Good morning, friends. We lead this morning with a new development in the Ras El Hekma saga, more whispers about the IMF package, and the announcement of an EGP 180 bn package of tax breaks and social support measures.
^^ Jump down to the news well if you’d like to get straight into it.
Among the things happening today that you’ll want to know about:
#1- Cairo is hosting a new round of Israel-Gaza ceasefire talks. The Egypt and Qatar-sponsored talks aim to secure a truce in Gaza. We have the details in the news well, below.
#2- Attention, gold miners: Today is the deadline for the — three times extended — international gold and minerals exploration tender from the Shalateen Mining Company.
INFLATION WATCH-
January inflation figures should be out soon. Both headline and core inflation are expected to have cooled in January on the back of a favorable base effect, according to a Reuters poll. Economists expect annual inflation to fall to 32.5% in January from 33.7% in December.
What analysts think: “[While annual inflation is expected to drop,] monthly inflation is estimated to have intensified,” Naeem Brokerage’s Allen Sandeep told the outlet. Meanwhile, Farouk Soussa of Goldman Sachs cautioned that “the inflation outlook in Egypt is highly uncertain, and will hinge largely on the extent of any devaluation of the official pound rate in the coming weeks or months.”
When can we expect the figures? Inflation data usually comes out on the 10th, but seeing as 10 February falls on a Saturday, we’re expecting the data anytime between today and Saturday.
CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
#1- The deadline to apply for the Chicago Booth Executive Program in El Gouna is fast approaching. The two-week program will kick off on 22 June and offer executives from the Egyptian public and private sectors the skills to help them “become better leaders for their organization and support Egypt’s growth in the years ahead.” The application door is open until Sunday.
#2- BEBA is serving real estate for breakfast: The British Egyptian Business Association is hosting a breakfast briefing in two weeks’ time to talk about measures taken by the government to increase real estate exports and how local developers are following suit. The event will take place on Wednesday, 21 February at the Conrad. You can find the registration form here.
** Real estate players chimed in with their proposals for the real-estate-for-FX scheme in a Hardhat published in December. You can check out the story here.
#3- Capital markets under the spotlight:Egypt’s annual Capital Markets Summit will take place at the InterContinental Semiramis Hotel in Cairo on Monday, 26 February under the theme Structural Reforms Sustaining Development, according to a statement (pdf).
Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.
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WATCH THIS SPACE-
The executive regulations for the new building reconciliation law will be out no later than 22 February, Justice Minister Omar Marwan told Prime Minister Moustafa Mabdouly during a meeting held to review the implementation of the law. The law was ratified in December and ever since thousands of violators had their ration cards revoked and a number of those working in related government units have been dismissed from their jobs.
** We delved into the ins and outs of the new law in a Hardhat last year.
DATA POINT-
The trade deficit narrowed by 23% y-o-y to USD 36.9 bn in 2023 thanks to a 14% dip in imports, according to a Trade Ministry statement. Exports recorded USD 35.6 bn during the year.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
As has been the case most of this week, there’s no single big story abroad that has captured the imaginations of the business or mainstream press. Among the stories you need to know about this morning — or might simply find interesting:
Republican Nikki Haley lost to “none of these candidates” in what the New York Times calls an “irrelevant” Nevada primary, but she’s still staying in the race in a bid to “broaden voters’ imagination of what’s possible, both for her prospects in the 2024 Republican presidential primary, and for the nation.”
The S&P hit a record highas strong earnings continued and tech stocks rallied. Among those reporting earnings: Uber posted an operating profit for the first time on a full-year basis.
MORNING DISTRACTIONS-
- Finance meme lord Litquidity is a 32-year-old former banker named Hank Medina who did time at Jeffries and Deutsche Bank. Media sat down for his first-ever interview courtesy the Financial Times. Don’t know hom? Check out his IG.
- Aussie businesses that call or email employees after hours could face penalties under proposed legislation that would give staff the right to “refuse to monitor, read or respond to contact, or attempted contact, from an employer outside of the employee’s working hours unless the refusal is unreasonable.” (Bloomberg)





