Good morning, wonderful people and welcome back from the extended weekend. We’re kicking off the week with a packed issue, leading with the massive EUR 1.5 bn tranche from the European Union heading our way this month.
Also from the EU, the European Investment Bank is evaluating financial backing for Alcazar’s Ras Ghareb and Scatec’s Dandara renewable energy projects. Also, France’s Alstom is leading a consortium that inked a EUR 690 mn package to build and upgrade two of our strategic rail corridors: 6th of October–Alexandria and the Belbes–10th of Ramadan corridors.
MEANWHILE- The Oil Ministry is targeting a USD 1 bn-plus exploration push this year, eyeing 14 new Mediterranean wells to help reverse the domestic production slump.
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Transport Ministry won’t sell its ALCN stake
The Transport Ministry confirmed it has “no intention” to offload stakes held by its affiliates in Alexandria Container and Cargo Handling (ALCN), according to a statement. The decision comes after AD ports — owned by Abu Dhabi wealth fund ADQ — attempted to take control of the EGX-listed port operator through a mandatory tender offer of up to 90% of the company last week.
We called it: A senior government official told EnterpriseAM exclusively last week that the Transport Ministry was set to reject AD Ports’ MTO, despite the sweetened deal. The Emirati port operator, bidding through subsidiary Black Caspian Logistics, offered EGP 27.47 per share, up 19.5% from an initial EGP 22.99 per share offer submitted in December.
REMEMBER- AD Ports Group secured a stake in ALCN in November when it acquired the PIF-owned Saudi Egyptian Investment Company’s 19.3% stake. This gave ADQ a combined 51.33% majority stake in ALCN, following its acquisition of a 32% indirect ownership through Alpha Oryx in 2022. The government still controls a combined 42.9% blocking stake via the Holding Company for Maritime and Land Transport and the Alexandria Port Authority, while the rest of the shares are freefloating.
A role for Egypt in IMEC?
Egypt’s energy infrastructure may find itself at the center of Washington’s plans for the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC). A bipartisan bill (pdf) approved by the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee last week identified the planned Greece-Egypt electricity interconnection (Gregy) and Egypt’s LNG facilities as key links connecting India, the Gulf, and Europe.
What’s in the bill: The Eastern Mediterranean Gateway Act casts Egypt, Greece, Cyprus, and Israel as a strategic gateway within IMEC and identifies projects — including Gregy and regional LNG terminals — as infrastructure that could underpin the corridor. The proposed bill frames IMEC as a strategic alternative to Chinese-backed infrastructure initiatives and seeks to institutionalize US support for greater connectivity across the region.
Why it matters: The bill raises the strategic profile of Gregy and Egypt’s LNG infrastructure by positioning them within Washington’s vision for IMEC — offering political backing, but not funding. It still requires approval from the full Senate and House before becoming law.
A full-cream ticker
EGX-listed Arabian Food Industries (Domty) expects its new spin-off dairy unit, Dairy Products Euro Arabian for Food Industries, to list on the EGX in July, the Arabic press reports, citing CEO Mohamed El Damaty. The company had originally targeted a 1Q 2026 listing.
Domty’s board approved a split in October 2025, with shareholders signing off in December. The restructuring leaves the new dairy unit with an issued and paid-up capital of EGP 438 mn, while the legacy Domty parent retains EGP 113 mn to focus exclusively on bakeries. No new shares are being sold, with existing shareholders retaining identical ownership ratios and share counts in both entities — making the spun-off unit more of a sister company to Domty rather than a subsidiary.
IN CONTEXT- Domty is targeting USD 30 mn in export revenue this year, a 36% jump from USD 22 mn in 2025 — and 1H 2026 is already up 20% to USD 13 mn. El Damaty dismissed concerns that regional tensions would impact operations, noting the company is still eyeing a manufacturing facility in Saudi Arabia to anchor its GCC and African expansion. This comes as Danish dairy giant Arla Foods’ EGP 8.9 bn mandatory tender offer for Domty remains on ice, having been paused in April due to the complexities of conducting due diligence during the bakery unit spin-off.
State Ownership Policy 2.0
The government has finalized the second iteration (pdf) of its State Ownership Policy (SOP), updating the 2022 framework by scrapping rigid sector-level exit quotas in favor of a pragmatic, company-by-company portfolio approach. While the overarching policy is now public, Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly confirmed that the crucial missing piece — a detailed executive program dictating the actual mechanics of these exits — will be finalized before 30 September, according to the State Information Service. The first SOP has generated USD 5.9 bn in direct proceeds across 19 transactions.
The document groups divestment targets into three tiers — airports, banks, telecoms, and tourism as urgent priorities; fertilizers, petrochemicals, sugar, energy, transport and distribution, and real estate in the medium term; and mining, cement, pharma, and transport over the longer term. State ownership will become “selective,” limited to cases with sovereign, strategic, or social justification, with the Sovereign Fund of Egypt taking on a more central role in managing eligible assets.
EGP WATCH
Newly tapped Trump appointee Kevin Warsh held interest rates steady at his first Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday — the same day the USD slipped below the EGP 50 mark for the first time since March. However, Warsh also delivered a hawkish pivot that could reverse the EGP’s gains today or tomorrow.
The breakdown: While the Fed kept the benchmark rate steady at 3.50% to 3.75%, the updated “dot plot” revealed a sharp U-turn. In contrast to the previous dot plot, which leaned toward cuts or extended holds, the new version has nine out of 19 policymakers forecasting at least one rate hike this year instead of a cut, according to the Federal Reserve’s press conference transcript (pdf).
Why this threatens the EGP: The EGP’s rally was fueled by hot money chasing yields, not structural economic shifts. A government source previously told us the appreciation was driven primarily by exceptionally strong secondary market inflows, with foreign portfolio investments rising by USD 1.1 bn, before easing the next day as investors locked in gains. Washington’s “higher for longer” stance is already triggering a global capital restructuring. If the US locks in higher interest rates, it threatens to drain the hot money that drove the EGP’s rally right back out of emerging markets and back into safer US assets.
Warsh is also getting rid of "forward guidance” — the central banking equivalent of a turn signal, which broadcasts future interest rate moves so global markets can price them in without panicking. Without this safety net, a single hot US economic indicator could trigger an abrupt repricing of rate expectations — prompting hot money to preemptively flee vulnerable markets like ours before the Fed has even met.
Don’t overread daily moves: “In a flexible exchange-rate regime, it is perfectly normal for the currency to move according to supply and demand. Movements of 4-5% are not unusual under current conditions,” veteran banker and former Banque Misr deputy chairperson Sahar El-Damaty tells EnterpriseAM. She notes that markets are still sensitive to short-term FX fluctuations as the current geopolitical backdrop remains too volatile to call a lasting trend in either direction.
Happening today
Single-stock futures on the shares of Commercial International Bank (CIB) and Talaat Mostafa Group (TMG) will start trading on the EGX in a few hours. Contracts on two of the bourse’s most liquid names will come in three- and six-month maturities, with a standard size of 100 shares.
REFRESHER- The rollout follows a lukewarm reception for EGX30 index futures, the exchange’s first-ever derivatives product. Stock futures were originally scheduled to hit the market last Thursday, but the launch was pushed back in observance of the Islamic New Year.
This new product may have an easier time finding an audience. “When you place a derivative contract on stocks that people already like and see value in, it supports the chances of success,” Hany Genena, head of research at Al Ahly Pharos, previously told EnterpriseAM, adding that local investors have long shown a preference for individual stocks over index exposure.
PSA-
WEATHER- It’s another sunny day in Cairo, with a high of 33°C and a low of 22°C, according to our favorite weather app.
It’s not as hot in Alexandria, which is looking at a high of 29°C and a low of 22°C.
The big story abroad
US-Iran talks for a permanent ceasefire are set to kick off in Switzerland today, with high-level officials from Pakistan also attending. Washington and Tehran are set to negotiate a nuclear agreement — including the Islamic Republic’s stock of enriched material — alongside a permanent resolution to their nearly four-month conflict.
Talks are kicking off after Iran said it shut the Strait of Hormuz, citing what it called Israeli “crimes” in Lebanon and Washington’s violation of commitments to establish a truce. Tel Aviv’s strikes in Lebanon killed at least 20 yesterday. This came hours after a day of busy transit through the waterway — the US Central Command said that 55 merchant ships moved vital cargo and over 17 mn barrels of oil through Hormuz yesterday and that US forces remain committed to keeping the shipping lane open. The strait had officially opened on Thursday, hours after the US and Iranian presidents digitally signed a 14-point MoU to end the war.
Is Starmer stepping down? UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer could resign as soon as tomorrow amid a recent and drastic loss of popular support, a government source tells The Telegraph. Pressure has mounted especially after Starmer’s chief rival from his own party, Andy Burnham, secured a parliamentary seat that clears his path to launch a formal leadership challenge.
Is the world turning against AI players? The Wall Street Journal is out with a piece on the far-from-rosy outlook of the US’ highly anticipated IPO lineup of its major AI players. It seems that although investors are eager to throw money at AI, the political and societal backlash is moving fast enough to potentially derail these massive public market debuts.




