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Thanks, Google

1

WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

THIS EVENING: Google gives us two-months of breathing space on payments + Instapay to let users send money to UAE, Jordan and KSA next year + Fawry has not been the victim of ransomware

Hello, wonderful people. We hope Sunday has been good to you. We have an FX-heavy issue for you as the workday draws to a close, but first:

PSA- ?️ Take it easy this afternoon (and early evening) on the drive home — there’s a chance of rain. We’ve seen isolated showers across the capital city this afternoon, and our favorite weather app is calling for occasional drizzle and a risk of scattered thunderstorms from now through tomorrow afternoon.

BIG FX STORY #1-

BIG THANKS this afternoon to the good people at Google, who we will credit with living up to the company’s (former) “Don’t be evil” mantra on this overcast day after the tech giant gave some clients in Egypt a two-month grace period on payments.

The problem: Many Egyptian businesses are at risk of losing critical infrastructure including access to email, documents, and cloud hosting after the Central Bank of Egypt guided banks to limit foreign exchange transactions on credit cards to the USD, EUR or other FX equivalent of EGP 7,750 per month.

What’s the big deal? Most SMEs (and some larger businesses we know) use credit cards to pay for access to Google Workspace, Microsoft 365, Amazon Web Services, and other critical corporate tools and tech infrastructure.

With card payments bouncing because of the new FX limit, admins are being bombarded with cutoff notices from service providers. Most offer a warning that you have an (unspecified, but highly limited) period of time to set things right. Others are cutting businesses off after just one or two failed attempts.

Enter Google, which has sent notices to Egyptian clients paying with local credit cards that they have been given a two-month extension on payments that were due in recent weeks.

What Google said in a note to Enterprise: “Since mid-October, Egyptian banks have been declining credit and debit card transactions from offshore merchants such as Google Cloud… To minimize disruption to you and your organization during this time, we are extending your Workspace services without interruption until January 2024 regardless of declined transactions.”

Is there anything else you can do? In descending order of madness (craziest at the top):

  • Hope everything magically resolves itself;
  • Open an offshore account and develop a foreign-currency revenue stream;
  • Sort out whether you qualify for monthly invoiced billing (Google and other providers do this, but not everyone is eligible. Criteria vary by provider.);
  • Contact a local reseller and see if you can get a new contract payable in EGP (at a rate, and with a markup, that will probably make your eyes water — but at least you’ll still be in business).

BIG FX STORY #2-

InstaPay plans to offer remittance services to Egyptians living in the UAE, Jordan and KSA next year. The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) has reached preliminary agreements with the central banks of the UAE and Jordan — and is in advanced talks with the central bank in Saudi Arabia — to allow InstaPay users to transfer money from banks in these countries to their Egyptian bank accounts, a source with firsthand knowledge of the matter told Enterprise. The CBE-run digital payment platform is expected to roll out the services in 1H 2024, our source added. The CBE is still studying whether remittances transferred via InstaPay will be credited to Egyptian accounts in local or foreign currency. The news was first picked up by Asharq Business.

All in the name of easing our FX crunch: The plan is the latest in a string of measures taken by the government to drum up hard currency in response to the ongoing FX crunch, which has triggered three devaluations of the EGP since March 2022 and caused the EGP to halve in value against the USD.

Remember: It first came to light back in Septemberthat the central bank was looking into allowing InstaPay transfers from the three Arab countries, in addition to members of the Brics bloc.

MEANWHILE, FAWRY IS BACK UP-

Fawry’s operations dashboard is all green after a service outage on Thursday that coincided with claims on social media by two cybersecurity monitoring accounts that the payments giant had been hit by a LockBit ransomware attack.

All Fawry services are up and running — and a couple of us have today paid bills using the service. The company said in a statement this weekend that it had not been hacked and that an external audit by a global cybersecurity firm, Group-IB, found no evidence its systems had been breached.

SOUND SMART- LockBit is a group of hackers that has used a set of ingenious software tools in recent months to hack some of the largest financial institutions in the world — including the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, one of the world’s largest banks. LockBit is one of the planet’s most active (and most successful) ransomware groups. Analysts believe the group originated in Russia.

Uh, what’s ransomware? Boiled down, it’s malicious code that locks you out of a device, database, or entire system until a ransom is paid.

Want to go deeper? Have a look at reports and backgrounders from Reuters | Wired and TheVerge. Want to go more into the how? Take a look at this piece from Flashpoint or this one from the US Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency.

How can you protect yourself and your company? NO. NOT. CLICK. ON. ANYTHING. SUSPICIOUS.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

It’s all about Gaza, where little has changed since we checked in with you this morning. The latest update is that the IDF is reportedly helping Palestinian babies leave Al Shifa hospital after denying that they have attacked the medical facility but Gaza health ministry spokesman Ashraf Al-Qidra disclosed that the IDF was terrorizing both doctors and civilians. (Reuters | CNBC)


** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:

enterprise

*** It’s Inside Industry day —your weekly briefing of all things industrial in Egypt. Inside Industry focuses each Sunday on what it takes to turn Egypt into a manufacturing and export powerhouse, ranging from initial investment and planning to product distribution, through to land allocation to industrial processes, supply chain management, labor, automation and technology, inputs and exports, regulation and policy.

In today’s issue:We look at Egypt’s furniture industry, with a focus on the current challenges and how to bank on the tools at hand to keep it thriving.

2

FOR YOUR COMMUTE

Elon Musk film is happening + Scientists are getting close to growing food on the moon

An Elon Musk biopic is in the works. The world’s richest — and arguably, most overexposed — person will be making it to the silver screen in a film set to be directed by Darren Aronofsky (of Black Swan and The Whale fame). The rights to the biopic were being sought after by top studios and filmmakers before being snagged by A24, says Reuters. A24 Films is the studio behind Everything Everywhere All At Once and Euphoria.

Don’t expect the full fanboy treatment: The film will be based largely on Walter Isaacson’s biography of Musk, which takes the reader through his transformation from great innovator to internet troll. We, like many others, had a lot of time for Musk until he started getting high on his own supply — alone among the Paypal Mafia, Musk left behind 0s and 1s to focus on actually making a dent in the physical world with investments in Tesla, Space X, Neuralink, and Starlink.

Isaacson’s work has historically focused on innovators and industry greats, including Albert Einstein, Benjamin Franklin, Leonardo da Vinci, and Steve Jobs (the latter also got the big screen treatment). After shadowing Musk for two years, Isaacson’s takeaway was that the bn’aire is a “mercurial man-child” who lacks empathy.

Musk doesn’t leave much to the imagination. The very busy CEO of several companies is routinely active on X, posting at all hours of the day, averaging 24 posts in as many hours, with his post rate increasing since his acquisition of the platform.

Over 70% of his posts responded to others, making him a certified Reply Guy. Meanwhile, X’s market value has fallen by more than half to USD 19 bn since Elon bought the company.


Growing food on the moon? Not as crazy as you might think. By finding a way to enhance its fertility through the introduction of bacteria which would increase the availability of phosphorus — a vital nutrient for plant growth — we might be able to grow the food on our nearest neighbor, according to Reuters.

Moon cigarettes? A Chinese lab created a simulated moon soil known as regolith (rock and dust that sits on top of a bedrock) with three species of bacteria added to it. The results…

…plants grew healthier and better. It improved the growth characteristics of the plant including “longer stems and roots as well as heavier and wider clusters of leaves” compared to the one grown in soil with no microbes.

The bacteria also altered the soil’s acidity, causing the release of phosphorus from insoluble minerals and increasing its availability for plants.

The takeaway: The technique could make it possible to turn the lunar regolith into a bio-friendly substrate for plant cultivation in future lunar greenhouses — and make lunar bases a thing by eliminating the need to look at transporting specialized soil to the moon or making hydrogels in orbit.

GOT THE MOON BUG? Go catch up on seasons one through three of Apple TV+’s For All Mankind if you haven’t already picked up the critically acclaimed series. Season four just started, with new episodes every Friday.

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ENTERPRISE RECOMMENDS

A hilarious multi-genre murder mystery to start the week

? ON THE TUBE TONIGHT-
(all times CLT)

Murder has never been this funny. The Afterparty is chock full of familiar comedy alums trying to solve the murder of classmate-turned-rockstar Xavier (Dave Franco). The scene of the crime: their 15-year high school reunion.

Danner (Tiffany Haddish) takes it upon herself to become lead detective. Each episode focuses on a different character — and is told through a different genre that corresponds to their personality. Critics at Roger Ebert enjoyed the show’s cheeky exploration of genres and tropes, saying it kept the season from going stale.

Aniq (Sam Richardson) is an adorkable loverboy who gets his own romcom episode. Another character (Ike Barinholtz) gets an action movie, complete with a daring car chase. Yasper (Ben Schwartz) gets a musical…

…you get the gist. The constant changeup may be a bit distracting if you’re looking for something more cohesive, but it is still an extremely enjoyable watch, full of timely pop culture references. From Wes Anderson parodies to Jane Austen-esque drama, The Afterparty does it all.

WHERE TO WATCH- All episodes are streaming now on Apple TV+.

⚽ Chelsea and Man City face off in round 12 of the Premier League at 6:30pm — the matchup will determine whether City will be at the top of the English Premier League from the beginning again, or whether there is a chance for there to be a real competition this season.

The Citizens are in the lead with the same score as Arsenal at 27 points, with one less game to play, while Chelsea is in tenth place with 15 points.

Mo Salah’s Liverpool has 24 points — and has a chance to compete for the lead by getting points in the Brentford match, which starts at 4pm.

Teams playing it on the fields at 4pm this afternoon:

  • Aston Villa vs Fulham
  • Brighton vs Sheffield
  • West Ham vs Nottingham

Barcelona fighting for La Liga’s top spot: The team is aiming for three points against Deportivo Alaves to return to the competition for the top spot in La Liga…

…which Girona occupies with 34 points. Real Madrid are right behind with two points, while Blaugrana trails in third place with 27 points. Watch the match at 5:15 pm.

The games we’re most looking forward to in European league play today:

  • Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal (La Liga, 10pm)
  • Lazio vs Roma (Serie A, 7pm)
  • Inter vs Frosinone (Serie A, 9:45pm)
  • Leverkusen vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga, 4:30pm)

African Super League Final: The rematch of the final of the first edition of the African Football League between South Africa’s Mamelodi Sundowns and Morocco’s Wydad kicked off at 3pm, and is still continuing when we dispatch.

ICYMI-The Moroccan champion won the first leg with a score of 2-1.

? OUT AND ABOUT-
(all times CLT)

Ibero-American Film Week has kicked off and will continue until 18 November. Catch a different film every day at 6:30pm at Zawya cinema, Downtown. Catch the full lineup of titles here. Entrance is on a first-come, first-served basis.

The Institut français d’Egypte, Mounira branch, will host a seminar headlined Taste ofBooks. On the agenda will be the biography of the renowned director Dawoud Abd El Sayed. The event will be moderated by Alaa Khaled, the writer, accompanied by Onsi Abou Seif, a well-known set designer and art director.Be there at 8:30pm tomorrow — there is no charge for admission.

The exhibition Forever Is Now is back again at the Pyramids, open 9am until 4pm daily through 18 November. Book your ticket here or buy one on arrival.

Catch a rendition of Tawfiq al-Hakim’s Bank of Anxiety this week and next. It follows two friends who establish a private bank that uses anxiety as the currency. The play is runs today through Thursday at the Malak Gabr Arts Theater at AUC’s New Cairo campus. It then moves to the Falaki Theater at AUC’s Tahrir campus from 15-19 November (Wednesday-Sunday). No charge for admission, but you’ll need to show photo ID.

Catch a Christmas Charity Bazaar to bring on the warmth of the holiday season on Saturday, 1 December, at All Saints’ Cathedral, Zamalek. The bazaar runs from 10:30am until 4pm. Proceeds will benefit a variety of charities here in Egypt.

This publication is proudly sponsored by

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GO WITH THE FLOW

What the markets are doing on 12 November 2023

The EGX30 fell 1.7% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 3.2 bn (25.5% above the 90-day average). Foreign investors were net sellers. The index is up 63.8% YTD.

In the green: Credit Agricole (+3.2%), Oriental Weavers (+1.9%) and Palm Hills Development (+1.5%).

In the red: Fawry (-5.0%), Mopco (-4.6%) and Heliopolis Housing (-3.9%).

5

INSIDE INDUSTRY

How can we keep the Egyptian furniture industry flourishing?

Furniture manufacturing in Egypt is facing compounding issues that are challenging the centuries-old industry, according to industry players Enterprise spoke with. Despite falling export volumes on the back of high production costs and shortages in raw materials due to the ongoing FX crisis, stakeholders in the industry see a silver lining in the positive indicators slowly driving export rates and the government’s support.

The sector in numbers: Furniture manufacturers in Egypt amount to some 140k factories and workshops, with a total working manpower capacity of 900k direct and indirect workers, according to Tarek Habashy, undersecretary of the Federation of Egyptian Industries’ (FEI) furniture manufacturing division and SAI Solutions Chairman. The number of registered workers in the furniture sector increased 13.5% y-o-y in 2022 to reach 69k workers, according to the Industrial Development Authority’s (IDA) latest data in the Global and Local Furniture Manufacturing report. The vast majority of the industry continues to operate in the informal economy, with only 20% registered and operating in the formal economy, according to sources who spoke to us.

Furniture contributes a pretty penny to the national economy: For every EGP 1 that is spent on the furniture manufacturing industry, EGP 0.50 is added to the Egyptian economy, compared to EGP 0.30 on average from the entire industrial sector in Egypt, according to the FEI’s report. The wood and furniture industry contributes up to 2.2% of Egypt’s GDP, and with every EGP 1 mn invested in the furniture industry, 10 jobs are provided, compared to three job opportunities in other sectors.

Our exports at a glance: Egypt’s furniture exports fell 8% y-o-y during the first half of 2023 to record about USD 136 mn compared to USD 145 mn during the same period of 2022, Al Mal reports. Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iraq and the USA accounted for the majority of exports.

Challenges en masse: Industry stakeholders are grappling with numerous challenges to keep their businesses and the overall sector afloat. Furniture manufacturers, akin to other industries, are struggling to secure FX, which in turn leads to shortages in materials, Egypt Forming Vice President and member of the EFEC’s BoD Islam Khalil told Enterprise. “We import 100% of our production materials; however, the industry achieves substantial added value from designs, labor force and high-quality final products,” he added.

Low or high: The double bind of pricing: Pricing furniture products has become challenging due to fluctuating raw material prices, particularly for products marketed to businesses and hotels. These price differences place an additional burden on manufacturers, leading to manufacturers incurring losses or setting uncompetitive pricing, Khalil and Habashy concurred.

Sector-specific problems require tailored solutions: Furniture manufacturers are facing challenges distinct to the sector, and the government is falling behind in providing them with adequate support — so far, only a proposal for establishing another furniture city has been developed, according to sources who asked to remain unnamed. However, there are no mechanisms put forward to prop up the sector.

Damietta Furniture City, one step forward, two steps backward: Initiatives start with promising beginnings; however, implementation always falls flat, one sector source told us.

For example, the Damietta Furniture City, which would have been the first industrial zone in the MENA region specializing in wood and furniture manufacturing, failed due to slow implementation, which resulted in problems for manufacturers who had booked workshops. Despite the government pouring investments amounting to EGP 3.6 bn to build the Damietta Furniture City, only 440 workshops were sold.

Incentives: the best way to nail the hammer on the head: To develop the sector, what is needed are incentive packages that address providing raw materials and financial support, as well as boosting exports, Khalil said. Additionally, they should also include incentives for the participation of industry players in international exhibitions. Given that the wood and furniture sector is an old industry that comprises small and middle-sized businesses in need of support geared towards meeting the respective financial needs of each workshop and factory.

How to cushion the blow? To push the industry forward, small-sized factories and workshops are in need of sector-oriented funding programs that help them acquire state-of-the-art production tech and grow their businesses, according to our sources. Tax exemptions are also another proposal to encourage informal players to go legit. As the majority of small businesses operating within the informal economy, they fail to participate in expos and the development of the sector. Consequently, these businesses, which make up 80% of the industry, fail to contribute to the sector’s growth.

Funding int’l expo participation could be one of the answers: With the majority of Egyptian industry players unable to participate in international furniture exhibitions, other exporting countries are competing in the global market with low costs. European manufacturers, for example, are able to compete with a significant price difference from ours on the back of industrializing the furniture manufacturing sector and automating their factories, the sources said.

Egyptian manufacturers still stand a chance of exporting high-quality handcrafted furniture distinctive to Egyptian furniture cities and factories. However, finding an export market for such products calls for the government to support and promote factories’ participation in international exhibitions like it did in the past, Khalil said. There are opportunities for exporting Egyptian wood and wooden products, particularly in Africa, considering the incentives currently in place to bolster shipping products to the continent, he added. Such incentives include the African Continental Freetrade Agreement (AfCFTA), which would introduce customs breaks between African countries with an eye towards boosting intra-African trade.

Incentives should take center stage to improve the sector’s competitiveness: Providing private stakeholders with industrial land through usufruct frameworks could boost the wood and furniture industries, Habashy told us. Allocating plots of land to wood and furniture manufacturers is becoming a requisite for expanding the sector in the wake of soaring land prices, he added. In tandem with implementing mechanisms for providing manufacturers with raw materials, introducing wood alternatives could help drive the industry forward.

Bringing unorthodox solutions to the table: Supporting factories that manufacture wood boards from recycled materials such as sorghum stalks and rice straws could be one of the ways to help ensure the availability of materials, according to Habashy. Moreover, upscaling sourcing materials and wood products locally through expanding tree planting using treated wastewater for irrigation would help achieve local wood demands, proposes Osama Zaitoun, managing director of Egypt-Kuwait Holdings-affiliated Nile Wood Company. This would help reduce manufacturers’ reliance on raw material exports.

An unlikely upside to the FX crunch: Recent decisions exempted importers and manufacturers from land fees for three months in addition to facilitating securing letters of credit (L/Cs) from banks to help them import raw materials in exchange for depositing FX, regardless of the source of the hard currency. Following their implementation, these decisions should help provide manufacturers and importers with materials in the local market and revive the industry, according to Khalil. The Central Bank of Egypt’s (CBE) decision to accept FX deposits will streamline the arrival of shipments of wood, aluminum and other materials, spurring the sector’s growth rates over the next two months, he added.

More can be done to boost the industry: With fierce competition, such as China-made products costing less than half of the Egyptian product. As a result, accelerating the government’s measures and reforms regarding the soaring costs, which have impeded the industry’s ability to compete on the global market, is becoming a pressing need. That, together with integrating the factories and workshops within the informal economy, will strengthen the sector, maintain skilled labor and help expand them into registered factories without hindering their growth with tax burdens, according to Zaitoun.


Your top industrial development stories for the week:

  • Transport contracts signed at TransMEA: The state-run National Authority For Tunnels (NAT) signed a heap of contracts, framework agreements, and MoUs with Chinese, European, and local companies for Egypt’s light-rail transit project, Metro Line 4 and local manufacturing during the TransMEA 2023 industry event in Cairo.
  • Elsewedy, Ezz El Arab localizing our automotive industry: An Elsewedy Capital and Ezz El Arab joint venture, Ezz Elsewedy Automotive Factories (ESAF), will receive more than USD 15 mn of investment and aims to assemble 50k Proton-branded petrol cars and EVs annually in the “coming years.”
  • Gas returns for fertilizer companies: The government has reportedly increased gas supplies earmarked for fertilizer companies, reversing a 30% supply cut triggered by a sharp downturn in imports of natural gas from Israel.
  • Italy’s Cofra wants to set up shop in Egypt: Italian personal protective equipment manufacturer Cofra is looking to establish an EUR 10 mn 50k sqm factory in Egypt.

NOVEMBER

26 October-18 November: Forever Is Now Exhibition, Pyramids of Giza.

6-18 November (Monday- Saturday): The Ibero-American Film Week, Zawya cinema, Downtown.

13 November (Monday): Taste of Books seminar, Institut français d'Egypte, Mounira.

14-15 November (Tuesday-Wednesday): Destination Africa Expo at Royal Maxim Palace Kempinski.

15-24 November (Wednesday-Friday): Cairo International Film Festival (CIFF).

16 November (Thursday): ELFIT Sports and Fitness Games at New Capital Sports City.

23 November (Thursday): Saad ElOud Concert at Arkan Plaza.

25 November (Saturday): Masr El Gedida Carnival at Maryland.

26 November (Sunday): Souad Massi concert at Tap East.

DECEMBER

1 December (Friday): Cairo Fun Festival by Bike Zone Egypt in Heliopolis.

1 December (Friday): The Christmas Charity Bazaar, All Saints’ Cathedral, Zamalek.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2023: The inauguration of the Grand Egyptian Museum.

Q1 2024: Opening of the newly developed Pyramids Plateau in Giza.

2024

JANUARY

7 January (Sunday): Coptic Christmas.

25 January (Thursday): Revolution Day.

APRIL

9 April (Tuesday): Eid El Fitr (TBC).

25 April (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Sinai Liberation Day (TBC).

MAY

1 May (Wednesday): National holiday in observance of Labor Day (TBC).

5 May (Sunday): Coptic Easter.

6 May (Monday): Sham El Nessim (TBC).

JUNE

15-19 June (Saturday-Wednesday): Eid El Adha (TBC).

30 June (Sunday): June 30 Revolution Day (TBC).

JULY

7 July (Sunday): National holiday in observance of Islamic New Year (TBC).

23 July (Tuesday): Revolution Day (TBC).

SEPTEMBER

15 September (Sunday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

OCTOBER

6 October (Sunday): Armed Forces Day.

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