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TMG announces EGP 1.4 tn mixed-use city

1

WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TODAY

BdC IPO prospectus expected before June

Good morning, wonderful people. We hope the weekend treated you well. We’re going to take a moment to remember one of our heroes this morning before we get underway:

The world belongs to optimists. Forget about the fragile ceasefire in the Gulf, about the two Indian ships that took fire in Hormuz late yesterday, and about the conflicting statements coming out of both the Oval Office and Tehran. Forget about when we can all declare this “over” — just try this morning to be a little bit … optimistic.

Because the world belongs to optimists. To folks in their 50s who have the guts to bin their careers and start something new. To people who, in taking a chance, give untold numbers of other folks the opportunity to build better lives.

If you work in finance anywhere in emerging markets — hell, if you’re reading EnterpriseAM this morning — odds are good you owe a debt of gratitude to Mark Mobius, who died in Singapore late last week at age 89.

Mark was an optimist — the guy who “proved” emerging markets as a globally investable asset class. If you’re working today in EM as a founder, investor, IR professional, C-suite — hell, as a business journalist? Have a thought for Mark, who led a revolution in how capital allocators from Wall Street to The City and beyond look at emerging and frontier economies. When he joined Franklin Templeton’s emerging markets group back in the 1980s, it had about USD 100 mn in AUM. When he retired from the firm — but not from investing — in 2018, his fund was running more than USD 40 bn across 70 countries.

Curious, optimistic, indefatigable — it wasn’t so much that Mark set out to develop a boots on the ground, meet face-to-face with the folks running the businesses approach to EM investing, that approach was simply the embodiment of who he was.

That just wasn’t what was done back in the 1980s or even 1990s. Turning up in Cairo — or Dubai, Hanoi, or São Paulo — as a Wall Street fund manager was odd enough in that even a 1995 New York Times profile had to explain it to its readers. He didn’t set out to chase big names folks already knew, the reporter wrote: “Mr. Mobius focuses on the next tier of companies. After looking at various markets and studying stock valuations and trading patterns, he and his analysts meet with a prospective company’s management to talk about its prospects.”

Do you hate what you’re doing right now? Are just itching for a change? Think about Mark’s career trajectory: He didn’t back into fund management until he was in his 50s, having earlier made a living playing piano, teaching communications, hawking Snoopy-branded merch in Asia, and running his own financial research firm before eventually getting into brokerage.

Worried about aging? Mark retired from Templeton in 2018. From Mobius Capital Partners, the firm he set up after that, in 2023. And then promptly started another fund. While tromping the globe, staying active on X, and writing a Substack, of all bloody things.

Words to live by: “I get asked almost every single day what motivates me to keep working and stay active, and my answer is simple: Nothing is impossible if you stop putting limits on yourself,” he wrote on his 88th birthday, adding, “One must always take calculated risks in life, but let me say this: The world belongs to optimists.”

Read Mark’s obituary here on his website or in the Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, and New York Times.


Tap or click here to listen to the 10-minute version of this morning’s issue — Morning Drive is out Sunday-Thursday at 6:15am and is perfect to listen to if you’re in a rush, behind the wheel, or need something to listen to while you suit up for a day at the office.)

Happening today

AmCham Egypt is launching its annual Doorknock Mission to Washington,DC today and we’ll be there reporting daily. The mission gathers a 20-member delegation of senior business leaders to engage the US Administration, Congress, and international financial institutions. Amid global supply chain shifts and domestic economic reforms, key priorities include positioning the country as a hub for renewable energy, digital trade, and alternative manufacturing.

Look for our special coverage from Washington in EnterpriseAM issues this week.

Banque du Caire’s prospectus is weeks away

Banque du Caire should be on track to release its IPO prospectus before June, the head of cabinet’s State-Owned Enterprises Unit, Hashem El Sayed, tells EnterpriseAM.

We could see 30-40% stake in BdC up for grabs in what would be the most significant IPO Egypt has seen in years. We first broke the news back in December. The bank is led by Hussein Abaza, well-known to global investors from his time leading CIB, and taking it to market this year would be a clear signal to the IMF that the state is taking seriously demands that it step back from direct competition with the private sector.

We’re hoping officials will green-light the offering of as much as 49% of the bank — the biggest stake that can be offered under current regulations. Bankers found heavy appetite on a global road show to prospective cornerstone investors before the outbreak of the war in the Gulf.

The government is also looking to get the IPO of Misr Life on the road before the end of June, with investment banks managing the offering expected to be announced within the next couple of weeks, Investment Minister Mohamed Farid has said. It plans to follow BdC and Misr Life with as many as two additional stake sales in the second half of the year.

The wildcard: Investor appetite, which remains very much unproven amid all that’s been taking place in the Gulf.

El Sayed tells us that his unit is also working on temporary listings of up to 30 companies on the EGX before the end of June, including 20 state-owned firms and ten petroleum companies, as part of a first phase aimed at expanding the pool of assets available for future offerings and in a bid to improve governance. The list includes companies such as El Nasr Housing and Development, Sinai Manganese, and firms under the construction and tourism holding companies.

Restructuring assets ahead of potential sales is also a priority, he said, suggesting that Ghazl El Mahalla textiles giant could be split into two —one with upgraded factories that could be listed or sold to a strategic investor, and another to undergo longer term restructuring. As many as 40 companies are being prepared for a phased transfer to the Sovereign Fund of Egypt, El Sayed added.

REMEMBER- The government is now targeting around USD 4.5 bn in privatization proceeds over the next three years, we reported last week, stepping back from earlier ambitions to raise USD 6 bn in a single fiscal year in view of the war. The government’s focus has shifted toward bringing in private sector participation rather than maximizing receipts, as global uncertainties and regional tensions weigh on investor appetite.

Fresh inflows push the USD to below EGP 52

The EGP extended its gains against the USD during Thursday’s trading to hover just below the EGP 52 mark. The greenback traded at EGP 51.77 (buy) and EGP 51.87 (sell) at the National Bank of Egypt and Banque Misr. Interbank volumes hit USD 534 mn on Thursday, a banking source told EnterpriseAM.

The drivers: The currency’s recent momentum can be traced back to robust remittance inflows, renewed foreign appetite for local secondary debt — including USD 450 mn in T-bills during Wednesday’s session and another USD 1 bn on Thursday — and stronger foreign reserves (USD 52.8 bn), alongside supportive signals from S&P, Ahmed Shawky, member of the Egyptian Society for Political Economy, Statistics and Legislation, explains. The flexible exchange rate regime has been key to “restoring FX liquidity and narrowing the gap between supply and demand,” he notes.

Looking ahead: “The EGP is likely maintaining a gradual improvement trajectory, supported by sustained hot money inflows and relative monetary policy stability,” former Banque Misr Deputy Chair Sahar El Damaty tells us. However, she cautioned that “any escalation in regional tensions or a renewed spike in oil prices could cap the pace of gains and reintroduce pressure on the foreign exchange market.”

No rolling blackouts in the cards

No 4-hour blackouts, cabinet says: Cabinet denied circulating rumors claiming that we’re in for 4 hours of power cuts every day starting next month. The Madbouly cabinet also denied that a decision has been made to set the commercial curfew at 10pm, from 11pm at the moment. Current energy rationing remains unchanged, with no new official instructions issued, the cabinet said.

Could we be looking at a blackout-free summer? The Oil Ministry affirmed that it is “fully prepared to secure energy needs during the summer,” according to a statement. The ministry is accelerating the implementation of the Meleiha field expansions to increase gas production before 30 June.

Data point

1.6 mn — that’s the number of visitors to the Grand Egyptian Museum (GEM) during 1Q 2026, according to a government official who spoke to Asharq Business. Egypt previously targeted around 5 mn annual visitors for the museum.

Hiking prices: Over the strong turnaround, the museum will increase ticket prices starting November, raising entry fees by EGP 20 for Egyptians and USD 5 for foreign visitors, as authorities look to capitalize on demand and boost revenues, according to a Tourism Ministry statement.

Meet EnterpriseAM MENA+, our new flagship newsletter covering the flows of capital, people, and ideas across the Middle East — and beyond it.

MENA+ covers AI and tech — and geopolitics, the war for talent, which BSD is on top (and who's gunning for them), the changing energy economy, new corridors to India and China, and much, much more.

What's with the “+” in MENA+? We think one of the most powerful stories in the region is the *export* of ideas and capital not just to neighboring regions (Asia, the Stans) but to international financial centers. MENA countries are jockey for position in the new global economy now taking shape, and we're going to shape that conversation.

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WEATHER- Spring conditions are back in Cairo today, with a high of 27°C and a low of 16°C, according to our favorite weather app. Expect the mercury to remain cool (a high of 26°C) over the next two days.

It’s several degrees lower in Alexandria, with a high of 22°C and a low of 14°C.

The big story abroad

It’s another morning with the regional war dominating the front pages. A short-lived de-escalation saw Iran announce the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz on Friday, only to close it hours later in the face of tankers — with reports of shots fired at ships, and tens of tankers sent back. Tehran pointed the finger at Washington for continuing to blockade its ports, in violation of the ceasefire agreement between the two sides.

The American response: US President Donald Trump said that his administration was having "very good conversations" with Tehran, and that the Islamic Republic could not blackmail the US.

Five LNG tankers bound to cross the strait had to halt their voyages after Tehran issued warnings, according to ship-tracking data by Bloomberg. And two Indian-flagged vessels carrying crude oil were under fire while traversing the waterway yesterday.

The ongoing conflict has stalled over USD 50 bn in crude oil production in just 50 days, the impact of which is likely to be felt for months or even years to come, according to analysts and calculations made by Reuters. This is equivalent to removing more than 500 mn barrels of crude and condensate from the market, according to Kpler data.

Meanwhile, Trump announced that Israel will no longer strike Lebanon,claiming that the Israelis “are PROHIBITED from doing so by the USA,” in a TruthSocial post on Friday. This followed the announcement of a 10-day truce in Lebanon after direct negotiations with Israeli officials, which prompted Tehran to reopen the strait as long as the ceasefire holds.

The Madbouly government welcomed the news of the ceasefire calling it an important step towards the de-escalation of regional tensions and halting Israeli military operations in Lebanon.

  • 27 April to 3 May: M15 / W15
  • 4-10 May: M15 / W15
  • 11-17 May: M30 / W35 (live streamed)
  • 18-24 May: M15 / W15

Game on. Somabay takes center court as the official host of the ITF World Tennis Tour Series, welcoming global talent across 8 consecutive tournaments.

Taking place from 27 April to 24 May, the destination welcomes international players, forming a multi-week calendar of world-class competition and a fully integrated lifestyle experience. The tournament schedule:

Where sport, performance, and destination experience come together seamlessly.

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The Big Story Today

TMG unveils latest megaproject — EGP 1.4 tn mixed-use city in Madinaty

Another TMG megaproject: Talaat Moustafa Group (TMG) announced plans to build an EGP 1.4 tn (c. USD 27 bn) mixed-use city in New Cairo’s Madinaty, called The Spine, according to a press release (pdf). The project is expected to generate some EGP 1.7 tn in sales.

The details: The Spine will house 165 residential, business, and commercial towers. The development is billed as a “Cognitive City,” utilizing an integrated AI and smart management framework to create a hub for residential, commercial, financial, and entertainment spaces — designed to welcome tens of mns of visitors every year. The Spine will also include “the first fully integrated underground logistics network of its kind, enhancing efficiency, mobility, and sustainability.”

It is being established within the purview of a Special Investment Zone and free economic zone framework. This status grants The Spine a distinct regulatory environment characterized by expedited administrative procedures, customs protocols, and other incentives.

No word on when we can expect to see the project on the ground. There was no mention of the project’s timeline in the press release or the presser during which the project was announced.

TMG is no stranger to megaprojects: The developer is currently working on its first North Coast project — EGP 1 tn SouthMed.

Tax revenues for the state coffers: The government expects The Spine to generate some EGP 818 bn in tax revenues over time.

That’s not all: The Spine is expected to create upwards of 55k direct jobs and 100k indirect jobs, and a direct contribution “equivalent to 1%” of Egypt’s GDP.

This publication is proudly sponsored by

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DEBT WATCH

A W for auto localization

The government’s push to localize auto manufacturing just scored a W. Mansour Group’s MAC for Mobility Manufacturing has secured a EGP 2.7 bn (c. USD 52 mn) loan from Banque Misr to finance a vehicle assembly plant, according to a statement(pdf). The 126k sqm facility will begin operations in 1Q 2027, producing a maximum of 50k sedans, SUVs, and microbuses per year in its first phase.

Where’s the money going? The loan covers roughly 43% of the main project’s EGP 6.3 bn estimated cost, with the remaining balance funded through direct equity injections from Mansour and JV partner SAIC Motor — China’s state-owned automotive manufacturer and the owner of the MG brand. Mansour Group did not respond to our request for more financing details at the time of dispatch this AM.

IN CONTEXT- The project is part of a broader USD 150 mn localization project that includes a separate USD 10 mn vehicle filter facility in Tenth of Ramadan that acts as a feeder industry, helping the main assembly line meet the state’s 20% local component ratio required to access tax incentives. The main assembly project also secured a Golden License from the Cabinet last year, with main construction works awarded toHassan Allam.

Looking forward: Mansour recently secured the agency for BYD electric and hybrid vehicles, with plans to expand local manufacturing to target export markets in the Gulf and Africa.

The localization push

The government realized asking companies to build entire cars from scratch is probably unrealistic, so they revamped theAutomotive Industry Development Program to slash the initial local component ratio to a highly accessible 20%. The strategy? Get global giants like SAIC and BYD to build assembly lines first. Once a physical factory is running, it creates a guaranteed local market for smaller feeder industries to grow organically around them.

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Investment Watch

Doubling down on Bayn

Ora Developers is doubling down on expanding its flagship UAE project Bayn to 9.6 mn sqm. The real estate firm, owned by b’naire Naguib Sawiris, acquired an additional 4.8 mn sqm of land from UAE’s Modon Holding in the Ghantoot region — a coastal corridor between Abu Dhabi and Dubai, Wam reported on Thursday. No financial details were announced.

Looking ahead: Ora is ratcheting up its total value ahead of a planned IPO in the UAE within the next four years. The agreement brings Ora’s total investment in UAE to AED 30 bn once the project wraps up.

REMEMBER- Ora launched Bayn in April 2025 right down the road from Dubai’s massive new airport Al Maktoum International Airport. The developer collected AED 2.7 bn in residential sales last year alone, becoming the third-largest developer in Abu Dhabi by sales volume.

A shift to the Gulf? Egyptian real estate heavyweights are expanding in the Gulf to avoid headwinds at home and protect their balance sheets. Talaat Moustafa Group is building its Benan City project in Riyadh, while Palm Hills is developing the mega Saadiyat Shores project in Abu Dhabi. This stability lured Ora to open its UAE headquarter in Dubai last year and build another luxury community with US real estate firm Discovery Land Company.

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Also on our Radar

More exporters set up shop in the SCZone

The Suez Canal Economic Zone’s (SCZone) target of luring mid-sized exporters continues to pay off. Three companies are investing a total of USD 26.5 mn to establish new facilities in the Sokhna and West Qantara industrial zones, according to statements here, here, and here.

#1- Sakr for Electronics and Energy to establish a USD 18 mn high-tech complex in Sokhna, including a USD 7 mn renewable energy electronics unit and a USD 5 mn smart agritech project. The complex is targeting USD 20 mn in annual exports and is slated to begin operations in early 2027.

#2- Turkish textile company Atesan Tekstil to launch a USD 6.5 mn woven fabrics plant in the West Qantara Industrial Zone.

#3- Turkish-Egyptian JV Sai Hydraulic to build a USD 2 mn hydraulic equipment plant in Sokhna, expected to produce 100k tons of trailers and hydraulic equipment per year beginning from early 2027.

Why it matters: By grouping high-tech electronics with heavy machinery, the SCZone is targeting sectors that currently represent a significant drain on Egypt’s FX reserves. The zone’s one-stop-shop digital services and proximity to global shipping agreements is poised to help exporters reach over 2 bn consumers worldwide from a centralized manufacturing base.

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PLANET FINANCE

Is the war over? Markets seem to think so…

 US stocks surged Friday fueled by optimism over a Lebanon ceasefire and Iran’s (temporary) declaration that the Strait of Hormuz was fully operational. The Nasdaq climbed 1.5%, marking its 13th straight gain and its longest winning streak in decades. The S&P 500 climbed 1.2%, crossing the 7.1k threshold for the very first time.

Closer to home, the DFM also ended the week in the green. Dubai’s main share index climbed around 1% to a six-week high at Friday’s close, driven by gains in real estate and financial stocks. Abu Dhabi’s index was flat.

Asian markets retreated on Friday, failing to follow Wall Street’s momentum. Investor sentiment across the Asia-Pacific region was weighed down by a cautious outlook on the conflict in our neck of the woods. Japan’s Nikkei shed 1.8% on Friday, while South Korea’s Kospi slipped 0.6%.

What’s behind this? It appears that investors are “moving beyond this conflict,” Ameriprise Financial’s chief market strategist Anthony Saglimbene told CNBC. “I think the market has walked back the worst-case scenarios, and it sees a path for the US and Iran to end the conflict and the Strait of Hormuz to remain open. As long as that remains the most likely path, then markets will discount it.”

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Market optimism may prove short-lived, especially considering Tehran’s move to close the contested waterway once again. Ongoing uncertainty masks a harsher reality of fractured supply chains and crippled infrastructure, fueling anxiety among energy producers, logistics providers, and consumers alike, the Washington Post reported over the weekend. “The people closest to the [energy] industry are far more concerned about these disruptions and recognize the length of time it will take for things to return to normal — if they ever do,” oil and gas -cochair at law firm Baker Botts told the outlet.

Even options traders are now racing to position for gains in tech stocks, after earlier sell-offs left them underexposed. Tech stocks, in particular, are currently undervalued, with the premium for the Magnificent Seven narrowing to near eight-year lows in comparison to the broader S&P 500.

A part of this could also be that markets priced in a lot more than what has actually happened earlier in the conflict, CNBC’s Jim Cramer said. The fact that interest rates have not spiked as some had expected has helped reassure investors, he added.

But policymakers believe markets are underestimating the potential fallout of the war — even if it ends soon. When asked if markets need to be more wary, IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva said: “I would argue, yes, because what we see in supply chain disruptions is already quite significant.”

The issue is not just what’s happening right now, but the economic fallout expected after the war concludes, which, according to economists, will be severe. The IMF just last week slashed its global growth forecast by 0.3 percentage points and hiked its inflation forecast by 0.7 percentage points.

EGX30

51,438

+1.4% (YTD: +23.0%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 51.75

Sell 51.89

USD (CIB)

Buy 51.72

Sell 51.82

Interest rates (CBE)

19.00% deposit

20.00% lending

Tadawul

11,554

-0.3% (YTD: +10.1%)

ADX

9,921

0.0% (YTD: -0.7%)

DFM

5,987

+1.0% (YTD: -1.0%)

S&P 500

7,126

+1.2% (YTD: +3.9%)

FTSE 100

10,668

+0.7% (YTD: +7.2%)

Euro Stoxx 50

6,058

+2.1% (YTD: +4.6%)

Brent crude

USD 90.38

-9.1%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.67

+1.0%

Gold

USD 4,880

+1.5%

BTC

USD 75,761

-1.9% (YTD: -13.5%)

S&P Egypt Sovereign Bond Index

1,040

+0.1% (YTD: +4.7%)

S&P MENA Bond & Sukuk

152.07

+0.3% (YTD: +0.1%)

VIX (Volatility Index)

17.48

-2.6% (YTD: +20.5%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 rose 1.4% at Thursday’s close on turnover of EGP 12.3 bn (81.3% above the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 23.0% YTD.

In the green: Orascom Investment Holding (+9.0%), Eastern Company (+4.9%), and Palm Hills Developments (+4.7%).

In the red: Arabian Cement (-1.5%), Raya Holding (-1.1%), and AMOC (-1.1%).


2026

APRIL

25 April (Saturday): Sinai Liberation Day.

MAY

1 May (Friday): Labor Day.

21 May (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s third meeting of 2026.

27-29 May (Wednesday-Friday): Eid El Adha (TBC).

JUNE

15 June (Monday): Seventh review of the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility

30 June (Tuesday): National holiday in observance of the June 30 Revolution (TBC).

JULY

9 July (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s fourth meeting of 2026.

23 July (Thursday): National holiday in observance of Revolution Day (TBC).

AUGUST

20 August (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s fifth meeting of 2026.

26 August (Wednesday): National holiday in observance of Prophet Muhammad’s birthday (TBC).

SEPTEMBER

15 September (Tuesday): IMF to hold its eighth review of Egypt’s USD 8 bn EFF arrangement.

24 September (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s sixth meeting of 2026.

27-29 September (Sunday-Tuesday): Global Conference on Population, Health, and Human Development.

OCTOBER

6 October (Tuesday): Armed Forces Day.

29 October (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s seventh meeting of 2026.

DECEMBER

17 December (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s eighth meeting of 2026.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

Early 2026: Passenger operations on the New Administrative Capital-Nasr City monorail scheduled to begin.

1Q 2026: Trial operations for the Ain Sokhna-Sixth of October section of Egypt’s first high-speed rail line scheduled to begin.

May 2026: End of extension for developers on 15% interest rates for land installment payments.

July 2026: British Prime Minister Keir Starmer set to visit Egypt.

2H 2026: Operations at Deli Glass Co’s new USD 70 mn glassware factory kick off.

2026: The Egyptian-American Economic Forum.

2027

20 January-7 February: Egypt to host the African Games.

April 2027: Tenth of Ramadan dry port and logistics hub to begin operations.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2027: Egypt to host EBRD’s annual meetings.

2027: Egypt-EU Summit 2027.

End of 2027: Trial operations at the Dabaa nuclear power plant expected to take place.

September 2028: First unit of the Dabaa nuclear power plant begins operations.

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