Good morning, folks. We’re kicking off the week with important energy updates, IPOs of military-owned companies pencilled in for 1Q 2025, a not so welcome milestone for the EGP, and more in today’s issue. Let’s go.
PSA-
WEATHER- It’s another overcast day in Cairo today, with a high of 23°C, a low of 15°C, and the likelihood of heavy fog, according to our favorite weather app.
Over in a windy Alexandria, expect to see a high of 22°C and a low of 11°C.
** DID YOU KNOW that we now cover Saudi Arabia and the UAE?
** Were you forwarded this email? Tap or click here to get your own copy delivered every weekday before 7am Cairo time — without charge.
EGP WATCH-
The EGP fell to its lowest level on Thursday since March’s exchange rate liberalization, passing the EGP 50.00 mark against the greenback for those trying to buy up USD. The anticipated milestone follows steady declines in the EGP — as has been the case for many other world currencies — against a strengthening post-election greenback that is up more than 2% since the election on the Bloomberg Spot Dollar Index.
Some are pointing to the at least USD 500 mn worth of interbank USD transactions recorded Thursday as one of the reasons behind the currency’s depreciation, up from between USD 100-150 mn in previous days, as demand for the greenback rose on the back of the exit of foreign investors from investments in government debt, Al Arabiya reports, citing unnamed banking sources. The move was expected, according to the outlet’s sources, who told it that foreign investors are cashing in on their investments before the end of year and are expected to be back with an appetite for government debt in the first two months of next year.
EFG Hermes’ Mohamed Abu Basha seems to agree, telling Bloomberg that “we attribute the weakness mostly to seasonality.” Abu Basha explained that “it’s end of the year, where the bias is always for some FX weakness as traders and economic agents settle some positions, in addition to a global backdrop of USD strength,” he said.
The government has already been trying to calm nerves and provide context, with Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly telling reporters at a recent presser that “it’s natural for this type of movement to occur, so we shouldn’t worry about temporary increases in the USD.” While reaffirming the country’s commitment to keeping a flexible exchange rate — in no small part a nod to the IMF and other international backers who will be closely watching the government to see how they will manage the situation — the prime minister explained that “the EGP is part of an existing global system, so it is natural for this type of movement to occur” and added that the EGP is likely to continue fluctuating within a 5% range in the near term.
On the topic of government debt, the central bank managed to sell only 6.2% of its target for year-long EGP-denominated bills and 18.0% of its six-month bills as investors demanded higher interest rates during the bank’s most recent auction on Thursday. The yield on year-long bills fell marginally by 0.001% to 26.240%, while six-month bills saw their yield rise 0.138% to 30.996%.
WATCH THIS SPACE-
#1- Wataneya and Safi named as among the up to four military companies to be offered up on the EGX, unnamed sources told Al Arabiya. The National Service Products Organization-owned filling station operator and bottled water company are reportedly currently being reevaluated ahead of a listing penciled in for 1Q 2025.
The news follows Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly teasing last week that three to four military-owned companies were heading to the EGX, with the prime minister adding in his presser that the government will release its privatization plan for the coming period this week. The move to privatization via IPO also follows hot on the heels of the Central Bank of Egypt-owned United Bank’s retail tranche being oversubscribed 59x and its private placement covered 6x in an offering set to raise EGP 4.57 bn — possibly presenting a success story that the government may increasingly want to try to replicate.
The two companies have been on the privatization chopping block for at least fouryears, but efforts to directly sell shares of companies and featuring them on the Sovereign Fund of Egypt’s pre-IPO fund failed to materialize, despite attracting numerous suitors.
#2- Settle your dues or say goodbye to your plot: Industrial investors with overdue payments on allocated lands or units are urged to settle their dues promptly or risk losing their allocations, according to a statement by the General Authority for Industrial Development. Investors have the option to pay in installments by submitting 25% of the owed amount upfront and the remainder over six months, the statement reads, with bank checks required within 15 days.
HAPPENING TODAY-
It's the second and last day of the Doha Forum 2024 with Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly and other top officials in attendance, according to a cabinet statement. Under this year's theme of The Innovation Imperative, the forum will host numerous heads of states, policymakers, private sector leaders, and more to take part in and listen to discussion and speeches — including our prime minister, who is listed as a speaker.
Madbouly is also set to meet with private and public sector figures from the Gulf nation, including Qatar’s Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani who he met yesterday on the sidelines of the conference to discuss increasing political, economic, and investment cooperation between the two nations, according to another statement from the cabinet.
IN THE SENTATE-
Senators will discuss and vote on a bill to legalize illegally obtained state-owned land over the next two days after reconvening after a two-week break. If passed, there will be a six-month period after the bill is written into law where individuals can submit a request to legally own or rent the land. Executive regulations will be out within a month of the Official Gazette announcing the new law.
Get Enterprise daily
The roundup of news and trends that move your markets and shape corporate agendas delivered straight to your inbox.
CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-
The Finance Ministry will launch public consultations on its tax policy document in the first quarter of the next fiscal year, according to a statement by the ministry. The consultations will gather feedback from businesses and stakeholders as part of broader efforts to reshape fiscal policy, introduce new tax and customs relief packages, and bolster public-private partnerships.
Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.
KUDOS-
Valu was named as one of the region’s top four most innovative finance and fintech companies for the year by the Fast Company Middle East’s Most Innovative Companies 2024 list alongside Beehive, Binance, and Foodics. Fast Company gave the local fintech leader the title for "transforming fintech with diverse services” and pointed to its expansion into savings, investments, B2B solution, and payments. The business magazine also gave a nod to its “strategic partnerships across healthcare, real estate, and education,” along with the company’s technological advancements of having credit assessments aided by machine learning and an AI chatbot.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD-
The increasingly likely collapse of Bashar Al Assad’s regime dominates the digital front pages this morning, as insurgents push closer to Damascus after a lightning offensive that captured key cities, including the full capture of Homs in the early hours of the morning. The capital is now cut off from the regime’s strongholds along the coast and the rebels are continuing to encircle Damascus.
Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Jordan, Iraq, Iran, Turkey, and Russia called on the warringparties to find a political solution in a joint statement after the nations’ foreign ministers met in Doha. Taking a decidedly different approach, President-elect Donald Trump took to X, stating, “The United States should have nothing to do with it. This is not our fight. Let it play out. Do not get involved.” (Wall Street Journal | Bloomberg | Financial Times | Reuters | Associated Press | New York Times | Guardian)
Also making headlines is South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol narrowly avoiding being impeached for imposing martial law after lawmakers from his People Power Party staged a walkout during the parliamentary vote, preventing the opposition from reaching the two-thirds majority needed to remove him from office. Yoon still appears to be on the out, however, with the leader of his party telling reporters after the vote that the president would resign. (Wall Street Journal | Bloomberg | Financial Times | Reuters | New York Times | Guardian)
While in business news, Allianz has paused merger talks with asset manager Amundi over disagreements on structure and control, effectively halting plans to create what would have been a EUR 2.8 tn asset management giant. (Financial Times)




