Good afternoon, friends, and welcome to a new work week.
THE BIG STORY TODAY
Regional geopolitical tensions hit Suez Canal revenues hard: The ongoing Israeli assault and the resulting consequences had a strong impact on revenues from Suez Canal over the past 7-8 months, President Abdel Fattah El Sisi said this morning, revealing that the loss could be up to 50-60% of the total receipts, estimating it at USD 6 bn.
THE BIG STORY ABROAD
Despite the killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu says they won’t let up on their bombardment of Lebanon. Israel’s attacks last week killed north of 1k people, and wounded 6k, but the occupying state intends to expand their assault on civilians. Netanyahu seemed to threaten the whole of the Middle East on Friday, claiming that “There is no place in Iran or the Middle East where the long arm of Israel cannot reach.” Iran is expected to retaliate. (Reuters | Bloomberg | CNBC)
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** CATCH UP QUICK on the top stories from today’s EnterpriseAM:
SME finance in Egypt: Who’s doing it and what’s missing in that sphere? During the EnterpriseAM Finance Forum last week, to take a look at the current market structure, the opportunities ahead, and how institutions are using tech solutions to grow their businesses and mitigate risks.
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has slightly raised our growth forecast for 2025 to 4.5% from 4.4% in its April forecast.
Mansour Auto has big investment plans: Al Mansour Automotive plans to invest some USD 100 mn in the local market over the coming four years.
*** It’s Inside Industry day —your weekly briefing of all things industrial in Egypt. Inside Industry focuses each Sunday on what it takes to turn Egypt into a manufacturing and export powerhouse, ranging from initial investment and planning to product distribution, through to land allocation to industrial processes, supply chain management, labor, automation and technology, inputs and exports, regulation and policy.
☀️ TOMORROW’S WEATHER- The moderate weather is holding strong, and the capital will be seeing a high of 33°C and a low of 23°C tomorrow, according to our favorite weather app.
Despite a USD 5 bn expected loss in 2024, OpenAI is expected to see booming revenue growth in the coming five years,Fortune reports based on changes in OpenAI’s future company and revenue structure.
(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to external sources.)
Burning through the green bills: The AI company’s massive loss is largely due to the computing costs paid to their top investor and partner, Microsoft, and partly due to the cost of running the service, which needs an amount of electricity that is detrimental to their bottom line as well as the environment.
Their 2024 revenue is expected to hit USD 3.7 bn, but is set to at least triple to USD 11.6 bn by 2025, according to a document referenced in The New York Times. The expected revenue increases will come at the expense of ChatGPT users, who will see price hikes from USD 20 to USD 22 per month by year’s end, with fees set to climb to USD 44 over the next five years.
They are banking on consumer fascination with ChatGPT to remain strong, especially as the company is in midst of a USD 7 bn fundraising round that could value the company at over USD 150 bn. Companies in talks for this round include Microsoft, Nvidia, VC firms Thrive Capital and Tiger Global Management, and UAE-backed MGX. The round is expected to close in the coming week. Apple was initially involved in discussions but has since pulled out.
Standard password rules could soon be a thing of the past. The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) is pushing to overhaul standard password practices by proposing new guidelines that could finally put an end to rules like requiring special characters and frequent resets, the Washington Post writes.
Why? These practices do more harm than good, says the US agency — complex passwords are harder to remember and more likely to be written down or stored unsafely.
You’ll be able to use spaces… Only because NIST is calling for longer, but more memorable passwords, which are harder for hackers to guess. The agency also recommends allowing unicode characters in passwords to offer more flexibility, as well as passkey support, which uses biometric data such as facial recognition or fingerprints for authentication.
In the latest season of the Monsters series, The Menendez Brothers case gets its own grotesque retelling. Continuing from the first season 's focus on the Jeffrey Dahmer murder spree, this season we see the viral case of the Menendez murder. Lyle and Erik Menendez were charged for the murder of their parents in the late 80s, but the story is as far from a clear cut case as can be.
(Tap or click the headline above to read this story with all of the links to external sources.)
It’s 1989, and Lyle Menendez (Nicholas Chavez) and his brother Erik (Cooper Koch) head to their parents' — Kitty (Chloë Sevigny) and Jose (Javier Bardem) Menendez — memorial service. Despite the tragedy, Lyle nonchalantly discusses his future aspirations and business plans, while Erik, haunted by their brutal crime, starts to break down. The contrast between the two brothers' coping mechanisms lays the foundation for a complex exploration of their guilt.
Erik’s breakdown leads to his confession to his psychologist, Dr. Oziel (Dallas Roberts). Erik then begins to recall and relive the murder, explaining how their father’s aggressive nature behavior pushed them over the edge, aided by their mother’s enablement. Verbal and sexual abuse shape the brothers' motivations, and we see subtle flashes of their childhood pain, especially in Lyle's insecurities, and begin to understand the psychological depth to their actions.
Don’t believe everything you see. The audience was quick to dismiss the show after Ryan Murphy, the director, labeled the Menendez brothers as "monsters," sparking significant backlash. Many viewers felt this characterization overlooked the complexities of their situation and failed to accurately portray the brothers' emotional struggles — especially the lack of emphasis on the abuse the brothers endured at a young age, which profoundly impacted their psyches. Erik Menendez also released a statement highlighting his disappointment in the ‘ dishonest portrayal ’.
WHERE TO WATCH- You can watch the series on Netflix or watch the trailer on YouTube (runtime: 2:44).
Related
⚽ The Premier League is at its peak: Manchester United is facing Tottenham tonight at 6:30pm in the sixth round of the Premier League. Both teams are tied at 5 points after a weak start to the season, and both hope to adjust course with a victory tonight.
Madrid derby: Atletico Madrid hosts Real Madrid at 10pm in the eighth round of La Liga. Los Merengues (17 points) want to take advantage of Barcelona's slip and reduce the point difference to one, while Atletico (15 points) wants to climb up to second place and earn its place on the top of the leaderboard.
In the major European leagues:
Ipswich Town vs. Aston Villa — Premier League (4pm).
Roma vs. Verona — Serie A (4pm).
Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla — La Liga (5:15pm).
Napoli vs. Monza — Serie A (9:45pm).
Related
? OUT AND ABOUT-(all times CLT)
HAPPENING THIS WEEK-
Missed their show last night? The famous Canadian-French band Ghostly Kisses are getting ready to perform another show tonight at Cairo Jazz Club as part of their latest album’s tour. This will take place at CJC 610 in Sheikh Zayed. Grab tickets from Ticketsmarche.
Kunafa Comedy Nightwill be making their debut at Boom Room on Tuesday, 1 October at 9pm. The show’s lineup features Hala Marzouk, Ezzat Essam, Mahmoud Kunafa, Mona Kamel, Mahmoud Hassan, Ahmed Emad, and Mark Fanos. Tickets are available through Ticketsmarche.
Rock out at CJC on Thursday, 3 October for a night of live rock performances where one band performs tribute to Radiohead. Reserve your spot through their Facebook page.
Or maybe you want some childhood magic… take a step back into your childhood self at Room Art Space NC’s Disney tribute night on Tuesday, 1 October — where they’ll bring all the tunes and hits to stage. Grab tickets from their website.
Relive the magic of Amy Winehouse withThe Amy Winehouse Band. This isn’t just a tribute band, it’s Winehouse’s actual original band keeping her spirit and legacy alive. Witness the era defining music at The Theater in Somabay on Saturday 5 October. Grab your tickets from Tazkarti.
MENA’s first and only design-film festival is back:Film My Design festival is back for its third edition — under the theme Designing Our Lives for a Better Future —, taking place from Thursday, 3 October to Saturday, 12 October at Zawya Cinema. The festival features film screenings, masterclasses, a motion design exhibition, VR immersive experiences, and much more. Buy your tickets from Collard Tickets.
HAPPENING LATER-
Layali Misr with Angham: Singer Angham will be performing live as part of the Layali Misr event at the Grand Egyptian Museum on Friday, 11 October from 10pm. Tickets are available on Tazkarti.
The celebration of music continues at the Arab Music Festival, which kicks off on Friday, 11 October. The festival’s lineup includes Medhat Saleh, Ali El Haggar, Abeer Nehme, Wael Jassar, Lotfi Bouchnak, and more. The festival will run until Thursday, 24 October — tickets can be booked through Tazkarti.
Registration is still open for the Scaled Games. Show off your skills by taking part in one of the three sporting competitions available: running, football, or crossfit. Running and crossfit will both take place on Friday, 11 October, while the football tournament will take place starting Friday, 27 September to Friday, 11 October. All events will happen in New Heliopolis City. You can sign up on Ticketsmarche.
Charlotte Cardin is making her debut in Cairo. The Canadian singer and songwriter will perform at Cairo Jazz Club 610 on Saturday, 16 November. Grab your tickets from Ticketsmarche.
Go on a run in Egypt’s historic city at the Luxor Half Marathon. Cairo Runners’ annual event will take place on Friday, 11 October. Pick between a 21km or 10km race, or a short family run. You can register here.
Related
? EARS TO THE GROUND-
From telemarketing scams targeting vulnerable seniors to the antics of a rare book thief, Scamtown has stories that are often stranger than fiction. If you’ve ever found yourself entranced by stories of heists and hustles, this podcast is bound to keep you on the edge of your seat.
Each episode highlights a different shocking story filled with moral complexities and dramatic twists. The episode titled Extra Virgin Hustle reveals a shocking multimillion-dollar scheme uncovered by Italian authorities as part of a massive Mafia bust in 2017.
But don’t worry — this tale has nothing to do with broken legs or hard drugs. Instead, it follows the trail of a fake olive oil export empire designed to fleece unsuspecting American shoppers.
Whether you’re a true crime seeker or just looking for a thrilling way to pass the time, the podcast promises to deliver tales that are as bizarre as they are compelling.
The EGX30 rose 0.6% at today’s close on turnover of EGP 4.3 bn (7.4% above the 90-day average). International investors were the sole net sellers. The index is up 26.4% YTD.
In the green: Abu Qir Fertilizers (+4.0%), EFG Holding (+2.7%), and Ezz Steel (+2.2%).
In the red: Eastern Company (-1.8%), Emaar Misr (-1.1%), and Telecom Egypt (-0.9%).
A look at the challenges facing the industrial sector amid rising energy prices: Egypt’s industrial sector is currently undergoing a severe crisis due to the recent hikes in energy prices across all industries, raising production costs and necessitating the adoption of a new pricing policy.
REMEMBER- The gov’t has been slashing energy subsidies throughout the year: The government bumped up the price of mazut for most industries by 13.3% to EGP 8.5k per ton in July. Car fuel prices were also raised by 11-15% in July. Meanwhile, electricity prices for the industrial sector increased last month to between EGP 1.74 and EGP 2.34 per kWh across high, medium, and low consumption industries, up from between EGP 1.10 and EGP 1.50 per kWh/month listed previously as average prices.
More hikes could be in the works: The government has been studying the possibility of raising the price of natural gas supplies for the country’s industrial sector since July, a government source confirmed to Enterprise earlier this month.
EnterpriseAM spoke with several industry players to get a better sense of the challenges they are currently facing following the hikes, and how they are handling them to maintain their production capacities and their export opportunities.
The marble production sector has taken a hit: The increases in electricity and gas prices have led to a 55% rise in production costs, triggering a serious crisis for the industry, Chamber of Building Materials Industries (CBMI) deputy head Sayed Abaza told EnterpriseAM. The government didn’t take the needs of the industrial sector into account in the same way that it did with previous price hikes, he added.
In numbers: Electricity bills make up at least 60% of production costs for marble factories. Those who used to pay EGP 100k prior to the hikes now pay over EGP 160k, while those who used to pay EGP 200k saw their bill rise to nearly EGP 300k, Abaza said. The sector has also lost some of its key competitive advantages — namely energy and currency prices — and is now facing serious competition from neighboring countries that export to Egypt.
A number of firms have already shut down and moved to other markets: Some Chinese companies that had been operating in the marble sector shut down following the price hikes and moved to neighboring markets to continue their operations, Abaza said.
Ceramic players are also struggling: Some 50% of ceramics factories have suspended production following the price hikes. The rise in energy prices has had a significant impact on the sector, ceramics manufacturers division member Tarek Sadek told Enterprise, emphasizing the need for government support. Players in the sector recently met with Industry and Transport Minister Kamel El Wazir to request an exemption for the sector from the rising gas prices, as well as a change in the pricing mechanism for the sector. The sector is classified as an energy-intensive industry, though it doesn’t meet the criteria, sources in the sector told us. El Wazir promised to review the matter and discuss changing the pricing mechanism, the sources said.
Price increases are already in motion for the brick industry: The hikes have already led to all factories operating in the brick industry adjusting their pricing policies, which has already resulted in price increases for bricks across the country, head of the Federation of Egyptian Industries’ Refractories and Bricks division Ali Singer told Enterprise. The use of gas or fuel accounts for 40% of the industry’s production costs, while electricity makes up an additional 8-10%, he said. Natural gas prices for the sector currently stands at EGP 170 per 1 mn BTUs, he added, saying that factories have turned to natural gas to reduce production costs in light of rising fuel prices. Efforts are being made to reduce other production costs, Singer said.
Brick factories have decreased significantly over the last five years: The number of factories operating in the sector currently stands at 650, producing 6 bn bricks — down from 1k factories that produced 9 mn bricks back in 2018, Singer said, attributing the drop to halted building permits in governorates, rising costs, and reduced production.
How bad are the price increases? Production prices have already been driven up by anywhere between 10-15% in the final product sold to consumers, Ahmed El Zayat, a member of the Businessmen’s Association told Enterprise, saying that energy price hikes have led to significant increases in production inputs across all sectors. Meanwhile, economic conditions have caused firms to limit price increases to match the purchasing power of consumers, he added.
Industry players have had to cut costs to adapt: Most factories have looked to reduce transportation costs, as well as other logistics and storage-related extensions — which account for around 2-3% of the costs — and have reduced targeted expansions. Secretary-General of the Chamber of Transport and Logistics Amr El Samadony previously told Enterprise that the decision to raise its service fees by 10% following recent diesel price hikes. Reducing insurance benefits, bonuses, and incentives will be some of the options on the table for industrial players to control the rising production costs in the coming period.
Next year will be the most difficult, El Zayat said, with the price hikes set to continue as the state moves toward the complete removal of fuel subsidies, in addition to continuing global tensions, and rising shipping costs. El Zayat expects even higher price increases for products on the market during this period.
Egypt is still a competitive market: The value of our currency and the comparatively low energy prices give Egyptian products a major competitive advantage in global markets, El Zayat said. However, as the energy prices continue to rise, both exports and local sales will be affected.
A shift towards clean energy: Several factories have moved to establish solar power plants in an effort to reduce their electricity bills — namely in energy-intensive factories and car manufacturers, sources told Enterprise.
A few solutions are in progress: German cement manufacturer Heidelberg Materials has received a license to produce electricity from waste heat recovery systems in its factory in Helwan, with a capacity of 19 MW, in one of the solutions to reduce electricity bills and control production costs, the sources said. Meanwhile, studies are underway for the implementation of an area for marble production in Shaq El Tebaan — the largest marble and granite industrial cluster in the country — to supply the entire area with solar energy and reduce reliance on electricity, while also selling any production surpluses to the national grid, Abaza tells us.
But they don’t work for all sectors equally: Solar energy isn’t feasible for the production process of the brick industry, as brick production requires high levels of energy that solar energy can’t provide, Singer said.
Your top industrial development stories for the week:
Greek IT distribution company Asbis is planning to invest EUR 15 mn in the Egyptian market in the coming period, General Authority for Investment and Freezones (GAFI) head Hossam Heiba told reporters on the sidelines of the Greek-Egyptian Investment Forum in Athens, according to a GAFI statement.
Xinxing ductile pipes factory online by year's end: China’s state-owned Xinxing Ductile Iron Pipes will break ground on pilot operations at Xinxing's ductile factory in the TEDA industrial park from December to March 2025. (Cabinet statement)