M&A WATCH- An Egypt Kuwait Holding subsidiary sold a 26% stake in Egyptian Hydrocarbon Company to Carbon Holdings, according to a regulatory filing. Carbon Holdings bought the stake for USD 65.2 mn, the disclosure notes without adding further detail. A source close to the transaction tells us that EKS will record a capital gain of USD 18 mn on the investment, which it will recognize in its 3Q2017 financials. The exit, which we’re told will have no impact on EKH’s recurring revenues or profitability, should help make EK Holding a cleaner investment story going forward.
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Online transactions in the Middle East rose by 22% y-o-y in 2016, according to a survey conducted by Amazon-owned Payfort. The increase in Egypt was 22% and, overall, events and entertainment was the fastest growing segment at 33% y-o-y. Egyptians carried out USD 6.2 bn in online transactions during the year, or about 20% of the region’s USD 30.4 bn. “The biggest concern of online consumers remained security, with more than 50 per cent of cash-on-delivery customers polled saying that they would switch to online payments if they deemed it secure enough, according to the survey. The highest levels of cash-on-delivery payments were registered in Egypt, accounting for about 70 per cent of all transactions, followed by Lebanon where it was 60 per cent,” The National says. The Saudi Gazette also has the story. Or tap here to go play with the full survey yourself, including a tool that lets you build your own custom report based on your data preferences.
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INVESTMENT WATCH- Al Ahly Capital to invest EGP 1.5 bn next year in fields including energy, healthcare, and financial services: National Bank of Egypt subsidiary Al Ahly Capital plans to invest EGP 1.5 bn in healthcare, energy, financial services, building materials, and consumer retail in 2018, Managing Director Khaled Badawi tells AMAY. The holding company presently has investments of EGP 9-10 bn in 12 companies.
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President Abdel Fattah El Sisi apparently supports amendments to the Central Bank and Banking Acts, CBE Governor Tarek Amer told Al Shorouk in an interview on the sidelines of the IMF and World Bank Fall Meetings. Amer said the act would enhance the CBE’s role as a regulator of the sector to safeguard depositors. He also said the act, which would set term limits for managing directors, tweak the CBE’s representation on bank boards, and force banks to kick in 5% of their bottom lines annually for an industry development fund, would also make the sector more competitive.
Amer then went on to defend prevailing interest rates, saying that they had played a major role in the increase in foreign inflows, particularly into the debt market. He added that despite the rate hikes this year, returns from direct foreign investments far exceeded returns on Egypt’s treasuries, with foreign companies raking in as much as 60% in returns. He stated that Egypt managed to draw in around USD 80 bn since “the economy pivoted on the correct trajectory,” adding that USD 18 bn came from investments in treasuries, USD 18 bn in investments in equities, USD 35 bn came from Egyptian depositors, and USD 7 bn from the last round of eurobond issuances.
Amer also said that he was unconcerned about Egypt’s foreign debt obligations, which amount to USD 12.9 bn for the upcoming year, especially as the UAE and Saudi Arabia will let their deposits at the CBE rest until after the original 2018 date for their return. China has also approved renewing a USD 2.7 bn currency swap agreement. Amer assured that while foreign debt does appear to be high, it was necessary spur economic growth. He added that the CBE was ready to repay a USD 3.7 bn African Export-Import Bank loan this December.
While in Washington, Amer was named Central Bank Governor of the Year for the MiddleEast and North Africa by GlobalMarkets in a special issue for the IMF and World Bank Fall Meetings.
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The Islamic Development Bank (IsDB) is developing a new cooperation strategy with Egypt worth USD 3 bn for 2018-2020, President Bandar Hajjar told Investment Minister Sahar Nasr. Hajjar and Nasr discussed setting up a branch for IsDB in Cairo and to increase its support of projects in Egypt, besides promoting entrepreneurship and innovative projects through investing in Egypt Entrepreneurship Program. On the sidelines of her trip to attend the World Bank’s annual fall meetings, Nasr also met with Abdel Latif Yousif Al Hamad, chairman of the Arab Fund for Economic and Social Development, as well as President of the Kuwait Fund for Arab Economic Development Abdulwahab Al Bader.
…Also in Washington, Finance Minister Amr El Garhy met with representatives from JP Morgan, according to a ministry statement. El Garhy noted that Egypt’s reform program has garnered the support of the international investment community. He added that tourism, manufacturing, and government investments are expected to bolster the Egyptian economy in the upcoming period. He also told investors from BNP Paribas in Washington that Egypt is looking to achieve and sustain a primary budget surplus of 1-2% in the future.
Meanwhile, Nasr discussed the disbursal of USD 150 mn as part of an agreement with the UK Department for International Development (DFID) signed in March, with DFID head Nick Dyer. The funding will go towards supporting the economic reform program. The agreement also included USD 18 mn in provisions for the social safety net, according to a ministry statement.
Nasr also met with HSBC Global Banking & Markets CEO Samir Assaf and HSBC MENA Region head George Elhedery to discuss expanding the bank’s presence in Egypt.
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Tax revenues for the first quarter of FY2017-18 increased to EGP 88.6 bn from EGP 57 bnin the same period the year before, Vice Minister of Finance Amr El Monayer announced on Sunday, Al Ahram reports. The proceeds exceeded the ministry’s target by 1%, notes Al Masry Al Youm. Income tax revenues rose by 36% y-o-y to EGP 21.76 bn, while taxes from state institutions such as the CBE, Suez Canal, and EGPC recorded EGP 16 bn, compared to EG 13 bn last year. Real estate taxes rose to EGP 804 mn during the quarter, up from EGP 469 mn (Note to readers: Al Ahram incorrectly puts the figure in bns). The value-added tax reeled in EGP 50.7 bn, up from EGP 28.3 bn in the same period last year, and 3% higher than expected, according to El Monayer.
While some legislative amendments to the tax code will still be necessary, there will beno changes on the income tax front that would impact lower-income citizens, El Monayer said. The introduction of fiscal and legislative reforms, such as the VAT, last year helped the government increase tax proceeds by 31.8% to EGP 464.4 bn in FY2016-17. Proceeds from sales tax and VAT were up by 53% y-o-y to EGP 183 bn in the last fiscal year, El Monayer said, with the petroleum sector largely driving collections. The official attributed the growth of 520% y-o-y in petroleum taxes last year to the resolution of outstanding disputes between the industry and the Tax Authority. Also up in FY2016-17 were income tax proceeds, which increased by 20% y-o-y to EGP 226 bn and real estate taxes.
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Trump’s stance on Iran nuclear deal creating “chasm” with allies: US President Donald Trump’s attitude towards the Iran nuclear power agreement is creating “a widening chasm of mutual disdain between the United States and its traditional allies,” Karen DeYoung writes for the Washington Post. The countries that signed the 2015 agreement — France, the UK, China, Russia, and Germany — did not respond well to Trump’s Friday announcement that he would terminate the agreement with Iran “if Congress didn’t come up with a way to rewrite it to his liking,” receiving scorn from EU foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini who saw the move as a power play. Trump accused Iran of failing to honor the agreement and later told the press that “the Europeans were only interested in Iran’s money.” Trump gave Congress 60 days to decide what to do with the agreement. Egypt’s Foreign Ministry issued a statement backing Trump’s decision.
Trump’s “gamble won’t pay off,” Richard Nephew says in the FT (paywall). Not only is the agreement as it stands “very much in the US’ national security interests,” as State Secretary Rex Tillerson also stressed, but the hurdles are just too many, with no guarantees that Iran would even accept.
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Uber’s food delivery platform UberEats has been going strong, accounting for c. 10% of the ride-hailing app’s total bookings, or around USD 3 bn in sales, sources close to the matter tell the FT (paywall). The budding food delivery business is a diamond in what has been a rough year for Uber, growing even faster than the company’s core business. The segment is not without its pitfalls, however, with limited margins and growing competition from existing firms, such as GrubHub and Amazon, as well as newcomers, such as Facebook, joining the fray. The firm’s single advantage is its existing network of drivers.
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EU leaders are getting together this week to discuss allowing Turkey to join their bloc, according to the FT (paywall). Turkey has been trying and failing to meet the EU’s entry requirements for years. Many EU governments are critical of the country’s human rights record, but Turkey is key to stemming the flow of illegal migrants from the Middle East into the EU. The meeting is a precursor to an official report on Turkey’s status vis-a-vis the EU in April.
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