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So much debt news on our ninth birthday

1

What We're Tracking Today

Egypt to announce election roadmap in press conference today

Good morning, friends, and happy Monday. We have smiles on our face this morning as we write issue #2121 — and celebrate our ninth birthday.

A HUGE THANK YOU to all of the readers who trust us every morning — and to the commercial partners whose support ensures your morning read arrives in your inbox without charge. Writing to you folks every morning is the honor of our professional lives.

We have tons of debt news for you today, including the latest from our red-hot securitization market — and suggestions that JP Morgan could consider removing us from their important emerging markets index.

HAPPENING TODAY-

#1- Election 2023 or Election 2024? The National Elections Authority will announce its roadmap for the presidential election at a press conference today. Word on the street is that authorities will move to hold the vote before the end of the year in December. We’ll know for sure later today.

#2- AIIB meeting starts today: Delegations from member states of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) will descend on Sharm El Sheikh today and tomorrow for the China-led multilateral lender’s annual board meeting.

** You can check out our interview with Vice Minister of Finance Ahmed Kouchouk for a rundown on what to expect from this year’s conference.

HAPPENING TOMORROW-

Taqa shareholders to vote on board shake-up following stake sale: Taqa Arabia shareholders will convene for a general assembly meeting tomorrow to vote on restructuring the board and appointing new members, the company said in a bourse filing (pdf) earlier this month. The meeting comes two months after the military’s National Service Projects Organization acquired 20% of the firm.

HAPPENING THIS WEEK-

ADQ acquisitions to close this week? The government hopes to sign final contracts with ADQ before the end of this week for the sale of shares in Egyptian Ethylene and Derivatives Company (Ethydco), Egyptian Linear Alkyl Benzene (Elab), and Egyptian Drilling Company (EDC). It came to an initial agreement with the Abu Dhabi wealth fund earlier this year to sell 25-30% stakes in the three companies for USD 800 mn.

NOT HAPPENING ANY TIME SOON-

The National Dialogue, which has been suspended until after the presidential poll, dialogue rapporteurs announced yesterday.


SETTING THE RECORD STRAIGHT- We have not agreed with the IMF to roll our first and second reviews into one. A number of reports in the domestic press in recent days suggested the first and second reviews under our USD 3 bn assistance program would be combined and take place by the end of this year. A source with first-hand knowledge of the government’s intentions confirmed when we asked yesterday that the information was in a government report posted to the web and later taken down. The source offered no clarity on when the review might take place.

When the review might be scheduled has become everyone’s favorite parlor game — particularly given widespread expectations that it will coincide with the Central Bank of Egypt taking action on the exchange rate. Rumor last week had it that the IMF wouldn’t come to town before 1Q 2024.

BACKGROUND- We’re due to have eight reviews under the 46-month program, but are yet to pass through the first, which was due to take place in March. Disbursements are keyed to IMF reviews of our progress on a laundry list of conditions including commitment to a flexible exchange rate and cutting back on the state’s involvement in the economy.


FROM THE RUMOR MILL-

Mohamed Alabbar’s Eagle Hills could be eyeing City Edge takeover: That’s according to an article published by Al Borsa on Saturday, which claimed that the company is in early-stages acquisition talks with the state-owned real estate developer, citing “informed sources.” City Edge is one of several companies currently being explored by the Emirati firm, sources said.

FYI- City Edge is a joint venture between the Housing Ministry’s New Urban Communities Authority and the Housing and Development Bank. It is leading on key residential and commercial projects in several new cities, including the new administrative capital, New Alamein, Sheikh Zayed and New Cairo.

UPDATE-

We now know which Emirati bank might fund our Kazakh wheat imports: The government is in talks with Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank (ADCB) to finance wheat purchases from Kazakhstan, Supply Minister Ali El Moselhy to ld repo rters yesterday. ADCB was chosen to finance the purchases because the bank operates in Kazakhstan as well as in Egypt, the minister said.

ICYMI- Reuters reported on Saturday that the government was in talks with an unnamed Emirati lender to finance imports of Kazakh wheat.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

The question being posed by the global business press this morning: How is the US economy likely to fare in the coming month as global headwinds mount? High interest rates have been joined by rising oil prices, spreading strikes, and the threat of a government shutdown as challenges weighing on the US economy; a convergence of factors that could derail hopes for the “soft landing,” says the Wall Street Journal. Meanwhile, Bloomberg is pointing out that one of the traditional harbingers of recession is in effect: the ongoing sell-off in US small-cap and industrial stocks.

*** It’s Blackboard day: We have our weekly look at the business of education in Egypt, from pre-K through the highest reaches of higher ed.

In today’s issue: NBFS players are options to parents looking to finance their children’s K-12 education.

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Capital markets

Egypt’s sovereign bonds could be removed from JP Morgan’s EM index

Egypt is being put on review for potential removal from JPMorgan’s widely-tracked suite of emerging-market sovereign bond index es, Reuters and Bloomberg quote the investment bank as saying last week. The US bank will review Egypt’s eligibility for its Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets (GBI-EM) series over the next three to six months, with the country’s sovereign bonds remaining in the index during the review period. JPM’s remarks do not appear to be in the public domain.

Blame the FX crunch: Investors are facing “material” hurdles repatriating currency from local bonds, JPMorgan said. “If the hurdles cited by benchmarked investors persist, a status review will be triggered for Egypt's removal from the GBI-EM series.”

Remember: The country remains in the grip of an ongoing hard currency shortage, triggered in part by major foreign portfolio outflows as global economic conditions tightened following the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war. That FX liquidity crunch — alongside continued uncertainty about where the USD-EGP exchange rate could settle — may make it hard for foreign investors to repatriate the returns on their EGP-denominated bonds.

We only recently re-entered the index: In a boon for passive inflows to the local debt market, 14 EGP-denominated sovereign bonds worth around USD 26 bn were added to the GBI-EM Glob al Diversified I ndex last year, giving Egypt a weighting of 1.85%. This was the first time Egypt re-joined the GBI-EM after it was kicked off the index in the wake of the volatility triggered by the 25 January revolution in 2011. Egypt’s weighting in the index has since fallen to 1%.

JPMorgan isn’t the first to consider reclassifying Egyptian assets: Global index provider MSCI in June said it could consider reclassifying the status of its Egyptian indices from “emerging” to “frontier” or “standalone” status, citing the FX liquidity crunch.

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Capital markets

Investors can now trade Egyptian t-bills in the local market

The EGX yesterday began allowing investors to trade treasury bills in the secondary market in a bid to boost trading, the bourse and the ce ntral ban k (pdf) said in statements.

Until yesterday, Egypt only had a primary market for local t-bill issuances: This means investors were only able to buy new bills issued for the first time directly from the Central Bank of Egypt.

Now, they’re able to trade them locally: A secondary market allows traders to buy and sell debt after it has been issued, either by a central bank or a company.

The rationale: “Trading treasury bills through the stock exchange increases demand, facilitates trading operations, and serves as an additional attraction for investors,” said EGX head Ahmed El Sheikh.

The first session: Traders bought and sold EGP 33.9 bn worth of t-bills during the first session, the EGX said.

Remember: The secondary market isn’t new. Traders have been able to trade government bonds (which have longer tenors than t-bills) and corporate bonds on the secondary market prior to yesterday’s decision.

Will this mean more foreign inflows into t-bills? Not in the short term. Foreign appetite is unlikely to return to the local debt market until we address the FX overhang. What this means, though, is that we’ll have a much more interesting, transparent, and functional market — on par with the EGX for equities — when international buyers come back into the market.

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DEBT WATCH

EFG Corp-Solutions, Halan and state-owned real estate firm close securitized bond issuances

Egypt’s market for securitized bond issuances continues to be red-hot, with three fresh issuances worth  more than EGP 2.8 bn closing in recent days.

DATA POINT- The three transactions bring the total value of securitized bonds issued in Egypt so far this year to more than EGP 54.5 bn — more than 20% than was taken to market in FY 2022, according to data tracked by Enterprise.

#1- EFG Corp-Solutions closed an EGP 1.01 bn securitized bond issuance last week, according to a statement (pdf) . The issuance is the third in the leasing and factoring firm’s ongoing securitization program, and includes three tranches with ratings of Prime1, A+, and A+ from the Middle East Ratings and Investor Service (MERIS).

This is the company’s first issuance in 2023: The last time the EFG Holding subsidiary took to the debt markets was in September 2022 when it closed a EGP 2 bn issuance.

Who subscribed? EFG Hermes and Arab African International Bank (AAIB) were underwriters. Arab Banking Corporation (ABC) and Al Ahli Bank of Kuwait also subscribed to the issuance.

Advisors: EFG Hermes acted as the financial advisor and lead arranger on the transaction (as it has on some EGP 5.5 bn worth of issuances of late), AAIB as bookrunner and custodian, while KPMG acted as auditor. Dreny & Partners was the legal advisor.


#2- Halan, the consumer finance subsidiary of MNT-Halan , has issued EGP 1.04 bn worth of securitized bonds, according to Al Borsa. The issuance featured four tranches rated P1 and A, and was reportedly 1.5x oversubscribed. Buyers included major banks and investment funds, according to the newspaper.

Two down, one to go: This is the second issuance of a EGP 3 bn program, CIB’s debt capital market head Menan Awadallah told the newspaper. The company closed the first, EGP 978 mn issuance in December.

More to come: MNT-Halan’s microfinance subsidiary, Tasaheel, has securitized bns of EGP of its portfolio over the past year as part of a EGP 13 bn program. The company has sold more than EGP 8.8 bn of securitized bonds since June 2022 across three issuances, and expects to issue the remainder before the end of 2023.

Advisors: CIB acted as financial advisor, lead arranger and custodian, Matouk Bassiouny & Hennawy provided counsel, and KPMG was the auditor.


#3- Rawasi turns to the securitization market: Real estate investor Raw asi Urban Develop ment has closed a EGP 789 mn securitized bond issuance, according to a statement (pdf) yesterday from Al Ahly Pharos, which led the transaction. The issuance is backed by a EGP 1.3 bn portfolio of leasing receivables, and was sold in three tranches rated P1, AA and A by Middle East Ratings and Investors Service (MERIS).

Remember: Rawasi is a joint venture established in 2021 by the National Bank of Egypt (NBE) and Banque Misr to invest in real estate. The company has a partnership with Talaat Moustafa Group under which it buys out the developers assets.

Who subscribed? The bond was fully covered by the NBE, Arab African International Bank (AAIB), Al Ahli Bank of Kuwait, Al Baraka Bank and MIDBank.

Advisors: Al Ahly Pharos acted as financial advisor and lead arranger for the transaction. It was also one of the underwriters alongside NBE and AAIB. AAIB was custodian and placement agent. Dreny & Partners provided legal counsel, while RSM Egypt (Magdy Hashish) Egypt was the auditor.

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Investment Watch

Saudi Egyptian Developers, ASGC Group to redevelop Egypt’s former NDP HQ -Asharq

Are these the Gulf firms that will redevelop the former NDP HQ? A consortium of Saudi Egyptian Developers (SED) and the UAE’s Al Shafar General Contracting (ASGC) Group is set to work on the USD 5 bn r e development of the site of the former National Democratic Party (NDP) headquarters in central Cairo, Asharq Business reports, citing three sources it says are in the know. SED and ASGC will buy into the two JVs set up for the project through a capital increase, one of the sources said.

We’ve been waiting to hear who the Gulf partners are: The government last month ordered the transfer of the 16.6k square-meter plot from the Sovereign Fund of Egypt’s (SFE) tourism sub-fund to two companies, Nilus Hotel and Commercial Services and Nilus Residential Services. The firms appear to be newly established vehicles for the NDP redevelopment project and count two of the sub-fund’s directors and its CEO on their boards. Local media reported at the time that unnamed Emirati investors would also form part of the two JVs.

We suspected these two were in the running: SED and ASGC were among four consortiums reported to have submitted bids in a tender for the project launched by the SFE last year. SED is a partnership between the Saudi and Egyptian governments that invests largely in local real estate. ASGC is a Dubai-based contractor owned by the Al Shafar Group.

What’s next: The winning consortium will be officially announced within “a few” weeks, one source is quoted as telling Asharq. The companies involved are still negotiating with the SFE on the planned height of high-rise hotels to be built as part of the redevelopment, as well as the amount of USD revenue that the developers will be required to pay to the state under the usufruct agreement for the land.

The project: The redevelopment plans will see around USD 5 bn invested in a 7-star, 220-meter high hotel, residential buildings, and a multi-storey garage with capacity of up to 6k cars, local media previously quoted SFE tourism sub-fund chair Elhamy El Zayat as saying. The project is set to take some six years to complete and could break ground later this year, he added. It comes as part of a wider plan to redevelop old buildings in central Cairo and make the area more attractive for investment.

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Investment Watch

EBRD has committed EUR 30 mn to a midcap fund run by Mediterrania Capital Partners

Mediterranea lands EBRD as a limited partner in its fourth midcap fund: The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has made a EUR 30 mn commitment to Malta-based impact investor Mediterrania Capital Partners’ fourth fund (MC IV), which will invest in mid-cap companies in Egypt, Morocco, and Tunisia, as well as sub-Saharan Africa.

Where’s it investing? The fund aims to invest up to EUR 350 mn in midcaps in sectors including education, financial services, healthcare, pharma, construction and consumer staples.

Other LPs are a who’s who of development finance institutions, including the International Finance Corporation, the European Investment Bank, FMO, Proparco, and DEG which together have committed EUR 95 mn.

The EBRD knows Mediterrania well: The lender has invested in the private equity firm’s previous two funds, which together have acquired stakes in 15 African SMEs and mid-cap companies over the past decade, recording aggregate annual revenues of EUR 1.5 bn, Mediterrania said in a press release. Cairo Scan is today the only Egyptian business in Mediterrania’s portfolio, according to its website. It acquired a 40% stake in the diagnostics company in 2018.

Remember: The European lender signed off on the investment in July.

7

Startup watch

Egyptian fintech platform Neqabty closes USD 550k seed round led by Saudi wealth fund

Saudi wealth fund leads seed round for Egypt fintech: Local fintech platform Neqabty has closed a USD 550k seed funding round led by investment company Sanabil Investments, a subsidiary of Saudi Arabia’s sovereign fund the Public Investment Fund, according to a statement (pdf) by Neqabty. Sanabil, which contributed the majority of the funds, was joined by a Saudi angel investor, Neqabty CEO Mohamed Gamal told Enterprise. Neqabty is raising funds to finance its local and regional expansion plans.

Neqabty: Founded in 2018, Neqabty connects professional syndicates and their members, enabling them to digitally pay for annual syndicate subscriptions and access related services. The platform was part of the LaunchSaaS incubator sponsored by the Suez Canal Bank as part of the NilePreneurs program, which is part-funded by the Central Bank of Egypt.

Big plans abroad: The company has inked an MoU with the syndicate of engineers in Ghana, Gamal said. It’s also in talks to launch in Saudi Arabia and Portugal.

…and at home: Neqabty aims to have onboarded 45% of all Egyptian syndicates to its platform by the end of the year, according to the statement. The company is in talks to enlist the syndicates of commercial professions, lawyers, and applied arts, Gamal said. Groups currently on the platform include the syndicates of engineering, physical therapy, and agriculture.

Not the first time Sanabil has pitched in: Neqabty last year raised USD 100k in seed funding from 500 Global and Sa nabil 500 MENA Seed Acc elerator, a joint initiative by Sanabil and 500 Startups, according to Neqabty’s LinkedIn page.

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A MESSAGE FROM HSBC

Smart technology can deliver the Middle East’s new sustainable cities

Across the Middle East, countries are adopting smart technologies to create the next generation of sustainable cities, and businesses are adapting rapidly to take advantage of this transformation.

As urban populations increase, so do problems such as pollution and the demand on resources. Smart cities are increasingly seen as a way to create urban ecosystems using digital technology to improve services and make cities more liveable, with solutions ranging from reducing traffic jams to better waste management.

By 2050, an estimated 80% of the world’s population, or 6.3 bnpeople, could be living in urban areas. There is a clear potential to develop green and resource-efficient cities of the future, creating urban infrastructure and services that are both resilient and sustainable.

The global smart cities market is forecast to nearly double to USD 873.7 bn by 2026 from USD 457 bn in 2021 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.8% during the period. It’s also expected that the smart building market will almost triple in value to USD 229.1 bn by 2026 compared to USD 82.6 bn in 2020, while the global mobility service market is forecast to soar to USD 40.1 bn by 2030 from a mere USD 3.3 bn in 2021.

The growing need for various forms of green technology creates a lot of possibilities for companies, such as solar installers, battery manufacturers, artificial intelligence platforms that optimize energy usage, as well as businesses that can find innovative ways to reuse water.

In Egypt, the government plans to build 15 new sustainable cities in the coming years to provide residents with high-quality amenities and services, create investment and job opportunities, and reduce pressure on existing cities.

These ‘fourth generation’ cities are urban developments that integrate advanced infrastructure and information and communication technologies, helping to keep pace with climate change challenges.

The new smart city capital near Cairo will house 6.5 mnpeople, integrating infrastructure to monitor traffic and buildings that automatically identify the most effective ways to save resources.

As urbanization and consumption continue to grow and environmental pressures multiply, savvy investors are quickly realizing that smart technologies will be a vital tool for the cities of the future to help combat global warming and make increasingly crowded urban areas more liveable.

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LAST NIGHT’S TALK SHOWS

Egypt-China ties in the spotlight on the airwaves as Egypt prepares to host the AIIB’s annual meeting

It was another mixed bag on the airwaves last night, with no single story dominating the conversation.Pundits touched on the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank’s (AIIB) meeting in Sharm this week and the Chinese delegation’s visit to Egypt yesterday. Meanwhile, El Hekaya’s Amr Adib was the sole host to cover yesterday’s disappointing GERD negotiations in Ethiopia. More on this in this morning’s Diplomacy section, below.

AIIB > IMF + World Bank, says economist: Lobna Asal interviewed economist Mostafa Badra on Al Hayah Al Youm about the AIIB meeting in Egypt, which will be the first time it is hosted in Africa (watch, runtime: 6:40). Badra compared the China-led multilateral lender favorably to Western financial institutions such as the World Bank and the IMF, saying that it does not attach political conditions and offers lower interest rates. Masaa DMC also dedicated airtime to the two-day meeting, which starts today (watch, runtime: 2:37).

The Chinese are here: Former assistant foreign minister Mohamed Hegazy phoned in to Al Hayah Al Youm to discuss yesterday’s arrival of a Chinese political and business delegation for talks with President El Sisi (watch, runtime: 6:17). Hegazy highlighted Egypt’s role in Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative, and said that the two countries can work together to establish a trade route to rival the proposed India-Gulf-Europe route announced at the recent G20 summit. Masaa DMC also had coverage (watch, runtime: 0:47). We have more on the visit in the Diplomacy section, below.

ALSO- This MP really likes corporal punishment: Kelma Akhira’s Lamees El Hadidi interviewed MP Amal Abdel Hamid about her controversial calls for bringing back corporal punishment in schools — an idea that didn’t receive a ringing endorsement from the show host. (watch, runtime: 5:11).

This publication is proudly sponsored by

10

Also on our Radar

Lots of aluminum news + Belcash rebrands as Seven

MANUFACTURING-

#1- Aluminum Bahrain could establish bauxite plant in Safaga: The Public Enterprises Ministry is in talks with aluminum manufacturer Al uminum Bahrai n(Alba) to build a factory in Safaga to produce bauxite, the raw material for aluminum, C N N Arabic reports, citing Public Enterprises Ministry spokesperson Mansour Abdel Ghani.

#2- EgyptAlum might also set up shop in Safaga: State-owned, EGX-listed Egypt Aluminum (EgyptAlum) is planning to build a USD 1.9 bn plant in Safaga, according to the US news outlet. The factory will have an annual production capacity of 300k tons, 70% of which will be exported, and will include a bauxite production unit to lower production costs.

#3- Updates on the Emirates Global Aluminum plant: The Public Enterprises Ministry is also in talks with aluminum conglomerate Emirates Global Aluminum(EGA) to establish a new aluminum plant outside of the Nagaa Hammadi aluminum complex, Abdel Ghani said. The ministry is eyeing more than one location for the planned plant provided that it would be closer to shipping ports.

ICYMI- EGA has expressed interest in acquiring a stake in EgyptAlum via a capital increase, Public Enterprises Minister Mahmoud Esmat said in March. The proceeds from the equity investment would be allocated to building a new bauxite plant.

NBFS-

Belcash is now Seven: Belcash, Beltone Financial’s consumer financing arm, has rebranded to Seven as a part of the company’s broader efforts to revamp its NBFI offering, the company said in a statement (pdf) yesterday.

Data point: The company’s financing portfolio has reached EGP 1.3 bn, according to the release.

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PLANET FINANCE

Rising oil prices are starting to cause problems for emerging markets

Emerging markets (minus Egypt) thought they had beaten inflation. The oil price rally might have something to say about that: The ongoing rally in the oil markets is threatening to force the recent disinflationary trend in emerging markets into reverse, potentially delaying plans for interest rate cuts, writes Bloomberg. Oil prices have surged 30% over the past three months to reach 10-month highs on the back of supply cuts by Saudi Arabia and Russia, a trend that is starting to put pressure on bonds and currencies of emerging-market oil importers.

Remember: It’s not just oil prices putting pressure on EM. The recent hawkish tone from the US Federal Reserve has helped drive the USD to six-month highs, a move that is also putting pressure on emerging economies’ sovereign debt and currencies.

EGX30

20,213

+0.7% (YTD: +38.5%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 30.83

Sell 30.96

USD at CIB

Buy 30.85

Sell 30.95

Interest rates CBE

19.25% deposit

20.25% lending

Tadawul

10,949

-1.0% (YTD: +4.5%)

ADX

9,849

0.0% (YTD: -3.5%)

DFM

4,169

-0.3% (YTD: +25.0%)

S&P 500

4,320

-0.2% (YTD: +12.5)

FTSE 100

7,684

+0.1% (YTD: +3.1%)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,207

-0.1% (YTD: +10.9%)

Brent crude

USD 93.27

0.0%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.64

+1.0%

Gold

USD 1,945.60

+0.3%

BTC

USD 26,489

-0.4% (YTD: +60.3%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 rose 0.7% at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 2.1 bn (0.1% above the 90-day average). Local investors were net sellers. The index is up 38.5% YTD.

In the green: Abu Qir Fertilizers (+7.5%), Mopco (+4.7%) and Talaat Moustafa Group (+2.3%).

In the red: GB Corp (-4.9%), EFG Holding (-2.5%) and Madinet Masr (-1.9%).

12

Diplomacy

GERD talks fail to make progress in Addis Ababa, Egypt says

We’re no closer to an agreement over the GERD: The latest round of talks between Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) have failed to break the deadlock over ending the years-long dispute, Egypt’s Irrigation Ministry said yesterday. Two days of talks in Addis Ababa ended yesterday without any “substantive” progress,” the ministry said, blaming the Ethiopians for refusing to compromise.

The sides will meet for a third round of talks in Cairo in the second half of October, Irrigation Ministry spokesperson Mohamed Ghanem said in a televised interview last night (watch, runtime: 3:10 | 3:02 | 3:30). El Hekaya host Amr Adib urged Egypt to have a “plan B” in case Ethiopia continues to unilaterally fill and operate the dam, without elaborating.


Chinese delegation arrives in Egypt for talks: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi met with a high-level Chinese delegation for economic ties and political talks in Cairo yesterday, Ittihadiya said in a statement. The two sides discussed Egypt’s position in Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative, with the Chinese delegation expressing their interest in the Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCZone) as a strategic route linking East to West, according to the readout. Trade ties, industry localization, and climate action, as well as undisclosed regional issues, were also discussed.

FYI- The delegation is being led by Li Xi, one of the most senior figures in the Chinese Communist Party. Li serves on the party’s seven-member Standing Committee, its most powerful decision-making body.

Remember: The delegation is in Egypt to attend the annual meeting of the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), which takes place on 25 and 26 September.

China has stepped up its focus on Egypt this year: A slew of Chinese companies have recently pledged to increase their manufacturing footprints in the SCZone, while the developer behind the TEDA industrial area in Ain Sokhna is reportedly considering a significant expansion of the zone. Read more in our previous coverage: here | here | here | here.

13

BLACKBOARD

Where can parents in Egypt look for funding to cover international school fees?

K-12 education ain’t cheap — but NBFS players are plugging the gap with tuition financing services: Parents looking to put their children through international school from kindergarten to 12th grade face hefty bills, especially with added pressure from record high inflation pushing schools to raise tuition fees. At the top end of the spectrum, one year of tuition fees can cost EGP 638k-845k, while the lower end for international schools runs between EGP 84k-118k, depending on the grade. Non-banking financial services (NBFS) have responded to school fees — which have risen significantly y-o-y in EGP terms, thanks to the devaluation of the local currency — by introducing more diverse funding options for parents.

REMEMBER - This academic year has already been off to an uncertain start, making it difficult for some parents to budget,as tuition fee announcements came late while schools waited for final sign-offs from the Education Ministry . International schools regulated by the Education Ministry are required to get ministry approval each year on their tuition fees before announcing them to parents. The ministry issued a decree at the beginning of this month introducing a new tiered system of caps on annual hikes of tuition fees at privately-owned schools teaching both local and international curriculums, limiting the annual increment for top-tier international schools to 6%.

Beltone’s consumer financing arm seven is one NBFS player offering alternative education loans: Seven — previously known as Belcash — is partnered with 18 schools to offer tuition loans, including El Alsson, Misr Language School, and the British School of Egypt, Seven’s CEO Magd Darwish told Enterprise. Seven offers loans of “up to EGP 5 mn and more with exceptions,” with “competitive interest rates” and repayment tenors of between six and 60 months that can be made through Seven’s mobile app, website, or Fawry, Darwish added.


More parents are looking to finance their children’s tuition through loans, Darwish told us. With education financing approaching EGP 221 mn for 2H 2023, Seven’s education loans represent 10% of its monthly bookings, clocking in some EGP 37 mn in bookings per month. Demand has been driven by “seasonality of education and tuition programs along with changing interest rates creating large hikes and drops in the education financing industry,” Darwish said.

We could see new types of offerings in the future: Seven is in conversations with its partner schools to understand how they can accommodate parent demands into their offerings, such as the introduction of 0% interest programs.

We’ve seen similar operations in the past: Back in 2021, Seven (operating at the time as Belcash) signed a partnership with education outfit CIRA Education to offer parents whose children attended CIRA Education schools tuition fee loans with a 12-month repayment period. The loans served as an optional payment method in addition to the current payment models that CIRA Education provides.

ValU x GEMS also provide education financing options: Consumer finance platform valU was the first to make the move into offering parents education financing solutions, signing an agreement with private sector education provider GEMS in 2020 to provide tuition fee payment solutions to parents, including low-interest bridge loans that would give parents breathing space to pay in installments.

What else is out there? Education lender Edupay covers tuition fees, supplies, transport, and extracurricular activities through its loans, and students can obtain a digital wallet in which parents can deposit pocket money. Abgad also lets parents apply for multiple loans that can be directed to a different child’s education or to different purposes. Abgad claims to cut out a lot of the hassle for schools, allowing parents to make fee payments directly to the institution, reducing the need for schools to collect or chase fees. The average repayment plan tenor ranges from six to 12 months, while One Finance offers the longest repayment plan we found, with payments up to 60 months with a 0% down payment.

Traditional education loans are on offer, but appetite has historically been low: The majority of Egypt’s banks offer products to facilitate tuition loans, from private banking players like HSBC and CIB, to state-owned institutions like Banque Misr and Dubai’s NBD Egypt. Yet, demand for educational or personal loans from banks has been low in the past, which we previously reported is due to a lack of familiarity and flexibility, little publicity from the banks for their programs, and the unappealing fine print and paperwork putting parents off.

And personal loans could offer better rates: NBD Egypt offers a selection of specific loans, including education loans of up to EGP 100k with a flexible repayment tenor of up to 36 months, the bank says. However, it also offers personal loans of up to EGP 1 mn with flexible tenors of 36 months that don’t require guarantors.

NBFS players have a clear advantage over traditional banks when it comes to education loans: A host of non-banking financial services companies offer parents tuition loans, which given Central Bank of Egypt interest rate rises should provide an attractive alternative to traditional bank offerings. The CBE’s deposit rate currently stands at 19.25% with the lending rate at 20.25%, compared to the NBFS deposit rate of 11.25% and lending rate at 12.25% in June 2022, when we last took a look at traditional bank and NBFS education loans on offer.


Your top education stories for the week:

  • CIRA Education had a 25% increase in net enrolment numbers of around 5k students across its facilities for the 2023-2024 academic year.
  • The American University in Cairo (AUC) received a USD 85 mn grant from USAID.
  • Funding from Korea: The Korea International Cooperation Agency (KOICA) signed an agreement with the ministries of higher education and international cooperation to invest USD 8 mn in Beni Suef Technological University.
  • Private schools are hiking tuition fees for the coming school year by up to 40% above the Education Ministry’s 25% permitted hike for schools with the cheapest fees. The ministry was criticized on the airwaves for not enforcing the tuition fee limit.

SEPTEMBER

19-26 September (Tuesday-Tuesday): UN General Assembly, New York.

23-29 September (Saturday-Friday): Engineering Export Council of Egypt Iraqi trade mission.

25 September (Monday): Nasdaq deadline for Swvl Holdings Corp to increase its market value of publicly held shares to a minimum of USD 15 mn.

25-26 September (Monday-Tuesday): Egypt to host the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank’s annual board meeting, Sharm El Sheikh.

25-29 September (Monday-Friday): The IPPCto host plant health workshops in Cairo as part of the pilot phase of its Africa Phytosanitary Programme.

26 September (Tuesday): Taqa Arabia’s ordinary general assembly meeting.

27 September (Wednesday): Prophet Muhammad’s birthday.

27 September (Wednesday): Deadline for bidding in the fifth phase of the investment map offered by the Industrial Development Authority (IDA).

27 September (Wednesday): Deadline for bidding in tender for five solar plants on north coast.

28 September (Thursday): Eastern Company will hold an ordinary general assembly meeting to approve the company’s financials for the 2022-2023 FY.

28 September (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

28-29 September (Thursday-Friday): Medical Tourism Conference, Sharm El Sheikh.

30 September (Saturday): The start of the new academic year for Egyptian universities.

30 September (Saturday): The start of the new academic year for Egyptian schools.

Signposted to happen sometime in September:

  • Sustainable Debt Coalition Initiative agreed at COP27 to launch
  • IDH to open first branch in Saudi Arabia
  • The Egypt-Germany trade and investment joint conference in Cairo
  • ADQ to acquire stakes in Elab, Ethydco and EDC by end of month

OCTOBER

1 October (Sunday): Public-sector minimum wage hike, other financial support measures come into effect.

1 October (Sunday): Onion export ban goes into effect.

1-3 October (Sunday-Tuesday) International Expotec for water economics management, Egypt International Exhibition Center, Fifth Settlement, Cairo.

2-5 October (Monday-Thursday): ADIPEC 2023, Abu Dhabi National Exhibition Center.

2 October (Monday): Government meeting with investors to look into liberalizing electricity grid.

6 October (Friday): Armed Forces Day.

7 October (Saturday): HHD shareholders to consider NOSI’s offer to acquire Heliopark land.

9 October (Monday): The Narrative PR Summit, Somabay Red Sea.

9-11 October (Monday-Wednesday): Arabs Savings and Financial Literacy Conference, Four Seasons Hotel.

10-12 October ( Tuesday-Thursday) Ceramica Expo, Cairo International Convention Center.

13 October- 20 October (Friday-Friday): The sixth edition of El Gouna Film Festival (GFF).

Late October-14 November: 3Q2023 earnings season.

15-17 October (Sunday-Tuesday): Egypt Automotive Aftermarket Exhibition, Cairo International Convention Center.

26 October (Thursday): Daylight saving time ends.

29-31 October (Sunday-Tuesday): Egypt Energy, Egypt International Exhibition Center.

29 October - 2 November (Sunday- Thursday): Cairo Water Week.

30-31 October (Monday-Tuesday): Intelligent Cities Exhibition and Conference, Dusit Thani LakeView, Cairo.

30-31 October (Monday-Tuesday): Global Business School Network (GBSN), American University of Cairo.

31 October - 1 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

Signposted to happen some time in October:

  • Deadline for ins. providers to link their databases with the FRA
  • Egyptian-Jordanian Business Council, Amman, Jordan
  • Gov’t expects to finalize sale of Gabal El Zeit wind plant
  • October or November: Gov’t expects to finalize stake sale for military-owned fuel retailer Wataniya

NOVEMBER

2 November (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

8 November (Wednesday): Turkish-Arab Economic Forum 2023, Istanbul.

9-15 November (Thursday-Wednesday): Intra-African Trade Fair, Cairo.

14-15 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Destination Africa, Royal Maxim Palace Kempinski Hotel.

15-24 November (Wednesday-Friday): Cairo International Film Festival, Cairo.

19-22 November (Sunday-Wednesday): Cairo ICT, Egypt International Exhibition Center.

22 November (Wednesday): Deadline to apply to FRA for credit rating license.

23 November (Thursday): Worldview Education Fair, Cairo. (Register here)

30 November-12 December (Thursday-Tuesday): COP28, Dubai.

DECEMBER

9-15 December (Saturday-Friday) :The Engineering Export Council of Egypt’strade mission to Saudi Arabia.

10-11 December (Sunday-Monday): eGlobe Expo, St. Regis Almasa Hotel, Cairo.

12-13 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserv

e interest rate meeting.

12-14 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Food Africa Expo, Egypt International Exhibition Center.

20 December (Wednesday): End of sugar export ban.

21 December (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

Signposted to happen sometime in December:

  • Gov’t expects to finalize sale of a stake in military-owned bottled drinks company Safi
  • Gov’t expects to finalize sale of Zafarana wind farm

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2023: The inauguration of the Grand Egyptian Museum.

2H 2023: Egyptian government expected to sign agreements with a consultant for the EuroAfrica electricity interconnector.

2H 2023: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan expected to hold a summit.

3Q 2023: E-Finance to launch in Saudi Arabia.

4Q 2023: EGX to launch its new futures exchange.

4Q 2023: EGX to launch a shariah-compliant index.

End of 2023: A Developments’ first phase of the Lazoghly development completed.

2024: Standard Chartered Bank to open a branch in Egypt.

June 2024: Gov’t expects to finalize sale of Beni Suef combined-cycle power plant.

1H 2024: Gov’t expects to finalize sale of four water desalination plants.

End of 2024: The launch of the high-speed train line linking Ain Sokhna with Al Alamein City.

November 2024: Egypt to host the 12th session of the World Urban Forum (WUF12).

2Q 2025: Safaga Terminal 2 to start operations.

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