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Foreign debt fell to USD 153 bn at the end of June

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What We're Tracking Today

Madbouly promises “important” privatization news soon

Good morning, all, and a very happy hump day. The news well this morning is giving us a lot to look forward to in the weeks to come — fresh privatization news, regulations from the FRA, and President Abdel Fattah El Sisi’s upcoming visit to Russia to attend the Brics summit.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- Brace for “important” privatization news: The government will soon announce “important news” regarding the privatization of a number of banks and airports, Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said yesterday.

Remember: The government is looking to raise USD 2-2.5 bn through the privatization of state-owned companies in FY 2024-2025. The state’s EGP 2.8 bn exit from Tamweely last month is the first big privatization agreement to have gone through since the new targets were announced.

A number of banks have been earmarked for privatization, including Banque du Caire, whose IPO has been repeatedly delayed for years due to poor market conditions, Arab African International Bank (AAIB) — whose ownership is evenly split between the Central Bank of Egypt and the Kuwaiti sovereign wealth fund — and United Bank, which should make its EGX debut early next year. Then there’s Alexbank, which the state is looking to sell its remaining 20% stake in — last we heard, the government has resumed negotiations for the sale.

The privatization of airports has been on the agenda for some time: The Madbouly government unveiled plans to onboard private sector players to take over the management and operation of all the airports in the country last year. The move aims to improve services and increase revenues collected by state coffers.


#2- FRA to roll out regs for new capital requirement for ins. companies: The Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) will within weeks issue regulations implementing the capital requirements for ins. companies put forth by the Unified Ins. Law, FRA boss Mohamed Farid said during the African Reins. Forum, Al Mal reports.

Remember: The law — ratified by President Abdel Fattah El Sisi in July — requires ins. companies to have a minimum issued and paid-up capital of EGP 250 mn or its equivalent in FX, up from EGP 60 mn.


#3- What do NBFIs want from the new financial solvency standards? The FRA has started taking in suggestions from NBFS players regarding the implementation of Basel III financial solvency standards, according to a statement. Sector players can send in their suggestions through an online form on the authority’s website. Companies have until the end of October to submit inquiries or suggestions.

PSA-

FROM THE DEPT. OF VERY GOOD NEWS- Canadians will once again be able to get visas on arrival starting in December: Egypt is waiving the requirement that Canadian citizens apply in advance for tourism visas starting 1 December, according to a statement from the Foreign Ministry. Canadians will also once again have the option to apply for an e-visa or to simply buy a visa on arrival at approved ports of entry including Cairo International Airport.

Remember: Since October of last year, Canadians traveling to Egypt have no longer been able to obtain a visa on arrival and have instead had to apply for one via an embassy or consulate abroad before traveling. Instead of the USD 35 arrival visa previously, Canadians had to dish out USD 150 for a prior-arrival visa, curbing tourism flows from the North American market.

This is particularly good news for the hundreds of thousands of Canadians of Egyptian descent living abroad — many of whom do not have Egyptian passports. Families will now be able to visit and catch important life events including weddings and funerals on short notice.


WEATHER- It’s another cool day in Cairo, with a high of 30°C and a low of 22°C, according to our favorite weather app.

It’s a little cooler in Alexandria, with a high of 29°C and a low of 21°C.

** DID YOU KNOW that we now cover Saudi Arabia and the UAE?

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HAPPENING THIS WEEK-

#1- GEM to launch partial trial operations tomorrow ahead of grand opening, Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said last week. The initial phase will see the museum’s main hall opened, with other sections to follow in a phased rollout ahead of a grand official inauguration.


#2- It’s interest rate decision time: The Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee will meet this Thursday to decide on our interest rate trajectory. Analysts and economists we surveyed for ourEnterpriseAM poll see the MPC holding rates steady as the central bank works to prioritize controlling inflation over any monetary policy easing.

An expert opinion: “Our view remains that the CBE will hold the rate in the 17 October meeting,” Fitch Solutions' director of MENA country risk Ramona Moubarak told us, pointing to rising inflation and geopolitical risks. “There is a risk of a cut this year, closer to the end of the year, as base effects in February 2025 will push inflation below 20%,” she said.

HAPPENING NEXT WEEK-

#1- El Sisi is heading to Russia to attend the Brics summit, being held in Kazan from 22 to 24 October, Al Qahera News reports, citing Russian Ambassador to Cairo Georgiy Borisenk. During his time in Russia, President Abdel Fattah El Sisi is expected to meet his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin to discuss key issues related to the Brics members and Egyptian-Russian relations.


#2- PHDC’24 kicks off next week: The second iteration of the Global Congress on Population,Health, and Human Development (PHDC’24) is set to run from 21-25 October at the St. Regis Convention Center in the new capital. The event will focus on human development as a cornerstone for sustainable growth, with themes including universal health coverage, sustainable livelihoods, and climate resilience. Top officials, NGOs, private sector representatives, and researchers from around the world will attend the five-day event to discuss solutions to key global challenges in population, health, and development.

CIRCLE YOUR CALENDAR-

Cairo is hosting the UN’s World Urban Forum from 4-8 November, which will focus on “localizing the sustainable development goals” under the theme It All Starts at Home: Local Actions for Sustainable Cities and Communities. It will tackle issues including unaffordable housing, living costs, climate change, and current conflicts. You can register on the event’s official website.

Who will be there? The forum is expected to draw around 20k participants, including 14k from 179 countries, Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said.

Check out our full calendar on the web for a comprehensive listing of upcoming news events, national holidays and news triggers.

ENTERPRISEAM IS LOOKING FOR SMART, TALENTED PEOPLE of all backgrounds to help us build some very cool new things. EnterpriseAM — the essential morning read on all the important news shaping business and the economy in Egypt, GCC, and the wider region — is looking for writers, reporters, and editors to help us build out new publications.

NEVER WORKED IN A NEWSROOM BEFORE? We have the EnterpriseAM Business Writing Development Program. Whether you are a recent graduate, an industry vet, or looking to switch careers, the EnterpriseAM Business Writing Development Program will give you the tools you need to tell the most important stories to our audience of C-suite officials, government ministers, diplomats, financiers, investors, and entrepreneurs.

Not an internship program — a career: The three-month program will see full-time, paid participants take part in workshops and lectures from veteran business journalists on subject matter knowledge, while also working on constructing and filing EnterpriseAM stories that will run on any of our publications. Those who have successfully completed the program, will then be given long-term job offers.

Apply directly to jobs@enterprisemea.com and mention “writing development program” in your subject line.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

It’s a busier-than-usual Tuesday in the international press, so let’s jump right in with no further preamble:

#1- Canada expelled five Indian diplomats (including New Delhi’s high commissioner to Ottawa), prompting India to PNG six Canadians just hours later as a diplomatic rift between the two deepend. Canada’s soon-to-depart charge d'affaires in New Delhi said “Canada has provided credible, irrefutable evidence of ties between agents of the government of India and a murder of a Canadian citizen on Canadian soil.” The story leads front pages on both sides of the Atlantic (New York Times | Financial Times | Reuters | BBC)

Further reading: How geopolitics caught up with Canada in the FT.

#2- The price of oil dipped nearly 3% overnight after a Washington Post report that Israel will not target Iran’s oil infrastructure in retaliation for Tehran’s 1 October missile strike. Benjamin Netanyahu is said to have told the White House Israel will attack only “military targets.”

MEANWHILE- Israel killed at least 21 people in an airstrike on northern Lebanon, BBC reports.

#3- Britain is prioritizing trade talks with GCC countries and India, the UK’s Business and Trade minister said yesterday. Talks between Britain and the GCC countries are set to resume next week, he said. Reynolds was in our part of the world last month to kickstart the talks.

#4- And the Nobel goes to… Three researchers who have focused on how colonial legacies impacted the relative prosperity of colonized countries shared the 2024 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. “Their research also indicates that more economically inclusive and politically democratic systems prove more conducive to technological innovation and long-run growth,” the FT noted. Check out the original announcement here.

OTHER NEWS worth knowing about on this busy morning:

  • Google has ordered up to seven so-called “small modular” nuclear reactors to fire up its data centers as part of its AI growth plan. It’s thought to be the first-ever order for small modulars placed by a corporation.
  • The latest in the US election: The Donald and Kamala Harris were in Pennsylvania overnight (it’s a key battleground state) and Harris has agreed to a sitdown with Fox News. There are 20 days left until Americans go to the polls.
  • Did Elon fake part of his March of the Droids? “Tesla used humans to remotely control some capabilities of its Optimus robot prototypes at a recent event designed to generate investor enthusiasm for forthcoming products,” Bloomberg writes.

*** It’s Going Green day — your weekly briefing of all things green in Egypt: EnterpriseAM’s green economy vertical focuses each Tuesday on the business of renewable energy and sustainable practices in Egypt, everything from solar and wind energy through to water, waste management, sustainable building practices and how you can make your business greener, whatever the sector.

In today’s issue: We look at how Egypt can play a key role in the maritime industry’s decarbonization.

Somabay, every reason to fall in love.

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Economy

Egypt’s foreign debt fell to USD 153 bn at the end of June

Foreign debt inches down during 2H FY 2023-2024: Egypt’s foreign debt sat at USD 152.9 bn during the end of the last fiscal year, falling some USD 15.1 bn — almost 9% — compared to the USD 168 bn recorded at the end of first half of the fiscal year, according to the central bank data.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

A continuous downtrend: Egypt’s external debt dropped to USD 153.9 bn atthe end of May, down by USD 14.2 bn — or 8.4% — from its level at the end of December 2023.

The breakdown: Medium- and long-term debt accounted for some 83% of our total foreign debt, sitting at USD 126.9 bn, while short-term debt made up about 17%, reaching some USD 26 bn.

The bigger picture: External debt fell USD 11.8 bn during FY 2023-2024 from the USD 164.7 bn recorded at the end of the fiscal year 2022-2023.

Thanks to the Ras El Hekma agreement, which helped pave the way for the central bank to float the EGP, which triggered a resurgence of FX inflows in debt investment and remittances from Egyptians abroad.

Egypt’s external debt has quadrupled over the past decade, reaching a record high of USD 168 bn at the end of 2Q of the fiscal year 2023-2024 due to increased borrowing.

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Startup watch

Egyptian cleantech transport startup Rabbit Mobility closes USD 1.3 mn round

Rabbit Mobility closes USD 1.3 mn round: E-scooter startup Rabbit Mobility raised USD 1.3 mn in a new investment round led by VC firm 500 Global and Untapped Global, according to a press release (pdf). The round also saw participation from a group of angel investors and sustainable mobility experts.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

Where is the money going? The funds will “fuel Rabbit's rapid growth and expansion plans across Egypt and other North African markets,” the release read. The funds will also help the company expand its fleet of electric vehicles, enhance user experience, and make micromobility more accessible locally.

Rabbit is heading to Morocco: Rabbit plans to deploy its first fleet of light EVs in Morocco next year, cofounder and CEO Kamal ElSoueni told EnterpriseAM. “We’re interested in expanding to other North African markets starting with Morocco. We believe the Moroccan market is similar to the Egyptian market where cities have high population densities, high traffic congestions, and are not exposed to severe weather,” he said.

Rabbit Mobility? Rabbit Mobility is a cleantech transport company and a micromobility platform that offers day rentals of its fleet of electric vehicles — scooters, bikes, and others. Since it kicked off operations in 2019, the startup saw over 450k users complete over 1 mn rides. The startup expects to achieve profitability by year end.

READ MORE- ElSoueni was our Founder of the Week back in 2022, where he spoke to us about his academic and professional background and gave us an inside scoop on how Rabbit operates.

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DEBT WATCH

EFG Hermes Corp-Solutions issues EGP 450 mn in debt

EFG Hermes Corp-Solutions has issued EGP 450 mn in debt, its second issuance in a wider EGP 3 bn program, according to a statement (pdf).

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

How will the funds be used? “This achievement also serves as a crucial step in our strategy to offer the highest quality leasing and factoring solutions to a broader segment of customers. We are excited to build on this successful partnership as we tackle expanding demand for the financing services industry in Egypt,” EFG Corp-Solutions CEO Talal Al Ayat said.

Investor demand is high: “In the prevailing high-interest rate environment, the domestic capital market remains quite active and liquid for local currency bond issuances, which are attracting investor demand, and enabling corporates and NBFIs to tap the market to raise capital that would fund growth plans,” EFG Hermes Investment Banking Co-Head Maged El Ayouti said.

Advisors: EFG Hermes was the sole financial advisor, transaction manager, bookrunner, underwriter, and arranger for the issuance. Al Ahli Bank of Kuwait - Egypt was an underwriter on the transaction.

DATA POINT- The transaction brings the total value of bonds issued in Egypt so far this year to EGP 21.6 bn — 61.9% less than the amount raised in the same period last year — according to data tracked by EnterpriseAM.

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LAST NIGHT’S TALK SHOWS

Egypt’s El Sisi touches on rights of Palestinians in latest public remarks

El Sisi talks Gaza, regional stability in latest speech: The nation's talking heads focused last night on President Abdel Fattah El Sisi’s latest remarks (watch, runtime: 2:23:10), made during the Armed Forces' 40th cultural seminar, where he weighed in on Palestinian rights and regional peace. El Sisi emphasized the importance of respecting the rights of Palestinian in accordance with international resolutions, and called for abandoning the “illusions of expansion and hostile policies … to ensure peaceful coexistence among the peoples of the region and spare future generations the scourges of conflict.”

Military prowess for peace: Speaking on El Sa’a El Sadesa, advisor at the Nasser Military Academy’s Center for Strategic Studies Wael Rabie told host Azza Mostafa that El Sisi's speech carried a number of key messages — most notably that strengthening Egypt's military and police capabilities should not be interpreted as a threat but rather as an attempt to maintain peace (watch, runtime: 4:11).

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EGYPT IN THE NEWS

A bus crash in Egypt’s Ain Sokhna kills 12 and injures tens others

Fatal bus crash puts Egypt's road safety in the international spotlight: The AssociatedPress covered a bus accident that took place yesterday in Ain Sokhna, killing 12 and injuring 33 others. The bus, which was carrying Galal University students, was transporting the students from campus to their dorms before it crashed and overturned on a highway.

The AP's coverage highlights ongoing concerns about Egypt's road safety, noting that such incidents remain a persistent challenge for the country amid infrastructure issues.

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Also on our Radar

EGAS is setting up a JV to supply Europe with gas

EXPANSION-

#1- EGAS to set up a JV for gas exports in Greece: State gas firm EGAS signed a partnership agreement with Greek infrastructure investment company Copelouzos Group to develop a JV headquartered in Greece focused on the trade, transport, supply, and regasification of natural gas in Eastern European countries and Greece, according to a statement. The agreement follows President Abdel Fattah El Sisi’s meeting with the chairman of Copelouzos Group, which saw the two discuss supplying natural gas to Eastern Europe.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)


#2- Beltone Leasing eyes African expansion: Beltone Holding subsidiary Beltone Leasing and Factoring is looking to expand across the continent, starting with Morocco and Senegal, CEO Amir Ghannam told Asharq Business. The company is in talks with three major international financial institutions over a USD 60 mn loan to fund the expansion, he added. The company confirmed the story later yesterday in an EGX disclosure (pdf).

M&A WATCH-

#1- Amoun’s bid for 65.6% of Atlas moves forward: The Financial Regulatory Authority (FRA) approved Amoun for Real Estate and Tourism Development’s bid to acquire a 65.59% stake in Atlas For Investment and Food Industries, according to an announcement by the FRA (pdf). Amoun wants to buy 427.2 mn of Atlas’ shares at EGP 0.78 per share in a mandatory tender offer, putting the transaction’s value at EGP 333.22 mn by our math.

Remember: Amoun last month submitted a mandatory tender offer to acquire a majority stake in Atlas.


#2- Aspire to sell its stake in Egyptian Exchange Company: Aspire Capital Holding will sell its entire 40% stake — represented in 2 mn shares — in Egyptian Exchange Company to three investors in a EGP 81.75 mn transaction after its board approved the move, according to an EGX disclosure (pdf).


#3- Catalyst Partners’ Saudi venture kicked off operations, acting as the sole financial advisor on a transaction that saw gaming-focused, India-based strategic investment firm Jetapult acquire a stake in KSA-based game studio UMX Studio, according to a statement (pdf). The transaction marks Catalyst Partners' first foray into the Saudi market.

REGULATION-

New anti-money laundering and terrorism financing guidelines for NBFIs: The Financial Regulatory Authority has issued new regulations to combat money laundering and terrorism financing for NBFIs, according to a decision published in the Official Gazette. The new regulations apply to the EGX, financial institutions, and entities licensed to engage in non-banking financial activities.

The details: The new rules require NBFIs to task an internal audit officer with assuring that the company remains in line with anti-money laundering and terrorism financing regulations, and stipulates that employees must be regularly trained in order to help them identify the signs of illicit activity. The new guidelines also lay out a set of general and sector-specific indicators to be used to determine whether certain activities might involve money laundering or terrorism financing.

BANKING-

Low-risk clients can now open up FX financial inclusion bank accounts, after the central bank greenlit the move, according to a CBE circular (pdf). The move aims to integrate more segments into the formal banking sector and facilitate transactions for those who require FX bank accounts.

The nitty-gritty: The new accounts will be available to individuals, as well as micro-enterprises classified as low-risk. The daily and monthly transaction limits for these accounts will be equivalent to those set for EGP accounts, based on the exchange rate at the time of transactions. Banks can issue debit cards for the FX account after securing the CBE’s approval.

REAL ESTATE-

Fast tracking Madinet Masr’s Sarai: Real estate developer Madinet Masr inked a EGP 600 mn strategic partnership with Redcon Spain Construction to speed up construction work in its Sarai Project in New Cairo, according to a statement (pdf). The constructor will take over the construction of the Z Villas in Sarai’s East Wave project — construction is expected to be completed next year.

INVESTMENT BANKING-

GB Capital to offer promotion, underwriting services: GB Corp’s NBFS arm GB Capital has acquired its promotion and underwriting license from the Financial Regulatory Authority, according to a statement (pdf). While not transitioning into an investment bank, the license allows the company to offer venture capital services and establish companies that issue or increase their capital through securities.

HOSPITALITY-

A new Hilton hotel is coming: Global hospitality brand Hilton will set up a Hilton Garden Inn in Borg El Arab in partnership with Tharaa Developments, according to a statement (pdf). The 135-key hotel is set to open in 2028 and will include lobby and pool bars, a restaurant, four meeting rooms, a gym, and direct beach access. The hotel’s location in Tharaa’s Glee development is just half an hour’s drive from Borg El Arab Airport and less than a two-hour drive from West Cairo.

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PLANET FINANCE

Expect more sovereign defaults over the next 10 years as debt burdened countries struggle to refinance, S&P Global Ratings says

Heading towards EM sovereign defaults? Sovereign defaults among emerging market countries may become more common over the next decade as heavy debt burdens make it difficult for these countries to keep up with high borrowing costs, the Financial Times reports, citing a report by S&P Global Ratings. Despite a global monetary easing cycle now underway, nations at risk of default are struggling to marshall the resources needed to service foreign currency debts, with new creditors also hard to come by. The story got ink from Reuters and Bloomberg.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background and outside sources.)

Pulse check: Despite there being no telltale sign for a sovereign default, S&P found that in the 12 months prior to defaulting, governments spent about a fifth of their revenue paying off interest payments on accumulated debts. Countries facing potential defaults include the Maldives — which was recently bailed out by India — and Argentina.

Defaults by a different name? Argentina’s President Javier Milei okayed a decree last month that allows swaps of maturing debt for new debt at market interest rates without prior approvals from legislators. These “buyback” transactions are expected to become more common, leading to less cut and dry notions of what it means for a country to default, senior sovereign ratings analyst at S&P Giulia Filocca explained. Despite appearing distinct from traditional defaults, such transactions can be categorized as distressed exchanges if done to avoid an outright default, Filocca adds.

Who's safe for now? Zambia and Sri Lanka have managed to rebound from defaults, the FT said. Meanwhile, Kenya and Pakistan narrowly avoided defaults this year thanks to new loans — with Saudi and the UAE among those extending financial support to Pakistan — and IMF bailouts. Despite this, they are unable to tap bond markets for refinancing due to high borrowing costs charged to governments in similar situations. Ghana recently exited default after restructuring debts, and Ukraine successfully refinanced over USD 20 bn in debt payments following a moratorium on payments due to Russia's invasion.

BUT- Nations that have restructured their debts carry that legacy in terms of lower ratings. “That points to the possibility of repeat defaults,” Emea sovereign specialist at S&P Global Ratings Frank Gill said. Fiscal alternatives and current account gains on the back of FDI may help to stave off defaults, but FDI performance has shown little signs of an uptick, Gill added.


Helmerich & Payne exits Adnoc Drilling: US oil and gas well drilling company Helmerich& Payne (H&P) fully divested its stake in Abu Dhabi National Oil Company’s (Adnoc) drilling unit, Adnoc Drilling, in a USD 197 mn transaction, according to a statement (pdf). The sale was completed through an accelerated book build (ABB), which “attracted a strong group of investors” despite unfavorable geopolitical conditions.

Background: H&P acquired its stake in Adnoc Drilling back in September 2021, making a USD 100 mn cornerstone investment during the company’s IPO. As part of the agreement, Adnoc Drilling also purchased eight FlexRig land rigs from H&P for USD 86.5 mn.

Advisors: EFG Hermes served as joint global coordinator for the ABB.

MARKETS THIS MORNING-

Asian markets are mixed at dispatch time this morning, with benchmarks we follow in Shanghai and Hong Kong slipping. Meanwhile, the ASX 200 and the Nikkei were both in the green.

Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P futures were all up slightly in overnight trading after the Dow and the S&P hit new record high closes yesterday. Futures also suggest major European benchmarks are set to start the trading day in the green a little later this morning.

EGX30

30,273

+1.1% (YTD: +21.6%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 48.55

Sell 48.68

USD (CIB)

Buy 48.54

Sell 48.64

Interest rates (CBE)

27.25% deposit

28.25% lending

Tadawul

11,960

-0.9% (YTD: -0.1%)

ADX

9,303

+0.5% (YTD: -2.9%)

DFM

4,455

+0.3% (YTD: +9.7%)

S&P 500

5,860

+0.8% (YTD: +22.9%)

FTSE 100

8,293

+0.5% (YTD: +7.2%)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,041

+0.7% (YTD: +11.5%)

Brent crude

USD 77.46

-2.0%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.48

-0.6%

Gold

USD 2,666

-0.4%

BTC

USD 65,951

+5.1% (YTD: +56.0%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 rose 1.1% at yesterday’s close on turnover of EGP 3.7 bn (10.3% below the 90-day average). Local investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 21.6% YTD.

In the green: Elsewedy Electric (+4.4%), Oriental Weavers (+3.8%), and Cleopatra Hospitals (+3.0%).

In the red: ADIB (-3.0%), EFG Holding (-0.8%), and Heliopolis Housing (-0.7%).

9

Going Green

Egypt could play a key role in the maritime industry’s decarbonization

Can Egypt captain the maritime decarbonization ship? Egypt’s recent strides in green methanol production are positioning the country to be a key player in the global maritime industry’s decarbonization efforts, with the Suez Canal Economic Zone (SCZone) a major focal point of the sector’s decarbonization push due to its substantial investments in green fuel infrastructure. In this week’s Going Green, we take stock of existing initiatives and make the case for Egypt at the center of a decarbonized global maritime industry.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

The global maritime industry is pushing for decarbonization: The International Maritime Organization has set ambitious targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions over the next quarter of a century, aiming for a 20% cut by 2030 and full decarbonization by 2050, according to Norwegian certification body DNV’s latest maritime forecast (pdf). While these targets may seem a stretch — particularly given that 93% of the global fleet still operates on traditional fossil fuels — the push is in line with global market pressures as cargo owners, financial institutions, and insurers all demand greener shipping options.

Alternative fuels are key to the transition: The industry is aiming to move toward low-carbon fuels like LNG, methanol, and ammonia to power the existing and future fleet. According to the DNV, the demand for carbon-neutral fuels is expected to reach between 7.7 mn to 52.9 mn tons of oil-equivalent by 2030.

There are some snags, though: The absence of large-scale availability of green fuels like green methanol and ammonia remains a key obstacle to maritime decarbonization in the short term. While the infrastructure for producing, storing, and transporting these fuels is currently under development, the shipping industry will also need to build new vessels that can accommodate a variety of fuel technologies or convert existing ships to accommodate new fuel types. And, once greater quantities of green fuel are available, the maritime industry will need to compete with other industries — such as the aviation, road transport, and industrial sectors — for existing supplies.

Within this global scenario, Maersk’s investment highlights Egypt’s potential: Egypt’s partnership with Maersk’s green methanol company C2X is a game-changer for the maritime industry’s fuel transition. The USD 3 bn investment will initially produce 300k tons of green methanol annually in the SCZone, with plans to scale up to 1 mn tons — representing a significant proportion of the between 4 and 6.7 tons of green methanol expected to be on supply in 2030. This positions Egypt as a key supplier of alternative fuels to the global shipping industry.

Why green methanol? Because a number of ships are already capable of running on methanol in addition to conventional fuels, carbon-neutral methanol is a particularly attractive green fuel for the maritime industry. While methanol-capable vessels represent only around 1% of existing global tonnage at present, they constitute nearly 10% of the shipping tonnage currently on order — making methanol-capable tonnage the second most-demanded type of tonnage on order after LNG-capable tonnage. While orders for ammonia-powered ships are also on the rise, they constitute only 0.7% of gross tonnage on order — meaning that green methanol is likely to be the primary low-carbon fuel source for the maritime industry going forward.

Scaling up production to meet global demand: Maersk’s global target of producing 3 mn tons of green methanol annually by 2030 is central to the maritime sector’s decarbonization efforts. Egypt’s role in this supply chain is critical, ensuring a steady supply of the carbon-neutral fuel needed to replace fossil fuels. In tandem with Maersk’s green methanol project in Spain and similar projects in Egypt and elsewhere, the global supply chain for green methanol is expanding — helping the industry meet its 2030 and 2050 decarbonization targets.

Green bunkering is part of this broader picture: The SCZone has said that it wants to roll out green methanol bunkering services before 2027, after receiving requests to supply ships with green methanol and gas. Recent agreements reflect that the SCZone is well on its way to making this a reality. Last year, the zone inked a USD 1.1 bn green methanol MoU with Scatec to provide ships bunkering at the East Port Said Port with up to 100k tons of green methanol by 2027. The SCZone also last year handed out a six-month renewable license to OCI subsidiary OCI Hyfuels, giving it the greenlight to roll out green methanol bunkering services at the East and West Port Said ports. More recently, the SCZone in April inked an MoU with the Port of Rotterdam to develop a green bunkering corridor that will link Singapore to Rotterdam through the Suez Canal, creating the first corridor for green bunkering between Asia, Africa, and Europe.

Rising costs are a challenge, but early investment pays off: The economic costs of decarbonization are significant, with estimates suggesting a rise in freight costs of 69% to 112% per ton-mile. Yet, investing in energy-saving technologies and adopting alternative fuels early on could lead to long-term savings. Technologies that reduce fuel consumption not only ensure regulatory compliance but also help shipowners maintain profitability as fuel costs rise.

Egypt’s advantage in green energy infrastructure: Egypt’s collaboration with Maersk is supported by the government’s ambitious goals of adding 28 GW of renewable energy to the country’s energy mix over the next five to seven years, ensuring the availability of renewable energy for green methanol production. As more countries and companies ramp up their investments in green fuels, Egypt’s established infrastructure gives it a competitive edge in the global green energy transition.

The country’s future in global maritime decarbonization looks promising: With substantial investment in green methanol and ongoing projects that align with global shipping decarbonization goals, Egypt is well-placed to become a leader in green fuel production. By supporting the maritime sector’s shift toward carbon-neutral alternatives, Egypt is not only contributing to global sustainability but also securing its position as a vital player in the future of shipping.


Your top green economy stories for the week:

  • The House approved a USD 15 mn USAID grant to help us fight climate change, with a specific focus on conserving coral reefs in the Red Sea and reducing pollution.
  • AMEA Power will launch its USD 800 mn Ras Ghareb wind farm in March 2025 with an initial 250 MW capacity, before cranking up to its full capacity of 500 MW by the end of July.
  • Germany’s PtX Development Fund granted Scatec EUR 30 mn to support its Egypt Green Hydrogen plant, developed with Fertiglobe, Orascom Construction, the Sovereign Fund of Egypt, and the Egyptian Electricity Transmission Company.
  • We’re getting EUR 7 mn from the EU: Planning Minister Rania Al Mashat and EU Ambassador Christian Berger signed a EUR 7 mn technical support package to support Egypt's green transition.

2024

OCTOBER

13-17 October (Sunday-Thursday): Cairo Water Week, Water and Climate: Building Resilient Communities, Cairo, Egypt.

17 October (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

20-22 October (Sunday-Tuesday): Mediterranean Offshore Conference, Alexandria, Egypt.

21 October (Monday): BEBA working luncheon with Aviation Minister Sameh El Hefny, Cairo, Egypt.

21-25 October (Monday-Friday): The second iteration of the Global Forum for Population, Health, and Human Development.

22-24 October (Tuesday-Thursday: 16th Brics Summit, Kazan, Russia

21-27 October (Monday-Sunday): The World Bank and IMF annual meetings.

NOVEMBER

4-8 November (Monday-Friday): World Urban Forum, Cairo, Egypt.

7-9 November (Thursday-Saturday): FinExpo Conference and Exhibition, Cairo.

11-15 November (Monday-Friday): Arab African Investment and International Cooperation Summit, Aswan, Egypt.

21 November (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

25-27 November (Monday-Wednesday): Annual Digital Nation Conference, Cairo, Egypt.

26-28 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Egypt Energy Show, Cairo, Egypt.

30 November (Saturday): Deadline to apply for renewable energy projects under the peer-to-peer (P2P) system.

DECEMBER

26 December (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2H 2024: Gov’t to launch the Cairo Ring Road BRT buses.

3Q 2024: Egyptian-Armenian Joint Committee.

First week of November: Egypt-Turkey high-level trade consultation mechanism.

November 2024: Egypt to host the World Urban Forum (WUF12).

End of 2024: The launch of the high-speed train line linking Ain Sokhna with Al Alamein City.

2025

May 2025: Egyptian Exporters Association (Expolink) exhibition, Italy.

July 2025: The first operational trail of Egypt-KSA electricity interconnection line.

March 2025: Operation of phase one of the Amotope wind farm

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2Q 2025: Safaga Terminal 2 to start operations.

2027

20 January-7 February: Egypt to host the African Games

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

End of 2027: Trial operations at the Dabaa nuclear power plant expected to take place.

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