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FinMin to release new public debt policy in March, introduce a three-year budget

1

What We're Tracking Today

Non-tax financial burdens to be streamlined through additional income tax

Good morning, folks, and a happy hump day to you all. We’ve got a bit of everything for you today in this morning’s issue, with enough legislation, competition, M&A, manufacturing, and investment news to fill up several issues. There’s a lot to cover today, so let’s jump right in.

PSA-

WEATHER- Temperatures will continue to inch up in Cairo today, with a high of 24°C and a low of 13°C, according to our favorite weather app.

It’s a tad cooler in Alexandria, with a high of 22°C and a low of 10°C.

It’s expected to be a foggy start to the day throughout most parts of the country, so as always stay safe on the roads.

** DID YOU KNOW that we now cover Saudi Arabia and the UAE?

** Were you forwarded this email? Tap or click here to get your own copy delivered every weekday before 7am Cairo time — without charge.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- The government is working to replace the numerous non-tax financial burdens and fees imposed by state entities with an additional income tax, Investment Minister Hassan Al Khatib said, according to a ministry statement. Unifying and simplifying the often confusing world of non-tax financial burdens also comes in line with the state’s directive to tax income and not revenue.

The Finance Ministry, General Authority for Free Zones, and the Industrial Development Authority will collect the new tax and redistribute the fees to relevant authorities, according to El Khatib, who added that the government is planning to propose a draft bill for this new tax.

Remember: A senior government source told EnterpriseAM last year that a committee had been formed to look into reducing the long list of taxes, customs, and fees imposed on goods and services. The move was said to be aimed at boosting local industry, increasing exports, attracting new investments, and curbing inflation by eliminating double taxation and redundant fees that see some goods taxed at up to 45%.


#2- Gov’t, EU talks on the next tranche of the EUR 7.4 bn package in April: The Madbouly government will engage in negotiations with the European Union in April over the second tranche from its EUR 5 bn package of concessional loans, International Cooperation Minister Rania Al Mashat told Asharq Business. The second tranche — set to come in at EU 4 bn — is part of a wider EUR 7.4 bn package from the EU announced in March. The first EUR 1 bn tranche arrived in the state coffer at the end of last year.


#3- Engie-led consortium aims to build a 1 GW wind project by 2028: A local-international consortium of France’s Engie, Orascom Construction, Japan’s Toyota Tsusho, and Eurus Energy is looking to build a 1 GW wind project in Egypt, with the companies aiming to finalize the project’s contracts next year in order to build it by 2028, Bloomberg quotes Engie’s managing director for renewables in the Middle East and North Africa Francois Xavier Boul as saying.

The consortium has been busy as of late: The same recently put online 306 MW of a 650MW wind farm in Ras Ghareb, with the entire project expected to be up and running and connected to the national grid by 3Q 2025. The project is set to be the largest operational wind farm in the region once it is fully operational and have the capacity to reduce carbon emissions by 1.3 mn tons every year and provide power to over 1 mn homes once fully complete.

** Our renewables ambitions — and the hurdles they face — recently caught the attention of the international press. We’ve got the lowdown in our Egypt in the News section in the news well below.


#4- China's largest tire maker is planning to expand its Egypt operations, with China National Tire and Rubber Company looking to expand into passenger vehicle tire manufacturing in Egypt through its wholly-owned subsidiary Prometeon Tyre Egypt, according to a cabinet statement. The government has made available a 180k sqm plot — located near the company’s existing Ameriya factory — to establish a passenger car tire factory and agreed with the Chinese company to double its existing production capacity of heavy transport tires.


#5- A new renewables target? The government is now planning to up renewables’ contribution to the energy mix to 65% by 2040, according to comments by Electricity Minister Mahmoud Esmat. The new figure is a five percentage point increase on the government’s last announced target, which only came to light in November. In the shorter term, the country is hoping to increase the renewables mix to 42% by 2030.

Over the next year, Egypt’s renewable energy capacity is expected to reach 10 GW by the end of 2025, sourced from solar, wind, and hydropower, and integrated into the national grid, Esmat added. This will then expand to 12 GW by end of 2026 and 20 GW by end of 2029, he continued

FROM THE DEBT MARKETS-

The average yield on two-year fixed coupon t-bonds fell 2.03 percentage points to 23.46% during the Central Bank of Egypt’s latest issuance that raised EGP 21.6 bn in the heavily oversubscribed issuance, according to data from the central bank. Three-year bonds fell 0.68% percentage points to an average yield of 22.58%.

IN THE HOUSE-

The 540-article draft Criminal Procedures Law is once again at the top of agenda at the house today, with MPs set to discuss and vote on another 40 articles.

An amendment to delay a tax on agricultural land by a year will also be put to MPs, with the year-long postponement starting 31 July 2024 designed to ease financial burdens on farmers and encourage them to up production.

Lawmakers will discuss greenlighting the Finance Ministry to guarantee EgyptAlum’s financial commitments for a power purchasing agreement with Scatec, that will see the state-owned entity buy energy from the Norwegian renewables player’s 1 GW solar power plant in the works.

A EUR 135 mn grant from the European Investment Bank to fund the Environment Ministry’s Sustainable Green Industry project will also be voted on, which will support the greening of the country industrial sector by implementing climate change and environmental sustainability measures.

MPs also discussed and passed 142 articles of the draft Criminal Procedures Law yesterday, including a controversial legislation on pretrial detention. Under the articles, the accused can be held in pretrial detention for four months for misdemeanors, 12 months for felonies, and 18 months for crimes that could lead to life imprisonment or the death penalty.

Proponents of the legislation point to the new safeguards against the extension of pretrial detention, but the legislation does not explicitly prevent individuals being successively put in pretrial detention for new accusations.

A presidential decree to expand the proposed Russian industrial zone in the Suez Canal Economic Zone also got lawmakers’ approval, with the planned area now to stretch 500k sqm. The decree also lets Russian projects in the zone sell up to 100% of output in the local market and provides safeguards that any infrastructure or buildings won’t be nationalized or confiscated at a later date.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

Gaza ceasefire breakthrough? Israel-Hamas ceasefire talks in Doha are nearing fruition, officials involved with the talks say, with US President Joe Biden saying they are “on the brink” of a breakthrough. A draft agreement for the exchange of prisoners and the gradual withdrawal of Israeli troops from Gaza was presented to both sides yesterday, with another round of talks taking place today in Doha. Officials from both sides have confirmed that talks are progressing well. (Bloomberg | Reuters | FT | Semafor)

The goal is now to reach an agreement before US president-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration next week, officials said. Vice President-elect JD Vance said he hopes an agreement could be struck toward the final days of Biden’s administration.

Meanwhile, the US’ new AI export caps are getting plenty of attention. The US imposed export controls on chips used for AI, giving 20 close allies access to chips and restricting access to 120 countries, including China, Iran, and Russia.

The semiconductor industry is not happy with the new export control regime, and neither is the EU. The European Commission said it is “concerned” about the new measures, while industry leaders like Nvidia criticized the move as potentially harmful to “America’s global competitiveness.” (FT | Reuters | WSJ)

Also getting attention:

  • Los Angeles is bracing for “hurricane-level” winds threatening to trigger more wildfires, with a red flag warning out on three areas across Los Angeles and Ventura. (NYT | Reuters | FT)
  • International Court of Justice President Nawaf Salam was appointed Lebanon’s new prime minister after securing the majority of votes from the parliament, in another blow to Hezbollah, which was backing caretaker PM Najib Mikati to stay in the role. (FT | Reuters)

*** It’s Going Green day — your weekly briefing of all things green in Egypt: Enterprise’s green economy vertical focuses each Tuesday on the business of renewable energy and sustainable practices in Egypt, everything from solar and wind energy through to water, waste management, sustainable building practices and how you can make your business greener, whatever the sector.

In today’s issue: We dive into the components of Egypt’s First Biennial Transparency Report, which brings to light progress in implementing nationally determined contributions to cut down on emissions.

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Economy

Egypt to to release new public debt policy in March, introduce a three-year budget

The Finance Ministry is preparing to release the new public debt policy document by the end of March, which will outline its plans for public and foreign debt — including the issuance of green bonds, sukuk, and international bonds, a government source told EnterpriseAM. This will provide investors with clarity on international offering plans and strategies for returning to international debt market indices to attract new investors.

The upcoming debt policy is focused on extending debt maturities by diversifying debt instruments, while targeting overall debt reduction. It includes maintaining external debt for budget entities at USD 79.1 bn by the end of September, marking a USD 3 bn reduction, according to our source. The government is also working to trim these debts by USD 1-2 bn in the mid-term, which will lead to a gradual improvement in our debt position, longer debt maturities, and lower interest dues, the source added.

INTRODUCING A THREE-YEAR BUDGET

The Madbouly government is currently working on two parallel budgets, with the upcoming FY 2025-2026 budget being simultaneously developed alongside a comprehensive three-year budget that will establish longer-term spending caps that can only be exceeded under very limited circumstances. Government entities will submit their budget proposals according to this new timeline, according to our source.

The Why: The new approach allows the government to implement more long-term and sustainable policies with more precise financial limits to help target public debt reduction. It will also better establish the roadmap for government investments aligned with the Planning and International Cooperation Ministry's economic development plan. The framework will assist in developing state resources, reducing expected deficits, and managing anticipated revenues, including special accounts that could help ease pressure on the state budget, the source explained.

Each ministry will receive a cabinet-approved spending cap that cannot be exceeded, but this new system will give entities more flexibility to manage their spending and allocations. Ministries will be able to shift funds between different budget items or projects as long as they remain within their overall limit, without having to go through numerous entities before the change is approved.

ALSO- The Investment Ministry is working on coming up with a decent estimate of the country’s FX needs by meeting with the private sector, government bodies, and others. The hopefully more accurate figure is designed to help build a framework to manage the country’s FX resources in light of commodity imports, interest payments, and public debt.

What’s next: The Finance Ministry set to begin conducting studies to verify the appropriate financial caps and any developments for different entities in February. The ministry will discuss any substantial changes to government entities’ plans before preparing the annual budget for submission to the House.

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COMPETITION WATCH

European producers cry foul over Egypt-based Chinese glass fibre producers, file complaint with European Commission

European glass fiber producers have filed a complaint to the European Commission alleging that Chinese glass fiber manufacturers based in Egypt have been benefiting from unfair subsidies and have managed to bypass anti-dumping duties directed at Chinese companies, Euro News reports, citing two sources it says are familiar with the matter.

The firms in question are being accused of setting up firms in an economic zone “that amounts to an extension of the Chinese territory abroad, enabling them to circumvent the anti-dumping measures taken in 2014 against companies established in China,” Cedric Janssens, the secretary-general of industry body Glass Fibre Europe, told Euro News.

This isn’t the first time the Commission has acted against Egypt-based Chinese firms, with the body previously imposing a 13.1% anti-subsidy duty against imports coming from Chinese firms based in Egypt in 2020, with the European Court of Justice confirming the decision last year in a decision that recognized cross-border subsidies as equivalent to subsidies as defined under EU law.

Glass fibre manufacturers on the other side of the Mediterranean are hoping that this will be increased to 25%, as the existing “13.1 anti-subsidy duty is not enough to stop the flow of imports” that are flooding the market, according to Glass Fibre Europe’s legal representative Laurent Ruessmann.

Egypt has a glass fibre capacity of 400k tons despite having no real local demand, Janssens alleges. This is nearly half of the EU’s 1mn ton market demand for the material and comes on top of Chinese overcapacity that Janssens says its twice that of demand on the continent.

Egyptian firms have also been in the European Commission’s crosshairs, having recently initiated an anti-dumping investigation in August into hot-rolled flat products of iron, non-alloy or other alloy steel imports from Egypt, India, Japan, and Vietnam — with Ezz Steel among the companies being investigated.

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M&A WATCH

Raseedi completes full acquisition of nanocredit outfit Kashat

Raseedi acquires Kashat: Fintech startup Raseedi has acquired Kashat — as well as its subsidiary, nano-financial services provider Pharos Microfinance — for an undisclosed sum, in what the firm described as “an equity deal to broaden its product offerings and introduce instant loans” to its portfolio, Raseedi said in a statement (pdf).

What the acquisition will bring: The transaction will open the door to the launch of a new product that will allow small and single-proprietor business owners to apply for instant disbursed cash of up to EGP 3k provided by Kashat in less than 5 minutes; the facilities will have a short repayment cycle of 1-3 months. The product will be based on Raseedi’s “proprietary technology and home grown credit scoring algorithm,” the two said.

The company has big expansion plans in the pipeline: After launching in Egypt — which will take roughly six months — Raseedi will look into expanding into markets that could include Morocco, Uzbekistan, as well as other economies in Central and West Africa, Raseedi CEO Ahmed Atalla told EnterpriseAM. “Initially, we’re going to be looking at markets with a significant unbanked population. Tentatively, we’re planning on launching in Morocco within 12 months,” he told us.

“We currently have around 120k active monthly users on our platform — we plan to push that figure to around 1.5 mn within the next 6-8 months, before hitting our main target of 3 mn monthly users,” Atalla told us. “We plan to be disbursing up to EGP 3k to underbanked people — a figure we plan to talk to the FRA about increasing over time. We want to provide users with lending opportunities for their small businesses or for entrepreneurial ventures they may be working on,” he continued.

Raseedi also plans on launching a B2B service, where it would partner with ride-hailing companies to provide drivers with instant payment against future rides that are paid for through credit cards, and to provide delivery workers with cash payments in advance — all of which would be up to EGP 3k to be paid back within a short term. “The goal is to conduct partnerships with big business with a lot of employees on the ground to give them the ability to be paid in advance for their endeavours,” Atalla said, adding that Raseedi will begin working on those partnerships by the second half of the year.

Management changes will also follow: Raseedi will hire a managing director to lead Kashat. It will also be tapping personnel in the credit and risk management positions, Atalla said.

What they said: “The ability to easily lend money to the masses will be expanded, and Raseedi along with Kashat, through its subsidiary Pharos Microfinance, will become Egypt’s only financial service provider to offer nano loans at scale; and that was purpose built for the task. This deal is important because the companies involved are true big data and artificial intelligence players, and are both home-grown,,” our friend Karim Nour, co-founder and CEO of Kashat, said in the statement.

5

Manufacturing

Chinese firm Kingdom Holdings (no, not *that* Kingdom Holdings*) to build USD 60 mn textile factory at Elsewedy’s Industria Sadat zone

Kingdom Holdings is getting ready to begin work on its first investment in Egypt, with the Chinese textile manufacturer inking an agreement with Elsewedy IndustrialDevelopment to develop a USD 60 mn textiles factory in its Industria Sadat zone in Sadat City, the Elsewedy Electric subsidiary said in a statement (pdf). The Egyptian Commercial Services- and General Authority for Investment and Free Zones-supported agreement will see the factory declared a private freezone.

The factory will kick off production in 2026, with an annual production capacity of 5k tons and is expected to create 1.5k local jobs.

What they said: “This initiative aligns perfectly with the Egyptian government’s vision to double textile and garment exports by 2026, strengthening Egypt’s position as an attractive investment destination,” Elsewedy Industrial Development CEO Mohamed Al Kammah said.

Chinese textile manufacturers have increasingly been looking to start production inEgypt, with only the last few weeks bringing news that the world’s largest producer of dyed fabrics and shirts could soon be setting up shop in Egypt, with Chinese dyed fabric giant Luthai Textile mulling a USD 385 mn factory. We also heard recently that Kelida will set up a USD 30 mn factory and that Jiangsu Lianfa Textile is looking to set up a USD 500 mn integrated complex for textile and ready-made garment production — to name just a few examples.

Keeping things straight: This Kingdom Holdings has nothing to do with Alwaleed bin Talal’s behemoth of the same name.

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LEGISLATION WATCH

We’re getting a revamped Companies Act that GAFI says will be ‘in line’ with changing investment climate

GAFI to draft a new Companies Act in line with changing investment climate: The General Authority for Investment and Freezones (GAFI) plans to prepare a revamped companies law to replace the Companies Act, GAFI boss Hossam Heiba told Hapi Journal. This comes as part of efforts to keep up with developments in the investment arena seen over the past few years and to provide a legislative framework that aligns with the increasing reliance on electronic documents. The authority is expected to put the draft legislation up for public consultation after Ramadan, he said.

Unfamiliar with the Companies Act? The law provides a regulatory framework for how companies in Egypt are incorporated, managed, and dissolved. The law also covers shareholder rights and the responsibilities of boards. You can check out the full text of the law on GAFI’s official website.

What can we expect from the new law? The new law will focus on the incorporation procedures for companies, post-incorporation services — such as documenting board meetings or general assemblies — and recognizing electronic procedures and documents, which are still not recognized under the current legislation, Heiba revealed.

Creating a unified authority: The new law will select a single authority through which companies can register their establishment — a process that currently spans eight different entities.

“The process of establishing companies in Egypt currently differs from other countries, as it involves numerous procedures and requires fulfilling all founding requirements right from the beginning,” Heiba was quoted as saying. “There will be a move to divide these procedures into two phases: the first will only involve the establishment of the company and give it a 12-month grace period to define its activities and meet the remaining requirements,” he said.

The authority has done its homework: GAFI looked into legislation from 20 countries in preparation, Heiba said, adding that the authority also worked to identify recurring issues in the existing law.

Remember: The government has been working tirelessly to boost investment, introducing reforms and incentives to facilitate the investment process with the aim of attracting a large number of investments.

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LAST NIGHT’S TALK SHOWS

The draft Criminal Procedures Law drew controversy on the airwaves

The nation’s talking heads focused their coverage last night on the controversy surrounding the new Criminal Procedures Law draft being debated in the House of Representatives.

Attracting most attention was Article 79 of the draft law, which concerns monitoring social media, email, messages, and communication. MP Freddy El Baiady told Kelma Akhira's Lamees El Hadidi that the article “violates the constitution" which protects privacy rights and prohibits surveillance without a justified judicial order for a specific duration (watch, runtime: 3:29). El Baiady added that he is calling for an amendment to limit the number of times an individual can be put under surveillance to three times, “rather than allowing lifetime surveillance of suspects.”

Article 67 was also a concern to some, with El Hadidi highlighting that some consider the article to be “primarily targeting journalists” as it stipulates that “investigation procedures and results are considered confidential and may only be disclosed through official statements by the public prosecution or relevant investigative authority, with penalties for violators” (watch, runtime: 11:08). MP and member of the House Legislative Affairs Committee Ahmed El Sharkawy assured El Hadidi that the article “isn't about publishing crimes or media coverage,” but rather concerns “those who handle investigation documents during ongoing investigations.” El Sharkawy added that separate laws govern media coverage.

El Hekayah’s Amr Adib also gave airtime to the subject (watch, runtime: 17:17).

ALSO ON THE AIRWAVES- “A ceasefire agreement in Gaza could be announced within the next 48 hours, with the first phase including the release of 34 Israeli hostages held by Hamas alongside Palestinian prisoners held by Israel,” former Assistant Foreign Minister Hussein Haridy told Ala Mas'ouleety's Ahmed Moussa. He added that “this phase would last six to eight weeks,” (watch, runtime: 3:28). Adib gave airtime to the news as well (watch, runtime: 15:27).

8

EGYPT IN THE NEWS

Egypt has big solar ambitions — what’s hindering them?

Our solar ambitions under the spotlight: Egypt has all the resources needed to expand its solar power generation — sunny skies, large areas of unused desert land, and a developer electricity grid — yet obstacles continue to hinder its expansion plans, Reuters writes. Expanding solar energy generation, and renewable energy sources at large, has been a priority as of late after Egypt began ramping up expensive energy imports to try to close the gap between supply and demand to put an end to blackouts that had plagued the country.

So what’s the hold up? Solar players cite “market-distorting power subsidies and restrictive regulations” as reasons behind delayed rollouts.

That being said, we have a lot of solar projects in the pipeline: A number of foreign players are setting up solar projects here — most notably UAE’s AMEA Power is setting up a 1 GW solar power plant with 600 MWh battery storage system in Benban. “But Egypt is likely to need thousands more megawatts of additional capacity to meet demand in coming years,” AMEA Power’s Hussain Al Nowais said.

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Also on our Radar

Egypt lays out target to slash customs times to two days by the end of 2025. PLUS: Saudi Egyptian Industrial Investment, Orascom Financial Holding, Klivvr Holding, NIO, Prometeon Tyre, Bonyan

CUSTOMS-

The government is working on cutting customs clearance times down from eight days to just two, Investment Minister Hassan Al Khatib said, according to a ministry statement. Towards this aim, the government has already enforced a new rule that customs services continue on Fridays and national holidays, along with extending the period that people can pay their customs dues until after banks close.

The government has even more ambitious customs clearance customs time for some of its key regional allies, with agreements signed last month with Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Bahrain to cut the time down from a few days to just a few hours.

INVESTMENT-

Saudi Egyptian Industrial Investment is planning on investing some USD 30 mn into the local market this year, General Manager Ahmed Ata told Asharq Business. The firm is looking to invest across several sectors — including an alternative investment in the glass sector, after the company’s bid for up to 70% of the state-owned El Nasr Glass and Crystal Company failed to reach a conclusion. The company is also looking to acquire an export-oriented firm in the ready-made garments sector, enhance its investments in its existing companies, and add a new production line to Ateco Pharma to double its production capacity, Atta said.

Remember: Ata said last month that Saudi Egyptian Industrial Investments would be targeting 20-30% stakes in ready-made garments, glass, and cookware companies in 2025.

M&A-

Orascom Financial Holding’s board has greenlit selling its entire 99.0% stake in Klivvr Electronics to the Sawiris family-owned Klivvr Holding, the B Investments Holdings-majority owned company said in an EGX disclosure (pdf). The newly established Klivvr Holding — which only came to our attention in November — is offering EGP 11 per share for the fintech, valuing the total transaction at some EGP 657.7 mn.

The transaction comes as part of B Investments' commitment to sell Orascom Financial Holding's stake in Klivvr Electronics within a year of acquiring a 68.9% stake in OFH through a share swap late last year.

AUTOMOTIVE-

Chinese EV maker NIO is reportedly studying entering the Egyptian market by appointing a local agent to handle imports, after-sales services, and maintenance operations amid growing demand for luxury electric vehicles, Al Mal reports, citing unnamed auto industry sources.

Talks underway: The Chinese company has begun discussions with local automotive companies and businesspeople about exclusive agency rights, according to the sources. Some local firms have already imported limited quantities of NIO vehicles to test their compatibility with Egyptian operating standards and specifications, the sources added.

REAL ESTATE-

Bonyan has expanded its office space portfolio with the acquisition of a 8.2k-sqm office building in New Cairo, the Compass Capital real estate subsidiary said in a statement (pdf). The acquisition marks Bonyan’s third purchase of a Grade A office space in the last 13 months and brings its total commercial assets across east and west Cairo to ten.

10

PLANET FINANCE

EM borrowers issue a record USD 57.5 bn in debt ahead of Trump administration

Emerging market borrowers issued a record USD 57.5 bn in bonds since the beginning of 2025, a 28.9% y-o-y increase from USD 44.6 bn during the same period last year, Reuters reported citing Morgan Stanley data. As borrowers rush to lock in proceeds before Trump takes charge, analysts warn that the growing appetite is at risk of a market shift.

By the numbers: Top issuers included Saudi Arabia, which sold bonds worth USD 12 bn last week, while Mexico recorded USD 8.5 bn and Chile recorded USD 3 bn in sales. Average premiums range between 0 and 10 basis points above US treasuries, with EUR-denominated bonds making a strong comeback. Sovereign borrowers, including Saudi and Indonesia, are mitigating higher yields by favoring shorter maturities over traditional 30-year bonds, the newswire said.

The drivers: This surge in borrowing is driven by fears of market volatility ahead of the second Donald Trump administration, uncertainty around the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate plans, and inflation concerns, Stefan Weiler, JPMorgan's head of CEEMEA debt capital markets, told Reuters. Emerging markets are also under pressure from USD 500 bn in short-term debt issued during covid, set to mature this year.

The trend is expected to continue: Borrowers are expected to issue another USD 30 bn in debt before 20 January, Weiler added. The trend could also continue well into 1H 2025, according to Matt Doherty, head of CEEMEA syndicate at BNP Paribas. “I wouldn't be surprised if you have another first half where we see the best part of USD 200 bn in issuance from CEEMEA,” Doherty told Reuters.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Asian markets are mixed in early trading, largely mirroring a mixed trading session for Wall Street yesterday that ended last night with tech stocks falling. Mainland China’s CSI 300 and the Hang Seng Index are each up 1.2% and Shanghai is similarly up 1.3%, while Japan’s Nikkei is firmly in the red so far this morning.

Futures indicate Wall Street is set to open in the green, suggesting the Dow Jones will continue rising after closing up 0.9% yesterday.

EGX30

28,556

-2.5% (YTD: -4.0%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 50.45

Sell 50.58

USD (CIB)

Buy 50.47

Sell 50.57

Interest rates (CBE)

27.25% deposit

28.25% lending

Tadawul

12,110

-0.1% (YTD: +0.6%)

ADX

9,459

-0.4% (YTD: +0.4%)

DFM

5,233

+0.1% (YTD: +1.4%)

S&P 500

5,836

+0.2% (YTD: -0.8%)

FTSE 100

8,224

-0.3% (YTD: +0.6%)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,954

-0.5% (YTD: +1.2%)

Brent crude

USD 80.90

+1.4%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 3.93

-1.4%

Gold

USD 2678.60

-1.3%

BTC

USD 94,307.70

-0.1% (YTD: +0.8%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 fell 2.5% at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 3.8 bn (0.4% below the 90-day average). Egyptian investors were the sole net buyers. The index is down 4.0% YTD.

In the green: Egyptian Kuwaiti Holding- EGP (+2.4%), Alexandria Containers and Cargo Handling (+2.4%), and Ezz Steel (+2.3%).

In the red: TMG Holding (-6.0%), EFG Holding (-5.1%), and Palm Hills Developments (-4.5%).

CORPORATE ACTIONS-

Ezz Steel has announced the fair value of its shares at EGP 138.15 based on a study conducted by financial advisor BDO Keys Financial Consulting, Ezz Steel said in an EGX disclosure (pdf).

Remember: The Financial Regulatory Authority gave its approval for Ezz Steel to begin procedures for delisting its shares from the EGX last month. Under the proposal, objecting shareholders can sell their shares back to the company at either the highest closing price during the month preceding the board of directors’ statement — EGP 118.98 per share — or the newly determined fair value of the company’s shares.

11

Going Green

What does Egypt’s First Biennial Transparency Report tell us about the nation’s efforts to go green?

Egypt shares its first BTR: Egypt has submitted its First Biennial Transparency Report (BTR1)(pdf) to the UN, highlighting its progress in implementing its nationally determined contributions to cut down on emissions during the period ending in 2022. The report “marks a critical milestone in the nation’s journey toward effective climate governance, showcasing its commitment to transparency and climate action.”

TL;DR: “This report outlines our progress, ambitious goals, and the strategies we are implementing to address climate change at national, regional, and global levels,” Environment Minister Yasmine Fouad wrote in the report’s foreword. The report "provides a comprehensive overview of Egypt's climate initiatives, including an updated Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Inventory, progress toward achieving our Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), mitigation strategies, and Adaptation Communication. Furthermore, it details the support we have received in this critical endeavor.”

First things first, what is a BTR? BTRs outline a country’s national inventory reports, progress made towards achieving nationally determined contributions (NDC), policy implementation, climate change effects, financial status, technology advancement, and areas of improvement. Parties to the Paris Agreement are required to submit BTRs every two years under the enhanced transparency framework.

Right on time: Egypt submitted its first BTR on 30 December 2024, one day before thedeadline set by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).

The context: Egypt’s population now stands at almost 106 mn — and is expected to reach 160 mn by 2050 — placing burdens on food security, water security, and economic development. Although the country has made progress on the macro front, the Covid-19 pandemic hindered recent progress. At the same time, significant macroeconomic disruptions — including the float of the EGP — have caused economic shocks.

The stats: CO2 accounts for the largest share of emissions, making up 75.9% of total emissions among gases due to being closely linked to energy production and industrial manufacturing. Following CO2, the gases that account the biggest shares of emissions are methane (13.7%) and nitrous oxide (7.4%).

We have a plan to slash carbon emissions: The Oil Ministry is currently following a plan thatit says lowers emissions and offers economic returns. The ministry has implemented around 340 projects aimed at optimizing energy use, resulting in annual savings of USD 135.5 mn and reducing 1.2 mn tons of CO2 emissions a year. Part of the initiative included detailed energy audits in five key energy companies and the training of some 250 engineers.

Egypt is especially vulnerable to the effects of climate change: Egypt has suffered extreme temperatures over the past 30 years, while also seeing a 22% decline in annual rainfall. Temperatures are set to rise by 2.1°C to 5.7°C by the end of the century under a high emission scenario. The Nile Delta is a region that is among the world’s most vulnerable to climate change due to its dependence on the Nile for agriculture, industry, fisheries, and energy.

The country has set ambitious goals: Egypt plans to reduce the electricity sector’s greenhouse gases emissions by 37% by 2030. The Madbouly government also has plans to slash emissions in the oil and gas sector by 65% and transport sector-related emissions by 7% over the same time period.

How can we achieve this? The government is looking to attract USD 34 bn of renewable investments through 2026-2027, a government source told EnterpriseAM last year. The government wants to push its green investments to 75% of its total investment spending by 2030 and have its green economy contribute no less than 5% to its GDP.

It won’t come without challenges: “The expansion and modernization of Egypt's power grid is crucial for integrating renewable energy sources. The government is investing in the development of a smart grid that can accommodate the growing share of solar and wind energy … However, financial constraints are impeding the expansion of the power grid, thereby limiting the integration of renewable energy at the planned capacities,” the report reads.

The progress made so far: Egypt reduced emissions by 34.3% in 2022 compared to the business as usual (BAU) scenario. In the oil and gas sector, emissions were reduced by 57% compared to BAU levels and the transport sector surpassed its goal of slashing emissions 7% by 2030, reducing them 16.9% in 2022. Additionally, the Oil Ministry outperformed its energy efficiency goals, cutting energy consumption by 5.6% between the years 2015 and 2022 against a target of 5% thanks to implementing energy-saving measures in petroleum companies.

How can we keep the ball rolling? “Egypt requires adaptation measures such as climate-resilient infrastructure, public health campaigns, and energy-efficient designs to mitigate the impacts of climate change on society and the economy,” the report reads, highlighting the need for stronger cooperation between government bodies, local communities, NGOs, and the private sector to help develop effective solutions.

To help pay for it all: The nation is looking to secure financial support across various sectors to help it implement climate mitigation and adaptation strategies. The report points to barriers hindering efforts to secure international finance including “currency instability, shortage in

foreign currency, high lending rates and inflation.”

What’s next? The report will undergo a technical expert review, which will “help demonstrate action, identify areas of improvement and capacity-building needs, attract targeted support, and ultimately build trust.” The UN will also undertake a facilitative multilateral consideration of progress to “open dialogue on climate actions, successes, and challenges.”


Your top green economy stories for the week:

  • Efforts to recycle agricultural waste: The Agricultural Research Center inked a cooperation protocol with Abu Zaabal Fertilizers and Chemical Company to produce affordable peat moss from agricultural waste. (Statement)
  • Oriental Weavers has inaugurated new expansions at its industrial wastewater treatment facility in its spinning factory. (Statement)
  • Ras Ghareb wind farm begins operations: A consortium including Orascom Construction, Engie, Toyota Tsusho, and Eurus Energy has connected 306 MW of their 650 MW wind farm in Ras Ghareb to Egypt’s national grid.

JANUARY

15 January (Wednesday): Launch of Egypt’s first joint-stock ship waste management company in Port Said.

18 January (Saturday): Soil Spaces launch event, Mivida, New Cairo

20-24 January (Monday-Friday): World Economic Forum Annual Meeting

23 January- 5 February (Thursday-Wednesday): Cairo International Book Fair, Egypt International Exhibitions Center, Cairo

28 January (Tuesday): Nigeria to inaugurate the USD 5 bn Africa Energy Bank in Abuja

28-29 January (Tuesday-Wednesday): US Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

Health Ministry finalizes partnership with Gustave Roussy to operate Dar El Salam Hospital.

CBE to launch InstaPay remittances for Egyptians abroad

Building permit applications in Egypt's new cities will go online

Accor Group to open Sofitel Cairo Downtown Nile, the world’s largest Sofitel.

Egyptian National Railways to launch tender for Tanta-Mansoura-Damietta railway line upgrades

Food products will require food safety and validity certificates from the National Food Safety Authority (NFSA)

Bavarian Delegation visit to Egypt

FEBRUARY

BP to bring the second well of its Raven natural gas project online, with additional production capacity expected.

Orascom Pyramids Entertainment to bring total investments in the Pyramids Plateau to EGP 1.5 bn.

Subscription period for Your Home in Egypt initiative opens.

2 February: Energy Day Conference, Cairo, Egypt.

17-19 February (Monday-Wednesday): EGYPES Technical Conference, Egypt International Exhibition Center, Cairo, Egypt.

18-19 February (Saturday-Sunday): German-Egyptian Joint Economic Committee meetings, Cairo, Egypt

20 February (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee's first meeting.

MARCH

Arla Foods’ deadline for Domty acquisition offer

Operation of phase one of the Amotope wind farm

Alwaad Investment to inaugurate a new cold beverage plant with an annual production capacity of 14.5 mn units.

Al Ahly Sabbour to finalize preparations for its EGX listing, offering 20-25% of its shares, with an advisor to be tapped in early 2025.

March-April 2025: The government plans to start collecting taxes on capital gains from EGX transactions.

APRIL

Government begins talks with EU on the second tranche of the of the EUR 5 bn concessional loans package

Saxony Delegation visit to Egypt.

Egypt to launch trial operations of the first phase of its USD 1.8 bn Egypt-Saudi electricity interconnection project, ahead of schedule

Tahya Misr 1 container terminal to begin operations, adding 3.5 mn container capacity to the port.

7-9 April (Monday-Wednesday): Narrative PR Summit launches 9th edition, Red Sea

7-10 April (Monday-Thursday): EFG Hermes One on One conference, Dubai, UAE

17 April (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s second meeting.

28-30 April (Monday-Wednesday): FDC Regional Digital Industry Summit will launch cybersecurity index.

MAY

22 May (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s third meeting.

Egyptian Exporters Association (Expolink) exhibition, Italy

French rolling stock manufacturer Alstom will submit technical and financial bids for Cairo Metro Line 6

JUNE

June 2025: MPs approveextension of tax dispute resolution window until 30 June 2025, with potential for further extension

June 2025: Nissan and Honda finalise talks about possible merger to create the world’s third largest automobile company by sales.

June 2025: Coficab to complete its USD 88 mn automotive cable and electrical factory in Tenth of Ramadan City

JULY

10 July 2025 (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s fourth meeting.

15-16 July 2025 (Tuesday-Wednesday): Egypt Mining Forum.

July 2025: The first operational trail of Egypt-KSA electricity interconnection line.

July 2025: Etihad Airways to launch twice-weekly flights to Alamein

July 2025: Israel to begin increasing gas exports to Egypt from Chevron’s offshore Tamar field

AUGUST

28 August 2025 (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s fifth meeting.

August 2025: Tourism Development Authority to waive late payment penalties for land purchases if full installments are paid

SEPTEMBER

September 2025: Egypt Education Platform (EEP) to launch two new schools in Alexandria and Somabay

September 2025: Egypt Otsuka’s nutritional products factory in Tenth of Ramadan to begin operations, with exports to Gulf countries expected by January 2026

OCTOBER

2 October 2025 (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s sixth meeting.

NOVEMBER

20 November 2025 (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s seventh meeting.

DECEMBER

25 December 2025 (Thursday): Monetary Policy Committee’s eighth meeting.

December 2025: Taqa Arabia and Voltalia to complete studies for repowering the 545-MW Zafarana wind farm with 1.1 GW of wind and 2.1 GW of solar power

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

Early 2025: ADQ to break ground on the development of Ras El Hekma

Early 2025: Al Ismaelia to begin working on two new hotels and hotel apartments in Downtown Cairo.

Early 2025: The Communications Ministry will unveil the second edition of its national AI strategy in early 2025

Early 2025: The Suez Canal Authority to launch an IPO for the Canal Company for Mooring and Lights (CCML) on the EGX.

Early 2025: Orange Egypt to launch 5G services, with EGP 10 bn planned for network upgrades.

Early 2025: BP to begin drilling at the King Mariout Offshore concession.

Early 2025: Jinbei Royal Egypt to begin local assembly of 3k Jinbei vehicles, including the country’s first electric cargo van and microbus

1Q 2025: The Egyptian-Italian business forum

1Q 2025: Investment Minister Hassan El Khatib to visit Italy

1Q 2025: Eipico’s biopharma plant to begin operations

1Q 2025: Finance Ministry to launch public consultations on its tax policy document

1Q 2025: Egypt to sign trade agreements with Bahrain and UAE to slash customs clearance times

1Q 2025: Government to launch EUR 271 mn green industry program to cut emissions

1Q 2025: Egypt-Azerbaijan joint committee to meet to bolster trade and investment ties

1Q 2025: Turkish Automotive Manufacturers Association and Turkish Contractors Association to visit Egypt following an invitation from the Investment Minister

1Q 2025: One of four companies, including Abu Qir Fertilizers, Mopco, Egyptian Petrochemicals Holding Company, and a Saudi-affiliated firm, to be selected for the USD 450 mn redevelopment of Delta Fertilizers

1Q 2025: GV Auto to begin local production of FAW Group’s cheapest EV model.

1Q 2025: Alkan Auto to launch BAIC subsidiary Arcfox’s EVs to the market.

1Q 2025: Dynamic Distribution to launch a new competitively-priced Fiat model in Egypt.

1Q 2025: BP to drill two USD 160 mn exploratory gas wells in the West Delta.

1Q 2025: Port Said for Engineering Works to begin construction on a USD 80 mn aluminum foil factory in the SCZone, targeting initial production of 60k tons annually.

1Q 2025: Pearl Polyurethane Systems to start production at its EGP 100 mn polyurethane factory in the Sokhna Industrial Zone.

1Q 2025: Sumitomo Electric to officially open its EUR 22 mn cable factory in Tenth of Ramadan, with production set to begin next month.

1Q 2025: Construction of the USD 600 mn natural gas treatment plant in the Western Desert’s Meleiha concession to wrap up, followed by a pilot run.

1Q 2025: El Araby Group and Sharp to break ground on a USD 50 mn fridge and freezer manufacturing plant in the Quweisna zone.

1Q 2025: Hangzhou Henneway Travel Goods to begin production at its USD 50 mn factory in the West Qantara Industrial Zone

1Q 2025: BP to drill two USD 160 mn exploratory gas wells in the West Delta

Mid-2025: EGX launches sustainability index.

2Q 2025: Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) to introduce derivatives on the EGX

2Q 2025: Safaga Terminal 2 to start operations

2Q 2025: Hassan Allam to build infrastructure for AD Ports' Noatum terminal at Safaga

2Q 2025: Hassan Allam to build infrastructure for AD Ports' Noatum terminal at Safaga

2Q 2025: EgyptSat Auto to start production at its EV factory in Tenth of Ramadan City

1H 2025: EGX launches a sharia-compliant sustainability index.

1H 2025: Digital Financial Identity Company will launch an electronic bank account opening service

1H 2025: The Egyptian-US Investment Forum.

1H 2025: The Egyptian Mineral Resources Authority will relaunch a global tender for gold exploration through Shalateen Mineral Resources company.

1H 2025: Internal Trade Development Authority (ITDA) to establishfour logistics zones with EGP 18-20 bn investments

1H 2025: Internal Trade Development Authority (ITDA) to establishfour logistics zones with EGP 18-20 bn investments

1H 2025: Natco to launch Chinese firm Neta Auto’s EV models.

1H 2025: OCI Global to complete the sale of its entire methanol business to Methanex for USD 2.05 bn.

1H 2025: Egypt and the UAE to begin construction of a USD 3 bn petroleum logistics zone at Al Hamra Port

1H 2025: HoldiPharma to list 25-30% stakes in Misr Pharma and Chemical Industries Development (CID) on the EGX

1H 2025: Korra Energi to list up to 20% stake on the EGX

1H 2025: Smart Villages Development and Management Company plans to list 30-35% of its shares on the EGX

1H 2025: Halliburton to bring three gas wells online as part of the Burullus project.

1H 2025: Chevron to begin gas production from the offshore Nargis gas field, initially producing 600 mn cf.

1H 2025: Nile Recycling to launch USD 20 mn PET recycling facility in Ain Sokhna, targeting an annual capacity of 22k tons and reducing carbon emissions by 40k tons

3Q 2025: AMEA Power to bring 500 MW Amunet wind farm online in Ras Ghareb

4Q 2025: Abou Ghaly Motors to introduce the Subaru Solterra to the market

4Q 2025: Two new projects in food manufacturing and home textiles to begin operations in the Qantara West Industrial Zone

2H 2025: National Printing Company to make its EGX debut after delayed IPO plans

2H 2025: Tabarak Holding to list 30% of its shares on the EGX

2H 2025: Turkish apparel company Denim Rise to open a garment manufacturing facility

2H 2024: Hi-Tech Apparel to break ground on a USD 20 mn sportswear factory in the SCZone

2H 2025: Eni to drill two new wells in the Zohr field with USD 160 mn in investments

Mid-2025: The Administrative Capital for Urban Developments to roll out the second phase of offering industrial plots to investors

Mid-2025: SN Automotive to launch three locally assembled models — one electric and two gasoline-powered — in Egypt

Mid-2025: Suez’s USD 1.8 bn coal and diesel production complex, developed by Enppi and Petrojet, to be completed

Mid-2025: Wataneya and Safi to debut on the EGX

End of 2025: The Egypt Digital Industrial Platform will expand to include additional services for manufacturers, including the issuance of licenses, building permits, and industrial records

End of 2025: An unnamed Chinese company and the state-owned Arab Organization for Industrialization (AOI) to begin production at a USD 360 mn tire factory in the SCZone.

End of 2025: A consortium including Redcon Properties and Al Baraka Bank to launch a local real estate investment fund with over EGP 1 bn in initial investments

Late 2025: Baron Hotels to open a new hotel in Sharm El Sheikh and debut its first international property in Zanzibar with 150 luxury suites

2025: The InterAcademy Partnership assembly

2025: Nile Basin States Summit, Cairo, Egypt

2025: Release of the government’s Startup Charter document

2025: Nafeza to integrate air cargo into its digital customs platform, further streamlining trade logistics

2025: Africa50 completes 42.9% stake acquisition in Raya Data Centers for USD 15 mn to fund construction of a USD 35 mn Tier III data center.

2025: MM Group for Industry and International Trade is set to launch 16 new Tata vehicle models locally.

2025: China to issue USD 411 bn in special treasury bonds

2025: El Attal Holding to list 30-35% of its shares on the EGX

2025: The Administrative Capital for Urban Development (ACUD) to launch its EGX debut, offering 5-10% of its shares.**

2025: Basata Holding for Financial Investments to offer 25% stake on the EGX as part of a plan to double its capital to EGP 1.4 bn.**

2025: Hilton Cairo Nile Maadi to open early in the year, alongside debuts of Tapestry Collection and Curio Collection by Hilton.

2025: Palm Hills and Marriott to launch The Ritz-Carlton Residences in West Cairo, featuring 150 branded units across 45 acres

2025: Jaz Hotel Group to set up two new hotels in North Coast, two in Hurghada, and two in Marsa Alam

2025: Sunrise Resorts & Cruises to add 4k hotel rooms to its hotels capacity.

2025: Egyptian Petrochemicals Holding Company (ECHEM) to complete studies and kick off production of Egypt’s first sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs).

2025: Polaris Parks to begin development of the industrial park in New October City

2025: EgyptAlum to launch a USD 100 mn foil production line with a 50k-ton annual capacity

2025: Honor to begin operations at its proposed smartphone manufacturing facility in Egypt, with an initial investment of USD 10 mn

2025: Indorama and Phosphate Misr to begin implementation of the USD 400-500 mn phosphate fertilizers plant in Ain Sokhna

FY 2025-26: Egypt to issue its first EGP-denominated sovereign sukuk to finance public investments outside the general budget

FY 2025-26: The government to begin introducing cash-based subsidies on a trial basis in select areas of the country

2025-2027: EUR 4 bn in concessional loans to follow as part of a EUR 7.4 bn package

2026

Baron Hotels to launch two hotels in Egypt with 950 rooms, followed by another with 750 rooms.

May 2026: End of extension for developers on 15% interest rates for land installment payments

2027

20 January-7 February: Egypt to host the African Games

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

End of 2027: Trial operations at the Dabaa nuclear power plant expected to take place

September 2028: First unit of the Dabaa nuclear power plant begins operations

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