** #1 Egypt caps foreign borrowing at USD 16.7 bn this fiscal year: The government has apparently set a foreign borrowing cap of USD 16.733 bn for FY2018-19, according to a government document obtained by Reuters on Thursday. Egypt will have to borrow USD 10.51 bn this fiscal year to meet external debt payments, with total external government debt expected to reach USD 98.863 bn in FY2018-19. This comes as the government prepares to issue foreign currency-denominated bonds later in the year or early next year and announce the details of its debt control strategy, according to statements attributed to Finance Minister Mohamed Maait by Reuters. Sources had previously told us that Egypt was considering RMB- and JPY-denominated issuances and others had told Bloomberg that the state was considering EGP-denominated issuances on the international market. Egypt’s foreign debt stood at USD 92.64 bn at the end of FY2017-18.
Related
** #2 Madbouly could slash cabinet posts, looks to cull civil service: Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly is looking to cut the number of posts in his cabinet and is pushing the downsizing of the civil service, the PM said at a gathering of US businessmen organized by our friends at AmCham on Thursday, according to Reuters. The vision is meant to “cut red tape and lure foreign investment,” as well as address Egypt’s chronic bureaucracy, which Madbouly pointed to as one of the main challenges the country is facing.
Don’t expect mass firings: The downsizing will happen through attrition, the PM said. 38% of government employees will retire within 10 years and will likely not be replaced as the government begins offering many of its services online. The restructuring also ties into plans to turn the new administrative capital into the center of government. Madbouly did not get into specifics during the talk.
With at least 5 mn employees, the government is the largest employer in Africa. The Madbouly cabinet has been looking at proposals to cut head count while improving government services, and President Abdel Fattah El Sisi had ordered the Finance Ministry to begin reassessing public sector wages as part of the government’s administrative reform drive. Cutting government spending is a crucial policy platform for the Finance Ministry, Minister Mohamed Maait had previously said. Cabinet had studied a proposal to shorten state bureaucrats’ work week to four days to cut costs and reduce traffic congestion around government agencies, but ultimately nixed the idea after push-back from most ministries.
Related
** #3 EXCLUSIVE- FinMin said to mull canceling fees on new mobile phone lines: The Finance Ministry is considering canceling a levy on new mobile phone line purchases that was imposed at the start of the fiscal year in July, a senior government official told Enterprise. He explained that one-time EGP 50 duty on new lines — which was introduced as part of a package of new administrative service fees meant to help diversify the state’s sources of income — is weighing down mobile network operators’ sales and failing to generate any substantial revenues for state coffers. Officials are studying two alternative approaches that could see them either introduce a completely new service fee or double the stamp tax on mobile phone bills, our source said, adding that the latter is the more likely scenario, given how subtle the collection method is. The government currently collects EGP 6.00 a year from each mobile phone user in monthly increments of EGP 0.50.
Related
Regulation, tight competition in saturated market biting telcos? Etisalat Misr reported a 7% decline in subscriber numbers to 31 mn in 3Q2018 ““mainly due to stricter regulatory requirements for subscriber acquisitions through indirect channels and increased competitiveness in the market.” Revenue was up 18% year-on-year at the equivalent of AED 0.7 bn, driven by mobile data, international roaming, and national roaming fees, parent company Etisalat said in its 3Q2018 earnings release (pdf). Egypt had some 95.7 mn mobile lines in active use as of June 2018, down 4.6% year-on-year.
Related
** #4 LEGISLATION WATCH- New and “friendlier” Mineral Resources Act to be introduced to the House in three months: The Madbouly cabinet will present amendments to the Mineral Resources Act to the House of Representatives within three months to make the industry more attractive to investors, Oil Minister Tarek El Molla said on Thursday. “We have engaged with everybody so that I think in the coming two or three months maximum we will be able to have a fresh, new-look, appealing law,” El Molla noted, according to Reuters.
Is the mining industry finally getting its wish? The mining industry believes that the reforms will see Egypt scrap the current oil-and-gas-style production sharing agreement and move to a tax, rent and royalty model — and eliminate the requirement of a 50:50 JV with EMRA. The move has long been called for by industry players (cf: Aton Resources’ Mark Campbell in an exclusive piece for Enterprise last year: Egypt’s golden opportunity: Mining for the 21st Century). The bill is also expected to allow exploration companies to acquire exploration ground without first obtaining exploration licenses.
Business-friendly policies for energy as well: The move comes as the Oil Ministry is reportedly planning to roll out new production sharing contracts with friendlier terms for international oil companies in the first quarter of 2019, after it concludes its next tender for Red Sea exploration blocks at the end of this year. The new framework would see companies “bear the cost of exploration and production in return for a share of the output,” which will vary from one concession to the other, based on the cost of investment, ministry sources told Bloomberg earlier this month.
The private sector is taking notice: Egypt’s new oil and gas sector policies received praise from Apache Egypt General Manager David Chi on Thursday during a visit of US corporations organized by our friends at AmCham, according to Al Shorouk. He credited the private sector-friendly policies with making it attractive to foreign investors, saying that “now was the time to invest in Egypt’s oil and gas sector.” BP CEO Bob Dudley told Reuters on Thursday that BP was also looking to grow in Egypt where it is developing the West Nile Delta project. BP had pledged USD 2 bn in new investments in 2019.
That said, BP will not raise its stake in Zohr for “capital employment reasons,” Dudley said. The option for BP to acquire a larger stake in Zohr has expired. BP already owns a 10% stake in Zohr. BP and Eni are planning to begin joint exploration in Libya in 1Q2019, Dudley said.
Related
Gov’t signs agreement with banking sector to settle tax disputes: The government signed three agreements with the Federation of Egyptian Banks (FEB) that put to bed outstanding tax and taxation policy disputes going back years, according to AMAY. The first agreement sets out a new compromise framework, which will serve as the basis to settle stamp tax disputes with banks on a case by case basis, Finance Minister Mohamed Maait said. While he did not dive into the specifics of the disputes, previous reports dating back to 2015 had noted that banks are not happy with being forced to pay the stamp tax on assets seized from defaulters.
The second agreement lays the framework by which to settle corporate income tax disputes with banks, said Maait. A third agreement sees the government and Banque Misr, an FEB member, resolve a EGP 2 bn tax dispute dating back 25 years. A senior finance ministry official had told us back in July that the ministry is engaged with around 1,000 tax disputes with various banks over multiple taxation issues.
The issue got some airtime last night on Hona Al Asema (here, runtime: 24:19, here, runtime: 1:45, and here, runtime: 3:10)
Related
** #5 Sudan lifts ban on Egyptian goods: Sudan agreed on Thursday to lift a ban on Egyptian agriculture and animal products that has been in place since March 2017, Sudanese President Omar Al Bashir announced during a visit to Khartoum by President Abdel Fattah El Sisi, Reuters reports. Trade and Industry Minister Amr Nassar said he expects the move to boost exports in the coming months, especially as both countries work together to resolve any outstanding trade issues. This came as El Sisi and Al Bashir oversaw the signing of several MoUs in fields including agriculture, health, education, and media, Ittihadiya said. The two leaders also sat down for talks that centered around bilateral ties and joint projects such as the new 630 km railway line that would connect both countries as well as an electricity grid connection program.
Background: Sudan had imposed a blanket ban on imports of Egyptian agricultural and animal products last year as relations between both sides deteriorated, with Al Bashir accusing Egypt directly of arming rebels, a charge emphatically denied by El Sisi. Renewed commitments of brotherly love began to re-emerge earlier this year following a breakthrough in talks with Ethiopia on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD).
Related
Egypt has foreign currency reserves sufficient for 8.5 months’ worth of imports, according to the central bank’s monthly statistical bulletin (pdf). Net FX reserves had reached USD 44.45 bn at the end of September.
Related
INVESTMENT WATCH- UAE’s Thumbay Group wants to invest EGP 5 bn in Gulf Medical University branch in Egypt: The UAE’s Thumbay Group is looking to invest as much as AED 1 bn (EGP 5 bn) to build a local branch of its Gulf Medical University as a first step toward building a full-fledged medical city, founder Thumbay Moideen told Investment Minister Sahar Nasr in a meeting yesterday, according to a ministry statement. No further details were provided. Egypt passed the Universal Healthcare Act earlier this year to help drum up interest in the nation’s healthcare sector. Among those interested are Saudi’s Atraba, with plans to build a USD 1 bn medical city, the Saudi German Hospital, with a USD 500 mn project in Alexandria, and Spine Medical’s planned investments in the new capital.
Related
MOVES- EgyptAir taps new bosses for express, domestic divisions: EgyptAir Chairman Ahmed Adel has tapped Ashraf El Khouly to lead EgyptAir Express and hired Mohamed Elian to assist him, Al Mal reports. Sherif Khalil has also been tapped to take charge of domestic flights, while Sherif Ezzat was named assistant to Adel.
Related