Good morning, friends, and happy Thursday. Our big story today covers how the government is finally opening the door for the business community to build and manage both national water infrastructure and low-income social housing. The hope: That private-sector know-how will translate into faster builds and better service and maintenance throughout the lifetime of an asset. We’ve long held that government’s natural role is as a regulator, not an operator — here’s hoping this is a strong step in that direction.
We are also tracking good news on the trade front, as Egyptian exporters gain zero-tariff access to China starting tomorrow, ostensibly leveling the playing field for local goods in the world’s second-most populous nation. The questions, of course, are legion: Do we know how to export there? Do Egyptian businesses know how to map and penetrate a new market? And, of course, what about non-tariff barriers? We think the corridor between China and MENA+ is fascinating, and we’ll be keeping a close eye here as Chinese manufacturing investment continues to tumble into Egypt.
Over in capital markets, Egypt’s first SPAC is making a play in the retail savings market, with CPME seeking to acquire a controlling stake in precious metals investment firm Evolve Holding.
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Sunday home office extended
Work-from home Sundays are here to stay for another month. The cabinet has extended the mandatory work-from-home policy for public and private-sector employees to the end of May, according to a statement.
REMEMBER- We suspected WFH would be the government’s preferred tool for long-term energy rationing. Earlier this week, the cabinet scrapped the 11pm commercial curfew to support retailers, but chose to keep the Sunday WFH mandate to maintain downward pressure on electricity consumption.
Zero-tariff access to China begins tomorrow
Starting tomorrow, exporters in Egypt and 52 other African nations will get zero-tariff access to the world’s second most populous country, which Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Lin Jian told reporters will encourage China-Africa trade and investment cooperation.
China is already one of our largest trading partners. Chinese exports to Egypt hit nearly USD 17 bn in 2024, while Egyptian exports to China barely crossed the USD 1 bn mark. Now every African nation is getting the same treatment under this expanded program. Since late 2024, China has included any nation across the world classified by the UN as a least developed country under its zero-tariff regime, in addition to a set of extensive reciprocal trade agreements across Asia, Australasia, and Latin America that ensure zero-tariff access for most goods.
China’s keen to point out it’s taking a different approach “as protectionism and unilateralism are on the rise” — no brownie points for guessing which nation and bloc of nations Lin is referring to.
The new normal? It could be. While Egypt’s preferential tariff rate is set to run until April 2028, permanent agreements are expected to be negotiated over this period.
FinMin heading to debt markets again?
The Madbouly government will tap the world’s big three credit rating agencies for sovereign rating services and advisory on international issuances, the cabinet said, signing off on the Finance Ministry’s decision to contract with Moody’s and Fitch and extend an agreement with S&P Global.
But don’t these agencies already issue periodic credit ratings? Yes, but governments often seek specific ratings for some issuances as part of a strategy of giving investors a clearer idea of the risks associated with a specific transaction.
The subtext: The move suggests we’re going back to the international debt market — as you’d expect. The statement gave no details on size, timing, or instruments.
The background: Last we heard, the Finance Ministry had plans to issue between USD 2 bn and USD 2.5 bn in international bonds during 1H 2026, but the fallout from the war in the Gulf and its impact on markets have caused plans everywhere to change. As we noted yesterday, Egypt raised USD 1 bn in the past month by tapping existing USD-denominated bonds rather than pressing ahead with fresh issuances.
PSA
WEATHER- Drivers beware, highways will be foggy today. Otherwise, we’re in for another nice spring day in Cairo today, with a high of 29°C and a low of 17°C, according to our favorite weather app.
It’s several degrees cooler in Alexandria, with a high of 24°C and a low of 15°C.
And over the weekend, expect to see the mercury rise to 32°C in the capital and 28°C for our friends on the Mediterranean.
Riyadh to Mumbai. Abu Dhabi to Singapore. Dubai to London. Cairo to Shenzhen.
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The big story abroad
Jay Powell’s final Fed meeting as chair was an unremarkable one, with the US central bank holding rates in line with market expectations. A divided Federal Reserve kept the policy rate in the 3.50%-3.75% range — four policymakers voiced their dissent, a level of division unseen since 1992. The bank cited persisting inflation and rising energy prices for the move, pointing to a “high level of uncertainty” stemming from the US-Iran war.
Powell may be stepping down as chair, but he’s not leaving the Fed just yet. After his term as chair comes to an end on 15 May, he will “keep a low profile as a governor” for an indefinite period, preventing President Donald Trump from clinching a majority on the Fed’s Board of Governors. Powell has expressed concern for the institution’s independence and transparency as he came under attack from Trump in recent months.
Who’s next? Trump-nominated Kevin Warsh will likely take on the mantle of chair in time for the Fed’s meeting in mid-June.
Meanwhile, in the tech world: AI startup Anthropic is reportedly exploring a new funding round that would propel its valuation beyond the USD 900 bn mark. If successful, the move would push the company’s valuation past that of rival OpenAI.
ALSO- The AI spending boom is alive and well. Tech giants Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta poured around USD 130 bn into capital expenditures, with the lion’s share of that investment fueling data center infrastructure required to power AI.






