banks USD 20 bn this year alone. This comes as the central bank continues its pivot away from President Erdogan’s unorthodox monetary policies. (Bloomberg | Financial Times)
  • Beijing to banks: Lend more, defuse debt bomb. China’s central bank and financial regulators have appealed to the country’s banks to ramp up lending in a bid to prop up the country’s stumbling economy. (Bloomberg)

EGX30

18,033

+0.4% (YTD: +23.5%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 30.83

Sell 30.96

USD at CIB

Buy 30.85

Sell 30.95

Interest rates CBE

19.25% deposit

20.25% lending

Tadawul

11,501

+0.4% (YTD: +9.8%)

ADX

9,801

+0.2% (YTD: -4.0%)

DFM

4,050

0.0% (YTD: +21.4%)

S&P 500

4,370

0.0% (YTD: +13.8%)

FTSE 100

7,262

-0.7% (YTD: -2.5%)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,213

-0.4% (YTD: +11.1%)

Brent crude

USD 84.80

+0.8%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.55

-2.7%

Gold

USD 1,916.50

+0.1%

BTC

USD 26,228

+0.7% (YTD: +58.8%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 rose 0.4% at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 1.6 bn (21.2% below the 90-day average). Regional investors were net buyers. The index is up 23.5% YTD.

In the green: TMG Holding (+3.3%), Eastern Company (+2.9%) and Beltone Financial Holding (+2.3%).

In the red: Mopco (-1.2%), B Investments Holding (-1.2%) and Elsewedy Electric (-1.0%).

Most markets in Asia have started the week in the red, as concerns about the health of the Chinese economy persist. The Nikkei and the Kospi are the two outliers, seeing slight gains this morning. Most European stock futures are currently in the red while US markets are on course to rise at the opening bell later today.

9

AROUND THE WORLD

US, Japan + South Korea ties grow amid China tensions

Japan, South Korea bury the hatchet in Camp David pact: Japan, South Korea and the US have committed to increase military and economic cooperation after a first-of-its-kind summit between the three countries at Camp David, according to a joint statement on Friday. The pact will see the countries “swiftly consult with each other in response to threats to any one of our countries from whatever source that occurs,” said US President Joe Biden, adding that they would set up a hotline to share information and coordinate responses to crises. They will also hold annual trilateral meetings and joint military exercises.

The enemy of my enemy: The rivalry with China, as well as ongoing nuclear threats from North Korea, are pushing the two countries to pursue closer ties. Their new pact with the US contains strong language against China’s recent efforts to assert its dominance over Taiwan, warning Beijing against what the three countries called “dangerous and aggressive behavior supporting unlawful maritime claims… in the South China Sea.”

TO THE WEST- Libya finally has a united central bank: The Central Bank of Libya has been reunified as a national bank, nine years after it split into opposing institutions following the outbreak of civil war. The central bank announced the news in a statement yesterday following the conclusion of talks between senior officials at the Tripoli and Benghazi branches.

10

BLACKBOARD

High land prices are holding back Egypt’s private education players from expanding

Private sector education players are struggling amid high land prices and red-hot inflation: The education sector is facing fresh challenges that are standing in the way of sustainable operations and the potential to expand their footprint, according to private sector insiders in the sector Enterprise spoke with. School operators are struggling to set up new branches and campuses to accommodate growing demand as a result of prohibitively high land prices, and soaring inflation is driving up operation costs. Operators are now calling on the government for a package of incentives to support investments in the education sector, particularly for private schools, our sources tell us.

They’ve already been feeling the pinch for a while: Since last year, higher energy, raw materials, freight, and shipping costs have been pushing building material prices higher and causing real estate and infrastructure developers to suspend or drastically reevaluate their projects. Smaller contractors — which would include those hired to build new private schools — have been among those most vulnerable to the rising cost of building materials in their projects. School operators we spoke with at the beginning of the year indicated that they’ve all but brought new projects to a standstill as a result of high construction costs.

Demand is on the up and up: Egypt’s growing population means that demand for schooling is also growing, creating a chronic shortage of classroom seats in the country, with private education remaining underserved. Data from Colliers International (pdf) estimated that as many as 2.1 mn classrooms would be needed by 2030 to plug the supply gap, especially with private sector K-12 student growth almost doubling in the last five years.

Private sector education players are actively growing to fill the gap, but there are significant challenges: The growth rate for private national schools fell back in the 2022-23 academic year, largely on the back of rising land prices, Private Schools Owners Association Chairman Badawy Allam tells us. There’s a shortage of appropriately priced land plots on offer from the government for private sector education, forcing investors to seek out resale options, which are still costly, Allam explained. Add these market dynamics to rising building costs and operating expenses such as teacher salaries, in addition to limitations on annual tuition fee increases, and you have an increasingly unsustainable economic model for these schools, he said.

Setting up large international schools is now looking like a more promising investment prospect, as investors and operators can set up campuses in satellite cities further away from densely populated areas, where land prices are relatively lower and allow for larger campuses to be built. International schools also charge higher tuition fees than national schools, which makes the return on investment more appealing, and will likely lure in more investors, Allam suggested.

But operators really need a helping hand: The education sector needs support from the government to be able to grow in a manner that’s economically attractive for investors, while also addressing genuine market needs in different areas in the country, Allam said. The government could strike a balance between serving market needs and meeting investors’ demands by offering land plots at attractive price points in governorates that are lacking in private sector education services, while providing investors and operators with facilitated funding options if they decide to set up shop in these areas, he suggested.

The issue of land allocation isn’t unique to the private sector, and has also been holding back the second phase of the government’s PPP schools program, according to our sources from the Finance Ministry. In 2016, the government had outlined a plan to build as many as 1k quasi-private schools this decade under public-private partnerships. Last we heard back in 2019, the government had signed public-private partnership pacts with five consortiums to build and operate 24 schools with a total of 910 classrooms as part of the first phase of the program. The Education Ministry had planned to launch a tender for 60 schools as part of the second phase of the PPP schools program by the end of 2019, but the selected bids for the second phase have yet to be announced, our source said.

These delays come despite strong investor interest, with some 25 consortiums, including regional investors, expressing their interest in the PPP schools program as they see significant potential return on investment, our source said.


Your top education stories for the week:

  • Egyptian universities land on international rankings: Seven Egyptian universities made it onto the 2023 Academic Ranking of World Universities(ARWU or the Shanghai Ranking) with Cairo University taking the country’s top spot.
  • Another American school incoming: Emaar Misr has launched a local tender to contractors to build an EGP 1.2 bn American school in its Belle Vie project in Sheikh Zayed. (Al Shorouk)

JULY

Late July-14 August: 2Q2023 earnings season.

AUGUST

August: Hassan Allam Utilities + Agility to open Yanmu East logistics park.

16 August - 27 September: The start of the bidding process for the fifth phase of the investment map offered by the Industrial Development Authority (IDA).

20 August (Sunday): Deadline for second phase of tansik applications.

22-24 August (Tuesday-Thursday): BRICS summit, Johannesburg, South Africa.

23 August (Wednesday): Networking Summit and Industrial Service Providers Meeting, Green Desert Hotel, Sadat City.

24-26 August (Thursday-Saturday): Jackson Hole Economic Symposium.

28 August (Monday): The start of Flat6Labs’ inaugural 12-week contech accelerator program.

SEPTEMBER

September: Sustainable Debt Coalition Initiative agreed at COP27 to launch.

September: IDH to open first branch in Saudi Arabia.

September: The Egypt-Germany trade and investment joint conference in Cairo.

September: JETRO’s second delegation arrives in Cairo.

1 September (Friday): Application deadline for the Smart Green Projects initiative.

3-5 September (Sunday-Tuesday): Pharmaconex, Egypt International Exhibition Centre, Cairo.

7-8 (Thursday-Friday): Regional Forum for Sustainability & Development, Cairo.

9-10 September (Saturday-Sunday): G20 summit, New Delhi, India.

10-12 September (Sunday-Tuesday): The International Agricultural Exhibition for Africa and the Middle East, Sahara.

13-14 September (Wednesday-Thursday): Hydrogen Egypt Summit, Nile Ritz Carlton, Cairo.

13 September (Wednesday): Deadline for settling outstanding military service in FX.

15 September (Friday): IMF to review USD 3 bn program.

15 September (Friday): Deadline for FX bureaus to comply with new capital requirements.

17-18 September (Sunday-Monday): Arab Security Conference and Exhibition, Nile Ritz Carlton, Cairo.

17-19 September (Sunday-Tuesday): Sharm Rendezvous, Rixos Premium Seagate, Sharm ElSheikh.

18-19 September (Monday-Tuesday): Enterprise Finance Forum, St. Regis Hotel, Cairo.

19-20 September (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

20-23 September (Wednesday-Saturday): Cityscape Egypt, Egypt International Exhibition Center, Cairo.

21 September (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

25 September (Monday): Nasdaq deadline for Swvl Holdings Corp to increase its market value of publicly held shares to a minimum of USD 15 mn.

25-26 September (Monday-Tuesday): Egypt to host the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank’s annual board meeting, Sharm El Sheikh.

26 September (Tuesday): Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

28 September (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

28-29 September (Thursday-Friday): Medical Tourism Conference, Sharm ElSheikh.

30 September (Saturday): The start of the new academic year for Egyptian universities.

30 September (Saturday): The start of the new academic year for Egyptian schools.

OCTOBER

October: Deadline for ins. providers to link their databases with the FRA.

October: Egyptian-Jordanian Business Council, Amman, Jordan.

1-3 October (Sunday-Tuesday) International Expotec for water economics management, Egypt International Exhibition Center, Fifth Settlement, Cairo.

2-4 October (Monday-Wednesday): Sharm Rendezvous - Ins. Market, Rixos Premium Seagate, Sharm ElSheikh.

2-5 October (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC 2023, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Center.

6 October (Friday): Armed Forces Day.

9 October (Monday): The Narrative PR Summit, Somabay Red Sea.

9-11 October (Monday-Wednesday): Arabs Savings and Financial Literacy Conference, Four Seasons Hotel.

10-12 October ( Tuesday-Thursday) Ceramica Expo, Cairo International Convention Center.

13 October- 20 October (Friday-Friday): The sixth edition of El Gouna Film Festival (GFF).

Late October-14 November: 3Q2023 earnings season.

15-17 October (Sunday-Tuesday): Egypt Automotive Aftermarket Exhibition, Cairo International Convention Center.

26 October (Thursday): Daylight saving time ends.

29-31 October (Sunday-Tuesday): Egypt Energy, Egypt International Exhibition Center.

29 October - 2 November (Sunday- Thursday): Cairo Water Week.

30-31 October (Monday-Tuesday): Intelligent Cities Exhibition and Conference, Dusit Thani LakeView, Cairo.

30-31 October (Monday-Tuesday): Global Business School Network (GBSN), American University of Cairo.

31 October - 1 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

NOVEMBER

2 November (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

9-15 November (Thursday-Wednesday): Intra-African Trade Fair, Cairo.

14-15 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Destination Africa, Royal Maxim Palace Kempinski Hotel.

15-24 November (Wednesday-Friday): Cairo International Film Festival, Cairo.

19-22 November (Sunday-Wednesday): Cairo ICT, Egypt International Exhibition Center.

23 November (Thursday): Worldview Education Fair, Cairo. (Register here)

30 November-12 December (Thursday-Tuesday): COP28, Dubai.

DECEMBER

10-11 December (Sunday-Monday): eGlobe Expo, St. Regis Almasa Hotel, Cairo.

12-13 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

12-14 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Food Africa Expo, Egypt International Exhibition Center.

21 December (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2023: The inauguration of the Grand Egyptian Museum.

Summer 2023: EGX to launch a shariah-compliant index.

1H 2023: GAFI roadshow set to launch to drum up foreign investment for golden licenses

1H 2023: Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank intends to launch a digital consumer finance company

2H 2023: Egyptian government expected to sign agreements with a consultant for the EuroAfrica electricity interconnector.

2H 2023: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan expected to hold a summit.

3Q 2023: E-Finance to launch in Saudi Arabia.

4Q 2023: EGX to launch its new futures exchange.

End of 2023: A Developments’ first phase of the Lazoghly development completed.

2024: Standard Chartered Bank to open a branch in Egypt.

End of 2024: The launch of the high-speed train line linking Ain Sokhna with Al Alamein City.

November 2024: Egypt to host the 12th session of the World Urban Forum (WUF12).

2Q 2025: Safaga Terminal 2 to initiate operations.

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