VAT executive regulations are at hand: Finance Minister Amr El Garhy signed off on the executive regulations for the value-added tax (VAT) last night, top government officials tell Al Borsa. El Garhy had told President Abdel Fattah El Sisi in a Tuesday meeting that the regulations would be official “in a few days’ time” and had been amended to incorporate some of the opinions of Egypt’s business community and a number of recommendations by the Egyptian Council of State (Maglis Al Dawla) from last week. The Maglis had proposed around 30 amendments to the draft regulations that state officials said would not all be accommodated. We’ll be on the lookout for a copy of the executive regulations for the value-added tax in the pages of the official gazette over the next few days, but you can tap here for a refresher on the regs.
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The drop in the FX rate is accelerating, Ihab Farouk writes for Reuters’ Arabic service. Demand for USD has been increasing given the anticipated Fed rate hike as well as seasonal demand in preparation for Ramadan. Beltone Financial’s Hany Genena says all currencies are losing ground to the USD in anticipation of the rate increase and what is happening now shows that the central bank is not intervening directly in the market. There is an uptick in clients’ activities to withdraw USD from their accounts, bankers told Reuters.
… In the market between banks, however, there was a lack of activity: The interbank market has stagnated this month “after the flurry of activity in February caused by an influx of foreign inflows died down,” Asma Alsharif writes for Reuters. "There was a snowball effect which started after the sale of the Eurobonds ... The funds came in and the [USD] price started declining and people started to panic and sell their [USD]," one banker said, and this drove the price of USD down. “The market is fragile and not very deep so if [USD 200-300 mn] enters the market at once they can make a difference,” the banker explains “foreign investors did not leave but no new inflows came in either and the market stopped for a bit at that level ... In the third week of Feb things started slowing down. Currently there is no supply and the interbank market is stagnant.” Banks will need to raise their USD rates in order to attract more liquidity into the banking system again, another banker noted.
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A wave of protests broke out in Alexandria, Kafr El Sheikh, Minya, Assiut, Giza, and Fayoum yesterday in opposition to Supply Minister Ali El Moselhy’s decision last week to cut down on the number of subsidized loaves of bread bakeries can sell per day through the golden card system to 500 from 3,000, Al Mal reports. Police moved to disperse the protests in Alexandria, where demonstrators cut off the tramway and blocked roads.
For the unacquainted with the complexities of the bread subsidies system, some background: Egyptians eligible for bread subsidies who travel for work in a different governorate than where they reside officially are issued temporary cards that allow them to obtain subsidized bread from bakeries. These bakeries are issued golden cards that track the distribution of bread to temporary card holders. It is these temporary card holders causing all the fuss.
El Moselhy appeared to backtrack on the decision, announcing in a press conference that the cap will be lifted only in Alexandria and Giza — the two most affected governorates by the cap. Despite reassuring temporary card holders that they would receive their allotted five loaves, El Moselhy defended the caps, saying that the entire golden card system needed to be reformed. The system had made it hard to monitor distribution of bread and left the program vulnerable to fraud. The caps, he added, were necessary to “right a wrong” and ensure subsidies were not squandered. You can view the whole press conference here (watch, runtime 36:53).
It is hard to tell what impact these protests will have over El Moselhy’s move to reform the bread subsidies system as a whole, which he says is self-defeating and has been costing the state an additional EGP 500 mn per month. He has been considering cutting the daily allotment of subsidies bread to three loaves from five.
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“No political reasons for postponement”: The Egyptian Electricity Holding Company said it is postponing ruling on bids to the financial and technical tender for the Egypt-Saudi Arabia electricity interconnection project to mid-April, according to Daily News Egypt. Sources said “the delay is not due to strained political relations between Egypt and Saudi Arabia, but the desire of both parties to complete the project in the best way possible.” The tender for the Medina-Tabuk substations will be posted by Saudi Arabia on 16 April and the tender for the Badr-Nabq lines in Egypt will be announced on 19 April. The tenders involve connecting 450 km of lines between the Badr City power station to the Nabq City switch station, from which 850 km in lines will be extended to east of the Medina power station, passing through the Tabuk station. Alstom, ABB, and Siemens have all applied for the tender, Daily News Egypt notes. The results of the tender were pushed back before in January.
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Meanwhile, negotiations with Singapore’s PSA International over platform management at the East Port Said port ended after the latter insisted on being given rights to manage all platforms for 10 years, Youm7 reports. Suez Canal Authority chief Mohab Mamish said his team is currently studying seven other management offers, including one from China’s COSCO Shipping Lines. The Suez Canal Economic Zone had been in talks with PSA over building and operating a container terminal in East Port Said since last month.
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EFG Hermes topped February 2017 brokerage league table for main market transactions, with a 19.56% market share, followed by Pharos Securities (11.69%), CI Capital (8.65%), Beltone Securities Brokerage (4.87%), and Pioneers Securities (3.78%).
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A group of auto distributors is reportedly refusing to receive their March car shipments from agents due to the slump in sales they have been experiencing since the EGP float, Al Mal reports. Recent discounts that ranged from EGP 18k-51k for some brands were unable to reverse the downtrend in auto sales that began in November and carried through in the first quarter of 2017. GB Auto, Nissan Egypt, and Kia Motors were among those who announced price reductions.
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Is Egypt’s euphoria with malls coming at a bad time? Mega malls opening in Egypt are coming at a bad time as high inflation slows down spending, argues Hossam Abougabal in a Middle East business intelligence piece. Abougabal writes that “living costs have increased drastically since November 2016, with the outlook for retail in the 2017 looking uncertain as prices continue to rise.” He cites Majid Al Futtaim’s (MAF) newly opened Mall of Egypt, its Almaza City Centre Mall which is due to open in 2019, Capital Mall which is launching at the end of 2017, and Madinaty Mega Mall, which is slated to open in early 2018. “Future supply is safe as Egypt’s economy looks to improve in the coming years. The shock of increased living costs will stabilise as incomes inevitably increase,” according to Abougabal. Opportunity lies in developing local brands, he says.
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A court has issued an arrest warrant for steel magnate Ahmed Ezz in the case regarding obtaining a steel production license, Reuters’ Arabic service noted. The case was adjourned until 4 April. An arrest order was also issued for former Industrial Development Authority Chairman Amr Assal, a co-defendant in the case. According to lawyer Mohamed Hammouda, the court’s decision was procedural and came after the two defendants’ lawyers requested to postpone the plea hearing several times, Al Masry Al Youm reports.
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A photo purportedly showing CBE Governor Tarek Amer and former investor minister Dalia Khorshid getting married has leaked, courtesy of Youm7. The photo appears to confirm rumors that have been circulating in low-tier newspapers for several months that the two married in secret. It remains unclear when the photo was taken.
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