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Fawry CEO Ashraf Sabry on: How to survive a hack

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What We're Tracking Today

Egypt, Arab foreign ministers head to Spain, US to push Gaza ceasefire

Good morning, friends, and welcome to the accidental low-key good news issue of your morning read. No, there’s not peace in Gaza. The EGP hasn’t floated and nobody’s given us a USD 18 bn gift. And yet we have (just about) not a single downbeat story for you this morning. (We didn’t plan it this way, it just … is.)

The basics: CEO Ashraf Sabry goes deep with us about how fintech giant Fawry fought off a hack by LockBit, showing that good leaders don’t just deliver (and communicate) in good times, but also when times are more difficult. Tourism arrivals were up significantly in October despite the outbreak of war in Gaza, and Tourism Minister Ahmed Issa is feeling positive about his 12-month target. Issa and his team worked overtime after the outbreak of the crisis to reassure global partners and bring in smart (policy and financial) measures to preserve demand. And after three years of steep losses, Beltone Financial turned profitable in 9M 2023 under a new shareholder that brought in a new leadership team and a clear vision for a turnaround.

Performances under stress by Issa, Khorshid and Sabry emphasize that in crisis and in good times alike, it’s all about leadership — about having both the courage to act and to trust your team to execute.

And last, but certainly not least: There’s cautious optimism that Egyptian diplomacy could deliver an extension of the ceasefire in Gaza.

^^ We have more on all of this in this morning’s news well, below.


PSA- Sellers, start coughing up that FX: The regulatory amendments to the Unified Tax Law, requiring businesses to settle their value-added tax dues in FX if they collect payment for their product or service offered in foreign currency, went into effect last week.

Price controls on sugar coming? Merchants have 10 days to regulate skyrocketing sugar prices before the Supply Ministry asks the cabinet to consider introducing price controls, Supply Minister Ali El Moselhy told Asharq Business (watch, runtime: 1:17).

Price spike: A sugar supply gap has pushed prices to soar up to EGP 50 per kilo and pushed the Supply Ministry to tap into its reserves to help fill the gap. Egypt currently has 5.5 months of sugar in reserve.

The government has tried to get a handle on the shortage in recent weeks by temporarilybanning companies from selling to traders, trying to enforce informal price cuts, and increasing purchases from overseas suppliers. Sugar was trading at EGP 42.50 per kilo yesterday — if you can find it on shelves.

HAPPENING TODAY-

Shoukry in Barcelona: Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry and a delegation of Arab and Islamic officials are in Barcelona today to attend the Regional Forum of the Union of the Mediterranean, which will focus on Israel’s war on Gaza, the Foreign Ministry said yesterday. The delegation will then head to New York tomorrow to participate in a UN Security Council briefing session on Gaza.

Remember: The delegation is visiting the five permanent members of the Security Council in a bid to push for a ceasefire in Gaza. It has so far touched down in Beijing, Moscow, London, and Paris. Egypt and Arab countries have put together a draft Security Council resolution to overcome “existing obstacles and imbalances” to the entry of aid into Gaza.

HAPPENING THIS WEEK-

#1- COP28 kicks off: Dubai will host the 2023 UN Climate Change Conference from 30 November to 12 December, bringing together global leaders in science, policy, and business to look into fast-tracking the transition to green energy, slashing emissions, and transforming climate finance. Check out the full agenda here.

** Today’s issue of Enterprise Climate will have the inside track on what you need to know about COP28.

#2- OPEC+ meeting: The alliance of oil producers is meeting on Thursday to decide on next year’s production targets. The meeting was initially scheduled for Sunday, but was pushed back after the alliance members failed to reach a consensus on the output quotas for African members.

We’ll have a better idea of where US and EU interest rates are headed on Thursday when fresh inflation data lands. Euro area figures and the US personal consumption expenditures price index are expected to show inflation slowing to its weakest rate since early 2021 — forecasts which if correct will further stoke optimism that rates on both sides of the Atlantic have reached their peak. Bloomberg has more.

ELECTION 2023-

Egyptian expats go to polls: Egyptians abroad go to polls on 1-3 December to choosebetween incumbent President Abdel Fattah El Sisi, Al Wafd Party’s Abdel Sanad Yamama, the Egyptian Social Democratic Party’s Farid Zahran, and the Republican People Party’s Hazem Omar.

Voters here at home will cast their ballots on 10-12 December. First-round results are due on 18 December and a runoff, if necessary, will take place in early January 2024.

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

Gaza is dominating the international front pages this morning, with the world’s media all focused on the latest on the prisoner swap between Hamas and Israel. We have more details in this morning’s news well, below. (Associated Press | Reuters | Bloomberg | Financial Times | New York Times | Washington Post | Wall Street Journal | BBC)

DATA POINT- Goods worth a combined USD 63 bn have been released from our ports since the beginning of the year, Customs Authority head El Shahat El Ghatwary told Asharq Business yesterday. However, some USD 5 bn-worth of goods remains stuck at ports, only a marginal improvement from the USD 5.5 bn figure recorded at the end of May.

SIGN OF THE TIMES- An ATM for gold? Gold jewelry manufacturer Master Gold Egypt has launched Egypt’s first gold ATM in partnership with local fintech company Finway, according to Ahram Gate. The machines allow users to buy gold bars and coins and will soon be widely available in malls across Egypt. Watch the machine in action here.

Sounds crazy but it just might work. Gold prices have been hitting never-before-seen highs as Egyptians rush to buy the precious metal as a hedge against a weakening EGP and a looming devaluation expected in the weeks following the presidential election. The price of 24-carat gold has now climbed above EGP 3,200 per gram.

ICYMI-

Missed this week’s Inside Industry? In our weekly vertical exploring all things industry and manufacturing, we looked at the details and potential benefits of AfCFTA and the challenges the continent faces to implement it.

*** It’s Blackboard day: We have our weekly look at the business of education in Egypt, from pre-K through the highest reaches of higher ed.

In today’s issue: What are international schools in Egypt doing to regulate the use of generative AI in classrooms?

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Finance

Egyptian fintech player Fawry confirms LockBit data breach

Fawry’s testing environment was hacked, the EGX-listed fintech giant said in a regulatory filingyesterday (pdf).

The background: A post on the dark web alleged that LockBit — arguably the world’s most sophisticated hacker group — had hacked Fawry’s systems. That claim went viral on Egyptian social media Thursday, 9 November, triggering a series of disclosures from Fawry.

A forensic audit of more than 2k servers, which serve Fawry’s full suite of products and services, has since found that while production servers were not breached, a portion of its testing environment was hacked and resulted in the compromise of some customers’ personal data.

Fawry is far from alone: Everyone from JP Morgan and Microsoft to Google, LinkedIn and theCIA have been the victims of cyberattacks at one point or another as criminal gangs, state-sanctioned actors, intelligence agencies, and large institutions wage a running battle for that most precious of commodities: information. It’s not “if” you’re going to be attacked, it’s “when” — and what you do to avoid that attack, to fight it off when it happens, and to pick up the pieces afterward.

We spoke with Fawry CEO Ashraf Sabry to unpack what happened and what comes next.This transcript of our conversation has been lightly edited for clarity and concision:

ENTERPRISE: Were you hacked, as LockBit claimed?

ASHRAF SABRY: Yes, we were. Our testing environment, where we test applications before launching to the end-user, was breached by the ransomware organization known as LockBit. Our live production environment — the one that our clients interact with when they use our services — was not subject to any compromise, as we disclosed on 10 November after a sweep of our systems.

E: Did the compromise on the testing environment include personal data, financial data, or both?

AS: Personal data only — but no data that would allow someone to use that information to execute financial transactions on our system. We ran a thorough investigation and have found no evidence at all that the breach exposed financial data. But yes, some personal data was compromised, and this is horrible. You never want to be in a position to have personal data on your system breached.

E: What type of personal information was breached?

AS: We believe it may include some customer’s names, their addresses, email addresses, this type of personal data.

E: How many clients were impacted?

AS: It is frankly hard to tell. When a ransomware group comes in, the first thing they do is encrypt the information — we just don’t have access to it. So a big part of the investigation is working backward to determine what was likely in that testing environment, which will help us identify the nature of the data, but will not enable us to quantify it — the only way to quantify it is to decrypt the encrypted files.

E: How at-risk are people whose personal information was compromised?

AS: By itself, the breach of personal data — while we regret it very deeply — does not put people at specific risk. For example: When you give someone your bank details on, say an invoice, can they use that information to transfer money out of your account? No. Let’s say it is a credit card, and someone has the front and back of the card. Can that execute a transaction? Typically not — you need an OTP to complete a transaction. Name, email addresses, dates of birth — those things alone are not enough to give someone access to your financial life.

E: But there is a risk.

AS: There is, yes. I’m not downplaying that. But the problem isn’t that a third party could use customer data to perform financial transactions — the risk is social engineering.

E: Can you unpack that?

AS: It’s customers getting a call from someone who has some basic information about them and tries to convince them it’s their bank calling. They try to use data like this to convince a customer that it is legitimate. The same thing happens over SMS and email. People reach out, know a bit about you, and the scam is almost invariably to get you to click a link they send to “reset your password” or an attempt to get you to give them an OTP.

We’re telling all of our customers: Nobody legitimate is ever going to call you up and ask you to give them data, to reset a password, to give them an OTP. Not us, not your bank, and not the mobile network operators.

As an industry, banks and financial services providers like us need to do more to educate users about risks, because fraud attempts in the form of social engineering happen every day. Everyone in the industry has been working on this for the past 12 months — trying to drive awareness of the risk of fraud, and the message is simple: No Egyptian institution will call you to request financial information by email, phone or sms.

The simple fact is that we all leave personal data in a multitude of places — not just with Fawry. It’s on our social media profiles. It’s on the systems of the merchants we buy from. Delivery companies know your name, address, and payment information. So does Fawry.

E: So you think the risk is contained as long as people are aware of the basics of financial fraud?

AS: Yes, but they need to be aware of social engineering attacks.

E: Hackers aren’t going to go away, whether it’s someone DDOSing a site or a ransomware group.

AS: They’re not going to disappear, and neither will the digitization of finance. There’s a global war between cyber criminals and digital institutions. Fawry and others like us need to do everything we can to prevent data breaches — and we need to teach our clients how to protect themselves. That’s an ongoing, every day process.

I like to draw an analogy between safety in financial services and safety in the airline industry. With the right systems, the right people on the airline and airport and security sides, air travel is much safer than traveling by car. More and more people every year are flying — and the accident rate is incredibly low because of good systems. That’s what we need in the digital space, and it’s happening: More and more people transact digitally every year, and the percentage of people who are being impacted by data breaches remains low.

E: What are you doing to prevent another data breach happening in the future?

AS: Our first priority on day one was to make sure that our production system was not compromised, and thankfully we found that our core banking, MyFawry, acceptance, and other systems were 100% clean. It was later, as we went deeper into the testing system, that we found we had an issue. And it took some time to do a forensic analysis, which is what we announced [yesterday].

Today, all of our more than 2k servers are on dual active monitoring by global professionals and our teams, but it’s not just about increasing investment in software and physical security — it’s about governance, too. We’ve already invested in the latest technologies including monitoring tools, firewalls, malware agents, monitoring agents…

What we’re doing now is perhaps more important. We’re working with international organizations to review our risk management policies and framework. And we’re also working with them to see what else we need to invest in. We all need to stay on our toes, because vulnerabilities are everywhere. In just the last few months, for example, vulnerabilities with Citrix and FortiNet have exposed end users to risk.

E: Let’s change gears as we wrap this up. If your earnings release for the first nine months(pdf) of the year is anything to go by, 2023 has been good to Fawry. Why have profits grown so much faster than revenues?

AS: We’ve had a clear strategy over time of driving growth by creating new lines of business and this year we’re hitting critical mass. We’ve made key investments, and as more and more clients adopt those services, the marginal cost comes down. Revenues were up 42% in the first nine months and our bottom line has almost quadrupled.

E: Will the emphasis on new products continue in 2024, or will it be about consolidation?

AS: You can expect to see us paying a lot of attention to small businesses and sole proprietorships — businesses that have no real access to the financial system, but who have needs. We think we have the infrastructure to serve them in a way and at a cost that meets their needs, whether that’s ins., payment, lending, saving, or payments. We’ll also continue to invest in new services for MyFawry, but I’m particularly excited about looking at B2B.

It’s inarguable that B2C financial services are way ahead of B2B in Egypt, and sure, B2B is more complex — it’s more than “You buy, I send” — but there is so much to be done in this segment.

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Tourism

Egypt’s tourist arrivals up 8% in October despite Gaza war

It’s business as usual for our tourism sector, despite Gaza war: Tourists have continued to arrive in Egypt in greater numbers than last year since the war in Gaza started seven weeks ago, defying pessimistic outlooks that accompanied the conflict.

The figures: Almost 1.5 mn tourists visited the country in October, up 8% y-o-y, while arrivals in the first three weeks of November were 5-10% higher, Tourism Minister Ahmed Issa said at a press conference yesterday.

Defying predictions: Israel’s declaration of war on Hamas last month brought with it a downbeat outlook for Egypt’s tourism sector, with several booking agencies reporting a spike in cancellations and warnings from onlookers, including from IMF head Kristalina Georgieva.

Our 15 mn target is still in sight: “We should be able to achieve our objective or be as close as possible to our objective of bringing in a record 15 mn tourists this year,” Issa said. Arrivals during the first 10 months of the year saw a 30% increase from the same period in 2022. Bookings for November and December are on track to reach their normal levels after a brief hiccup triggered by the war, the minister said.

ICYMI- We looked at what the government has done to mitigate the potential impact from the war on our tourism sector in a story published last month.

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EARNINGS WATCH

Under new team, Beltone turns profitable in 9M 2023 after three years in the red

Dalia Khorshid’s Beltone Financial Holding turned profitable in 9M 2023 after three years ofconsecutive losses,logging EGP 86 mn in net income compared to a net loss of EGP 140 mn in the same period a year ago, the company’s earnings release (pdf) showed yesterday. Beltone turned in EGP 957 mn in operating revenue for the first nine months of this year, up more than 270% on the same period of 2022.

Why this matters: It is the first full earnings release Beltone has issued since CEO Dalia Khorshid was brought in post-acquisition by the UAE’s Chimera Capital to turn the business around after the company had struggled with profitability and strategy for several years. The turnaround has included a full new management team, a full book of new policies and procedures, a record rights issue to recapitalize the business, and its transformation into a data-driven organization.

NBFI growth fuels record operating revenues: The company’s top-line performance was mainly led by a strong performance in its non-banking financial institutions arm, where operating revenues surged 680% y-o-y to EGP 478 mn. The investment banking unit delivered operating revenues of EGP 198 mn in 9M 2023. The sharp improvement in profitability is notable for having come in a much higher interest-rate environment in 2023 that helped drive interest expenses up more than 2.5x. And in a recognition that a business sometimes needs to spend money to make money, salary costs increased with an investment in new teams to lead and staff business units that existed before Khorshid was appointed as well as new units launched after she and her team took over.

A solid 3Q: The company’s bottom line was profitable on a three-month basis, reporting EGP 232 mn in net income for 3Q 2023 compared to an EGP 34 mn loss in the same period last year. Operating revenue for the period increased 742% y-o-y to EGP 637 mn.

BACKGROUND- Abu Dhabi-based investment firm Chimera acquired a majority stake in Beltone in October of last year. It overhauled the company’s team of senior executives and embarked on a company-wide restructuring following Chimera’s appointment of Dalia Khorshid as the group’s CEO. Beltone closed a huge EGP 10 bn capital increase in July.

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WAR WATCH

Optimism for longer peace in Gaza as ceasefire nears its end

It’s day four of the four-day ceasefire. Another batch of Palestinian and Israeli hostages were released yesterday as the two sides kept to the terms of the four-day ceasefire pact brokered by Egypt and Qatar last week. Hamas released 13 Israeli and four foreign nationals and Israel released 39 Palestinians. Some 150 Palestinians, 50 Israelis, and an unknown number of foreign nationals will be freed during the truce, which expires at 7am on Tuesday.

An extended truce could be on the table with both Israel and Hamas showing openness to the idea. In a Telegram statement, Hamas said that it is looking to extend the truce after the four-day period, while the Israel Defense Forces spokesman said that his government is looking to secure the release of as many of its hostages as possible before resuming its bombardment of Gaza. Under the agreement, Israel said it would extend the ceasefire by one day for every 10 additional hostages released by Hamas. Truce mediators Egypt and Qatar have both signaled to the possibility of a truce extension.

More fuel and aid enter Gaza: Seven fuel trucks and 100 aid trucks entered Gaza yesterday, a significant jump from what was entering the strip before the truce but still below the 200 trucks per day agreed upon last week — a point that Hamas voiced its discontent with to Qatari and Egyptian officials. Aid groups are expected to deliver the biggest shipment of aid Gaza has seen in over a month, a UN official told Reuters.

Another claim that Israel had prior knowledge of the 7 October attack. A senior Israeli military intelligence officer reportedly dismissed warnings predicting the 7 October attack weeks before it happened, calling it an “imaginary scenario,” two unnamed sources familiar with the matter told the Financial Times. The warning came from sentries on Israel’s border with Gaza, who had footage of Hamas rehearsing taking Israeli hostages and training to enter Israeli territory. This echoes claims from Egyptian officials last month, who said that they had warned the Israeli government about a planned attack.

DIPLOMACY- Shoukry spoke with US Secretary of State Blinken | El Sisi thanks Qatari emir for efforts to broker the truce | Israel demands apology from Irish PM for using biblical allusion in statement on an Irish hostage’s release.

ON THE GROUND- Four commanders of Hamas’ Al Qassam Brigades have been killed, according to the militant group’s official Telegram channel | Another Israel-linked tanker is seized off the coast of Yemen.

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Moves

Egypt’s El Sisi reappoints central bank head for new one-year term + Ahmed Galal joins AUC Board

#1- Hassan Abdalla gets another year as CBE governor: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi has reappointed Hassan Abdalla as the acting governor of the Central Bank of Egypt for a second one-year term as part of a wider board shuffle, according to a decision published in the Official Gazetteyesterday. Abdalla was made central bank governor following Tarek Amer’s shock resignation in August 2022.

Joining him: Veteran banker Tarek El Kholy (LinkedIn) returns to the central bank as deputy governor following a five-year stint heading SAIB Egypt. El Kholy previously held several roles at the central bank, including serving as its chief risk officer and heading on-site banking supervision. He joins Ramy Aboulnaga who has been reappointed as deputy governor for another year. Mohamed Abou Moussa has been appointed as the CBE’s first assistant governor, Ittihadiya said in a separate statement.

#2- Ahmed Galal Ismail joins AUC board of trustees: The American University in Cairo (AUC) has elected Majid Al Futtaim CEO Ahmed Galal Ismail (LinkedIn) as the newest member of its board of trustees, it said in a press release (pdf) yesterday. Ismail brings over 16 years of executive experience across Majid Al Futtaim’s shopping malls, retail, and leisure businesses. He previously led the group’s ventures and property unit. He is a member of the Arab Investment Bank board, and also a member of the World Economic Forum’s Alliance of CEO Climate Leaders.

ICYMI- We recently sat down for a chat with Ismail to talk about MAF’s plans for Egypt.

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LAST NIGHT’S TALK SHOWS

The USD is to blame for the lack of sugar in the market

All about sugar. The nationwide sugar shortage and the government’s plan to tackle it have pulled the nation’s talking heads' attention after days and days of Gaza coverage.

FX crunch to blame for sugar crisis -El Moselhy: As local sugar prices continue to soar, Kelma Akhira’s Lamees El Hadidi looked to Supply Minister Ali El Moselhy (watch, runtime: 13:42) to provide some clarification as to the why and the how. The minister blamed a jump in global sugar prices and the current fluctuations in the EGP/USD exchange rate, which have made it difficult for food producers to import the needed sugar supplies for production. The Supply Ministry had to dip into its reserves to help plug the gap created by the lack of imported sugar, which in turn messed with its distribution chain and created the current illusion of a shortage, El Moselhy said.

“It’s not a lack of supply … we just need better organized distribution chains,” he said, adding that it will take 7-10 days for the market to settle down. El Moselhy mentioned the possibility of introducing price controls on sugar, to which El Hadidi voiced skepticism (watch, runtime: 3:59). Ala Maso’uleety also had coverage (watch, runtime: 12:20).

Also getting attention last night:

  • Wheat cultivation: Ala Mas’ouleety’s Ahmed Moussa hosted a roundtable to discuss the government’s targets for wheat cultivation (watch, runtime: 2:08 | 3:55 | 5:39).
  • Gaza: El Hekaya’s Amr Adib voiced optimism that Hamas and Israel will agree to extend the four-day ceasefire beyond today (watch, runtime: 2:00).

This publication is proudly sponsored by

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EGYPT IN THE NEWS

7 Egyptians missing after cargo ship sinks in the Mediterranean

Leading the non-Gaza conversation on Egypt in the foreign press this morning:

A cargo ship sailing from Alexandria to Istanbul sank off a Greek island yesterday after reporting a mechanical failure. An Egyptian crew member has been rescued, while a search is underway for the remaining 13, which include seven Egyptians. (Associated Press | Reuters)

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ALSO ON OUR RADAR

ASCOM acquires stake in Canadian gold producer. PLUS: News from Gold Era and NBE

MINING-

ASCOM subsidiary offloads 35% of Ethiopian gold project to Canadian miner: APM Investment Holdings, a subsidiary of EGX-listed ASCOM, has sold its 35% share in the Ethiopia-based gold mining project dubbed Kurmuk Gold Project to the Canadian gold producer Allied Gold Corporation (AGC) in exchange for 11.5 mn shares in the latter and USD 65 mn, according to ASCOM’s filing to the bourse (pdf).

The details: AGC shares were valued at USD 3.01 apiece, which puts the whole transaction at almost USD 100 mn, according to the disclosure. The USD 65 mn will be paid in three installments between 30 September 2024 and 30 September 2027.

INVESTMENT-

To quench our thirst for gold: Gold bars and coins manufacturer Gold Era is looking to set up a 1k sqm, EGP 1 bn gold manufacturing facility in Cairo next year, CEO John Luca said during a presser yesterday, Al Mal reported.

About the company: Founded in 2020, Gold Era is an Egyptian joint-stock company, with branches across Egypt, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, with future plans to step into the Omani and Qatari markets next year.

DEBT-

NBE is seeking EBRD loan for SMEs: The National Bank of Egypt (NBE) is currently in talks with the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) to obtain a USD 50 mn loan to support financing to agricultural projects and SMEs, according to Al Mal.

OUTSOURCING-

Egypt cements its name as a leading global outsourcer. Egypt came in third on Ryan Strategic Advisory’s Offshore BPO (business process outsourcing) Confidence Index for 2023. The index measured BPO leaders’ confidence in the country’s labor market, infrastructure, BPO ecosystem, and political and economic stability, among a number of other metrics. Egypt and the Czech Republic both came in third with a score of 83.8%.

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PLANET FINANCE

Emerging-market assets are having a great November. That might not last.

A rosy performance on emerging-market assets should be tempered with caution: Emerging-market assets are on track for their best month of the year in November on the back of optimism over an end to the Fed’s monetary tightening and cooling US-China geopolitical tensions after a landmark meeting between presidents Biden and Xi Jinping this month, Bloomberg reports. However, several factors could pose as stumbling blocks to the upwards trend of the asset class.

Where we stand: EM bonds are currently enjoying their best month of the year, having risen 4.3% so far in November. Meanwhile, stocks and currencies have both recorded their strongest monthly gains since January, up 7.4% and 2.4% respectively.

  • The Fed’s next move is the biggest risk ahead: A hawkish decision from the Fed at its next meeting on 12-13 December could place pressure on EM assets. Traders are currently banking on a dovish outcome in light of softening inflationary data, though the Fed has emphasized its readiness for further restraint if needed.
  • Upcoming elections are also key: Elections in crucial markets such as Taiwan and India, Indonesia and Egypt could spell out higher government spending in the event of populist wins. Taiwan, whose Democratic People’s Party rejects detente with China, could especially put a strain on EM assets.
  • Developments in Argentina and Chile likewise pose a threat: Javier Milei, Argentina’s newly-elected radical libertarian president, could face an upward battle wrestling with the country’s Argentina’s economic crisis, one analyst said. Chile, meanwhile, is caught in a stilted process to reform the constitution, which will likely cause protests and market volatility.

EGX30

25,300

-0.9% (YTD: +73.3%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 30.83

Sell 30.96

USD at CIB

Buy 30.85

Sell 30.95

Interest rates CBE

19.25% deposit

20.25% lending

Tadawul

11,090

+0.1% (YTD: +5.8%)

ADX

9,555

+0.2% (YTD: -6.4%)

DFM

3,992

+0.2% (YTD: +19.7%)

S&P 500

4,559

+0.1% (YTD: +18.8%)

FTSE 100

7,448

+0.1% (YTD: +0.5%)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,372

+0.3% (YTD: +15.3%)

Brent crude

USD 80.58

-1.0%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.86

-1.5%

Gold

USD 2,023.50

+0.5%

BTC

USD 37,406

-1.0% (YTD: +128.3%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 fell 0.9% at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 3.66 bn (30.6% above the 90-day average). Regional investors were net sellers. The index is up 73.3% YTD.

In the green: Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank (+3.9%), Qalaa Holding (+2.7%) and Oriental Weavers (+2.6%).

In the red: Mopco (-3.4%), CIRA Education (-3.1%) and Fawry (-3.0%).

Asian markets are firmly in the red this morning, and shares in the US and Europe look set to follow them, according to equity futures.

11

BLACKBOARD

What are Egypt’s schools doing to regulate the use of AI?

What’s being done at international schools in Egypt to regulate the use of generative AI in classrooms? Last year, we looked at how K-12 teachers began to adapt to the emergence of the technology, with some teachers telling us at the time that — in addition to keeping a sharp eye on potential illicit use of the technology — they were beginning to integrate generative AI tools into their classrooms and guiding students on how to use it. Adaptive learning technology is no stranger to Egypt’s international schools, as platforms such as CenturyTech have been used in most if not all of them for years; but the policies mediating the use of new AI technology are slowly catching up, our sources tell us.

This is a question that’s been at the forefront of education policy discussion around the world: Some schools and universities abroad have been integrating AI and tools such as ChatGPT in their curricula, Reuters reports, as OpenAI — the developer behind ChatGPT — is looking to work with teachers to help guide them on best practices. UNESCO issued the world’s first ever global guidelines on the use of GenAI in academic research in September in a bid to set a framework to promote the safe integration of artificial intelligence into school curricula, while taming the technology.

Here in Egypt, AI rules and regulations haven’t been codified on the school level yet:“Monitoring and controlling the use of AI is still weak, even globally. I think the world is still in the process of passing legally binding regulations to guide its use,” Alyaa Said, chief communications officer at CIRA Education, told Enterprise. Some schools such as BCCIS have a code of conduct for IT that also applies to the use of AI — think firewalls, internet search alarms and data protection schemes — but AI-specific regulations have yet to flood the schools of Cairo, CEO of Eduhive, which manages BCCIS, Karim Mostafa told us.

AI platforms are not integrated into school curricula yet but are used to support day-to-day learning: Currently, there remains a dearth of AI-savvy platforms for schools to build their curriculums on, but Mostafa says AI-derived technology is used as a part of the everyday education in BCCIS in an effort to keep high school students engaged while also making efficiency gains.

There are plenty of risks involved with AI, such as cybersecurity, data privacy, plagiarism, and high dependence among students that undermines learning, Mostafa said. However, he sees that AI presents more advantages than disadvantages when it comes to the business of learning. “Plagiarism is already there…but AI is going to revolutionize education,” he said.

To mitigate these risks, schools are focusing on raising awareness: “We host awareness sessions for both the students and their parents to inform them of the negative consequences while making sure they are able to get the best out of this kind of technology,” Said tells us.

And they’re putting comprehensive evaluation schemes in place as a cheating repellent:Cross sectional assessment is one way to mitigate against the risk of plagiarism and the copyright issues that arise with the use of generative AI tools. “We have to change the way we test” to focus more on conceptual understanding, rather than information retention, Mostafa tells us. Oral and on-the-spot work are also making a comeback, Said adds. “More weight is put on tests and in-class quizzes than online work.”

Top-down change from international accreditors is needed: International accreditors are yet to integrate AI into international schools’ curricula, Mostafa tells us.

The government needs to row in the same direction: AI regulating policies in the education sector would catalyze strict implementation on a national scale if they were to come from the Education Ministry, Said tells us. “We will always be followers to these advancements; we have to be reactive rather than proactive when it comes to regulating AI in schools,” Mostafa added.

Meanwhile, there are prospects for AI in the business of education: “We are expecting AI innovations to come out with new tech-ed servers that would help organizations in the education business enhance the learning experience, namely AI for test banks, AI for curriculums,” Said says. “It would be interesting to see AI design school systems, education outcomes, and learning curves from students,” Mostafa adds.


Your top education stories for the week: Japan’s Grant Assistance for Grassroots Human Security Projects has granted some USD 100k to Al Munawer Foundation for Development to support education of mobility-disabled children in Cairo.


NOVEMBER

30 November (Thursday): OPEC+ Ministerial Meeting takes place virtually.

30 November-12 December (Thursday-Tuesday): COP28, Dubai.

DECEMBER

1-3 December (Friday-Sunday): Egyptian expats vote in the presidential election.

4-7 December (Monday-Thursday): Egypt Defence Expo, Egypt International Exhibition Center.

9-15 December (Saturday-Friday) :The Engineering Export Council of Egypt’strade mission to Saudi Arabia.

10-11 December (Sunday-Monday): eGlobe Expo, St. Regis Almasa Hotel, Cairo.

10-12 December (Sunday-Tuesday): Voting in presidential election takes place in Egypt.

12-13 December (Tuesday-Wednesday): Federal Reserve interest rate meeting.

12-14 December (Tuesday-Thursday): Food Africa Expo, Egypt International Exhibition Center.

14 December (Thursday): Bidding deadline for five gold mine concessions in the Eastern Desert.

20 December (Wednesday): End of sugar export ban.

21 December (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

Signposted to happen sometime in December:

  • Gov’t expects to finalize sale of a stake in military-owned bottled drinks company Safi
  • Gov’t expects to finalize stake sale for military-owned fuel retailer Wataniya.
  • Gov’t expects to finalize sale of Zafarana wind farm
  • FRA to announce chosen consortium for credit rating license
  • Kenyan trade conference in Egypt.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2H 2023: Egyptian government expected to sign agreements with a consultant for the EuroAfrica electricity interconnector.

2H 2023: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan expected to hold a summit.

3Q 2023: E-Finance to launch in Saudi Arabia.

4Q 2023: EGX to launch its new futures exchange.

4Q 2023: EGX to launch a shariah-compliant index.

End of 2023: A Developments’ first phase of the Lazoghly development completed.

2024: Standard Chartered Bank to open a branch in Egypt.

25 February 2024 (Sunday): Deadline for bidders for oil and gas expansion in the 23 new regions.

Q1 2024: Opening of the new developed Pyramids Plateau in Giza.

June 2024: Gov’t expects to finalize sale of Beni Suef combined-cycle power plant.

1H 2024: Gov’t expects to finalize sale of four water desalination plants.

2H 2024: Gov’t to launch the Cairo Ring Road BRT buses.

End of 2024: The launch of the high-speed train line linking Ain Sokhna with Al Alamein City.

November 2024: Egypt to host the 12th session of the World Urban Forum (WUF12).

2Q 2025: Safaga Terminal 2 to start operations.

2024

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

The Grand Egyptian Museum could be officially open to visitors some time between February and May 2024 .

Q1 2024: Opening of the newly developed Pyramids Plateau in Giza.

JANUARY

1 January (Monday): Egypt to join the Brics.

7 January (Sunday): Coptic Christmas.

17 January (Wednesday): A delegation of Egyptian companies to visit Istanbul.

25 January (Thursday): Revolution day.

FEBRUARY

11 February (Sunday): The deadline to apply for the Chicago Booth Executive Program

APRIL

9 April (Tuesday): Eid El Fitr (TBC).

25 April (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Sinai Liberation Day (TBC).

MAY

1 May (Wednesday): National holiday in observance of Labor Day (TBC).

5 May (Sunday): Coptic Easter.

6 May (Monday): Sham El Nessim (TBC).

29 May (Wednesday): Chicago Booth Executive Program

JUNE

15-19 June (Saturday-Wednesday): Eid El Adha (TBC).

30 June (Sunday): June 30 Revolution Day.

JULY

7 July (Sunday): National holiday in observance of Islamic New Year (TBC).

23 July (Tuesday): Revolution Day.

SEPTEMBER

2-5 September (Monday-Thursday): Egypt International Airshow, El Alamein International Airport.

15 September (Sunday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

OCTOBER

6 October (Sunday): Armed Forces Day.

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