Good morning, friends and welcome to a new workweek. We are still trying to register the reality of Cairo going to sleep at 9pm after shops and restaurants turned off their lights and shut their doors early last night in line with government directives that aim to reduce energy use.
Starting next Sunday, both the private and public sector will be working from home on Sundays for the month of April in an effort to help ease the strain on energy supplies by cutting down on consumption, Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said in a televised presser yesterday. But “If the current regional crisis continues, the possibility of adding another day will be studied,” he added.
By the numbers: Egypt’s energy import bill will reach USD 2.5 bn this month, up from USD 1.5 bn in February and USD 1.2 bn in January. “We have no way but to reduce this bill through rationalizing consumption, which is a shared responsibility that falls on the government and the citizen together to realize the magnitude of the challenge,” argued Madbouly.
Several sectors and places of work will be exempt from the ruling, including factories, public services, water stations, gas stations, water treatment stations, and hospitals. Schools and universities will also not be included in the system.
What’s still unclear to us: What about other companies (and state agencies) with units that can only do their jobs at a place of business? Most corporate bankers? WFH is easy. Tellers in the branches? Not so much. Will branches be open a week from today? What about the Registry Office? We’ve all got a week to work-out these kinds of questions, and we’ll report back as we get answers.
Our take: The longer the war in the Gulf continues, the worse the energy crunch will be here in Egypt. It’s a really good time to start planning for how you’ll do business this summer if additional WFH days are joined by rolling blackouts.
The bottom line: We, as a nation, have a PhD in crisis management. We did everything right this time ‘round, and we’re still being squeezed. After two revolutions, innumerable past energy crises, and a few devaluations? Y’all know what to do. Time to start planning.
REMEMBER- The announcements build on a decision last week to close shops, malls, restaurants, and cafes at 9pm on weekdays and 10pm on Thursdays and Fridays starting this week. It was also decided that illuminated roadside billboards will be turned off, street lighting reduced to “minimum safe levels,” and government buildings in the New Capital shut down at 6pm. The government also laid out its intention to delay or slow diesel-intensive national projects and freeze or postpone select budget expenditures to preserve liquidity and manage fuel consumption.
The state has also directed that fuel allocations for government vehicles be reduced by 30% to reduce consumption and costs.
AND- Rising global fuel costs filtering down into railway ticket prices and select Cairo Metro fares, according to a Transport Ministry statement. Long-distance train tickets will increase by 12.5%, while short-distance fares will jump 25% and Metro ticket prices for trips up to 16 stations have risen EGP 2.
In today’s issue: The Madbouly government targets a EGP 1.2 tn primary surplus for the upcoming fiscal year and a debt-to-GDP ratio of 78%; our next IMF review is scheduled for 15 June, and privatization progress is high up on the Fund’s agenda; and we’re among the most vulnerable EBRD nations to ongoing regional war.
^^ Read more in the news well, below.
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Watch this space
MARITIME — Could the Houthis entrance into the war see vessels in the Bab Al Mandab Strait be targeted next? After having not been absent militarily for the first month of the conflict, the group launched two attacks on Israel yesterday and spokesperson Yahya Saree indicated in a statement that they would continue until “the criminal enemy ceases its attacks on the region.”
While Israel seems to be the sole target for now, policymakers will likely be concerned that the group will resume its attacks on passing vessels making their way to and from the Suez Canal. Even if maritime attacks do not materialize, the Houthi’s active involvement in the war will likely further ward off shipping lines from the region and push up war ins. premiums.
TOURISM — Cairo gets its flowers on 2026 list of 50 best cities worldwide: UK-based magazine Time Out placed Cairo on the 42nd spot on its list of 50 best cities in the world in 2026. The outlet singled out the metropolis’ vibrant cuisine, nightlife, and impressive accommodations, as well as the Grand Egyptian Museum.
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Happening today
Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty in Islamabad to discuss the war in Iran with his counterparts from Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey, according to a ministry statement. The ministerial talks discuss a “range of issues, including efforts to de-escalate tensions in the region,” Pakistan;s Foreign Ministry said in a statement.
Data point
12.4% — that’s how much the banking sector clocked in net income in 2025, coming in at EGP 601.6 bn, according to data released by the central bank. Total banking assets grew to EGP 24.1 tn, compared to EGP 20.8 tn recorded the year before, supported by a 13.4% jump in deposits to EGP 15.8 tn.
PSA-
WEATHER- It’s a cooler day in Cairo today, with a high of 23°C, and a low of 12°C, according to our favorite weather app.
It’s also cooling down in Alexandria, with a high of 20°C and a low of 12°C.
The big story abroad
Yemen’s Houthi militia has joined the war. The group fired ballistic missiles at Israel yesterday morning and vowed to keep up attacks as long as US-Israeli strikes on Iran and Lebanon’s Hezbollah continue. More strikes on Israel followed subsequently, consisting of cruise missiles and drones, the Houthis said.
The Strait of Hormuz saw some light traffic yesterday, with ship-tracking data from Bloomberg showing four vessels transiting the waterway to exit the Arabian Gulf.
Also, Iranian strikes caused “significant damage” to a smelter run by Emirates Global Aluminium — the region’s largest aluminum manufacturer. Several employees were injured at the Al Taweelah site in Abu Dhabi, and assessment of the damage is ongoing. The strike prompted a surge in aluminium prices, as the Middle East accounts for some 9% of global supply.
And to make things worse: Bahraini aluminium producer Aluminium Bahrain was also targeted byIran yesterday, resulting in two minor injuries.
AND- Some oil and gas execs believe that markets are underestimating the impact of the war on energy supply. “This is an attack not only against the Gulf, but it is an attack that is holding the world’s economy hostage,” Kuwait Petroleum Corporation CEO Sheikh Nawaf Al Sabah was quoted as saying at S&P Global’s annual CERAWeek energy conference. Executives warned that fuel shortages in Europe and Asia are imminent if hostilities do not cease, and predicted that oil prices will remain structurally high even after the conflict ends.





