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WHAT WE’RE TRACKING TONIGHT

Egypt is close to receiving USD 300 mn budget support from AIIB

Good afternoon, folks. This Monday brings a slew of budget news, and more international coverage of Trump’s tariff-induced trade war. We might be seeing unrelated (directly, at least) changes to AI subscription prices — read ahead for the full picture.

THE BIG STORY TODAY

Egypt is closing in on USD 300 mn in budget support from AIIB: The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is putting together USD 300 mn in budget support for Egypt, Planning and International Cooperation Minister Rania Al Mashat told Bloomberg. The agreement is expected to be finalized by June, Al Mashat said, adding that negotiations have been completed and that local authorities are “just going through the paperwork.”

The government is also pursuing several debt swap agreements aimed at lowering the country’s external debt and improving its credit position, Al Mashat said. The country is in talks with Germany on a debt-for-equity swap that could see Berlin invest in energy-transition projects. It’s also discussing a debt-for-development swap with China that seeks to convert a portion of Egypt's debt into interest-free loans to finance development projects.

Remember: The news outlet reported earlier this week that Kuwait is considering converting USD 4 bn of deposits it holds in Egypt’s central bank into direct investments in several local sectors. The recent wave of debt conversion talks follow an agreement inked with the UAE last year that converted USD 11 bn of deposits at the CBE into investments in the USD 35 bn Ras El Hekma project.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD

The foreign press is zeroing in on the supply chain risks posed by Trump’s tariffs: Cargo shipments making their way from China to the US have plunged by as much as 60% after the US raised tariffs on Chinese goods to 145% in early April, threatening imminent supply shortages, Bloomberg reports. Retail giants Walmart and Target warned the White House that empty shelves and higher prices could hit US stores soon as thousands of companies move to restock their inventories by mid-May.

The disruptions will likely ripple all the way to Christmas: While US President Donald Trump has signaled in recent days that he is willing to be flexible on Chinese tariffs, restarting trade would likely overwhelm reduced shipping capacity, with experts warning that this could create bottlenecks similar to those seen during the pandemic and extend supply disruptions through the critical back-to-school and holiday shopping seasons.

As well as other corners of the US economy: Economists are now raising inflation forecasts and warning of a potential wave of layoffs across the trucking, retail, and logistics sectors.

☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- Cloudy weather is on the horizon in the capital, with tomorrow’s temperatures expected to reach 31°C throughout the morning before cooling to a warmer-than-usual 22°C at night, according to our favorite weather app.

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FOR YOUR COMMUTE

Traditional monthly subscriptions may be on their way out

Are traditional monthly subscription models becoming a thing of the past? That may very well be the case, and we have AI to thank (or blame). According to Business Insider, more and more players within the SaaS industry are ditching traditional fixed “per-seat” subscription models in favor of a pay-as-you-go pricing model.

Pay-as-you-go? This model shifts away from a flat user rate to a consumption-based billing that tracks actual system engagement. Instead of just charging you for using their service, you’ll be charged on how much you use it — how many tasks you run and which features you access will determine the price tag.

Why? Software services are computing beasts that cost a pretty penny to run, and a flat monthly rate doesn’t cover it. Feeling the heat (literally) is the AI industry. With a slew of advanced models — such as Grok-3, GPT-4o, and Claude Sonnet — infiltrating the market with each passing day, AI is no longer just simply responding to queries, it’s dissecting and analysing them through an “inference-time computing” approach — a process that sees the model break down the user’s request into miniscule “slices,” according to BI.

Let’s talk numbers. So how much on average does a single query on OpenAI’s most advanced model cost the company? “Around USD 3.5k,” writes Tech Analyst Alistair Barr. OpenAI’s most advanced model uses 1k times more tokens — units of text that AI models use to understand and process language — than its no-cost counterpart. So how do you keep up with the costs? For a rising number of tech companies, it’s a simple fix — ditch the monthly payment models, and charge by activity, whether that be the amount of tokens used, the number of queries run, or just how much time you spend thanking your digital best friend.

Last month, Altman took to X (formerly Twitter) to present the idea to the public. “An idea for paid plans: your [USD 20] plus subscription converts to credits you can use across features like deep research, o1, gpt-4.5, sora, etc. No fixed limits per feature and you choose what you want; if you run out of credits you can buy more. What do you think? good/bad?” Early adopters of this model — whether or not inspired by Altman — are AI company Replit, Bolt.New, an AI-Powered web development platform, and US cloud services platform Vercel.

The good, the bad… Should you decide to “subscribe” to a premium AI model sometime in the near-future, you might just have to learn to be a little bit frugal. Soon enough, you’ll be paying for tokens and not full unbridled access to the model — and these tokens are quick to run out. The good? You can always top up, which is definitely better for the companies than it is for you, but isn’t that the price of innovation? Or is it just a glorified in-app purchase?

… and the ugly. You might have to stop thanking your virtual genie to conserve on tokens, which may not bother the average user. But the more paranoid of us expect consequences that are hard to predict… until the AI models start gaining consciousness.

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EARS TO THE GROUND-

The stories of downtrodden rebels

Revisit overlooked chapters of history with Cool People Who Did Cool Stuff. Hosted by American author Margaret Killjoy, this podcast focuses on the individuals and movements throughout history that challenged power structures and fought for social change, often at great personal risk. Across multiple seasons, Killjoy and a rotating set of guests explore lesser-known historical revolutionaries, labor organizers, and anti-fascists.

Killjoy, known for her engaging storytelling, presents well-researched episodes that blend historical facts with insightful commentary. Topics range from the exploits of anarchist bank robbers in 1930s Uruguay, the role of women partisans in the Italian resistance during World War II, as well as the unbelievable number of people who tried to assassinate Benito Mussolini. The podcast doesn't just recount events — it contextualizes them, drawing connections between past struggles and contemporary issues.

The tone strikes a balance between accessible and substantive, making complex and unknown political histories understandable without sacrificing nuance. The podcast offers a grounded look at individuals who challenged entrenched systems — highlighting both stories of success and the often-overlooked realities of struggles that fell short.

WHERE TO LISTEN- You can listen to this podcast on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and AmazonMusic.

This publication is proudly sponsored by

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Sports

Liverpool takes it all

⚽ The Premier League trophy enters Scouse territory. The Reds clinched the Premier League title yesterday with a resounding 5-1 victory over Tottenham Hotspur at Anfield Stadium. This marks their 20th top-flight championship, drawing them level with Manchester United as English football’s most successful clubs.

By the numbers: This represents Liverpool’s second title in five years, marking a stellar debut for Dutch tactician and head coach Arne Slot, who led the team to breaking Manchester City’s four-season stronghold on the trophy. Perhaps more poignantly, this was Liverpool’s first title celebration at Anfield since 1990. The Premier League trophy will be presented at the closing match of the season following Liverpool’s match against Crystal Palace on Sunday, 25 May.


Today’s Serie A matchups:

  • Udinese vs. Bologna (7:30pm)
  • Lazio vs. Parma (9:45pm)


On the homefront: Three crucial matches are set for tonight in the third round of the Egyptian League relegation group.

  • El Gouna vs. Smouha (5pm): El Gouna sits in second place with 23 points, while Smouha occupies fifth place with 20 points
  • Tala’ea El Gaish vs. Al Ittihad (8pm): El Gaish is in third place on the leaderboard with 21 points and a game up their sleeve, whereas Al Ittihad finds themselves in sixth place with 19 points
  • Ismaily vs. ZED FC (8pm): Ismaily is seventh among the group with 18 points, while ZED FC leads the pack with a total of 24 points.
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OUT AND ABOUT

El Masryeen and Ziad Zaza take the stage

MARK YOUR CALENDAR-

? Don’t miss out on the unique experience of the El Masryeen band, led by Hany Shenouda and joined by rapper Ziad Zaza, at AUC Tahrir on Thursday, 1 May. Doors will open at 3pm. The first wave of tickets for the concert has already sold out, but you can grab yours through Ticketsmarché.

HAPPENING THIS WEEK-

Have you hopped on the latest game night craze? Boom Room is hosting a night of strategy and competition as the Skrew Official Tournament kicks off on Friday, 2 May. Tickets are available on Ticketsmarché.

The king of latin pop lands in Egypt. Grammy-winning global superstar Enrique Eglesias will be performing at Rixos Radamis, Sharm El Sheikh on Saturday, 3 May. Tickets to the concert are exclusive to guests at Rixos Radamis and Rixos Premium Seagate hotels and resorts.

HAPPENING LATER-

An evening of international classical music at the Royal Philharmonic Orchestra’s concert — led by Swiss maestro Lena-Lisa Wüstendörfer and Egyptian maestro Ahmed El-Saedi, alongside businessman Samih Sawiris on the piano. The concert will be held on the Grand Theater stage at the Cairo Opera House on Wednesday, 7 May at 8pm. All proceeds will be donated to support refugees from Gaza in Egypt. Tickets available on Tazkarti.

Calling all coffee enthusiasts: The Egypt Coffee Festival is bringing caffeine laymen and experts together for a full day of java-themed activities, competitions, and discussions. The event will kick off at 9am on Saturday, 10 May at Kamelizer in District 5. You can grab your tickets through Ticketsmarché.

Angham returns to the Cairo Opera House once again, with an evening performance of her most beloved songs at the Fountain Theater on Friday, 16 May at 9pm. She will be accompanied by an orchestra led by maestro Hani Farahat. Tickets are available on Tazkarti.

Hip Hop fans: Don’t miss the historic Project Meem concert, headlined by rap icons Marwan Pablo and Marwan Moussa sharing the stage. The concert will take place on Friday, 23 May at Cairo Festival City, and tickets are selling fast on Tazkarti.

Fans of smooth jazz have a rare chance to see Michael Bublé live on Monday, May 26 at the New Capital. The Grammy winner promises a landmark concert with his smooth, soulful voice and timeless hits for one special evening in Egypt. Tickets are now live on Ticketsmarché.

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GO WITH THE FLOW

What the markets are doing on 28 April 2025

The EGX30 rose 0.5% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 4.0 bn (10.0% below the 90-day average). Regional investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 7.7% YTD.

In the green: Rameda (+4.7%), Emaar Misr (+4.0%), and EFG Holding (+2.2%).

In the red: Oriental Weavers (-4.5%), Egypt Kuwait Holding-EGP (-1.1%), and Egypt Alum (-0.9%).


APRIL

6-30 April (Sunday-Wednesday): More Than Just A Word art exhibit at Nout Gallery in Zamalek.

8-30 April (Tuesday-Wednesday): Faces of the Margin art exhibition.

MAY

1 May (Thursday): El Masryeen and Ziad Zaza at AUC’s Tahrir campus.

2 May (Friday): Skrew Official Tournament at the Boom Room.

3 May (Saturday): Enrique Eglesias at the Rixos Radamis in Sharm El Sheikh.

7 May (Wednesday): The Royal Philharmonic Orchestra concert featuring Samih Sawiris.

8-18 May (Thursday-Sunday): Cairo Photo Week in Downtown Cairo and District 5.

9 April (Friday): The Grand Show: Omar Khairat at Qubba Palace.

10 May (Saturday): Egypt Coffee Festival at Kamelizer.

16 May (Friday): Angham at the Cairo Opera House.

21-31 May (Wednesday-Saturday): Disney On Ice at Cairo International Stadium.

23 May (Friday): Project Meem at Cairo Festival City.

30 May (Friday): Adam Port at the New Administrative Capital’s Green River.

OCTOBER

16-24 October (Thursday-Friday): Gouna Film Festival.

30 October - 22 November (Thursday-Saturday): Forever is Now at the Great Pyramids of Giza.

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