Good afternoon, friends. After a pretty dramatic few days on Wall Street and on trading floors across the world, nerves are still running high but some cautious optimism seems to be building. As we enter the second half of the week, we hope that all of you out there have had a much calmer start to the week that the world’s financial markets have had.
THE BIG STORY TODAY
In a pretty slow day for local business news, the long-awaited Sidpec-Ethydco share swap merger is catching our attention once again: The long-planned share swap merger between state-owned companies Egyptian Ethylene and Derivatives Company (Ethydco) and Sidi Kerir Petrochemicals (Sidpec) is reportedly going back to the financial revaluation step, before the government progress the merger, Al Mal reports, citing sources it says are close to the matter. The source told the news outlet that they will decide on a new share exchange rate after ten months and that the plan to offer a stake in the merged Sidpec-Ethydco on the EGX will be studied following the merger.
It’s been a big week for Sidpec and Ethydco: We found out earlier this week that the two industrial giants will be on the receiving end of a USD 40 mn pipeline to transport imported liquified ethane gas from Alexandria's Dekheila Port. The planned project is part of a newly launched USD 660 mn JV between several state-owned entities and Gama Construction to establish the Alexandria for Supply Chain Company.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD
Japan’s Nikkei index is the comeback kid: There was relief on the trading floor of the Tokyo Stock Exchange today, with the country’s tech-heavy Nikkei index rising 10.2% by close today, after having fallen 12.4% the day before. European stocks were not so lucky, with early gains erased by mid-morning, while US futures showed signs of a modest recovery ahead of the opening bell.
What’s driving Japan’s bounceback? This reversal of fortunes suggests that Monday’s selloff was an overwrought response to fears of US recession amid the ongoing unwinding of the JPY carry trade, in which traders borrow in JPY in order to finance purchases of riskier, lower-yield assets. This most recent unwinding was set into motion in mid-July, after the Bank of Japan signaled that it would be raising its key rate to 0.25% after decades of ultra-loose monetary policy. The subsequent appreciation of the JPY — which only intensified after the BoJ raised rates on 31 July — sent traders scrambling to cut their losses in the carry trade and liquidate positions in the stocks of Japan’s large exporters, whose earnings were being erased by the yen’s rise. As lower-than-expected US jobs numbers set off recession alarm bells, these ongoing liquidations intensified, leading to the Nikkei’s worst one-day drop since 1987’s Black Monday crash.
Happily, it seems like it was all a bit of an overreaction: "Fundamentally, nothing significant has changed for the Japanese economy,” Ray Sharma-Ong, head of multi-asset investment solutions for Southeast Asia at Abrdn, tells the Financial Times. “It is the unwinding of the carry trade driving a lot of the momentum sells," he adds. Others, like head of European equities at Barclays Emmanuel Cau, agree, with Cau telling the salmon-colored paper, “I wouldn’t extrapolate from this stress. I think it’s looking overdone and hopefully largely behind us.”
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** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:
- We’re feeling the global market meltdown at home: Between the EGP hitting an almost six-month low and the EGX falling, Egypt was not spared from the global equity sell-off.
- Health check on our non-oil private sector: Non-oil private sector activity was at its second highest level since August 2021, despite dipping in July.
- A new social support package in the works: The Madbouly government is gearing up to announce a new package of social protection measures in September, with plans to implement it starting October.
☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- Mercury is peaking at a high 38°C before simmering to a moderate low of 26°C by nightfall, according to our favorite app. Sahel and Alexandria are seeing cooler weather, with a high of 33-34°C and a low of 24-25°C.






