Good morning, good people, and Ramadan Kareem. We hope you enjoy that final, uninterrupted morning coffee today.
Today, we have a big shift in how Egypt handles its wallet, with the Finance Ministry looking to break the debt treadmill by launching 15-year bonds. Meanwhile, the Nile skyline is getting a massive facelift with an 11-km development plan that includes luxury hotels and high-rises.
And on the economic scoreboard, GDP growth forecasts were bumped to 5.2% for the current fiscal year, and the gender gap in unemployment is narrowing. We also take a deep dive into the world of private equity with Tanmiya Capital Ventures and explore why developers are finding it nearly impossible to build affordable housing without a little help from the state.
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GROWTH — Egypt revised its GDP growth forecast for the current fiscal year to 5.2%, up around 0.2 percentage points from its most recent forecast, according to a cabinet statement. The full-year adjustment follows a robust 5.3% growth rate clocked in for 2Q.
Why this matters: Governments around the world often talk about the importance of underpromising and overdelivering, but end up both underpromising and underdelivering. Here in Egypt, with the government keen to signal a newfound fiscal transparency and seriousness under its reform agenda that really kicked off with the float of the EGP, the state can now point to the 12-month period’s growth outlook being a whole 0.7 percentage points above the target it originally set.
“This growth came as a result of the continued implementation of the package of structural, financial, and monetary reforms that strengthened macroeconomic stability and boosted its ability to adapt to internal and external challenges,” said newly appointed Planning Minister Ahmed Rostom.
EMPLOYMENT — The unemployment gender gap is narrowing — but there’s still a long way to go. While male unemployment was down 0.1 percentage points y-o-y to 3.8% in 4Q 2025, female unemployment fell a whole 2.3 percentage points over the same period to 14.3%, according to data from state statistics agency Capmas. Total unemployment saw a 0.2 percentage point decrease in the quarter to 6.2%.
Why this matters: The 2.3 percentage point improvement for women suggests a structural shift in how the labor market is absorbing female entrants. Female labor force participation also climbed to 21.7%, up from 18.5% last year, indicating that more women are not just looking for work — they are finding it.
CAPITAL MARKETS — Sustainable bond issuances in MENA are projected to hit USD 20-25 bn this year, as regional appetite (+3%) held up against a global slump (-21%) last year, according to a report from S&P Global. In 2025, the region’s total conventional bond issuance grew 10-15% to USD 81.2 bn, but the real story is the maturation of the sustainable sukuk market, which hit a record USD 11.4 bn (up 44% y-o-y). Sustainable sukuk accounted for 45% of all regional sustainable bond value last year, up from 33% a year earlier.
The market is a two-horse race, with the UAE and Saudi Arabia accounting for 80% of all sustainable regional bond issuances by value last year. While banks led the charge in Saudi, the UAE and Turkey saw corporates take the wheel.
Adding another layer to the funding mix, Islamic syndicated financing is also gaining traction. Outstanding global Islamic syndications rose about 16% last year to roughly USD 215 bn, lifting their share of total syndicated financing in core markets to 27.6%, Fitch says. Activity remains heavily concentrated in Saudi Arabia (34% of global outstanding) and the UAE (33%), with Egypt trailing at 8%.
ENERGY — The Energos Eskimo floating storage and regasification unit will return to Ain Sokhna by the summer to handle the jump in demand, a government source tells EnterpriseAM. The vessel left the port for maintenance last month amid a decline in seasonal demand.
The country may need its full regasification capacity to handle the expected electricitydemand rise of 6-7% in the hotter months of the year, which will be offset partly by some 130 incoming LNG shipments. The vessels are also essential to the Oil Ministry’s toll-booth approach to serving as a regional energy hub.
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Data point
77.6% — that was Egypt’s financial inclusion rate at the end of 2025, marking a 219% increase compared to 2016 and bringing the country within striking distance of its 80% target by FY 2029-30, the Central Bank of Egypt said in a statement. Today, some 54.7 mn adults aged 15 and above hold active financial accounts, out of a total adult population of 70.5 mn.
PSA-
WEATHER- It’s another cool, but dry, day in Cairo today, with a high of 23°C and a low of 12°C, according to our favorite weather app.
It’s a similar story in Alexandria, with a high of 21°C and a low of 11°C.
The big story abroad
The Netflix-Paramount-Warner Bros saga is making waves once again, after Warner Bros Discovery gave Paramount a seven-day window to propose its final bid, giving the suitor one last chance to counter rival Netflix’s offer. This came after Warner Bros rejected Paramount’s USD 30-per-share offer, but gave it a chance to put in its “best and final” offer. Investors have hinted that they will accept no less than 33 a share to consider a competing offer to Netflix’s current bid.
Social media giant Meta will buy mns of Nvidia chips under a multiyear agreement worth tens of bns of USD. The move potentially gives the chipmaker a leg up in maintaining its dominance as it faces intense competition from AMD and even from its own pool of Big Tech clients. Meta framed the move as an infrastructure agreement, whereby it will use the hardware for its AI-optimized data centers.
ALSO- A few software companies released their latest earnings early to quell the recent equity selloff prompted by fears over AI overtaking the tech sector. Speaking of the selloff, it showed signs of abating with the S&P 500 information technology sector rebounding from previous losses, closing in the green yesterday. The upswing was bolstered by gains in Apple and Nvidia stocks.

*** It’s Hardhat day — your weekly briefing of all things infrastructure in Egypt: EnterpriseAM’s industry vertical focuses each Wednesday on infrastructure, covering everything from energy, water, transportation, and urban development, as well as social infrastructure such as health and education.
In today’s issue: We talk to industry insiders to find out why the private sector needs a viable business equation to step in affordable housing.






