Good morning, friends. Whether in the international business press or in the pages of EnterpriseAM, the ongoing war on Iran — now in its 13th day — seems to be the topic or subtext of every story.
While Egypt suspends Advanced Cargo Information requirements for transit shipments in and out of Gulf states and moves to reassure international energy players to carry on investing with promises of arrears payments, we’re seeing the EGP gain on the greenback for the second day in a row.
But leading the issue — and in a refreshing break from the war — is the Finance Ministry’s addition of eight tax reforms for its upcoming tax reform package, which looks to increase annual tax revenues to EGP 3 tn by pushing compliance and expanding the base, not hiking tax rates.
BUT FIRST- The Eid break is officially only a week away, with Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly marking Thursday 19 March to Monday 23 March as a paid public holiday for government employees. We’re yet to hear from the Labor Ministry, Central Bank, and the EGX, but we expect them to follow suit with the same announcement for workers in the private sector, banks, and the bourse.
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Watch this space
CUSTOMS — The Egyptian Customs Authority has suspended Advanced Cargo Information (ACI) requirements for transit shipments in and out of Gulf states, according to a circular from the Authority seen by EnterpriseAM. The three-month suspension comes as Egypt works to both funnel Gulf energy out of the country and goods in as the closure of the Hormuz Strait closes the GCC’s main trade connection with the rest of the world.
The details: Indirect transit shipments heading that will then head to ports in Nuweiba, Ain Sokhna, or Safaga to cross the Red Sea into the Gulf, along with Gulf exports that will arrive in Egypt before moving to a third country are now exempt from preregistration to get an Advance Cargo Information Declaration number before arriving on Egyptian shores. Both the importer and exporter however are not allowed to be Egyptian.
Why this matters: While the need to support our Gulf neighbours in this time of need is worthy in and of itself, the move to facilitate the movement of goods and energy in and out of the country is laying the groundwork for Egypt to become the GCC’s Hormuz Strait-proof gateway to the Mediterranean and the rest of the world if we ever see a conflict like this arise again in the future.
REMEMBER- This isn’t the only state-led effort to position Egypt as a logistics bridge for the GCC amid the Hormuz Strait closure, with the country offering up its Sumed pipeline that runs from Ain Sokhna to Sidi Kerir and 10 additional Red Sea storage facilities to help export Saudi crude from the Mediterranean.
Market watch
Could we see oil dip some more? In a turnaround, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said it is releasing 400 mn barrels of oil from the 32 member states’ strategic reserves. The barrels will be released over a set time period and be allocated according to each country’s needs.
We were expecting things to go differently after the G7 and IEA said they are holding off on releasing oil reserves earlier this week. We suspect that Iran’s Revolutionary Guards recently saying it wouldn’t allow “one liter of oil” to leave the region should US-Israeli strikes continue and Brent briefly hitting USD 120 bbl had something to do with the change of heart.
How much difference will 400 mn make? To put it into perspective, pre-war, around 20 mn barrels passed through the Strait of Hormuz everyday, representing around 25% of maritime oil trade. This means that the barrels should cover around 20 days’ worth of supply.
IN CONTEXT- The 400 mn figure is significantly larger than the 182 mn released by the agency when Russia invaded Ukraine, making it the largest move of its kind.
Iran’s message: “Get ready for oil to be USD 200 per barrel,” a military spokesperson said in comments picked up by Reuters.
Oil price rises, despite all efforts: Brent crude surged beyond the USD 100 / bbl mark this morning after Oman evacuated all vessels from its key oil export terminal and fresh attacks on two tankers in Iraqi waters, Bloomberg reports. These updates raised fears that we could be looking at supply disruptions that extend beyond the Strait of Hormuz.
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Data point
46.0k — that’s the number of hotel rooms in the pipeline in Egypt, marking the country as having the most planned keys on the continent, according to W Hospitality Group’s 2026 Hotel Chain Development Pipelines in Africa report. Egypt has more than 4x the amount of hotel rooms planned than Morocco in second place and is expected to see 33 hotels open in 2026 as the country works towards its target of accommodating 30 mn tourists a year by 2030.
PSA-
WEATHER- Temperatures are finally on the up in Cairo today, with a welcome high of 24°C and a low of 13°C, according to our favorite weather app.
It’s yet to warm up as much in Alexandria, with a high of 21°C and a low of 13°C.
And over the weekend, expect to see temperatures inch up a degree in the capital and fall by the same amount for our friends on the Mediterranean.
The big story abroad
Making headlines this morning is the US’ plan to release 172 mn barrels of oil from its emergency reserve, as part of a coordinated effort by the International Energy Agency to curb surging energy prices triggered by the Iran war. The Trump administration will start releasing barrels over the coming weeks and over a 120-day period.
^^ We have more on the IEA’s plan to release 400 mn barrels of oil in the news well, above.
ALSO- Several international outlets are taking note of how much the US has spent on its war on Iran — the bill came to an estimated USD 11.3 bn in the first six days of the campaign on the Islamic Republic.
Meanwhile, on Wall Street: Alternative investment firm Cliffwater has placed a 7% cap on redemptions of its flagship private credit fund, after investors tried to withdraw some 14% of shares — one of the largest requests seen in the market. Withdrawals from the fund came amid growing concerns over the quality of loans linked to software companies whose business models are now under threat from advancements in AI tech. Hours after news of the cap came to light, Morgan Stanley followed suit with similar limits.






