Good afternoon, friends, and happy hump day. It’s another unsurprisingly busy afternoon in the press, and we’ve got the rundown for you below. Also in today’s issue: we break down what Anthropic suing the Pentagon means for the future of AI autonomy, and check out Tabali and Buoy’s suhoor experience.
🌙 So, when do we eat? Maghrib prayers are at 6pm in the capital, and you’ll have until 4:44am tomorrow to hydrate and caffeinate ahead of fajr.
THE BIG STORY TODAY-
📍 Egypt’s urban inflation surged to 13.4% y-o-y in February, up 1.9 percentage points from January, signaling an acceleration well above market expectations, as food, beverages, and housing costs climbed sharply ahead of the recent regional escalation, which has since pushed the EGP down nearly 8.4% against the USD amid hot money outflows and rising import demand.
The readings hit the tape just as the Madbouly Cabinet implemented an earlier-than-planned fuel price hike to protect the FY 2025/26 budget, which is expected to generate EGP 40 bn in savings by year-end and EGP 80-100 bn annually, preventing the petroleum subsidy bill from doubling, a government source told EnterpriseAM.
While March and April are expected to see higher monthly prints as energy costs filter through, the CBE is widely anticipated to maintain a wait-and-see approach in its upcoming Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting. London-based economist Ali Metwally notes that while a rate hike would be “costly for growth,” a pivot toward tightening remains likely if the current inflationary wave and FX pressures persist.
^^ We’ll have more on this story in tomorrow’s edition of EnterpriseAM.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
🌐 Oil prices sank 7% this morning — retreating from a three-year high — as US President Donald Trump said the conflict with Iran could soon end. Trump later threatened more strikes on Tehran if the country attempted to halt the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz. Brent futures were down almost 7% to USD 92.2 per barrel, while WTI dropped by a similar margin to USD 88.4 per barrel, as of the time of publication. Saudi oil giant Aramco said there would be “catastrophic consequences” if the war continued to disrupt oil flows through Hormuz.
^^Read more on: Bloomberg and Reuters here and here.
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** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:
- The government pressed ahead with the expected fuel hike, with the Oil Ministry announcing the increase overnight. The new prices came into effect at 3am this morning;
- As the EGP continues to weaken, the Madbouly government promises budget cuts and a fresh social support package to cushion the impact of the regional crisis on the state budget and the public;
- Cars are currently being sold at their official list prices in the wake of the war on Iran, without any reductions in sight. For some models in short supply, EGP 100k markdowns have been replaced with an EGP 100k overprice.
☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- We’re in for a slightly warmer day in Cairo tomorrow, with a high of 24°C and a low of 13°C, according to our favorite weather app.




