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The battle for the brains of Silicon Valley

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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

Inflation surges in Feb as fuel hikes, FX volatility pressure FY 2025/26 budget

Good afternoon, friends, and happy hump day. It’s another unsurprisingly busy afternoon in the press, and we’ve got the rundown for you below. Also in today’s issue: we break down what Anthropic suing the Pentagon means for the future of AI autonomy, and check out Tabali and Buoy’s suhoor experience.

🌙 So, when do we eat? Maghrib prayers are at 6pm in the capital, and you’ll have until 4:44am tomorrow to hydrate and caffeinate ahead of fajr.

THE BIG STORY TODAY-

📍 Egypt’s urban inflation surged to 13.4% y-o-y in February, up 1.9 percentage points from January, signaling an acceleration well above market expectations, as food, beverages, and housing costs climbed sharply ahead of the recent regional escalation, which has since pushed the EGP down nearly 8.4% against the USD amid hot money outflows and rising import demand.

The readings hit the tape just as the Madbouly Cabinet implemented an earlier-than-planned fuel price hike to protect the FY 2025/26 budget, which is expected to generate EGP 40 bn in savings by year-end and EGP 80-100 bn annually, preventing the petroleum subsidy bill from doubling, a government source told EnterpriseAM.

While March and April are expected to see higher monthly prints as energy costs filter through, the CBE is widely anticipated to maintain a wait-and-see approach in its upcoming Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting. London-based economist Ali Metwally notes that while a rate hike would be “costly for growth,” a pivot toward tightening remains likely if the current inflationary wave and FX pressures persist.

^^ We’ll have more on this story in tomorrow’s edition of EnterpriseAM.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

🌐 Oil prices sank 7% this morning — retreating from a three-year high — as US President Donald Trump said the conflict with Iran could soon end. Trump later threatened more strikes on Tehran if the country attempted to halt the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent futures were down almost 7% to USD 92.2 per barrel, while WTI dropped by a similar margin to USD 88.4 per barrel, as of the time of publication. Saudi oil giant Aramco said there would be “catastrophic consequences” if the war continued to disrupt oil flows through Hormuz.

^^Read more on: Bloomberg and Reuters here and here.

** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:

  • The government pressed ahead with the expected fuel hike, with the Oil Ministry announcing the increase overnight. The new prices came into effect at 3am this morning;
  • As the EGP continues to weaken, the Madbouly government promises budget cuts and a fresh social support package to cushion the impact of the regional crisis on the state budget and the public;
  • Cars are currently being sold at their official list prices in the wake of the war on Iran, without any reductions in sight. For some models in short supply, EGP 100k markdowns have been replaced with an EGP 100k overprice.

☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- We’re in for a slightly warmer day in Cairo tomorrow, with a high of 24°C and a low of 13°C, according to our favorite weather app.

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PLUG IN

The battle for the brains of Silicon Valley

A new chapter in the AI war: In an escalation between Silicon Valley and the Pentagon, Anthropic filed a lawsuit against the US Department of Defense (DoD) on Monday after the Trump administration blacklisted the AI firm as a “national security threat.” This is the culmination of a week-long standoff between the Trump administration and the creators of Claude over the military applications of GenAI. So, what happened exactly?

The genesis

When Anthropic built Claude, it baked in strict guardrails against autonomous weaponry and mass surveillance. These ethical red lines have now collided head-on with the Pentagon’s new directive. In late February, the DoD demanded the right to deploy AI for all “lawful” military purposes — including advanced combat applications.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth issued an ultimatum: comply… or face the consequences. Hegseth explicitly threatened to invoke extraordinary executive powers to seize the company’s proprietary tech — all in the name of national security, naturally.

Despite Anthropic’s previous USD 200 mn agreement to integrate its tech into classified networks last June, CEO Dario Amodei has refused to budge on the company’s safety protocols. Tensions reportedly peaked following the January operation in Venezuela involving the abduction of Nicolas Maduro, where US forces relied heavily on AI-backed logistics.

Trump has since ordered all federal agencies to terminate their use of Claude, branding Anthropic a leftist organization. Ironically, reports from both The Wall Street Journal and Axios suggest the military may have already utilized Claude in recent operations involving Iran — particularly for intelligence analysis, target selection, and field simulations.

The tech divide

OpenAI saw a chance… and took it. The Microsoft-backed rival quickly signaled its cooperation with the Pentagon, securing a specialized agreement to deploy its models across the DoD’s classified infrastructure. CEO Sam Altman defended the move, stating that the Pentagon’s framework aligns with OpenAI’s principles regarding human accountability in weapons systems.

The backlash: This triggered a massive PR crisis for OpenAI. The QuitGPT movement — already fueled by news that co-founder Greg Brockman donated USD 25 mn to MAGA — has gained endorsements from high-profile figures, such as celebrated actor Mark Ruffalo.

Public sentiment is shifting rapidly: Early data shows nearly 2 mn users have ditched ChatGPT for Claude, citing a preference for the latter’s ethical stance. It’s horrible timing for OpenAI, too, which is reportedly on track to lose USD 14 bn in 2026 as it loses market share to its rivals.

Trouble ahead

Government defense contracts represent a stream of bns in sustainable revenue that tech giants simply cannot ignore. These agreements, however, are a double-edged sword that many investment funds now view with trepidation. For these investors, the risk is clear: any association with controversial military applications can shatter reputations, leading to massive losses in market share as socially conscious consumers and partners jump ship.

Beyond the immediate financial damages — estimated to be in the mns — the Anthropic lawsuit argues that the government’s blacklist is an arbitrary interference in corporate governance, designed to stifle competition and scare off investors. This isn’t just about one company; it’s a threat to the entire AI ecosystem. Within hours of the filing, dozens of employees from Google DeepMind — and even OpenAI — voiced their support for Anthropic.

A canary in the coal mine for Big Tech: Giants like Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Amazon are now forced to re-evaluate their military ties to avoid the same wrath OpenAI is facing. As the Trump administration prepares to potentially weaponize the Defense Production Act to force compliance, this case will set quite the precedent, determining the future trajectory of the relationship between US sovereignty and the independence of AI firms.

(** Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

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EAT THIS TONIGHT

A suhoor you can’t miss from Buoy and Tabali

🍽️ Suhoor is a meal that often fares best when it sticks to its warm familiarity, rarely needing too much reinvention. However, the new Buoy by Kiki’s and Tabali suhoor collaboration might have cracked the code for an unmissable switch-up. The beloved ful and taameya spot brought over its staples to the fresh Mediterranean delicacies of Buoy by Kiki’s for a suhoor menu that is well worth your time and taste buds.

We already knew we were in for an atmospheric dining experience, given Buoy’s reputation for a well-curated setting, but we were thoroughly impressed by its Ramadan revamp — colorful string lights hanging overhead, cozy indoor lighting, and a live oud player. We would’ve been satisfied with just the great atmosphere, but we had stomachs to fill, and a new menu to mull over. To our surprise — and relief — the menu didn’t lean too much on the familiar classics we’ve grown weary of, it welcomed us with fresh selections that were all too tempting.

First up on the roster: Ful, which, in addition to the usual favorites, was offered in an appetizing eggplant and pomegranate molasses combination — our immediate first pick. Taameya sliders? Count us in. We went for the Tabali taameya sliders paired with guacamole. The egg selections were overwhelmingly varied, so we splurged a little and went for the truffle scrambled eggs and the breakfast tacos. Our spread didn’t end there, we also opted for a labneh with zaatar mano’uche, truffle fries, and a side of hummus.

The ful was a definite standout — the mix of pomegranate molasses gave the savory classic a refreshing twist with its sweet tang. The taameya sliders and smoky-relish breakfast tacos brought a welcome modern twist to the classic spread. We also happily munched on the perfectly baked mano’uche and crispy truffle fries. Despite the full spread, we found the meal to be light, and even had room for their milk and sugar feteer (the only available dessert that night).

In spite of the diverse ingredients, some of the dishes did unfortunately suffer from weak flavors — however the innovative fusions charmed us enough to brush it off. All in all, this suhoor experience felt much-needed, and we can confidently say that Buoy and Tabali knocked it out of the park with this collaboration.

WHERE TO FIND IT- You can find the suhoor collab at Garden 8’s Buoy by Kiki’s. You can book reservations through the link in their Instagram bio.

HOURS: 9pm-2am

PRICE PER PERSON: EGP 800

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Sports

Champions League heavyweights clash tonight

The UEFA Champions League is going strong tonight with four high-stakes face-offs in the first leg of the Round of 16. All competing teams aim to secure a victory in today’s fixtures to ensure a better position heading into the return legs.

On our radar tonight:

  • Liverpool vs. Galatasaray — 7:45pm, beIN Sports 1;
  • Atalanta vs. Bayern Munich — 10pm, beIN Sports 3;
  • Atlético Madrid vs. Tottenham — 10pm, beIN Sports 2;
  • Newcastle vs. Barcelona — 10pm, beIN Sports 1.


On the domestic front, Al Masry faces El Gouna at 9:30pm in an Egyptian Premier League Matchweek 15 fixture. The match will be broadcast on ON Sport 1.

This publication is proudly sponsored by

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Mark Your Calendar

An unforgettable suhoor tent at the Citadel

🌙 Another can’t-miss Ramadan tent awaits at the heart of the Citadel with Hakawy El Qahera. The special suhoor tent is running daily from 10pm until Monday, 16 March. You can book your tickets on Ticketsmarché.

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GO WITH THE FLOW

What the markets are doing on 10 March 2026

The EGX30 rose 2.9% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 6.6 bn (2.4% above the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net buyers. The index is up 14.2% YTD.

In the green: ADIB (+6.6%), Raya Holding (+6.2%), and CIB (+5.3%).

In the red: AMOC (-8.0%), Abu Qir Fertilizers (-5.0%), and Valmore Holding -EGP (-3.2%).


🗓️ MARCH

24 February - 14 March (Tuesday-Saturday): Ramadan Premium Market at the Arena, Cairo West.

28 February - 11 March (Saturday-Wednesday): Qahrawya Iftours.

8-12 March (Sunday-Thursday): Mohamed Abdel Wahab Museum opens in Downtown Cairo.

9-16 March (Monday-Monday): Hakawy El Qahera Tent at the Citadel.

12 March (Thursday): Ramadan program at the Multicultural and Artistic Space at Qaitbey.

13 March (Friday): Hamid El Shaeri at Wayana Tent, Al Baron.

13-14 March (Friday-Saturday): Garage Sale at Darb 15, Maadi.

21 March (Saturday): Eid Al-Fitr.

21 March (Saturday): Saad El Oud at CJC 610.

22 March (Sunday): Burna Boy at Festival Plaza, El Gouna.

22 March (Sunday): Zarf Tarek Gedan at Heliopolis Library Theater.

27 March (Friday): Wegz at the PUBG Mobile anniversary carnival, the Great Pyramids of Giza.

APRIL

2 April (Thursday): Hany Shaker at Theatro Arkan.

7 April (Tuesday): Shakira at the Pyramids of Giza.

13 April (Monday): Sham El Nessim.

25 April (Saturday): Sinai Liberation Day.

MAY

1 May (Friday): Labor Day.

7-9 May (Thursday-Saturday): Sandbox Festival in El Gouna.

26 May (Tuesday): Arafat’s Day.

26 May (Tuesday): Andrea Bocelli at the City of Arts and Culture in the New Administrative Capital.

JUNE

16 June (Tuesday): Islamic New Year.

30 June (Tuesday): June 30th Revolution.

JULY

23 July (Thursday): July 23rd Revolution 1952.

24 July (Friday): Adriatique at the North Coast.

AUGUST

21 August (Friday): Black Coffee at Cubix North Coast.

25 August (Thursday): Prophet Muhammad’s Birthday.

OCTOBER

6 October (Tuesday): Armed Forces Day.

24 October (Saturday): Blue 25th Anniversary Tour at New Capital.

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