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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

Egypt issues USD 2 bn in long-term bonds on LSE

Hello all you wonderful people, and welcome to Tuesday. Today our issue is chock full of new investments, AI market updates, and all the recs you never knew you needed.

THE BIG STORY TODAY

#1- Egypt has officially returned to international debt markets with its first USD bond issuance in nearly two years, issuing USD 2 bn in 5- and 8-year bonds, according to a disclosure by JPMorgan Securities to the London Stock Exchange. The bonds carry an initial yield of 9.75-10%, with the yield expected to drop 1-2 percentage points below the indicative range at trading, a senior Finance Ministry official told EnterpriseAM.

The bonds will trade with a price stabilization period beginning today and running through 28 February, with an additional 5% worth of bonds on the table to be allocated if desired.


#2- AOI has another solar panel factory up its sleeve: Arab Organization for Industrialization (AOI) is reportedly looking to set up another solar panel manufacturing facility — a USD 100 mn factory in partnership with Omani investors, Al Mal reports, citing unnamed government sources.

What we know: The factory will have a production capacity of 300 MW, most of which will go to Gulf markets with a smaller percentage feeding the local market, according to the sources.

Remember: AOI inked an agreement with Sweden's Sunshine Pro lastmonth to build a joint solar panel manufacturing project with investments of USD 200-300 mn. The project will have a production capacity of 1 GW of panels, all of which will be exported to European markets. The facility will kick off operations in July.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD

As markets continue to grapple with Chinese AI upstart DeepSeek’s proverbial flippingof the AI table following the reveal of its low-investment ticket, high-quality model (more on that in today’s Commute), much of the international news remains focused on US president Donald Trump’s barnstorming entrée into office.

The White House has directed the US’ Office of Management and Budget (OMB) to pause federal financial assistance programs — with the exception of Social Security, Medicare, and vaguely defined “assistance for individuals” — cutting off bn’s of USD worth of funding for nonprofits, public education, and healthcare. It was not immediately clear which programs would be impacted by the law, with acting OMB director Matthew Vaeth framing the decision in a memo as part of an effort to eliminate “the use of federal resources to advance Marxist equity, transgenderism and Green New Deal social engineering policies.” (NYT | Reuters)

Meanwhile, newly confirmed US treasury secretary and bn’aire hedge fund manager Scott Bessent has proposed an initial 2.5% tariff on imports that would rise monthly to combat unfair trade practices, though Trump has signaled he wants steeper, more immediate tariffs put in place to “bring production back.” (Reuters | Financial Times)

** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:

  • Bonyan will be making its EGX debut “by late February or, at the latest, April,” CEO Tarek Abdel Rahman said at a press conference yesterday attended by EnterpriseAM. The announcement closely follows the Compass subsidiary and real estate investment firm receiving preliminary approval for a temporary listing last week in preparation for its upcoming IPO.
  • Fitch Solutions’ research unit BMI sees Egypt’s real household spending growing by 3.1% y-o-y in 2025 to EGP 2.1 tn, a slowdown from the 7.5% recorded for 2024.
  • Nile Fund draws closer to listing: Nile Industrial Direct Investment Fund is set tosubmit its prospectus to the Financial Regulatory Authority early next month to list on the EGX.

☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- The capital will maintain its morning chill tomorrow, with the mercury set for a high of 21°C and expected to dip to a chillier 11°C at night, according to our favorite weather app.

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FOR YOUR COMMUTE

Is the AI bubble about to burst?

The AI field is going through a major shift — the industry that inflated valuations and sparked heavy investment is starting to burst, writes Axios. Silicon Valley giants and venture capitalists invested bns into the technology, expecting huge returns in time — but emerging AI offerings are revealing that the industry’s rapid growth is not only unsustainable, but miscalculated.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to external sources.)

The cracks are beginning to show: The AI boom was fueled by the promise of groundbreaking tech, and has pushed companies like OpenAI and Anthropic to extremely high valuations. These companies, with huge funding, are expected to bring new advancements, but as the market matures, the gap between AI’s inflated market value and actual returns is becoming clear. At the same time, more efficient and cost-effective models like DeepSeek are emerging, showing that the huge costs of AI development — OpenAI burned through USD 8.5 bn developing ChatGPT last year — might no longer be justified.

…and the AI stocks are wobbling: Since DeepSeek’s launch, USD 1 tn has been wiped off of US stocks. Nvidia’s stock plummeted over 15% in a day, dragging the Nasdaq Composite down 3% as investors questioned the sustainability of AI’s soaring valuations. The high-priced revenue streams of major AI companies are being brought into question as a result, raising concerns for VCs about the long-term stability of their investments.

We saw it coming, but not like this. Just last week, Forbes published an article prophesizing the bursting of the AI bubble in 2025. Of course, they didn’t mention a Chinese company pulling the switch on Silicon Valley — instead, they cited paltry returns possibly spooking investors or increasing AI regulations limiting innovation. But the overall tone was bullish, hoping that the burst bubble would bring about balance in the industry, “safely getting the best out of AI without overselling its promise.”

DeepSeek proved that AI stocks were overvalued. So why were investors happy to turn a blind eye? Markets Insider writes: “Valuation metrics like that have been easy to accept while the market’s biggest stocks faced little outside competition and could woo investors with promises of the transformative power of new technology.”

For venture capitalists, this shift is a turning point. Experts expect a forceful reckoning from investors now that hyperscalers like OpenAI, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta have been exposed. We’re not so sure. In any case, investors will now need to rethink their strategies as the market stabilizes, shifting their focus from high risk, high reward bets to sustainable, scalable models that create long-term value. As the market corrects, those who come out on top will likely be those who focus on innovation that doesn't rely on huge funding, but instead on smart, efficient growth.

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ON THE TUBE TONIGHT

Diving into the world of Disney

Disney’s imprint on US culture. How Disney Built America is an ambitious series that showcases the iconic entertainment conglomerate’s vision, achievements, and influence, making the case for Disney’s centrality to US culture today. Viewers are introduced to founder Walt Disney and the challenges he faced to build the entertainment empire we all know today, for better or for worse.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to external sources.)

The interviews are a strong point. Along with archival footage and some reenactments, viewers hear from historians, academics, and even podcast hosts, who offer insight into film history and some of the tricks behind Disney’s biggest successes.

The main claim is that America wouldn’t be what it is without Walt Disney. Our take? It's a bit of a reach. The innovations Disney made were indeed groundbreaking, but the show’s emphasis on the fundamental role that the company played in shaping US culture feels like a stretch — especially considering that it overlooked some negative aspects including property protection cases.

The series’ leading men weren’t as inspiring as we’d expected. Walt Disney (Jason Gaignard) is somewhat stiff and lacks the charisma that you’d expect from someone who built such a massive business empire. Roy Disney (Derek Kealy) was portrayed as a pessimist, which doesn’t do justice to the role he played in Disney’s success. Also, critics argued that some of the guest commentators being content creators or podcasters did not qualify them to add their input on the matter.

The work might be a bit biased. The series is a testament to Walt Disney’s accomplishments, but it is worth noting that the History Channel — the producer of the series — is a subsidiary of A&E Networks, a company that is 50% owned by Disney.

WHERE TO WATCH- You can watch the series on OSN+ or catch the trailer on YouTube (runtime: 0:43).

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Sports

Warm up with Egyptian Premier League matches

The calm on the football pitches continues ahead of the Champions League frenzy tomorrow.

Here are the matches we’re following today as the round 10 of the Egyptian Premier League concludes:

  • National Bank vs. Petrojet (4pm)
  • Smouha vs. ZED (7pm)
Tags:

This publication is proudly sponsored by

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OUT AND ABOUT

Old is gold

MARK YOUR CALENDAR-

? Time to shop vintage. Head to Cairo Vintage Souq and pick up some clothes, accessories, or home decor antiques. The bazaar will take place on Saturday, 8 February at Al Zohriya Garden in Zamalek.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to external sources.)

HAPPENING THIS WEEK-

The story behind the music. Egyptian singer and composer Dina El Wedidi will be showcasing the story behind some of her signature songs and walking the audience through her journey on Wednesday, 29 January at the Boom Room in Open Air Mall, Madinaty. The event will take place at 8pm, and tickets are available on Ticketsmarche.

160 of Egypt’s most celebrated and promising artists. The 10th Edition of Cairo Art Fair is now open at TAM Gallery in Abu Rawwash and will continue running till Friday, 31 January.

It’s time for the country’s largest book fair. The Cairo International Book Fair is back for its 56th edition till Wednesday, 5 February. The event will take place at the Egypt International Exhibition and Convention Center in New Cairo, and will host guests of honor that include the Sultanate of Oman, scientists and artist Ahmed Mostageer, and author Fatma Elmadoul.

The ultimate gaming event in Egypt is here. Gamergy Egypt will feature live competitions, immersive experiences, and activities to bring together gaming fans of all ages. The festival will take place from Thursday, 30 January to Saturday, 1 February at Al Burouj Cultural Hub. Earlybird tickets are now available on their website.

Catch Saleh El Nawawy’s comedic debut: The Dubai-based filmmaker and comedian will be performing live at Theatro Arkan on Saturday, 1 February. Tickets are on Ticketsmarche.

Catch the grand finale of the Double Dribble Basketball League at Heliopolis Sporting Club Shorouk on Saturday, 1 February. The event will start at 4pm and will run until 8pm, featuring matches between New Giza and Maadi Retro, along with the third place match between Negm El Geil and Underdogs. If that’s not enough, there's also going to be an exclusive performance from Egyptian rapper Moscow.

HAPPENING LATER-

This one is for the sports fans. The Football Access Summit will feature talks, panels, and presentations from sports industry leaders — giving the fans insider access. The summit will take place on Friday-Saturday 7 and 8 February at ZED Park. Tickets are available on Ticketsmarche.

A Valentine's Day that hits all the high notes: Soprano Amira Selim will host a special Valentine's Day concert, performing a selection of classic romantic songs in French, English, Italian, and Egyptian Arabic, accompanied by pianist Pascal Rozier. The concert begins at 8pm on Thursday, 13 February at the Cairo Opera House in Zamalek. Get your tickets from Tazkarti.

Cairo Runners is once again hosting its iconic annual marathon, this time on the day of love. On Friday, 14 February, pick between a 21km, 10km, or 5km race, or even a short family run. Register your interest on Cairo Runners.

Cairokee x New Capital: Cairokee will perform in El Nahr El Akhdar Park in the New Administrative Capital at 8pm on Friday, 21 February. Tickets are available on Ticketsmarche.

A night of iconic, timeless music. Listen to the nostalgic music of Umm Kulthoum 50 years later at this tribute concert. The event will take place on Sunday, 23 February at The Grand Egyptian Museum. Tickets are available on TicketsMarche.

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Under the Lamplight

A 75-year history of Egyptian-Iranian drama

? Recently published at the Cairo International Book Fair by Jusoor Publishing, Dr. Mohamed Mohsen Abo El-Nour’s Al Ittihadiya and El Pasteur examines the complex relationship between Cairo and Tehran from Egypt’s 1952 revolution to the present day. Abo El-Nour chronicles the dramatic shifts between the two nations, from their confrontations during Nasser’s presidency to their recent warming of relations under President Abdel Fattah El Sisi, including the turbulent periods of Sadat, Khomeini, and Mubarak’s leadership.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to external sources.)

The book’s publication coincides with the significant rapprochement in Egypt-Iran relations, especially with former Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry’s visit to Tehran last year — the first by an Egyptian foreign minister since 1979 — to attend the mourning ceremonies for late Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi. The two capitals have been in ongoing talks about normalizing relations and reopening embassies, with a notable milestone being Iranian President Masoud Bezeshkian’s attendance at the D-8 Summit in Cairo last December.

The book is divided into two main parts. The first part covers Egypt-Iran relations from the 1952 revolution through the Cold War and Sadat’s presidency, as well as Iran’s shifting stance from the 1967 Arab-Israeli War to the 1973 October War, along with the significant economic, cultural, and social developments between 1970 and 1980.

The second part examines the dramatic shifts after the 1979 Islamic Revolution — from Egypt hosting the deposed Shah through Khomeini’s diplomatic break, Sadat’s assassination, the frozen relations under Mubarak, the the January 2011 and June 2013 revolutions, and finally, the current warming of ties under Sisi’s leadership. The author highlights how both countries now find common ground on various issues, particularly regarding Syria’s territorial integrity and regional crises.

Drawing on his extensive expertise in Iranian affairs, Abo El-Nour offers both detailed historical documentation and insightful analysis of these bilateral relations. His keen interest in behind-the-scenes politics allows him to unravel the complex decision-making process in both Cairo’s Ittihadiya Palace and Tehran’s Pasteur Palace, revealing the true motivations behind public positions and leadership decisions.

WHERE TO FIND IT- The book is available at the Jusoor Publishing House booth at the Cairo International Book Fair, Hall 1, Book C17.

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GO WITH THE FLOW

What the markets are doing on 28 January 2025

The EGX30 fell 0.3% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 3.7 bn (2.9% below the 90-day average). Egyptian investors were the sole net sellers. The index is down 0.3% YTD.

In the green: AMOC (+3.4%), Heliopolis Housing (+2.6%) and Orascom Construction (+1.1%).

In the red: Elsewedy Electric (-3.0%), TMG Holding (-1.8%) and Juhayna (-1.1%).


JANUARY

8 January-1 February (Wednesday-Saturday): Aywa Aywa La2 La2 at Rawabet Art Space.

8 January-1 February (Wednesday-Saturday): Sohba Semsemia at Rawabet Art Space.

23 January - 5 February (Thursday-Wednesday): Cairo International Book Fair at the Egypt IECC in New Cairo.

29 January (Wednesday): Storyteller Series Vol.1: Dina El Wedidi at Boom Room.

29-31 January (Wednesday-Friday): Fire of Anatolia at Cairo Opera House.

7 December-31 January (Saturday-Friday): Cairo Art Fair at TAM Gallery.

30 January-1 February (Thursday-Saturday): Gamergy Egyptat Al Burouj Cultural Hub.

31 January (Friday): Adventure Zipline & High Ropes - Launching Event at Adrenalin Park.

FEBRUARY

1 February (Saturday): Saleh El Nawawy’s debut at Theatro Arkan.

1 February (Saturday): Barre With Salma at Sukun Studios 6th of October.

2-5 February (Sunday-Wednesday): SYNC Public Speaking workshop at O West.

7 February (Friday): DHB at Giza Pyramids

7-8 February (Friday-Saturday): The Art of Public Speaking Workshop at AUC Tahrir.

7-8 February (Friday-Saturday): Football Access Summit at Zed Park.

8 February (Saturday): Cairo Vintage Souq at Al Zohriya Garden.

8-11 February (Saturday-Tuesday): 6th edition of Art Cairo at the Grand Egyptian Museum.

14 February (Friday): Heliopolis Marathon with Cairo Runners.

14 February (Friday): Medhat Saleh Hob x Hob concert at Theatro Arkan.

21 February (Friday): E7kky Festival.

21 February (Friday): Egycon 12 at Family Park, New Cairo.

23 February (Sunday): Umm Kulthoum Tribute Concert at The Grand Egyptian Museum.

23-25 February (Sunday-Tuesday): Sports Expo 2025 at Egypt International Exhibition Center.

APRIL

1 April (Tuesday): Annual Flower Exhibition at the Agricultural Museum.

OCTOBER

16-24 October (Thursday-Friday): Gouna Film Festival.

30 October - 22 November (Thursday-Saturday): Forever is Now at the Great Pyramids of Giza.

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