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National Printing jumps on trading debut — and another month in contraction

1

What We're Tracking Today

EGX30 closes at fresh high

Good morning, all, and happy almost-Thursday to you all. National Printing Company’s trading debut is leading the news well for the second morning running after its shares jumped over 9% during its first day of trading.

Yesterday’s rush of automotive news hasn’t slowed down yet, as we report on the Madbouly government’s plans to restrict imports of Chinese-made electric vehicles so that only officially licensed agents are able to get their hands on them.

AND ON THE MACRO FRONT- The non-oil private sector stayed in contraction in July, albeit at a slower pace than the previous month, as S&P Global’s latest PMI reports has shown. We also got news of the government looking into issuing fractional bonds to individuals in efforts to stimulate the local debt market.

^^ We have all that and more for you below in a packed issue.

BUT FIRST- The third issue of our Destination Sahel series is out today, which takes a look at how Sahel could become a year-round destination, the architecture underpinning new developments, and the impact of coastal cities on our shores. Destination Sahel, Issue III, will be landing in your inbox in just a few hours.

Missed the first two issues? Tap or click here to read the full series.


EGX WATCH-

EGX30 hits fresh high: The benchmark EGX30 surged 1.58% yesterday to close at a new all-time high of 35,254 points — hitting the 35k mark for the first time. The index has been on a strong upward trend in recent weeks, buoyed by sustained local appetite for equities and signs of growing investor confidence in the broader economy.

Helping sustain the momentum was the trading debut of National Printing Company, which jumped 9.4% in its first session. The debut — the second IPO of the year — signaled continued investor interest in new listings and lifted sentiment across the board. We have more on the firm’s trading debut in the news well, below.

HAPPENING TOMORROW-

The Finance Ministry will begin disbursing overdue export subsidies totaling EGP 5 bn to some 2k exporters tomorrow under the revamped export subsidy program that will see exporters receive 50% of their overdue dues in cash over four years, with the rest offset against liabilities.

PSA-

WEATHER- It’s another warm day in Cairo, with a high of 35°C and a low of 25°C, according to our favorite weather app.

It’s cooler in Alexandria, with a high of 32°C and a low of 24°C.

** DID YOU KNOW that we cover Saudi Arabia and the UAE?

** Were you forwarded this email? Tap or click here to get your own copy delivered every weekday before 7am Cairo time — without charge.

CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

The deadline to apply for Visa’s Africa Fintech Accelerator is 15 August, the digital payments player said in a statement (pdf). The 12-week program will help startups on the continent “fast-track their growth and impact” and is open to Africa-based fintechs with a minimum viable product or a ready market solution.

Two local startups made it onto the list of 22 fintechs just welcomed to the accelerator's fourth cohort, with SME financing outfit Flend and asset-backed financing startup Mnzl representing Egypt.

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

SIGN OF THE TIMES-

The African Arab International Securities company is looking into launching an AI-powered digital brokerage to expand its client base and reduce operational risks associated with a growing number of clients, Al Mal reports, citing Managing Director Yasser El Masry.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

It’s a busy day in the international press this morning, from big plays in the sports streaming world, to AI developments, to the usual flavor of disruption from Trump’s executive orders.

A big play in sports: Disney’s ESPN will acquire NFL Network and other media assets from the National Football League, in exchange for the NFL taking a 10% equity stake in the sports network. Disney did not disclose the values of the sale, analysts estimate it lands in the ballpark of a USD 2-3 bn.

ALSO- AMD’s data center performance causes investor concerns: The US chipmaking giant’s share price fell some 6% after hours, after reporting lower-than-expected quarterly earnings. Muted data center revenue growth in 2Q — just 14% y-o-y to USD 3.2 bn — was a far cry from top dog Nvidia’s 73% growth in data center business over the first quarter.

The earnings season continues: Expect giants including McDonald’s, Disney, and Uber to report their quarterly earnings later today.

OVER IN TECH- OpenAI lives up to its name: ChatGPT’s maker decided to enter the open-source competition with DeepSeek and Meta head-on, releasing its first two “open-weight” models gpt-oss 120b and gpt-oss 20b. The new models are claimed to perform close to GPT’s smaller closed models.

AND- Trump cracks down on “de-banking”: US President Trump is about to issue an executive order that would crack down on “politicized or unlawful banking”, punishing US lenders who cut off accounts for political or religious reasons. The order — accompanied with claims of discrimination against conservatives — would extend to clients of “risky industries,” which translates into crypto users and traders.

Also worth reading this morning:

  • The US trade deficit narrowed in June due to a substantial decrease in imports, as the trade gap with China reached its lowest level in 21 years.
  • Norway ordered the world’s largest sovereign fund to review investments in Israelicompanies, after reports showed it financed businesses linked to Gaza war.
  • Elon Musk and Tesla are being sued for fraud, following claims that the world’s richest man concealed the risks of the Robotaxi and self-driving vehicles.

*** It’s Hardhat day — your weekly briefing of all things infrastructure in Egypt: EnterpriseAM’s industry vertical focuses each Wednesday on infrastructure, covering everything from energy, water, transportation, and urban development, as well as social infrastructure such as health and education.

In today’s issue: We look at the latest efforts from the Madbouly government to liberalize the electricity market and upgrade the grid.

Ready. Set. Match. Somabay is proud to host its first international tennis tournament, the ITF World Tennis Tour, from 1-22 September — welcoming top-tier competition to the pristine shores of the Red Sea.

Organized by S Tennis Academy and hosted by The Kaktus Hotel & Co-Working Hub, and set against breathtaking scenery, this tournament marks another milestone in cementing Somabay’s position as a leading regional destination for sport, wellness, and world-class events.

2

IPO

National Printing Company soars on trading debut, gaining 9.4%

National Printing Company made a stellar trading debut on the EGX yesterday, with shares jumping to a high of EGP 23.69 before settling at EGP 23.25 — up 9.4% from the IPO price — ranking among the top five performers on the bourse. The stock still has headroom, with a fair value estimate of EGP 28.27 suggesting further upside for investors considering long positions.

There’s plenty of room for the stock to trend higher in coming sessions: Trading was brisk, with 8.1 mn shares changing hands — about 37% of the 21.2 mn shares floated — in transactions worth EGP 185.6 mn across 2.9k trades.

ICYMI- National Printing floated 10% of its shares, raising around EGP 449.9 mn. Half the offering went to a Saudi investor via private placement, with the remainder split between Egyptian institutional and retail buyers.

ADVISORS- EFG Hermes Investment Banking acted as sole global coordinator, while Zulficar & Partners served as legal counsel.

This marks the EGX’s second IPO of the year after Bonyan and the third taking into account Valu’s trading debut in June.

Also in the 2025 IPO pipeline: The EGX’s IPO pipeline dried up as the 2023-2024 currency crisis took hold — and had been weak for some time before that. Investors are particularly excited about the prospect of a Hussein Abaza-led Banque du Caire privatizing a stake through an IPO — bonus if it includes a GDR listing — while there is chatter that military-owned bottled water maker Safi and filling station owner Wataniya could go public. Two government sources told us earlier this summer that BdC, Safi, and Wataniya are in the pipeline as the state looks to raise as much as USD 5-6 bn from a “fourth wave” of privatization.

A hodge-podge of private sector companies have also flagged interest in going public, but we have even less clarity on their timelines than we have on the big three. They include Al Ahly Sabbour, Enara, Tabarak Holding, and others.

This publication is proudly sponsored by

3

Economy

Egypt’s non-oil private sector contraction eases in July amid signs of recovery

Non-oil private sector activity declined for the fifth consecutive month in July, although the rate of decline eased from the prior month, with businesses reporting weaker rates of contraction in activity and new orders, according to S&P Global’s latest Purchasing Managers Index report (pdf).

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

The country’s headline figure rose to 49.5 in July from 48.8 in June, inching closer to the 50.0 neutral threshold that separates growth from contraction. However, the index hit its joint-highest level in the past five months, reflecting only “a marginal decline” in the sector’s health.

New orders and overall output continued to contract during the month, but at softer rates. Although Egypt’s July reading shows deteriorating non-oil business conditions, there is still reason for optimism, as the drop in sales was eased by many firms securing new work, S&P Global Senior Economist David Owen said.

Meanwhile, input costs rose at a slower pace in July, with the acceleration led by an increase in purchase prices for items that include fuel, cement, and packaging. Firms also cited a mild increase in wages as a factor in the rise in input costs. “The concurrent increase in output prices was only slight, which should provide assurance that customers will not face large price swings in the near future,” Owen said.

Businesses continued to slash their input purchases for the fifth consecutive month, but at a much softer pace than June’s 11-month record cutbacks. “Supply chain conditions remained relatively stable, allowing firms to maintain stocks of purchases at broadly the same level as the month before,” the report read.

Employment is gaining momentum: “Businesses also had the confidence to hire new staff, leading to an increase in employment for the first time in nine months, if only a fractional one,” Owen said.

Business sentiment for the year ahead improved “only slightly” from June’s record dip, but remained “historically subdued” in July amid concerns from the surveyed companies about demand and wider economic uncertainty.

Domestic demand lifts Egypt’s PMI, but inflation risks loom: A dip in the new export orders, sub-component of the news orders, suggests that domestic demand led the improvement in our non-oil business activity, Capital Economics’ James Swanston wrote in a research note seen by EnterpriseAM. However, Swanston warned that if July’s rising input and output prices “translates into inflation staying elevated in the coming months, the central bank may decide to keep the monetary easing cycle on pause for longer.”

ALSO FROM THE REGION-

Non-oil business activity across the region showed varying trends in July-

  • In Saudi Arabia (pdf), the sector expanded at a lower pace than in June, marking the slowest growth since January 2022, with the seasonally adjusted figure coming in at 56.3.
  • Kuwait (pdf) maintained solid growth, supported by a strong increase in new orders and business activity.
  • In the UAE (pdf), the non-oil private sector plunged to its lowest reading in over four years, as regional tensions continued to weigh on sales.
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4

DEBT WATCH

Egypt mulls a fractional bond issuance to stimulate debt market

Could we see the Madbouly gov’t issue fractional bonds? The government is considering issuing fractional bonds to individuals, a portion of which will be allocated for Egyptian expats, a government source told EnterpriseAM. The move aims to stimulate the local debt market.

But first, what are the fractional bonds? They allow the government to sell debt in smaller, more accessible portions by opening the door for multiple individuals to invest in a single bond by purchasing a small quantity of the bonds on offer, bypassing the standard minimum investment amount. This flexibility makes it possible for investors to diversify their portfolio by acquiring stakes in more than one bond.

The government is working with Emirates NBD to finalize the implementation mechanism, in preparation for their rollout in Egypt, the source added. This comes as these bonds are gaining momentum in the UAE as a low-risk investment tool.

Retail market is already on the way: The government plans to launch a retail bonds market this year, a senior government source previously told us. This move will allow individuals, for the first time, the option of purchasing government debt instruments and reduce the government’s debt service payments. The move is pending ongoing amendments to the system governing primary traders.

What can we expect? The new debt instruments are intended to strengthen Egypt’s efforts to join the European clearinghouse Euroclear, the source said. By doing this, officials hope to attract further investors into the local debt market. This is expected to have a positive impact on the interest rates and reduce the burdens of debt services.

ALSO- Egypt intends to move forward with issuing its first EGP-dominated sukuk in the 2Q FY 2025-2026, another government source told us yesterday. The value of the issuance is estimated at EGP 3-4 bn and is to be issued in two tranches to measure investors’ appetite. The results will also provide officials with essential data for creating a clear and standardized pricing model for all future sharia-compliant debt instruments.

Not the first we hear of this: We were told last November that the government initially planned to issue its first EGP-denominated sovereign sukuk in the local market this fiscal year. A few months later, another source told us that the issuance was to be completed by March 2025.

REMEMBER- Egypt’s maiden sovereign sukuk issuance in 2023 raised USD 1.5 bn and was more than 4x oversubscribed. The issuance attracted interest from over 250 global investors from markets including the Gulf and East Asia, as well as the US and Europe.

IN CONTEXT- The Finance Ministry upped its local debt issuance plan for the first quarter of the current fiscal year to EGP 2.35 tn. This marks a substantial increase compared to the EGP 1.4 tn issued in the same period of FY 2024-2025, and is also higher than the EGP 2.2 tn issued in 4Q of the past fiscal year.

5

Automotive

Egypt moves to restrict Chinese EV imports to official agents

Tighter import rules coming for Chinese EVs: The Madbouly government is preparing to restrict imports of Chinese-made electric vehicles so that only officially licensed agents are able to get their hands on them, a government source told EnterpriseAM. The decision aims to ensure that all EVs imports comply with local environmental and safety regulations.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

A fix for the Chinese charging crisis? The move is expected to help resolve the ongoing issue with Chinese-standard EV chargers. Officials are in talks with Chinese automakers to ensure that all Egypt-bound EVs delivered through official agents come fitted with the European-standard CCS2 fast-charging protocol — now the only one approved for public charging infrastructure.

ICYMI- The country’s utilities regulator Egyptera in April had ordered public fast-charging stations to abandon China’s GB/T protocol in favor of CCS2. The move left some 80% of Egyptian EV users in search of alternative ways to charge, with four fifths of all EVs on Egyptian streets having come from China and much of the EV infrastructure built to cater to these drivers.

Charger standard to be tweaked for agent-backed imports: The new import framework will be accompanied by revisions to Egypt’s technical standard for EV chargers, the source said.

Importers aren’t happy with the decision, which they say could create supply bottlenecks just as Egypt is trying to accelerate EV adoption and attract new Chinese investment, head of the Clean Energy Committee at the Cairo Chambers of Commerce’s auto division Ahmed Zein told EnterpriseAM. He added that his division has called on the government to amend the charging spec and re-approve Chinese chargers — a move that would support some 10k EVs on Egyptian streets.

Technical workaround falls short on safety: In recent months, importers have fitted Chinese EVs with European-standard power connectors as a workaround, Zein said. While effective, the adapters come at a higher cost and don’t meet safety standards, he warned.

Some in the industry say a full ban isn’t the answer: Talk of banning imports of Chinese EVs over incompatible charging protocols “doesn’t make sense,” given that a large share of EVs in Egypt already use the Chinese GB/T standard, El Saba Automotive Chairman Alaa El Saba told EnterpriseAM. Some manufacturers have begun switching to the European CCS2 standard despite higher costs, undermining their price competitiveness, he added.

Prices could keep falling: EV prices have recently declined thanks to increased supply from both local assembly and imports, El Saba said. He expects further drops as competition heats up and profit margins narrow across the supply chain. “Consumers can now choose between dozens of models — something that wasn’t possible before,” he told us.

But this could change soon: The auto division has also received word of an upcoming decision to ban grey market and personal imports of EVs, Zein’s colleague Montasser Zaytoun told us, cautioning that removing independent importers from the market could ultimately push up EV prices.

New EV localization incentives in the works: The government has allocated EGP 5.2 bn to roll out fresh incentives for electric vehicle localization through expanded manufacturing, a government source told EnterpriseAM. The funding is part of a broader EGP 9.2 bn allocation this fiscal year for new auto manufacturing programs, including schemes targeting electric taxis, trucks, minibuses, and light commercial vehicles.

6

Diplomacy

Egypt, Vietnam want to boost trade to hit USD 1 bn

Brace for more Egyptian-Vietnamese cooperation: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi met with Vietnamese President Luong Cuong yesterday, where they agreed to upgrade ties between the two nations to a comprehensive partnership. The talks focused on building on recent momentum in ties between the two countries and expanding cooperation across key sectors.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

Boosting trade: The two sides agreed to boost trade to reach USD 1 bn over the coming period, Cuong said during the joint presser held following the meeting (watch runtime: 19:35), adding that they also agreed to look into opening up the Egyptian and Vietnamese markets for agricultural products from both sides.

DATA POINT- Trade between Egypt and Vietnam inched up to USD 634 mn in 2024, up from USD 606 mn the year before, according to official figures from state statistics agency Capmas seen by EnterpriseAM. Egypt’s exports to Vietnam stood at USD 52 mn, while imports came in at USD 582 mn.

A broad-based agenda of cooperation: The two sides agreed to step up public and private cooperation in areas including trade, investment, agriculture, and manufacturing — apparel, electronics, fertilizers, food, chemicals, meds, renewables, and EVs, El Sisi said. El Sisi emphasized the untapped potential in bilateral trade and investment and positioned Egypt as “a gateway for Vietnam to the Middle East and Africa,” while suggesting that Vietnam could help Egypt reach new markets in Southeast Asia.

We heard this before: El Sisi’s remarks came one day after a meeting between InvestmentMinister Hassan El Khatib and Vietnamese Deputy Industry and Trade Minister Phan Thi Thang, during which he mentioned that Egypt sees an opportunity to use Vietnam as a springboard into Asian markets — and is positioning itself as a gateway for Vietnamese products heading to African, Arab, and European markets.

Implementing the new partnership framework: Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly also met with Cuong to discuss implementing the comprehensive partnership agreed upon, according to a statement. Cuong said he would appoint a coordinator and establish a plan for implementing the partnership, while Madbouly reiterated Egypt’s support for expanding cooperation in key sectors.

Two MoUs were signed between the two sides — one on economic development signed and the other on local development.

Expanding cooperation: Madbouly called for greater Vietnamese participation in Egypt’s renewable energy sector and invited more Vietnamese companies to invest locally. Both sides agreed to fast-track market access for agri products and to resume talks on a double taxation agreement.

ALSO FROM EL SISI- During the joint presser, El Sisi touched on what’s happening in Gaza and said that the war has become “a war of starvation, genocide, and an attempt to eliminate the Palestinian cause.” He once again called for a ceasefire and the entry of aid to Gaza.

7

EARNINGS WATCH

Elsewedy Electric sees net income increase 2.1% in 2Q

Elsewedy Electric saw its net income after minority interest increase 2.1% y-o-y in 2Q 2025 to reach EGP 4.5 bn, according to the company’s latest earnings release (pdf). Revenues grew 12.3% y-o-y during the quarter to record EGP 64.4 bn.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

Driving the growth: The company’s wires and cables segment was once again its main driver of revenues, growing 4.5% y-o-y to EGP 37.8 bn during the quarter, which it attributed to the segment’s diverse product portfolio, strategic pricing initiatives in the Saudi and Algerian markets, and a 24% increase in volumes. Its engineering & construction segment was the second biggest revenue contributor, growing 22.8% y-o-y to EGP 17.4 bn during 2Q 2025.

On a 1H basis: During the first half of the year, Elsewedy Electric’s net income after minority interest rose 3.1% y-o-y to EGP 8.7 bn. The company’s revenues came in at EGP 123.8 bn during the same period, up 20.6% y-o-y.

Looking ahead: “We remain firmly committed to delivering on our three-year strategic growth plan, while actively exploring opportunities in new markets —and even new industries,” said CEO Ahmed El Sewedy.

8

Moves

Egytrans taps Dina Adel as investor relations manager

Transport and logistics company Egytrans has appointed Dina Adel (LinkedIn) as its new investor relations manager, the company said in a disclosure (pdf) to the EGX. Adel previously served as the head of investor relations and sustainability at Gateway Financials, as an investment venture and acceleration portfolio manager at Banque Misr, and has held numerous other roles in investment banking, private equity, venture capital, and investor relations.

What they said: "We're very happy to welcome Dina Adel. Her experience is a great addition to the team. She will be focusing on increasing communication and engagement with our shareholders and the market as Egytrans continues to grow its portfolio and leadership in transport and logistics locally and regionally,” CEO Abir Leheta told EnterpriseAM.

AND- Raya Holding for Financial Investments tapped Marwa Hamza (LinkedIn) as its new chief human resources officer, according to a statement (pdf) from the company. Hamza enters the role after serving as head of rewards and policy at Vodafone Egypt, and previously held senior HR roles at Allianz and Mercedes-Benz over her 30-year long career in HR. She will manage HR across Raya’s various investment portfolios and work on creating a clear talent strategy, developing future leaders, and ensuring human resources policies comply with international standards, the company said.

9

ALSO ON OUR RADAR

Egypt’s foreign reserves increase to USD 49 bn in July

BANKING-

Foreign reserves rose again to USD 49.0 bn at the end of July, marking a USD 335.8 mn increase from June, according to data (pdf) released by the Central Bank of Egypt. The rise was driven by a USD 53 mn increase in gold reserves and a USD 140 mn jump in foreign currency holdings.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

INVESTMENT-

#1- McDonald's is planning to invest EGP 1 bn in the local market by the end of 2026, Manfoods General Manager Alaa Fathy told Al Mal. These investments include the opening of new branches, the maintenance of existing ones, and the upgrading of technological infrastructure and digital marketing solutions. The company aims to increase the number of its branches from 194 to 280 over the next five years.

REMEMBER- The vast majority of McDonald’s restaurants are franchise locations — and in Egypt, all of its restaurants are owned and run by its local franchise partner Manfoods. The exclusive franchise by Manfoods, a Mansour Group subsidiary, started in 1994 when it opened the fast food chain’s first restaurants in the country.


#2- Supermarket chain Bim is investing EGP 2 bn to open 200 new branches across Egypt this year, Director of Legal affairs and Government Relations Ehab Khalil, told Al Borsa. The expansion would bring its total footprint to 650 locations, up from 450 currently. The company has opened 40 new stores in 1H 2025 at a cost of EGP 400 mn.

INS.-

FRA issues new solvency margin rules for ins. players: The Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) issued a new solvency margin policy aimed at strengthening the ins. sector and protecting policyholders’ rights at times of risk, according to a statement. The new framework requires ins. firms now to calculate their solvency using two new methods — either calculating 20% of net premiums until the end of the fiscal year ending in December 2027, or based on net claims incurred. The authority will follow whichever result is higher, so that companies are better prepared for unexpected losses.

HEALTHCARE-

The Universal Health Ins. Authority clocked in a financial surplus of EGP 52.1 bn and revenues of EGP 69.0 bn during the fiscal year 2024-2025, according to a statement from the authority. On a y-o-y basis, revenues were up 49%, its surplus was up 43%, and cumulative allocations rose 25% to EGP 10.9 bn.

FINTECH-

Local fintech startup Digified secured its license from the Financial Regulatory Authority to offer AI-driven digital onboarding, eKYC, and e-contracting services for non-banking financial institutions, the startup said in a statement(pdf).

10

PLANET FINANCE

Wall Street warns pullback is coming, but says buy the dip

Some of Wall Street’s biggest names are bracing clients for turbulence ahead. Strategists at Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, and Evercore are cautioning that US equities, particularly the S&P 500, look vulnerable to a near-term slide after a blistering rally since April pushed valuations to overheated levels, Bloomberg reports.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

How steep are we talking? Morgan Stanley forecasts a correction of up to 10% this quarter, citing the drag from tariffs on consumers and corporate margins. Evercore sees the potential for an even steeper 15% drop, while Deutsche Bank’s Parag Thatte argues that equities are overdue for at least a modest pullback after more than three months of gains.

The warnings come as US economic data turns shaky: US inflation is ticking higher, job growth is softening, and consumer spending is losing steam. Seasonality is also working against stocks, with August and September historically (for the past 30 years to be specific) the weakest months for the S&P 500, averaging losses of 0.7% each versus a 1.1% monthly gain on average, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Buy the dip? Evercore and Deutsche Bank advised investors to stay the course and use any weakness as a buying window, particularly in sectors benefitting from the ongoing AI boom, noting that the long-term bull-cycle remains intact.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Asian markets are showing mixed performance this morning, with Japan’s Nikkei and the Shanghai Composite both in the green, up 0.6% and 0.1%, respectively, and the Hang Seng and Kospi in the red.

EGX30

35,254

+1.6% (YTD: +18.5%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 48.36

Sell 48.49

USD (CIB)

Buy 48.37

Sell 48.47

Interest rates (CBE)

24.00% deposit

25.00% lending

Tadawul

10,922

+0.8% (YTD: -9.3%)

ADX

10,331

+0.3% (YTD: +9.7%)

DFM

6,166

+0.7% (YTD: +19.5%)

S&P 500

6,299

-0.5% (YTD: +7.1%)

FTSE 100

9,143

+0.2% (YTD: +11.9%)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,250

+0.1% (YTD: +7.2%)

Brent crude

USD 67.64

-1.6%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 3.00

-0.4%

Gold

USD 3,434

0.0%

BTC

USD 113,903

-1.2% (YTD: +21.8%)

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index

884.87

+0.1% (YTD: +13.8%)

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk

147.50

+0.2% (YTD: +5.4%)

VIX (Volatility Index)

17.85

+1.9% (YTD: +2.9%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 rose 1.6% at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 5.4 bn (5.2% above the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 18.5% YTD.

In the green: Eastern Company (+5.5%), Egyptian Kuwaiti Holding -EGP (+3.4%), and CIB (+2.4%).

In the red: Misr Cement (-4.8%), GB Corp (-1.2%), and Telecom Egypt (-0.8%).

CORPORATE ACTIONS-

Act Financial will distribute a dividend of EGP 0.179 per share for its 2024 earnings, after the company’ general assembly approved the move, according to an EGX disclosure (pdf). Dividends to be paid out to shareholders will total EGP 200 mn.

11

HARDHAT

A liberal electricity market is coming to Egypt, but how ready is the grid?

The government is advancing measures to liberalize the electricity market and upgrade the grid, two government sources told EnterpriseAM. Qualification certificates have already been granted to four players in the sector to establish renewable power plants that supply electricity to private sector clients using the national electricity transmission grid.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

Four companies — Enara, Neptune, Amea Power, and Taqa PV — have so far been approved under a peer-to-peer (P2P) framework, giving them licenses to sell electricity to high-and ultra-high-voltage consumers. The four companies will each produce energy from 100 MW certified wind and solar projects, which together have a total investment of USD 388 mn. The power will be sold directly to new end-users via a competitive contractual arrangement between the parties, based on a set of rules to be developed by the Egyptian Electric Utility and Consumer Protection (EgyptERA) — with a helping hand from the European Bank of Reconstruction and Development — to ensure market regulation.

REMEMBER- The Egyptian Electricity Transmission Company (EETC) finally became anindependent electricity transmission system operator after separating from parent organization Egyptian Electricity Holding Company (EEHC) in April. The move was part of a broader — and much delayed — plan to liberalize the electricity market by turning the state’s electricity companies into market regulators and opening the door for the private sector to both produce and buy electricity from each other.

EgyptERA is positioning the P2P framework as a pilot for the competitive electricity market. The model allows renewable energy producers to directly contract private off-takers using national transmission infrastructure, in exchange for wheeling fees. “While it is structured as a pilot, it reflects a genuine and strategic effort by the government to open the market gradually, in a controlled and well-managed way that safeguards grid stability and allows for stakeholder learning,” Enara’s Corporate Development Officer Radwa Hafez told EnterpriseAM.

It isn’t a pilot to assess grid readiness, but a pilot to assess the developers and market readiness, Hafez explained. Projects are still in the feasibility study phase, with developers in negotiations with commercial stakeholders.

The P2P pilot was introduced after careful consideration of grid readiness and system capabilities. “While the current structure focuses on bilateral arrangements, we are hopeful that the scope will expand in parallel with planned grid and regulatory upgrades. The foundation is there, and it can evolve further as the market matures,” Hafez noted.

EGP 7 bn worth of transmission network upgrades were completed during the last fiscal year, according to our sources. The new investment plan focuses on further development of transmission infrastructure, including transformer stations at high and ultra-high voltages to accommodate additional capacity, as well as expansion of distribution networks by increasing the number of medium-voltage distributors, transformers, and cables at both medium and low voltages.

Current efforts are focused on expanding transmission networks to enable electricity to be transferred from various sources, and to adjust transformers for high and ultra-high voltages, our sources said. A new requirement mandates the construction of a 100 MW high-voltage substation to feed energy-intensive factories, which will help lower their electricity bills. These will then shift to medium and low voltage by around 2028.

But the groundwork is already in place, Hafez told us. “What would truly catalyze scale is continued alignment across stakeholders, visibility on long-term market design, and a stable, transparent execution framework that encourages replication and investor confidence,” she noted.

Currently eligibility is right, with participation restricted to licensed producers connected to the national transmission grid and consumers with new consumption sites, according to a circular (pdf) by EgyptERA. Producers must show financial solvency and technical plans, while consumers must not be involved in electricity distribution or owe overdue utilities payments. Eligible producers are allowed to contract with up to three qualified consumers and must ink standardized agreements with EETC, including connection, usage of system, and residual energy sales contracts. All production must come from new solar or wind facilities of 100 MW or under that have no existing sales contracts with government entities.

The Electricity Ministry is currently working to qualify 20 new private sector operators, according to our government source. Two more companies will be added this year, and the rest of the consortia will be qualified over the next two years, with the aim of having an open electricity market by 2030. Some 20 private sector energy players — including Infinity, KarmSolar, and Norway’s Scatec — voiced their interest last year to join the scheme.

EgyptERA requires that energy be sold under P2P models to private industrial consumers with consumption above 30 MW, and at a competitive price relative to the national grid rate. Renewable energy must make up at least 25% of any industrial facility’s total energy consumption. “We are particularly focused on serving energy-intensive industries … for whom direct sourcing models can create both economic and environmental value,” Hafez told us, citing strong demand from manufacturers, data centers, and other heavy users seeking sustainable and cost-efficient supply.

This is good news for companies worried about the EU’s carbon border adjustmentmechanism — known more commonly by its acronym CBAM. The P2P framework opens the door for energy intensive industries to rely on renewable energy to drive production, helping them avoid the carbon border tax that will be imposed on goods entering the EU starting in 2026.

But it doesn’t come without risks. EgyptERA made clear that the state will not provide financial backing to backstop P2P projects. Participants will bear full commercial and technical risk. “The current structure is consistent with international independent power producer models, where developers assume market and operational risk in exchange for commercial flexibility,” Hafez said. “While this requires a certain level of project sophistication and strong off-takers, it is not in itself a barrier,” she added. Trade and settlement responsibilities fall on the EETC, which is also tasked with validating physical nominations, managing energy imbalances, collecting metering data, and issuing invoices.

The move to liberalize the electricity market is 10 years overdue, Mohamed El Sobki, former head of the New and Renewable Energy Authority, told EnterpriseAM, confirming that the continued presence of a single service provider made the market unable to absorb more investment. But now, with licensed operators setting their own prices with an open market, this allows heavy industry and large consumers to sign preferential agreements with providers of their choosing — including distribution companies, if their prices are more competitive.


AUGUST

7 August (Thursday): Finance Ministry to begin disbursement of 50% of exporters’ pre-June 2024 dues over a four-year plan.

8 August (Friday): Capmas expected to release inflation data for July.

12 August (Tuesday): Egyptian Tax Authority deadline for pre-2020 tax dispute settlement requests.

12 August (Tuesday): Capmas expected to release unemployment data for 2Q 2025.

12 August (Tuesday): National Election Authority to announce Senate election results.

28 August (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

Mid-August: Launch of electronic platform to register Old Rent Law tenants.

Tourism Development Authority to waive late payment penalties for land purchases if full installments are paid

Late-August: Deadline for cement factories to restart production.

SEPTEMBER

8-11 September (Monday-Thursday): EFG Hermes London Conference takes place in the British capital.

9-11 September (Tuesday-Thursday): The International Exhibition for Paper, Corrugated Board, Paperboard and Tissue Paper Industries — PAPER-ME — takes place at the Egypt International Exhibition Center.

15 September (Monday): IMF to hold its combined fifth and sixth reviews of Egypt’s USD 8 bn EFF arrangement.

24-27 September (Wednesday-Saturday): Cityscape Egypt 2025, Egypt International Exhibition Center.

The Egyptian-Moroccan Business Council to send a delegation of 23 local companies to Rabat.

The Engineering Export Council of Egypt will ship a commercial delegation to Russia to ramp up exports to European markets.

Egypt Education Platform (EEP) to launch two new schools in Alexandria and Somabay.

Egypt Otsuka’s nutritional products factory in Tenth of Ramadan to begin operations, with exports to Gulf countries expected by January 2026.

OCTOBER

2 October (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s sixth meeting.

7 October (Tuesday): The 2025 EnterpriseAM Egypt Forum.

12-16 October (Sunday-Thursday): Cairo Water Week, Cairo.

19-22 October (Sunday-Wednesday): Arab African Investment and International Cooperation Summit.

23-25 October (Thursday-Saturday): Stone Africa Expo, Cairo International Conference Center.

October: The third iteration of the Export Smart Exhibition and Conference.

Mid-October: Capmas to publish the findings of its 2023-2024 income and expenditure survey.

NOVEMBER

16-19 November: Cairo ICT 2025, Egypt International Exhibition Center

20 November (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

November: Egypt to join the EU’s Horizon Europe research and innovation program.

DECEMBER

1-4 December: Egypt Defence Expo (EDEX), Egypt International Exhibition Center.

25 December: (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

Mid-2025: EGX launches sustainability index.

3Q 2025: Nasr Automotive begins locally manufacturing passenger cars.

3Q 2025: Polaris Parks to finalize contracts for two new industrial zones in the new capital and Sadat City.

Mid-2025: The Administrative Capital for Urban Developments to roll out the second phase of offering industrial plots to investors

2H 2025: Potential visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping to Egypt

4Q 2025: The beginning of construction works on China’s State Grid two solar projects.

4Q 2025: GB Auto starts assembling one of China’s Great Wall Motor models in 4Q 2025.

4Q 2025-1Q 2026: Kasrawy Group to launch first Avatr EV models in Egypt.

2025: The InterAcademy Partnership assembly.

2025: Nile Basin States Summit, Cairo, Egypt.

2025: Release of the government’s Startup Charter document.

Before 2025-end: The government will launch two ro-ro shipping lines with Saudi Arabia and Turkey.

2026

Early 2026: Passenger operations on the New Administrative Capital–Nasr City monorail scheduled to begin.

1Q 2026: Trial operations for the Ain Sokhna–Sixth of October section of Egypt’s first high-speed rail line scheduled to begin.

1 January: European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) to fully come into effect.

15 March 2026: IMF to hold its seventh review of Egypt’s USD 8 bn EFF arrangement.

May 2026: End of extension for developers on 15% interest rates for land installment payments

15 September 2026: IMF to hold its eighth review of Egypt’s USD 8 bn EFF arrangement.

2H 2026: Operations at Deli Glass Co’s new USD 70 mn glassware factory kick off.

2027

20 January-7 February: Egypt to host the African Games.

April 2027: Tenth of Ramadan dry port and logistics hub to begin operations.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2027: Egypt to host EBRD’s annual meetings for 2027.

End of 2027: Trial operations at the Dabaa nuclear power plant expected to take place.

September 2028: First unit of the Dabaa nuclear power plant begins operations.

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