We’ve nearly made it through another workweek, friends, though we’ll admit to more than passing curiosity about what the central bank will decide when it meets later today to review interest rates. In the meantime, our report this morning brims with news of investment, so there’s that to keep us occupied in the meantime.
We can all be forgiven for hoping the end-of-year news slowdown kicks into effect on Sunday, but we also have our fingers crossed for news on the foreign exchange front. It’s going to be a nail-biter — but at least we’ll be doing this together, right?
HAPPENING TODAY-
It’s interest rate day: The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) is expected to leave interest rates unchanged when it meets later today, according to our poll of analysts. Seven of the nine we spoke with think the CBE will leave rates on hold thanks to cooling inflation and unchanged US interest rates.
The UN will vote on boosting Gaza aid: A UN Security Council’s vote on a UAE-drafted resolution to ramp up humanitarian aid to Gaza has been pushed to today. Talks are dragging between Egypt and the United States on authorizing the UN to be the sole inspector of aid going into the enclave — Israel has a choke-hold on the flow of supplies right now. The vote was first scheduled for Monday.
The curtain falls on GFF: El Gouna Film Festival wraps after six days of showings including a special spotlight on Palestine — Windows on Palestine — in collaboration with the Palestine Film Institute.
Movies aren’t your thing? Try a play. Art and friendship clash in Kenoma Theater’s Fann — an Egyptian adaptation of renowned playwright Yasmine Reza’s Art — at Downtown’s Rawabet Art Space. You can catch the play today, tomorrow, or Saturday. Buy your tickets here.
HAPPENING SOON-
Cameron in Egypt: British Foreign Minister David Cameron is traveling to Jordan and Egypt this week to push for a “sustainable ceasefire.” He will meet with his Jordanian counterpart in Jordan before heading to Egypt where he will visit Arish to oversee British aid being sent to Gaza. The foreign ministry didn’t say yesterday when Cameron was scheduled to touch down.
PIJ leader to visit? A leader of Palestinian Islamic Jihad is scheduled to visit in the coming days, Reuters writes, noting the group holds a number of Israeli hostages. His visit will follow Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, who was here yesterday for “intensive talks on a new ceasefire to let aid reach Gaza and free more hostages.”
BEFORE YEAR-END?
#1- Mubarak HQ developer: The Sovereign Fund of Egypt is set to finalize a contract with a consortium that will be in charge of developing the site of the former National Democratic Party (NDP) headquarters in Downtown Cairo.
#2- ADQ’s USD 800 mn acquisition of stakes in the three oil and petrochemical companies Elab, Ethyco, and EDC.
#3- e-Finance’s acquisition of a retail-focused digital payment player,which received the board’s approval earlier this month.
#4- Credit rating agency license award: The FRA has previously said it would award a license to operate a new credit rating agency. Three consortiums have applied.
Faster access to funds after capital subscription? The EGX is in talks with the Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) to cut the time it takes for listed companies to access the capital they raise through subscription, where they can have it in as little as 10 days compared to the current 30-day range, EGX Chairman Ahmed El Sheikh said yesterday, Asharq Business wrote on X.
More of this please: It is effectively unheard-of in Egypt that investors locking up funds through subscription to a capital increase find their new shares listed and admitted to trading on the EGX quickly. More often, investors see their cash sit in limbo, generating float for the issuer (not the investor) for weeks and (or months) on end as corporate and regulatory procedures grind on. One exception was the Beltone’s landmark EGP 10 bn capital increase, which saw 5 bn new shares land on the EGX roughly after a week of closing the subscription.
EGX has more in the cards: The FRA is considering the introduction of key reforms and instruments to the bourse in a bid to boost trading performance. (See reports here, here, and here.) The basics:
- Trading fractional shares of income-generating real estate assets — such as malls — rather than as securities or assets of REITs.
- A hedged index, the launch of which aims to offset the risk of loss in case of rapid price fluctuations in securities.
- A unified short selling systemthrough the Misr for Central Clearing, Depository and Registry (MCDR).
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- More expensive telecom services? Mobile network operators are reportedly in talks with the government over increasing their prices, Vodafone Egypt head Hany Mahmoud told Asharq Business.
#2- The financial derivatives market could be months away: The Financial Regulatory Authority aims to launch a derivatives market within the next few months, Al Borsa reports, citing the authority’s deputy chairman Islam Azzam.
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RED SEA WATCH-
It doesn't look like global trade will be going back to normal anytime soon. Yemen’s armedHouthi group is warning Washington that it will target US battleships if Yemen is attacked, Bloomberg writes, citing statements from Houthi leader Abdul Malik Al Houthi.
Over 100 container ships have rerouted away from the Red Sea, taking the longer course around the Cape of Good Hope, and the Greek Shipping Ministry has instructed Greek-flagged vessels in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Eden to avoid Yemeni waters.
Traffic through the Bab Al-Mandab strait was down 14% between 15-19 December compared with 8-12 December.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
No single story is dominating the global business press this morning. Reuters is out with an investigation looking at Tesla failures. The US press is obsessed with Agent Orange’s legal woes and how they could impact the 2024 race for the presidency.
The region’s first AI-powered space tech company: ADX-listed Bayanat and Yahsat will merge to give us Space42, the first AI-powered space tech company in the MENA region, according to an ADX disclosure. The merger will be executed via a share-swap, valued at AED 15 bn (c. USD 4 bn).
SPEAKING OF AI- Can it own patent rights? The UK Supreme Court doesn’t think so, ruling against a bid put forward by a computer scientist to register patents for inventions created by his AI system, Reuters reported.
Seven European nations pledge to have emission-free electricity by 2035: Germany, France, the Netherlands, Austria, Belgium, Luxembourg, and non-EU member Switzerland have all pledged to cut CO2 from their power grids by 2035 — around five years earlier than the rest of the EU’s target. (Bloomberg | Reuters)





