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El Sisi inaugurates the country’s largest railway station

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What We're Tracking Today

Russia wants to de-dollarize Brics

Good morning, friends. We have a brisk issue for you to kick off the workweek.

PSA-

WEATHER- After a few cool days, the mercury is rising again. Cairo is expected to see a high of 34°C and a low of 24°C today, according to our favorite weather app.

It’s cooler in Alexandria, with a high of 31°C and a low of 21°C.

** DID YOU KNOW that we now cover Saudi Arabia and the UAE?

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SUNDAY MORNING SHOUT-OUT to our good friend Courtney Bailey, one of just 37 elementary- and middle-school principals from the United States and around the world to receive the 2024 National Association of Elementary School Principals Distinguished Principal Award. Courtney and the other award recipients were in Washington, DC, this past weekend for two days of activities that wrapped up with a banquet in their honor.

Courtney has been principal at Cairo American College's Middle School for the past 11 years, where he's made a difference in the lives of hundreds and hundreds of children — not least of which was the now-Resident Seventeen Year Old. He’s also had an outsized impact on families and on our wider community. We can think of few other people in any industry or walk of life as deserving of global recognition as he is. You can learn more about Courtney here.

SIGN OF THE TIMES-

A new Brics payment system to push against dollarization in the works? Russia is pushing for the nine-member bloc that includes Egypt to adopt changes to how local currency transactions are made between member nations to bypass the world’s dominant financial systems in a report (pdf) produced by the Russian state. The report argues that by more closely linking and enabling local currency transactions between commercial banks and also central banks in a network, in addition to using distributed ledger technology or a token system, they will be able to bolster bilateral trade between member nations and “ring-fence its participants from any external pressures such as extraterritorial sanctions.”

The timeline: “We plan to create payment and settlement solutions that will be acceptable to all participants within a year. And within five years, we hope to see other financial market tools being integrated as well, including those in ins. and credit ratings,” Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov in comments on the report’s launch.

There are also calls for Brics to launch its own IMF: Russia is also calling for the creation of an alternative to the Fund, arguing that the current global financial system is dominated by Western nations — who often use this a tool to pressure nations — and that new financial institutions are needed to better serve Brics nations, which now make up over 36% of the global economy.

The why: Russia is pushing the idea in the run up to its hosting the Brics Summit later this month on 22-24 October, following years of economic hardship after Western-led sanctions following its invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Around half of the country’s foreign currency reserves — amounting to USD 350 bn — have been frozen and the banking sector has been excluded from the Swift international payments network.

It looks like Egypt is open to the idea: Egypt is also seeking reforms to the international monetary system to create a more inclusive system that serves the interests of emerging markets, Finance Minister Ahmed Kouchouk said at a ministerial meeting in Russia in the run up to the summit.

Egypt wants more from dev banks: “We want to increase the volume and amount of multilateral concessional financing we’re getting from development banks, international institutions, and bilateral partners,” Kouchouk said. He also called for more blended finance to boost cross-border partnership between the public and private sectors.

SPEAKING OF THE IMF- The Fund is slashing surcharges — additional fees imposed on countries that borrow beyond their quota or delay loan repayments — by 36% on average starting 1 November, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said in a statement on Friday following a review of the policy. The move comes amid rising concerns that the rising financial burden — especially with the global high-interest rate environment — can be counterproductive to the aims of the original financial support and unfairly punishes struggling nations.

This is good news for Egypt: Egypt is the Fund’s second largest debtor with USD 13.3 bn — behind only Argentina. Before the decision, Egypt had been forecasted to pay the IMF USD 646 mn in surcharges over the next five years — marking it as the world’s fourth largest surcharge payer — according to the Centre for Economic Policy Research.

HAPPENING TODAY-

#1- It’s day one of Cairo Water Week: The annual Cairo Water Week will open its doors in a few hours at Cairo’s Triumph Luxury Hotel, welcoming representatives from the private and public sectors from home and abroad to discuss the importance of water management, climate change, and much more. The event will run until Thursday under the theme Water and Climate: Building Resilient Communities. Check out the week’s agenda and register to attend on the event’s official website.


#2- Attention, executives: The AUC School of Business is hosting a webinar for those interested in its next upcoming executive MBA program — whose 30 November application deadline is fast approaching. Jumping on the call will be professor Ayman Ismail along with Zilla Capital Managing Partner Moustafa El Shenety and Softi Managing Director Engy El Barkouki — two alumni of the program. You can find the link to register on the Newton Education Services’ socials.

HAPPENING THIS WEEK-

#1- GEM to launch partial trial operations on Wednesday ahead of grand opening, Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly said in a televised statement. The initial phase will see the museum’s main hall opened, with other sections to follow in a phased rollout ahead of a grand official inauguration.


#2- It’s interest rate decision time: The Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee will meet this Thursday to decide on our interest rate trajectory. Belief among analysts that a potential cut is still off the table was bolstered by September’s inflation data, which showed inflation accelerating for the second consecutive month.

Remember: The central bank left interest rates unchanged in its last meeting in September, citing cooling domestic and global inflation, an uncertain local trajectory for commodity prices, and slow economic growth. Rates have been stable since March, when the central bank delivered a jumbo 600 bps rate hike that accompanied the float of the EGP.

DATA POINT-

Shipping volume passing through the Suez Canal was down 70% y-o-y in 3Q 2024, as shipping lines continue to divert away from the route amid continued Houthi attacks on passing vessels, according to data from the IMF’s PortWatch.

WATCH THIS SPACE-

#1- State statistics agency Capmas will launch a national survey on international migration tomorrow, according to a statement from the agency cited by local media outlets. The survey aims to collect data on migrant demographics and trends, as well as factors influencing migration. This initiative will be funded by the EU and done in partnership with the International Organization for Migration.


#2- The General Authority for Investment and Freezones (GAFI) will set up five more freezones under the special freezones system in response to investor demand, an unnamed government official told Al Arabiya. The new zones will be located in Greater Cairo and New Alamein and will cover various sectors. The in-the-works zones are in addition to the sixareas already listed in GAFI’s plan for next year.

ENTERPRISEAM IS LOOKING FOR SMART, TALENTED PEOPLE of all backgrounds to help us build some very cool new things. EnterpriseAM — the essential morning read on all the important news shaping business and the economy in Egypt, GCC, and the wider region — is looking for writers, reporters, and editors to help us build out new publications.

NEVER WORKED IN A NEWSROOM BEFORE? We have the EnterpriseAM Business Writing Development Program. Whether you are a recent graduate, an industry vet, or looking to switch careers, the EnterpriseAM Business Writing Development Program will give you the tools you need to tell the most important stories to our audience of C-suite officials, government ministers, diplomats, financiers, investors, and entrepreneurs.

Not an internship program — a career: The three-month program will see full-time, paid participants take part in workshops and lectures from veteran business journalists on subject matter knowledge, while also working on constructing and filing EnterpriseAM stories that will run on any of our publications. Those who have successfully completed the program, will then be given long-term job offers.

Apply directly to jobs@enterprisemea.com and mention “writing development program” in your subject line.

THE BIG STORY ABROAD-

Israel expands its attacks on Lebanon: Israel ordered the evacuation of new locations in Lebanon yesterday as it ramped up its attacks. Yesterday’s attacks across three different areas across the country — including one that was previously untouched — killed no less than 15 and injured 37 others.

Attacks on Gaza continue: Israeli forces ramped up their airstrikes in northern Gaza on Saturday, killing at least 29 Palestinians in the Jabaliya area. Residents in northern Gaza have not received any food aid since 1 October according to the UN World Food Program, which estimates that around 400k Gazans remain in the area. The UN independent food rights investigator has accused Israel of carrying a “starvation campaign,” a claim that Israel denies. (Reuters | Associated Press)

AND IN BUSINESS NEWS- Boeing announced plans to cut 17k jobs — nearly 10% of its workforce — and delay its delivery of the 777X jet as the embattled company enters its fifth week of a machinists’ strike that has brought production of two of its models to a standstill. The company is currently waiting for the US’ National Labor Relations Board to rule on the unfair labor practice charge Boeing filed against the machinists’ union last week.

Boeing is feeling the pain: The machinists’ strike comes after a particularly difficult year for the company, which has come under considerable scrutiny after a high-profile accident on one of its planes in January prompted questions about the airplane manufacturer’s safety protocols and encouraged regulators to limit its production. S&P Global Ratings warned last week that Boeing’s bonds could soon be downgraded to junk status, estimating that the strike is costing the airplane manufacturer around USD 1 bn per month. (Financial Times | Reuters | CNBC).

AND- The 2024 Nobel Peace Prize went to Japan’s Nihon Hidankyo, a group of atomic bomb survivors who have dedicated their lives to push for “a world free of nuclear weapons” and demonstrate “through witness testimony that nuclear weapons must never be used again.” (DW | Reuters | BBC | New York Times)

Somabay, every reason to fall in love.

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INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

Egypt, Romania ink natural gas, SME, investment agreements during joint committee

Round four of the Egypt, Romania joint committee: Egypt and Romania have bolstered their economic ties with a series of agreements signed during the fourth session of the Joint Committee for Economic Cooperation in Bucharest, according to a Planning and International Cooperation Ministry statement. Led by Planning, Economic Development, and International Cooperation Minister Rania Al Mashat and Romania’s Economy Minister Stefan-Radu Oprea, the talks marked the first joint committee meeting in five years, focusing on future investments in energy, agriculture, and SME development.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

#1- Town Gas to help link up Romania’s natural gas grid: State-owned Egyptian Company for Natural Gas Distribution — more commonly known as Town Gas — signed contracts with Romania’s Cis Gaz to manage linking natural gas distribution grids in Romania, the Oil Ministry said in a statement. The agreement — which builds on an earlier MoU between the two from late 2023 — will see Town Gas locally manufacture pressure regulating stations.

#2- MSMEDA signs MoU with Romanian Economy Ministry: The Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprise Development Agency (MSMEDA) signed an agreement with Romania’s Economy, Entrepreneurship, and Tourism Ministry to enhance cooperation in SME development, focusing on sectors like agriculture, textile, and technology, according to an MSMEDA statement.

#3- More Egyptian-Romanian investments? The General Authority for Investment and Freezones (GAFI) inked an MoU centered around investment with its Roman counterpart InvestRomania. Details of the agreement are yet to emerge.

#4- Cooperation with Romania’s Exim Bank in the cards?The two sides looked into future cooperation between Romania's Exim Bank and the Egyptian banking system.

AND- Al Mashat launched the Egyptian-Romanian Business Forum with participation from 130 companies from both countries, spotlighting opportunities in trade, ICT, tourism, and agriculture, according to a statement. The cooperation minister invited Romanian companies to the next joint committee in Cairo to explore further collaboration, with both countries eyeing joint ventures in energy and other competitive sectors.

ALSO- Romanian Foreign Minister Luminita Odobescu is set to visit Egypt later this month, according to a statement from the Planning and International Cooperation Ministry.

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Investment Watch

Delta Steel is in line for a EGP 5.5 bn upgrade

Delta Steel set for private sector cash infusion to boost production: Garawany Group subsidiary International SteelIndustry is looking to invest EGP 5.5 bn to upgrade and expand state-owned Delta Steel through a nine-year lease agreement, the company’s CEO Ahmed El Garawany told Enterprise. The expansion should push Delta Steel’s production capacity to 800k tons a year by October 2025 and 1.2 mn tons a year by January 2027 when all development work wraps up.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

Where will the money come from? The investment will be 75% self-financed, with the remaining 25% sourced from local and European banks.

The details: The Metallurgical Industries Holding subsidiary is set to channel 60% of its steel production output to Egypt, 20% to Gulf markets — led by Saudi Arabia — and the remaining 20% to Europe, El Garawany said. Domestic demand is set to grow, he added, pointing to the Ras El Hekma project and the recent return of the 2008 Building Law.

What happens when the lease is up? While International Steel Industry had initially proposed to jointly invest in developing Delta Steel alongside the Public Enterprise Ministry, the ministry did not respond to the proposal, El Garawany said. As such, the company will either recover its development costs or remove its development equipment from Delta Steel’s production lines once the lease is up. El Garawany noted that the company expects to generate returns on its investment in no more than four years.

An attempted stake purchase turns into a lease: Last year, Delta Steel saw a number of firms — including International Steel Industry, Al Gioshy Steel, and El Garhy Steel, among others — express interest inacquiringa stake in the state-owned steel firm. During that period, International Steel Industries commissioned a fair value study of Delta undertaken by Global Appraisal Tech that valued the company at no more than USD 85 mn — well below the Public Enterprise Ministry’s sticker price of USD 170 mn, El Garawany told us. In light of this price differential, International Steel Industry opted for a nine-year lease agreement instead of a stake purchase.

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Diplomacy

El Sisi talks cooperation with his Somali, Eritrean counterparts

Egypt, Eritrea, Somalia discuss regional issues: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi met his Somali and Eritrean counterparts on Thursday during his visit to Eritrea — the three sides discussed the need to strengthen cooperation amid regional challenges, according to an Ittihadeya statement. The talks focused on peace in Somalia and ending the civil war in Sudan, alongside increasing cooperation on countering threats to navigation in the Red Sea.

And more trade between all three: “We were in agreement on the need to strengthen and expand trade and investment ties among our three countries, and to work closely together on capacity building and knowledge transfer,” El Sisi said during the joint presser.

5

Moves

Waleed Ahmed appointed as Oracle Egypt’s new country manager

Oracle has a new Egypt head: Waleed Ahmed (LinkedIn) has been appointed ascountry manager for IT service provider Oracle Egypt. The 24-year plus Oracle veteran takes up the role alongside his current position as vice president of applications for Eastern, Central Europe, Middle East, and Africa midmarket.

Tags:

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LAST NIGHT’S TALK SHOWS

El Sisi inaugurates Egypt’s largest railway station

El Sisi inaugurates the country’s newest railway station: President Abdel Fattah El Sisi yesterday inaugurated the country’s newest and largest railway station — Giza’s Bashteel station — saying that it, along with other national projects being set up, is reviving the transport sector after it has been neglected for decades (watch, runtime: 1:26:24). The station was designed and constructed by regional engineering and construction giant Hassan Allam Holding.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

It didn’t come cheap: The government has spent some EGP 2 tn on the transport sector over the past ten years, El Sisi said.

Open invitation for investment: El Sisi highlighted the country’s import bill between 2014 and 2023, which included USD 9 bn in mobile phone imports and USD 23 bn in pharma imports. “This import bill represents an opportunity for you,” El Sisi said, encouraging investors to invest in localizing the manufacturing of imported goods. The president called on “investors and industrialists to review the products being imported and shift toward localization in order to create jobs and ramp up tax revenues.”

All aboard Bashteel’s first train: The station will receive its first train at 7:35 am today, Egyptian National Railways (ENR) head Mohamed Amer told Ala Mas'ouleety's Ahmed Moussa (watch, runtime: 6:35). He explained that work on the station began two years ago and was carried out by ENR-owned companies.

Improving Cairo’s traffic flow: The Bashteel station is set to improve railway performance and help with Cairo’s traffic flow, engineering professor Osama Okail told Salaat El Tahrir’s Faten Abdel Maaboud (watch, runtime: 5:29). “Prior to the Bashteel station, all trains used to arrive at Ramses Station … Countries don’t have central stations in major capitals, instead there are terminal stations to reduce the volume of traffic in the city,” he explained.

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EGYPT IN THE NEWS

Changes to Egypt’s high school curriculum in the spotlight

The shakeup of the country’s high school curriculum has caught the attention of the international press, with Reuters writing that the recent changes to the curriculum “have left teachers and pupils scrambling to adjust, laying bare strains on state education provision.” The newswire connects the recent reduction in the number of subjects that count towards final grades with the state’s attempts to maintain the quality of public education while keeping the burden on the public purse in check amid a rising population.

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Also on our Radar

Egypt unveils package of incentives to boost yacht tourism

INFRASTRUCTURE-

More efforts to boost yacht tourism: The Suez Canal Authority (SCA) has rolled out fresh incentives and facilities for yachts passing through the waterway in a bid to promote yacht and marine tourism along the Red Sea coast — effective 1 November, according to a statement. Under the new guidelines, yachts over 300 tons will be able to join the direct ship convoy and bypass waiting at anchor in the Great Lakes, provided they meet the canal’s navigation regulations. Meanwhile, yachts under 300 tons will receive a 20% discount on return transit fees if they return from the Red Sea to the Mediterranean within 60 days.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

They also get docking discounts: Yachts docked for over 90 days at the Ismailia Yacht Marina will get a 20% discount on the transit fee for the trip, and smaller yachts docking at the authority's marinas in Port Said or Suez to complete transit procedures will enjoy a 50% discount on docking fees, as long as they don’t stay overnight or use services like electricity or water.

Remember: Egypt has been making moves to attract more yacht tourism — a lucrative source of FX — since the 2021 launch of its yacht tourism strategy, which saw the state update maps of all marinas nationwide, identify promising destinations that could attract more tourists, and set regulatory frameworks that unified the rules for establishing and operating marinas across the country.

ENERGY-

Egypt-Saudi electricity interconnection set to launch ahead of schedule: Egypt is expected to launch trial operations of the first phase of its USD 1.8 bn Egypt-Saudi interconnection project in April 2025 instead of May, Asharq Business reports, citing an unnamed government source. The first phase of the project — which will see 1.5 GW of the planned 3 GW come online — is set to be completed by June instead of July 2025.

MANUFACTURING-

The first made-in-Egypt EV battery is around the corner: The Arab Organization for Industrialization (AOI) is close to producing batteries for electric vehicles, Al Borsa writes, citing the chairman of AOI’s Kader Factory Amr Abdel Aziz.

The details: Last year, AOI signed a cooperation protocol with auto batteries manufacturer Chloride Egypt and e-mobility firm BluEV to set up a factory to produce lithium-ion batteries and electric propulsion systems for light EVs. Abdel Aziz said that the partnership between the AOI, the Electronics Research Institute, and design and engineering firm RFBox has successfully produced an integrated center to assemble and produce lithium batteries for light EVs in the Kader Factory.

DEVELOPMENT FINANCE-

KOICA to support auto vocational training: The Korea International Cooperation Agency (KOICA) will develop a green vehicle maintenance curriculum and training program at vocational schools in Egypt under a USD 10 mn project that aims to boost employment for graduates, Al Borsa reports. The agency will provide equipment to the centers as part of the program, and will help foster partnerships between training centers and industry stakeholders. The project builds on a previous KOICA project around vocational training in the automotive sector.

STARTUPS-

DisrupTech is mulling new fund: Local fintech- and tech-focused VC DisrupTech Ventures is considering launching a new USD 70 mn investment fund in 2026, founder Mohamed Okasha told Asharq Business. The fund will be launched once the company’s existing USD 35 mn fund is closed, according to Okasha, who said that his firm is yet to decide which sectors the new fund will target.

The firm is eyeing USD 16 mn worth of investments: Okasha said that his company is gearing up to invest USD 16 mn in fintech startups during the next 18 months, adding that DisrupTech is currently eyeing investments in 7-8 companies.

EXPANSION-

Le Marche is heading to Saudi Arabia: The region’s largest furniture exhibition Le Marche is launching in Saudi Arabia, following the signing of a strategic partnership between Tarek Nour Communications and Saudi company ALG Exhibitions.

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PLANET FINANCE

US inflation cools, sets stage for modest rate cut in November

US inflation sent mixed messages in September, as annual CPI fell to 2.4% from 2.5% in August, while the headline index crept up by 0.2%, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. But core inflation, which excludes food and energy prices, rose to 3.3%, up from 3.2%, marking its first increase in 18 months. Analysts did not expect this and had predicted core inflation would hold steady, Bloomberg reports.

(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to our background as well as external sources.)

The reading indicates that inflation is “dying, but not dead,” CNN quotes Olu Sonola, Fitch Ratings head of US economic research, as saying.

While inflation is inching closer to the Fed’s 2% target, the latest reading indicates a more moderate path. “Anyone who thought the Fed would lower rates by another 0.50 basis points in November is dead wrong,” said Jamie Cox of Harris Financial Group. Instead, the Fed will likely cut rates at a slower, more “measured pace,” Cox told Reuters.

The most probable outcome? A 25 bps rate cut in November, with December still up in the air, Sonola added.

EGX30

30,762

-1.3% (YTD: +23.6%)

USD (CBE)

Buy 48.50

Sell 48.64

USD (CIB)

Buy 48.51

Sell 48.61

Interest rates (CBE)

27.25% deposit

28.25% lending

Tadawul

11,994

+0.6% (YTD: +0.2%)

ADX

9,261

+0.1% (YTD: -3.3%)

DFM

4,441

+0.1% (YTD: +9.4%)

S&P 500

5,815

+0.6% (YTD: +21.9%)

FTSE 100

8,254

+0.2% (YTD: +6.7%)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,004

+0.7% (YTD: +10.7%)

Brent crude

USD 79.04

-0.5%

Natural gas (Nymex)

USD 2.63

-1.6%

Gold

USD 2,676

+1.4%

BTC

USD 63,074

+0.1% (YTD: +49.1%)

THE CLOSING BELL-

The EGX30 fell 1.3% at Thursday’s close on turnover of EGP 5.4 bn (31.1% above the 90-day average). International investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 23.6% YTD.

In the green: Cleopatra Hospitals (+7.0%), Oriental Weavers (+4.9%), and Abu Qir Fertilizers (+2.4%).

In the red: Ezz Steel (-7.5%), AMOC (-7.3%), and Fawry (-4.0%).


2024

OCTOBER

7-11 October (Monday-Friday): Egyptian-Romanian Business Council Forum, Bucharest, Romania.

10-12 October (Thursday-Saturday): Egy Health Expo, Egypt International Exhibition Center, Cairo.

10-12 October (Thursday-Saturday): The EVs Electricity Egypt Expo and Conference.

13-17 October (Sunday-Thursday): Cairo Water Week, Water and Climate: Building Resilient Communities, Cairo, Egypt.

17 October (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

20-22 October (Sunday-Tuesday): Mediterranean Offshore Conference, Alexandria, Egypt.

21-25 October (Monday-Friday): The second iteration of the Global Forum for Population, Health, and Human Development.

22-24 October (Tuesday-Thursday: 16th Brics Summit, Kazan, Russia

21-27 October (Monday-Sunday): The World Bank and IMF annual meetings.

NOVEMBER

4-8 November (Monday-Friday): World Urban Forum, Cairo, Egypt.

7-9 November (Thursday-Saturday): FinExpo Conference and Exhibition, Cairo.

11-15 November (Monday-Friday): Arab African Investment and International Cooperation Summit, Aswan, Egypt.

21 November (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

26-28 November (Tuesday-Thursday): Egypt Energy Show, Cairo, Egypt.

30 November (Saturday): Deadline to apply for renewable energy projects under the peer-to-peer (P2P) system.

DECEMBER

26 December (Thursday): Central Bank of Egypt’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting.

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2H 2024: Gov’t to launch the Cairo Ring Road BRT buses.

3Q 2024: Egyptian-Armenian Joint Committee.

First week of November: Egypt-Turkey high-level trade consultation mechanism.

November 2024: Egypt to host the World Urban Forum (WUF12).

End of 2024: The launch of the high-speed train line linking Ain Sokhna with Al Alamein City.

2025

May 2025: Egyptian Exporters Association (Expolink) exhibition, Italy.

July 2025: The first operational trail of Egypt-KSA electricity interconnection line.

March 2025: Operation of phase one of the Amotope wind farm

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

2Q 2025: Safaga Terminal 2 to start operations.

2027

20 January-7 February: Egypt to host the African Games

EVENTS WITH NO SET DATE

End of 2027: Trial operations at the Dabaa nuclear power plant expected to take place.

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