The IMF says it is working with the Ismail government and the Central Bank of Egypt to “bring inflation under control and supports the steps the Egyptian authorities are taking to protect its poorest and most vulnerable citizens,” the Fund said in a statement following Managing Director Christine Lagarde’s meeting with President Abdel Fattah El Sisi last week. “Egypt is implementing a strong economic reform program to help the economy return to its full potential, achieve more growth and create more jobs. We recognize the sacrifices made and the difficulties faced by many Egyptian citizens, especially due to high inflation.” Lagarde said. Bloomberg’s Tarek El Tablawy cited an Ittihadiya statement (pdf), that “underscored Egypt's commitment to continuing cooperation with the IMF, particularly in the area of technical assistance.” El Sisi also noted the “patience” Egyptian have displayed so far despite the economic challenges. (Ittihadiya has also released a readout (pdf) of the president’s meeting with US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin.)
CBE Governor Tarek Amer had earlier told Al Masry Al Youm that the central bank is closely following inflation rates and is pushing ahead with economic and fiscal reforms.
This comes as analysts taking part in FocusEconomics’ monthly Consensus Forecast for MENA (paywall) predict inflation will average 22.3% in 2017, raising their projection from 20.2% in last month’s report. The report expects inflation will drop significantly to 13.9% in 2018. “The Egyptian government continues to walk a tightrope as it attempts to reignite its economy and improve its external position while easing tensions among frustrated Egyptians, who have borne the brunt of the government’s measures,” according to a statement picked up by Daily News Egypt. Analysts have lowered their expectations for GDP growth in FY 2017 to 3.0% and forecast it to grow to 3.8% in FY 2018.
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IPO WATCH- The initial public offering for MM Group has been covered around 19.27x, Osama Rashad, head of investor relations at Beltone, told Reuters. “A private placement, completed on Monday was more than nine times over subscribed. The group's shares are expected to start trading [on] Tuesday.” MM Group priced its offering at EGP 5.96 and raised EGP 708 mn from selling 30% of its shares, the wire service reports.
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Raya Contact Center is looking to raise EGP 100 mn from its IPO on the EGX and will use the proceeds to expand into the Moroccan market, Al Mal reports. The company expects to begin operating in Morocco by 2018 with its eyes set on providing services to the French market. The company’s chief executive said USD 7 mn have been allocated for the expansion in Morocco so far and Raya is also looking to secure a USD 4.1 mn bank loan.
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The Sabbour Group is contemplating the IPO of subsidiary Al Ahly for Real Estate Development by mid-2017, Managing Director Ahmed Sabbour told Al Borsa yesterday. Al Ahly — a joint venture between Sabbour Consulting and the National Bank of Egypt — is looking to finance expansion plans through the offering. The company plans to invest some EGP 4 bn in new and ongoing projects, Sabbour added. While he noted that the company was in talks with potential advisors on the transaction, no firm has yet been appointed global coordinator or bookrunner for the offering.
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M&A WATCH- The Egyptian Financial Supervisory Authority (EFSA) has reportedly signed off on the EGP 27.5 mn sale of NBK Capital’s local brokerage arm to consortium led by businessman Ramses Attiya. The group is said to have acquired an 80% stake, while investors Mohamed Keshk and Ali Allouba are each expected to close on the acquisition of 10% stakes by the end of April.
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MOVES- Karim Khadr has been appointed managing director of CI Capital Securities Brokerage, taking over from Khaled Abdel Rahman, Al Borsa reports. Khadr was previously the head of research at CI Capital. Abdel Rahman had joined CI Capital in 2010, having earlier been MD at HC’s brokerage arm and had earlier worked in the GCC in senior positions at Global Investment House (Kuwait), Abu Dhabi Financial Services Company and the National Bank of Abu Dhabi.
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Private equity firm Actis has reportedly completed its exit from Edita Food Industries, selling the last of what the newspaper says was an 8% holdings in a transaction worth EGP 897.6 mn last Thursday, Al Borsa reported on Thursday. The newspaper is reporting that the full stake was placed with international institutional investors. The emerging markets private equity specialist had bought a 30% stake in Edita back in 2013 for EGP 700 mn and had been selling off portions of its stake since the Edita IPO in 2015, according to the newspaper.
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The government plans on repaying USD 500 mn of the USD 3.5 bn it owes IOCs next month, top Petroleum Ministry officials tell Al Borsa. The figure differs from what Petroleum Minister Tarek El Molla had announced late last month, when he promised that Egypt would be cutting its overdue arrears by half “within weeks,” using funds from the second tranches of its loans from the World Bank and African Development Bank.
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WTO delegation to visit Cairo this week for policy review:A World Trade Organization (WTO) delegation will land in Cairo this week for a three-day visit during which they will review Egypt’s economic, trade, and investment policies, according to Trade Minister Tarek Kabil, Al Borsa says. We expect the discussions to extend to the proposed automotive directive and import restrictions that Egypt imposed last year under the exporters registry, which drew the ire and complaints by some of Egypt’s trading partners, including the EU and Turkey.
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Shockingly, entrenched interest are opposing the Universal Healthcare Act: The self-appointed “Egyptian Committee to Defend the Right to Healthcare” has launched a campaign to oppose the Universal Healthcare Act, which was recently approved by the Ismail cabinet, Ahram Online reports. In a statement on Saturday, the group said that the quality conditions set by the bill on public hospitals would be impossible to meet since the government had repeatedly failed to meet constitutional requirements for healthcare spending. They believe that this will open the door to the privatization of public hospitals. The group also contends that the tithe paid by employees into the state health insurance fund was an excessive burden. According to the committee, the campaign's launch statement has already been signed by a number of public figures, doctors, activists, MPs, political parties and NGOs. To all of that we say: haters gonna hate.
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“Banks that lend to women-owned SMEs could tap into a currently unserved credit market worth USD 283 mn,” said Nada Shousha, IFC Senior Advisor in Egypt, at a roundtable discussion. “In Egypt, women represent just 12% of permanent full-time workers and 30% of business owners. Only 7 percent of Egypt’s firms are led by a female executive, and they earn, on average, about 22% less than their male counterparts. If Egypt closed these gaps and achieved full gender parity in its labor market, it could see its gross domestic product increase by 34%.”
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We’re trying, desperately hard, not to cheerlead: Members of the House of Representatives are reportedly close to completing a draft law that would ban the wearing of niqab in state institutions, according to Asharq Al Awsat. This comes as the State Commissioner’s Agency at the Council of State is urging the Supreme Administrative Court to issue a final ruling on whether niqab is banned at Cairo University.
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An Italian court banned the use of Uber in the country in a ruling on Friday which upheld a complaint filed by taxi drivers unions that the app constituted unfair competition, the Guardian reports. The court gave Uber ten days to end the use of its various phone applications on Italian territory, along with the promotion and advertising of them. Uber faces fines of EUR 10,000 for each day it remains in defiance of the court. The order is subject to appeal, and the company promptly announced its intention to do just that.
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