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CBE keeps rates unchanged

1

What We're Tracking Today

IMF mission will land in Cairo on 1 December

Good morning, wonderful people, and welcome to the last full workweek of November. It is shaping up to be another busy week as we gear up to welcome a mission from the IMF next week and to see how markets react to the central bank’s decision to keep rates unchanged.



PSA-

WEATHER- You may want to leave for work a tad earlier than usual as the EgyptianMeteorological Authority sees foggy skies across Greater Cairo from 12-10am. As for the weather today, the capital is in for a high of 32°C and a low of 18°C, according to our favorite weather app.

It’s a little cooler in Alexandria, with a high of 27°C and a low of 18°C.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

An Africa-wide digital platform for medical supplies? The Egyptian Authority for Unified Procurement is in talks to launch a continent-wide digital platform for pharma, medical supplies, nutritional supplements, and cosmetics tailored for African markets, according to a statement from the authority. The platform will be built in partnership with digital solutions firm Fixed Egypt and the African Healthcare & Drug Care Association, aiming ultimately to cover the global market.

CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

IMF visit scheduled for 1-12 December: The IMF mission that will carry out the combined fifth and sixth reviews of of the country’s USD 8 bn extended fund facility program and the first review of the resilience and sustainability facility will be in town between 1-12 December, Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly announced during latest presser (watch, runtime: 24:57).

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

DATA POINT-

Egypt’s gas shortfall rose 43% y-o-y to 2.5 bcf/d in 3Q 2025, as domestic demand rose, according to calculations by industry publication Middle East Economic Survey (Mees).


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THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

Volatile markets made a rebound on Friday after the New York Fed president hinted another rate cut is coming this year. The Dow gained 1.08%, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.9% and the S&P 500 closed up 0.98%. However, the slight rebound came a day after Nvidia’s bumper earnings failed to keep concerns of an AI bubble at bay, leading shares of several AI firms — including Nvidia — to tank on Thursday and stay mostly flat on Friday. (CNBC | CNN)

Meanwhile, Warner Bros received bids from Netflix, Paramount Skydance, and Comcast as the company mulls a sale of its business after rejecting a nearly USD 60 bn bid from Paramount Skydance earlier. Netflix and Comcast are eyeing its film and TV library, while Paramount Skydance is looking to take over the entire business. (Reuters | Bloomberg | New York Times)

Geopolitics are also still getting attention, with European leaders telling the US that the 28-point peace plan for Ukraine and Russia — which would see Ukraine cede large chunks of territory to Russia, cap the size of its military and lift sanctions on Moscow — still needs “additional work.” Meanwhile, US President Trump told reporters yesterday that Ukraine’s president can agree to the plan by Thursday or “continue to fight his little heart out.” (Bloomberg | Financial Times | Washington Post)

ALSO- The US is reportedly gearing up for a new phase in its operations against Venezuela, unnamed US officials told Reuters. The reports came shortly after a US agency warned major airlines of a "potentially hazardous situation" when flying over the country, leading to cancellations.

ATP tennis returns to Egypt after 15 years: Somabay to host the Somabay Open – ATP Challenger 50 With the Somabay Open – ATP Challenger 50, Somabay once again steps into the spotlight of international tennis. From 17 to 23 November 2025, professional players from around the world will gather on Egypt’s Red Sea coast for a tournament that marks the next milestone in the destination’s sporting evolution.

2

Economy

Central Bank of Egypt leaves interest rates unchanged following October uptick in inflation

The Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee left interest rates unchanged during its seventh meeting of the year last Thursday, according to a statement(pdf). The overnight deposit rate stands at 21.00%, the lending rate at 22.00%, and the main operation and discount rates at 21.50%.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

The decision “reflects the committee’s updated assessment of inflation dynamics and outlook since the previous MPC meeting,” the central bank committee said. It noted that both headline and core inflation accelerated — particularly the monthly readings. The committee added that the decision is intended to contain inflationary pressures, guide inflation back to a downward trajectory, and anchor expectations.

Not all analysts polled by EnterpriseAM last week predicted the move, with five out of the eleven we spoke to forecasting a hold, while four predicted a 50-100 bps cut. Deutsche Bank said it anticipated the move given the recent pickup in both headline and core inflation and the likely pass-through from the mid-October fuel price hike, which they said justified a wait-and-see approach, according to a statement from the lender seen by EnterpriseAM. Economist Ali Metwally said the decision was “completely aligned with the macro signals we’ve been seeing in recent months,” arguing that the CBE is prioritizing stability after several rounds of easing earlier this year.

REMEMBER- Annual urban inflation rate rose 0.8 percentage points in October to 12.5%, driven mainly by higher fuel, food, and beverage prices.

The CBE expects inflation to continue rising through the remainder of the year amid higher energy prices, before easing in the second half of 2026 to meet its 7% (±2 pp) target by year-end. The bank flagged risks to the outlook from both global and local factors, including higher-than-expected fiscal adjustments, persistent services inflation, and heightened geopolitical tensions.

Analysts seem to mostly agree. Capital Economics expects inflation to average 13% y-o-y in 4Q 2025. Beltone Holding’s Head of Research Ahmed Hafez sees headline inflation rising to 14% in November and December, reflecting higher fuel prices and a potential VAT hike on cigarettes. Meanwhile, EFG Hermes’ Mohamed Abu Basha sees inflation coming in at 14.1% this month before edging up to 14.3%, noting that rent adjustments could push it higher.

By the end of 2026, CI Capital expects inflation to fall to 9% as fiscal, monetary, and external conditions improve, allowing Egypt to hit the upper end of the CBE’s target range. Deutsche Bank projects average inflation at 12.3% next year, saying this could help maintain attractive real interest rates amid modest fiscal progress, the continuation of the state privatization program, and resumed IMF disbursements.

But Deutsche Bank cautioned that achieving the 7% (±2 pp) inflation target by 4Q 2026 remains at risk due to potential FX pressures from volatile capital flows, geopolitical instability, and emerging market outflows. Global food price shocks driven by climate change could also pose a risk, though local food price volatility — particularly in fruit and vegetables — could help pull inflation lower than currently expected. Deutsche Bank added that stronger growth momentum — estimated at 5.2% in 3Q FY 2025-26 — gives the CBE room to prioritize price stability and assess its stance on a meeting-by-meeting basis.

Most analysts still expect rates to fall before the end of the year. Hafez sees a 100-150 bps cut by year-end, while Capital Economics’ James Swanston expects a 100 bps cut in December. Both Abu Basha and Al Ahly Pharos’ Head of Research Hany Genena see scope for a 100-200 bps cut in December. Metwally expects “the easing cycle to resume, but gradually, once the inflation path becomes clearer and the impact of the upcoming energy price adjustments is fully absorbed.” Deutsche Bank, however, said there is an increasing chance that the CBE could keep rates on hold again in December if inflationary pressures persist, particularly from ongoing fiscal consolidation measures.

The easing cycle is expected to pick up again in 2026, with CI Capital and Deutsche Bank both forecasting 600 bps of rate cuts during 2026. Swanston forecasts a steeper cumulative reduction of 800 bps next year.

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3

M&A WATCH

ADQ secures indirect majority control of Egypt’s Alexandria Container & Cargo Handling Company

AD Ports Group acquired PIF-owned Saudi Egyptian Investment Company’s entire 19.33% stake in Alexandria Container and Cargo Handling Company in a transaction valued at EGP 13.24 bn, the Abu Dhabi wealth fund ADQ-owned ports operator said in a statement (pdf). The transfer of shares, which was funded with a mix of its own funds and debt, will take place tomorrow.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

ADQ will now indirectly hold a combined 51.33% majority stake in the EGX-listed maritime logistics firm when taking into account its 32% indirect ownership through Alpha Oryx.

Alexandria Container and Cargo Handling operates two terminals in Alexandria and El Dekheila with a combined annual capacity of 1.5 mn TEUs, accounting for some 60% of Alexandria’s total container capacity. The company reported EGP 8.4 bn in revenue and EGP 6.1 bn in adjusted EBITDA last fiscal year.

AD Ports is no stranger to Egypt, and its interest in the country seems to be rising. Since 2022, AD Ports Group has ramped up its presence in Egypt, acquiring a majority stake in maritime, logistics, and cargo services provider Safina Shipping Services, securing long-term concessions for the USD 200 mn Safaga multipurpose terminal, developing three Red Sea cruise terminals, and signing a 50-year renewable agreement to operate Kezad East Port Said, a 20 sq km industrial and logistics hub at the Suez Canal.

IN OTHER M&A NEWS-

Sharks Mohamed Farouq and Ahmed Tarek expressed interest in acquiring a controlling 90% stake in Zahraa Maadi Investment and Development for EGP 6.3 bn, according to an EGX disclosure (pdf). The EGP 6.95 per share offer gives shareholders an approximately 11% premium over Thursday’s closing share price, according to our calculations.

The investors say they’ll proceed only after reaching an agreement with Zahraa’s key shareholders, completing due diligence, and securing regulatory clearance. The board is set to review the approach at its next meeting.

4

Coffee With

Sango’s Richard Okello on Egypt’s place in Africa’s private equity landscape

Coffee with: Richard Okello, Sango Capital’s co-founder and CEO: EnterpriseAM sat down with Richard Okello (LinkedIn), CEO and co-founder of the Africa-focused investment management firm Sango Capital, to discuss the firm’s expanding footprint in Egypt and the country’s private equity ecosystem. As Sango steps up its local exposure, we talked through what ties its investments together, how LPs size up Egypt against other African markets, and the future of Egyptian investments in Africa. Edited excerpts from our conversation:

EnterpriseAM: Sango Capital has a growing portfolio in Egypt, with companies like EGIC,

Money Fellows, and Kazyon. How would you describe the connecting thread between these investments, and what drew you to this market in the first place?

Richard Okello: Our investments in Egypt are tied together through three overarching investment themes. The first is the consumer, as African consumers’ wallets are larger than official figures suggest, because most of it is cashbased and underreported. In Egypt, this is true for retail to financial services, fintech, healthcare, and private education, among others.

The second investment theme is food. Urbanization is accelerating in Cairo and other cities, which creates an entire value chain that needs to deliver food efficiently. We’re focused on companies that enable scale, improve operational efficiency and customer service, and boost the distribution of food and related items.

And the third theme is technology and how it relates to the two other themes and supports our approach to investing and working with companies.

E: From the vantage point of being a pan-African firm, what do you think differentiates Egypt from other key African markets?

RO: We’ve brought LPs to Egypt several times, and the feedback is consistent — that they see the country as a market with depth. This is due to its large population and strong consumption levels, which only compare to a few other African countries like Nigeria. It also offers breadth, with many sectors being far from saturation or price perfection like in more mature markets such as South Africa.

The entrepreneurial culture also sets Egypt apart, resulting in a strong pipeline of founders eager to prove themselves and scale inside and outside the country while creating more actionable investment openings.

The country’s proximity to the Gulf gives it another competitive edge, which helps drive liquidity, exits, and capital inflows. It also has well-established ties with Europe, which supports the tech sector through talent mobility and cross-border compatibility.

E: How do you see Egypt’s role evolving within the pan-African private equity ecosystem over the next five to ten years?

RO: Five years from now, we expect to see more Egyptian companies scaling across Africa in private equity, venture capital, and tech. Egypt is moving beyond being just an investment destination; it’s becoming a hub for regional expansion. We’re already seeing more exits and success stories, which encourages more capital to flow into the market. Over the next decade, I expect Egypt to contribute in a pivotal manner to shaping the private equity and venture capital ecosystem across Africa.

E: At a time when global VC funding is slowing, what do you think has helped keep the Egyptian ecosystem healthy?

RO: First, funding in Egypt has remained strong, with data from 1H 2025 showing that VC investment nearly doubled compared to the same period last year.

The second factor is that most of the recent capital comes from the Middle East, especially the UAE and Saudi Arabia, where investors understand Egypt’s tech environment and are comfortable deploying larger amounts. That speaks of funding sustainability.

Third, funding is shifting toward later stages — series A and B — with bigger checks going to companies showing real momentum. This supports a move from single breakout stories to a broader pipeline of potential unicorns.

Finally, cross-border M&A activity in the MENA region is strong, with Egyptian firms expanding across Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and into select West, East, or Southern African markets, while foreign startups acquire Egyptian assets. Egyptian VC funds are also investing across West and East Africa, with this outward-inward flow reinforcing resilience and positioning Egypt as an anchor market rather than just an inward-focused market.

E: Are there specific lessons you’ve learned from your investment experience in Egypt?

RO: The main lesson is that the strongest performance consistently comes from partnering with excellent people. Excellence looks different across teams, but common traits include delivering on commitments, combining experience with conviction, being comfortable acting counter-cyclically, and treating people well. This holds true across private equity,

co-investments, and tech transactions.

E: Expanding Egyptian companies into other African markets can be tricky. What are the main obstacles they face, and what advice would you give them?

RO: Egyptian companies have a major advantage in being bold, but not reckless. They also benefit from cultural similarities with Anglophone Africa, Uganda, Kenya, Ghana, and even Nigeria, which reduces friction. Francophone Africa is more challenging, but much of sub-Saharan Africa feels familiar in terms of business culture.

The biggest obstacle is choosing the wrong counterparty. Companies often enter a market, partner with the wrong local operator, trip on execution, and leave — not because their product is weak but because the partner was not suitable. The firms that succeed are those connected to reliable, high-quality local partners, which allows them to scale rapidly.

E: The African private equity landscape is seeing more secondaries and structured liquidity options. What are the reasons behind this emergence, and how is that playing out in Egypt?

RO: Secondaries are becoming increasingly important as investors and fund managers seek liquidity in a market where traditional exits, like IPOs or strategic sales, remain limited. Some funds or investors require returns sooner than their portfolios’ timelines allow, driving trades through secondary sales, structured liquidity solutions, or continuation vehicles.

Global dynamics are also fueling the trend. Changes in the approach and available capital from concentrated providers, such as European DFIs, combined with rising interest rates and a broader slowdown in fundraising, mean that a significant share of private equity managers cannot raise new funds without generating liquidity from existing funds.

In Egypt, secondaries provide multiple flexible routes to investors. They allow GPs to return funds to investors, sometimes at a discount, without waiting for IPOs or sales, providing long-term investors with faster liquidity gains and enabling the redeployment of capital. Meanwhile, new investors can also access positions with shorter holding periods, bridging the gap for those unwilling to commit to the typical 10-year fund cycle.

E: Interest rates in Egypt are relatively high. How does that impact private credit transactions and financing structures?

RO: Private credit in Egypt remains limited compared with other African markets, largely due to the current high interest rate environment, with the country still stabilizing after the EGP’s flotation and the surge in inflation. However, as inflation eases and interest rates gradually fall, private credit could fill a financing gap for companies that cannot access term debt from banks or are unwilling to sell equity at current valuations.

USD-denominated private credit already works in other high-interest markets, like Nigeria, where companies earning in USD can secure financing at manageable rates. Similarly, as confidence grows in Egypt’s currency and rates decline, private credit is expected to expand, providing a flexible funding option for growth-stage companies.

E: Looking ahead, which sectors are catching your eye for near-term investments and why?

RO: Digital finance, healthcare, and consumer-facing tech are particularly exciting. They show strong adoption trends, scalable business models, and the potential for a meaningful impact. In financial services, for example, digital payment platforms are bridging gaps for SMEs and unbanked populations. Meanwhile, in healthcare, telemedicine and diagnostics are addressing persistent gaps in access.

5

A MESSAGE FROM VODAFONE EGYPT

Digital done right: how Vodafone Business Digital Store is fueling SME growth

For SMEs in Egypt, embracing digital technology is no longer just about efficiency — it is a pathway to measurable, sustainable growth. The Vodafone Business Digital Store connects businesses with a wide range of global and local solution providers, offering cloud and hosting services, productivity and collaboration tools, IoT innovations, and AI-driven business platforms. The store brings everything together in one place with simple purchasing and a unified bill for all solutions — making digital adoption easier, smarter, and more accessible for growing businesses.

Ready to accelerate your business? Discover the digital tools driving SME growth across Egypt on the Vodafone Business Digital Store.

6

Energy

Alcazar Energy, Siemens Gamesa partner on 500 MW wind project

Another big-ticket wind project is in the works, with Alcazar Energy Partners having inked a share sale and purchase agreement with Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy to jointly develop, construct, and operate the 500 MW NIAT wind project in Egypt, Alcazar said in a statement. Under the agreement, Alcazar will become an equity partner for the project’s final development and then assume full ownership and operational responsibilities, while Siemens Gamesa — which first began the project — will act as a strategic partner.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

The NIAT wind farm is set to generate up to 2.5 TWh of electricity annually — enough to power 280k homes — and cut more than 1.2 mn tonnes of CO2 emissions per year. The project is also expected to create around 2.5k jobs during its construction and operational phases.

What they said: “Siemens Gamesa has played a central role in installing large scale wind projects across the region and we are pleased to partner with them once again as we advance the NIAT wind farm. This project is an important contribution to Egypt’s clean energy transition and a strong addition to Alcazar Energy Partner’s growing portfolio. We are also pleased to draw on Siemens Gamesa’s expertise as we work to deploy their turbine technology in the country,” Alcazar Managing Partner Daniel Calderon said.

7

Capital markets

Nawy Shares secures FRA approval to launch a fractional real estate investment platform

Nawy Shares secured approval from the Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) to operate in underwriting, public offering promotion, and real estate investment fund management, according to a company statement (pdf). The approval allows Nawy Shares to expand its services and roll out new, secure, and transparent investment products that ensure compliance and investor protection.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

The move advances efforts to create a regulated model for fractional real estate investment, bringing the emerging segment under FRA supervision to ensure compliance, transparency, and investor protection, according to the statement.

REMEMBER- The FRA has recently rolled out a new framework for fractional real estate investment, allowing investors to buy and trade units in real estate funds under tighter governance and disclosure rules. The move aims to expand access to property-backed investment vehicles and deepen liquidity in the domestic non-bank financial markets.

What they said: “We introduced the fractional real estate investment model from the very beginning, and today we see that idea evolve into an officially regulated framework that is transforming the investment landscape in Egypt. This approval is a testament to the power of innovation when supported by strong oversight and a clear regulatory structure,” Nawy Shares Managing Director Ayman Magdy said.

ICYMI- The FRA granted fintech player MNT-Halan and asset manager Azimut approval lastweek to establish a licensed digital platform for trading real estate investment fund securities. The FRA is now reviewing the prospectus for the fund’s first issuance ahead of its rollout.

8

Startup watch

Bluworks raises USD 1 mn to fund Egypt, UAE, KSA expansion plans

Homegrown HR tech startup Bluworks raised USD 1 mn in a seed funding round, it said in a statement (pdf). The round was led by A15, with participation from Enza Capital, Beltone VC, Acasia Ventures, and strategic angels.

Bluworks? Launched by Hussein Wahdan and Farah Osman in 2022, the platform provides a blue-collar-focused workforce management service that sets itself apart from generic HR solutions that are typically designed for white-collar environments, Wahdan told EnterpriseAM. Its services include multi-location management, shift swapping, labor forecasting, employee scheduling, attendance tracking, payroll processing, real-time salary disbursement, and compliance management tailored to the regulatory requirements in the countries it operates in.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

Where will the money go? The funding will be used to support the startup’s objectives — strengthening its presence in Egypt by growing the SME client base and enhancing platform features, building strategic partnerships to broaden its service offerings, and expanding into new markets across the MENA region.

The company aims to develop its operations in Egypt by introducing advanced analytics and AI-driven features, such as smart shift planning and a smart HR agent, Wahdan told us. It is also considering rolling out integrated financial benefits, ins., and direct wage access to boost worker adoption and retention.

Bluworks sees construction, hospitality, and outsourcing as sectors with growing and — so far — untapped demand. The startup has so far seen the quickest uptake of its services from logistics, retail, F&B, and light manufacturing.

The UAE and Saudi Arabia are the first stops on the company’s expansion plan, given their “large blue-collar labor pools and strong demand for smarter workforce management.” To get ready for the move and make sure that Bluworks is ready for the new legal and regulatory environment, Bluworks is “building localized integrations and partnerships for both markets,” Wahdan said.

What’s next? In the near future, the company will hold a series A funding round after scaling up in Egypt, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, and achieving certain milestones, Wahdan stated. Looking further ahead, the company aims to evolve into a full operating system for blue-collar workforce management, expanding beyond HR tech into embedded financial services, benefits administration, worker engagement, and recruitment services.

9

Moves

AUC appoints Hassan Allam to its board of trustees

The American University in Cairo (AUC) elected Hassan Allam Holding CEO Hassan Allam to its board of trustees, according to a statement (pdf) from the university. Allam is an AUC civil engineering graduate with extensive experience in engineering, construction, and large-scale development projects across the region and globally.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

Since becoming CEO in 2009, he has led the company’s expansion across 10 countries and has helped cement the company’s position as one of Egypt and the region’s most important companies.

What they said: “We are pleased to welcome Hassan Allam to our board. He has always been a tremendous partner to AUC, a proud graduate who has championed the university and shown tremendous leadership in preserving Egypt’s culture and heritage. His insight and experience will be invaluable to the work of the university,” Mark Turnage, chair of the university’s board of trustees, said.

10

Also on our Radar

El Gouna introduces La Maison Bleue Residences

HOSPITALITY-

El Gouna announced the pre-launch of La Maison Bleue Residences, a set of serviced boutique residences that will be built next to the existing La Maison Bleue boutique hotel that has recently been awarded a Michelin Key. The project is expected to open its doors within two years.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

Why residences? While expanding the original La Maison Bleue was initially on the table, the notion was quickly set aside. “We didn’t want to jeopardize the boutique element, and so the idea for the serviced residences came about,” Mohamed Amer, CEO of El Gouna, told EnterpriseAM.

The first of many to come: With much of the Red Sea coast still underdeveloped, particularly when compared to the North Coast, Amer feels “very bullish” about its future. “I have no doubt about the future growth and opportunities awaiting the Red Sea, and we are very well-positioned for that growth,” he told us. “Branded residences are on the rise, and we have quite an ambitious plan for further residences on a much bigger scale,” he added.

REAL ESTATE-

The Finance Ministry authorized the Urban Development Fund (UDF) to serve as its investment arm for managing state-owned assets, UDF head Khaled Siddiq told Asharq Business.

EVs-

Raya Auto launches Electra: Raya Holding’s Raya Auto launched its new EV charging solution brand Electra in partnership with Chinese energy tech giant Sungrow, Al Mal reports. Electra will offer home, AC, and ultra-fast DC chargers with capacities up to 180 kW. The rollout will start with home and commercial units before expanding to public charging stations across Cairo and major intercity routes.

ENERGY-

The UAE’s Dragon Oil found a new 3k bbl/d oil well in the Gulf of Suez, according to a statement from the Oil Ministry. After the Emirates National Oil Company subsidiary confirms the viability of the site, it will be connected to the production grid, according to Emirati state news agency Wam.

11

PLANET FINANCE

GCC debt capital market momentum set to extend into 2026 -Fitch

Debt capital market (DCM) activity in the GCC is set to remain active well into 2026, backed by a healthy pipeline, according to a Fitch report seen by EnterpriseAM. The credit ratings agency sees USD-denominated issuance driving growth next year, supported by a mix of government initiatives and funding needs.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

The region’s outstanding debt capital market hit the USD 1.1 tn mark at the end of 3Q 2025, up 12.7% y-o-y. Sukuk made up 40% of the total, up roughly 22% from a year earlier, while bonds rose just 7.2% y-o-y. Outstanding ESG debt climbed to USD 62.8 bn during the quarter, while ESG-linked sukuk reached USD 29.7 bn, up 54.1% y-o-y, with the lion’s share denominated in USD.

The 9M picture: New regional DCM supply dipped 5.6% y-o-y to USD 280 bn in 9M 2025. USD-denominated issuances accounted for 46% of that total, while ESG issuance from the GCC hit USD 14.9 bn in 9M, up 8.5% y-o-y. No rating defaults were recorded during the period.

Saudi Arabia was the GCC’s most mature DCM, accounting for 46% of outstanding regional volumes, followed by the UAE with 30%. The two markets together made up nearly 93% of outstanding ESG sukuk in 3Q, while Saudi Arabia generated over 60% of the region’s ESG issuance in 9M. Both countries are also in line for deeper foreign participation — with each being reviewed for inclusion in JPMorgan’s Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets Watch List.

Banks continue to dominate: Banks continue to dominate participation in the region’s debt markets, especially in the sukuk segment, while local currency issuance by corporates and banks remains uncommon across most GCC markets, with Saudi Arabia standing out for its more developed SAR-denominated market.

Ranked among the top EM issuers in USD: GCC names generated 32% of emerging-market USD issuance over the period and make up 26% of outstanding EM USD debt, excluding China. This puts the region on track to become among the leading EM USD debt issuers in 2026, the report read.

The ratings mix remains skewed toward higher-quality names, with 65% of outstanding Fitch-rated sukuk sitting in the A category, followed by BBB (11%), BB (10%), B (9%), and AA (5%). Nearly 85% of issuers carry stable outlooks. The average tenor of Fitch-rated GCC sukuk stood around eight years as of end-9M, reflecting relatively long-dated structures across the region’s sovereign and corporate issuers.

Fitch’s breakdown of rated sukuk by sector shows sovereigns accounting for 31% of outstanding volumes, followed by corporates and other issuers at 26%, financial institutions at 24%, international public finance entities at 13%, and infrastructure and project-finance issuers at 6%. This distribution highlights the central role governments and banks continue to play in shaping the GCC’s sukuk landscape.

Not without risk: GCC debt markets face pressure from oil price swings, rate volatility, shifting sharia standards, and geopolitical risk, all of which influence fiscal positions, funding costs, and investor appetite. Market depth and maturity also vary widely across its six member states.

EGX30

40,302

-0.5% (YTD: +35.5%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 47.38

Sell 47.52

USD (CIB)

Buy 47.42

Sell 47.52

Interest rates (CBE)

21.00% deposit

22.00% lending

Tadawul

11,011

+0.1% (YTD: -8.5%)

ADX

9,795

-0.9% (YTD: +4.0%)

DFM

5,836

-1.3% (YTD: +13.1%)

S&P 500

6,603

+1.0% (YTD: +12.3%)

FTSE 100

9,540

+0.1% (YTD: +16.7%)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,515

-1.0% (YTD: +12.7%)

Brent crude

USD 62.56

-1.3%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 4.58

+2.4%

Gold

USD 4,116

+0.5%

BTC

USD 84,805

-0.4% (YTD: -9.2%)

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index

968.42

+0.1% (YTD: +24.5%)

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk

152.18

+0.1% (YTD: +8.8%)

VIX (Volatility Index)

23.43

-11.3% (YTD: +35.0%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 fell 0.5% at Thursday’s close on turnover of EGP 6.1 bn (23.8% above the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 35.5% YTD.

In the green: Misr Cement (+6.8%), Telecom Egypt (+4.8%), and Ibnsina Pharma (+2.3%).

In the red: Egypt Aluminum (-2.8%), Beltone Holding (-2.4%), and E-finance (-2.3%).

12

Diplomacy

Egypt, South Africa eye closer economic ties as Madbouly meets business leaders in Johannesburg

Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly met with 40 representatives from major South African companies and research institutions in Johannesburg on Thursday while leading Egypt’s delegation to the ongoing G20 Summit that wraps today, according to a cabinet statement. The meeting discussed boosting economic, trade, and investment ties between the two countries.

Madbouly emphasized that the government is committed to removing investment barriers and offering incentives to encourage more South African capital inflows into Egypt. He also highlighted key investments in renewable energy, EV manufacturing, pharma, and the Suez Canal Economic Zone, noting that the zone offers a cost-competitive environment and duty-free access to global markets.

PLUS- President Abdel Fattah El Sisi met with South Korean President Lee Jae-myung and oversaw the signing of two MoUs in culture and education, according to an Ittihadiya statement. The two also discussed boosting Korean investment in Egypt in sectors including ICT, automotive manufacturing, shipbuilding, pharma, and mining.


NOVEMBER

November: Egypt to join the EU’s Horizon Europe research and innovation program.

November: The Conference on Early Recovery, Reconstruction, and Development in Gaza.

DECEMBER

1 December (Monday): The Egypt Business Solutions Summit, InterContinental City Stars Cairo.

1-4 December (Monday-Thursday): Egypt Defence Expo, Egypt International Exhibition Center.

4-7 December (Thursday-Sunday): Egy Stitch & Tex Expo 2025, Cairo International Conference Center.

8 December (Monday): Egypt-UK Investment Conference, Cairo.

15 December (Monday): Neo Gen PropTech and Sustainable Smart Cities Conference, The St. Regis Hotel New Capital

25 December: (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

Mid-2025: EGX launches sustainability index.

December: Germany’s North Rhine-Westphala business delegation to land in Egypt.

3Q 2025: Nasr Automotive begins locally manufacturing passenger cars.

3Q 2025: Polaris Parks to finalize contracts for two new industrial zones in the new capital and Sadat City.

Mid-2025: The Administrative Capital for Urban Developments to roll out the second phase of offering industrial plots to investors

2H 2025: Potential visit by Chinese President Xi Jinping to Egypt

4Q 2025: The beginning of construction works on China’s State Grid two solar projects.

4Q 2025: GB Auto starts assembling one of China’s Great Wall Motor models in 4Q 2025.

4Q 2025-1Q 2026: Kasrawy Group to launch first Avatr EV models in Egypt.

2025: The InterAcademy Partnership assembly.

2025: Nile Basin States Summit, Cairo, Egypt.

2025: Release of the government’s Startup Charter document.

Before 2025-end: The government will launch two ro-ro shipping lines with Saudi Arabia and Turkey.

2026

Early 2026: Passenger operations on the New Administrative Capital–Nasr City monorail scheduled to begin.

1Q 2026: Trial operations for the Ain Sokhna–Sixth of October section of Egypt’s first high-speed rail line scheduled to begin.

1 January: European Union’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) to fully come into effect.

10-12 February (Tuesday-Thursday): Gitex Global’s AI Everything Middle East & Africa Summit

15 March 2026: IMF to hold its seventh review of Egypt’s USD 8 bn EFF arrangement.

30 March - 1 April: Egypt International Energy Conference and Exhibition 2026 (EGYPES)

May 2026: End of extension for developers on 15% interest rates for land installment payments

15 September 2026: IMF to hold its eighth review of Egypt’s USD 8 bn EFF arrangement.

27-29 September (Sunday-Tuesday): Egypt will host the fourth edition of the Global Conference on Population, Health and Human Development.

2H 2026: Operations at Deli Glass Co’s new USD 70 mn glassware factory kick off.

2027

20 January-7 February: Egypt to host the African Games.

April 2027: Tenth of Ramadan dry port and logistics hub to begin operations.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2027: Egypt to host EBRD’s annual meetings for 2027.

2027: Egypt-EU Summit 2027

End of 2027: Trial operations at the Dabaa nuclear power plant expected to take place.

September 2028: First unit of the Dabaa nuclear power plant begins operations.

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