Renaissance Capital says investing in Egypt is an emerging market safe-haven trade, Global Chief Economist Charles Robertson told Bloomberg TV. Egypt is one of the places that provide “idiosyncratic opportunities,” he says, despite the terrorist attacks. “It’s high yield and it’s got a cheap currency,” Robertson adds. Looking at EMs generally, Robertson also recommends an overweight position in Russia, saying “it’s becoming a more normal country,” (runtime 04:10).
…The Palm Sunday attacks and the imposition of a three-month state of emergency will probably slow the recovery — “not by much, but they do not help matters either,” Patrick Werr writes in The National. The state of emergency could create a “climate of alarm that could act as a deterrent to investment, whether by foreigners or Egyptians,” he says. Pharos’ Radwa Elswaify tells Werr that “investments as in FDIs were already not on the table now. We were estimating 2018 or 2017 end at the earliest, which I think the bombings should not affect … If we are talking hot money, Treasury and stock market, they were not affected [by the bombings]. Foreigners were net buyers the second day of the attacks and the value of their purchases did not come down.”
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The government is planning to issue USD 3-4 bn in bonds during the FY2017-18 fiscal year, said Deputy Finance Minister Mohamed Maait, according to Al Borsa. USD 1 bn of these will be sukuk issuances, added Maait. The Ismail cabinet’s economic group had approved amendments to the Capital Markets Law on Tuesday which would govern the issuance of sukuks.
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The Legal 500, a directory that identifies and recommends the best firms and lawyers around the world, released its ranking of law firms in 2016. The ranking is based on feedback from the firms’ clients and on the performance of law firms in different areas of practice. We were happy to see lots of our friends making the list as “Tier 1” Egyptian law firms in many of the sectors, including:
Banking and finance:
- Al Kamel Law Office
- Helmy, Hamza & Partners
- Matouk Bassiouny
- Sharkawy & Sarhan
- Zaki Hashem & Partners
- Zulficar & Partners Law Firm
Commercial, corporate, M&A:
- Al Kamel Law Office
- Helmy, Hamza & Partners
- Ibrachy & Partners
- Matouk Bassiouny
- Nour & Selim in association with Al Tamimi & Company
- Zaki Hashem & Partners
- Zulficar & Partners Law Firm
Dispute resolution:
- Al Kamel Law Office
- Helmy, Hamza & Partners
- Matouk Bassiouny
- Shalakany Law Office
- Zaki Hashem & Partners
- Zulficar & Partners Law Firm
Employment:
- Helmy, Hamza & Partners
- Shahid Law Firm
- Zaki Hashem & Partners
Intellectual property:
Oil and gas:
- Al Kamel Law Office
- Helmy, Hamza & Partners
- Matouk Bassiouny
- Zaki Hashem & Partners
Projects and infrastructure:
- Al Kamel Law Office
- Helmy, Hamza & Partners
- Zaki Hashem & Partners
Telecoms:
- Al Kamel Law Office
- Helmy, Hamza & Partners
- Shalakany Law Office
- Zaki Hashem & Partners
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EFG Hermes concludes advisory on sale of stakes in Humansoft and Edita: EFG Hermes said in a statement yesterday that it has successfully concluded its advisory on two high-profile secondary stake sales, one for the GCC’s largest tertiary education company and the other for Egypt’s largest snack food player, Edita Food Industries. EFG Hermes acted as joint bookrunner with Citi for Al Imtiaz Investment Group’s USD 120 mn sale of a 10% stake in Kuwait’s Humansoft to institutional investors by way of an accelerated bookbuilding process. The firm also co-managed with CI Capital an accelerated bookbuilding process for the sale of Actis’ remaining 7.5% shareholding in Edita for EGP 898 mn, also to a group of high-profile international institutional investors. Actis had a nice statement out on its exit of Edita earlier this week.
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The private sector will not be allowed to import any wheat during local harvest season when it starts on Saturday,15 April, Supply Minister Ali El Moselhy told AMAY on Wednesday. These most recent remarks follow a number of conflicting statements from the ministry on its private sector wheat imports policy during the season, which is looking as stable as the roller coaster ride in Dream Park and eerily reminiscent of last year’s ergot flip-flop. The ministry had last confirmed that the government was not banning imports by private companies after it had come out earlier stating that it would restrict them to the General Authority for Supply Commodities between April and July to avoid mixing local and imported wheat.
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Subsidy moochers be warned: Update your info, or no soup for you: Commodity subsidy beneficiaries who don’t update or complete their missing data by the 30 June deadline will have their ration cards suspended, the government warned on Wednesday, according to Al Ahram. Only a few thousand of some 19 mn beneficiaries with missing data have so far responded to the government’s calls, officials said.
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Water prices will increase next fiscal year for all, rich and poor, according to statements by the chairman of the Holding Company for Water and Wastewater Mamdouh Raslan. The company has set up a proposal to change the water billing system and reworking the breakdown of the consumption tiers. The new system will see three strata: 0-10 cubic meters, 11-20 cubic meters, and 21-30 cubic meters, according to a very poorly written piece from Daily News Egypt quoting the chairman. All three will see their water prices increase. We had noted last December that the price increases would only affect those consuming more than 21 cubic meters.
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MNOs have agreed where and when 4G will launch, but they ain’t sayin’ when: Vodafone, Orange, and Etisalat have reportedly agreed with the ICT Ministry on the latest date by which high-speed 4G networks will go live — and in which geographical areas the service will first launch, Al Mal reports. The catch: No further details were disclosed about the protocol they signed. It is likely 4G will be offered before year-end, an unnamed source tells the newspaper. Orange Egypt CEO Jean-Marc Harion said the company will receive its spectra and roll out services “within a few weeks,” according to Al Masry Al Youm. The three existing mobile network operators and newcomer Telecom Egypt will reportedly roll out 4G first in Cairo, Luxor, Aswan, Sharm El Sheikh, and Hurghada, Al Mal had reported two months ago.
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EARNINGS WATCH- Qatar National Bank Alahly reported consolidated net profits of EGP 1.26 bn in 1Q2017, rising from EGP 904.9 mn during the same period last year, according to a regulatory filing.
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Egypt exceeded its tourist arrival targets by 10-15% in 1Q2017, Tourism Minister Yehia Rashed said on Wednesday, Ahram Gate reports. The figures suggest that the sector is gradually recovering and that recent efforts to promote tourism to Egypt are proving effective, he added.
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Egypt’s population is growing at a rate five times faster than is China’s and eight times faster than South Korea’s, state census bureau CAPMAS head Abu Bakr El Gindy said on Tuesday, Al Masry Al Youm reports. This is important, folks: China is just now starting to face up to something of an existential crisis: The country’s population is going to peak by 2030, by which time it will have about 80 mn fewer workers than it did last year. India, meanwhile, will overtake China as the world’s largest country within the next five years and will continue growing after China stalls — and then Africa will leapfrog them both.
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Dakhleya warns press on fake news: The Interior Ministry issued a sharp warning to a number of news outlets that it may resort to “judicial procedures” against publications that spread fake news. The warning released yesterday specifically addressed El Wafd, El Masreyoun, Al Bawaba and Al Masry Al Youm, accusing them of publishing false reports on a bomb in 6 October as well as reports of the ministry dismantling of an explosive device near the sufi Sidi Abdel Rehim mosque on Sunday. Authorities had seized print editions of Al Bawaba newspaper on Monday and Tuesday for calling for the resignation of Interior Minister Magdy Abdel Ghaffar. Meanwhile, an Egyptian criminal court sentenced a rights lawyer to 10 years in prison and five years of house arrest and a social media ban on charges of using Facebook to “destabilize the general order” and “harm national unity and social peace,” the Associated Press reports. This comes as presidential decree establishing three media regulatory bodies was published in the Official Gazette yesterday, Al Masry Al Youm reports.
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