Business confidence in Egypt hit a 26-month high, “signalling strong optimism towards future growth prospects, with many expecting economic stability over the coming year,” according to October’s reading of the Emirates NBD PMI. Contractions in output, new orders, and employment all eased, the report showed even though they were “muted in comparison to the historical average.” The reading also showed softening in both output and input price inflation. “Job shedding among Egyptian non-oil private sector companies continued in October, thereby extending the current sequence of contraction to 29 months. Anecdotal evidence suggested a trend of firms not replacing retiring employees. That said, the rate of decline eased in the latest survey.” The reading of 48.4 in October increased from September’s 47.4, and came as “export orders increased on average last month, after declining in September. Encouragingly, business optimism in October was the highest in more than two years,” Khatija Haque, Head of MENA Research at Emirates NBD, commented.
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More companies raising equity to retire debt: Mall of Egypt owner Majid Al Futtaim (MAF) Group has notified banks it is looking to begin the process to repay EGP 3 bn in loans ahead of schedule, Al Mal reports. MAF obtained the funding in 2014 from a consortium of 11 banks led by Banque Misr and National Bank of Egypt to cover 85% of Mall of Egypt’s development cost, with the first installment set to be repaid in early next year and the rest over six years. The central bank has raised interest rates by 700 bps since then. MAF will be looking to repay the loan either using funding from its parent company or from the proceeds of a capital increase.
… By Al Mal’s count, five companies are now in the process of repaying loans ahead of schedule to avoid the current environment of high interest rates. Besides MAF, the paper notes that Cleopatra Hospitals Group is repaying EGP 120 mn ahead of schedule. Sinai Cement is looking to retire EGP 564 mn in debt using the proceeds of a capital increase. Misr Cement is also raising EGP 301.22 mn in capital to repay borrowing and fund expansions. Kafr El Zayat Pesticides and Chemicals is also following suit, with the intention to raise EGP 40 mn in capital to reduce its borrowing.
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Orange Egypt’s board approves major capital increase through additional share issuance: Orange Egypt’s board of directors approved a capital increase yesterday, according to a bourse disclosure. The telco will be raising issued capital to EGP 16.4 bn from EGP 1 bn, and authorized capital to EGP 20 bn from EGP 2 bn through a share issuance that will give priority to existing shareholders, with the subscription price set at the share’s nominal value. Orange has sustained heavy losses over the past year on the back of the EGP float, and rising inflation and interest rates, as well as the costs associated with the 4G rollout.
In related news, ASCOM Geology and Mining’s board of directors also signed off on a EGP 250 mn capital increase to EGP 700 mn.
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IPO WATCH- A group of 12 Gulf and international institutions have reportedly been allocated stakes equivalent to 53% of Dice Sport and Casual Wear as part of the company’s ongoing IPO, taking all of the 28.089 mn shares in the institutional offering, Al Mal reports. Rasmala and EFG Hermes are among those who took positions, unidentified sources tell the newspaper. Dice had announced on Saturday that it has priced its offering of ordinary shares on the EGX at EGP 22.60, and that its institutional offering was 3.1x oversubscribed.
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Online retailer Jumia Egypt and online grocery delivery specialist Knock Mart will launch together Jumia Fresh, an online groceries and household goods portal, Al Masry Al Youm reports. The partnership will allow the companies to offer fresh food products online and support SME partners, Knock Mart’s CEO and founder Ahmed Taher says. Taher notes that Knock Mart’s growth is coming from serving its clients effectively, particularly those living in remote areas. Knock Mart has also reportedly submitted a bid to acquire Qalaa Holdings’ Dina Farms supermarket chain.
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To save us here at Enterprise a keystroke, the Egyptian Financial Supervisory Authority (EFSA) has rebranded itself (in English only) to FRA. The Egyptian Financial Supervisory Authority — EFSA — announced yesterday that it has changed its English-language name to the Financial Regulatory Authority, or the FRA. The authority will be working to make the change official over the coming weeks on its documents and website. (Snark aside, this kinda makes sense, we think.)
Also yesterday, the FRA formed a consulting committee made up of industry experts to aid in the capital market development strategy, Al Borsa says. In addition to amendments to the Capital Markets Act, the government has also been working on making new financial instruments available to investors, including a commodities exchange, sukuk, short-selling, and secondary bond markets.
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Favorable weather conditions are giving Egyptian lemon producers a head start going into the official growing season and some producers have volumes ready for export, the Egyptian Moroccan company’s Ahmed Rabie writes for Fresh Plaza. “One problem is that most European traders aren’t even aware that limes exist in Egypt. They usually opt for limes from Argentina and Mexico,” Rabie says. He also notes that competition from producers domestically is also fierce as exporters try to lock in market share in Europe.
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President Abdel Fattah El Sisi sat down for two one-on-one interviews yesterday, according to an Ittihadiya statement. Egyptian-Saudi relations were the focal point of El Sisi’s interview with Asharq Alawsat newspaper, the statement says. With business news outlet CNBC, the president discuss Egypt-US relations, the upcoming presidential race, and recent improvements in economy and tourism. El Sisi also told CNBC that the World Youth Forum (WYF) taking place in Sharm El Sheikh is “an exceptional opportunity to build bridges between youth from across the globe.” Neither interview has run as yet.
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Will the Saudi anti-corruption probe impact Egypt? As Saudi Crown Prince Mohamed Bin Salman whistles to the tune of the Lion King’s “Oh I Just Can’t Wait to be King,” the shakeup at the upper echelons of the royal family continues to have thrown regional business into some measure of confusion, and Egypt is no exception.
TMG hit: The arrest of bn’aire investor Alwaleed Bin Talal appears to have cast a shadow over a potential USD 800 mn partnership with Talaat Moustafa Group (TMG) on the development of hotels in Al Alamein and Sharm El Sheikh. The future of the agreement is now uncertain, TMG officials tell Al Borsa on Sunday. TMG shares closed down 4.3% on the EGX yesterday.
Baraka Bank shares are took a dive, closing down 7.25%. Saudi Sheikh Saleh Kamel, a prominent investor in Egypt who owns c. 73% of the bank, was among those arrested in the kingdom.
No impact on Egypt? Statements from the Egyptian side of the Egyptian-Saudi Business Council have been positive, saying that the arrests would not impact Saudi investments in Egypt, according to the newspaper. The message was echoed among government officials. The Electricity Ministry issued a statement saying that projects and investments with Saudi partners were ongoing, including linking the electricity grids of both countries, Al Mal reports. The statement sticks to the government’s line on the event that this was a Saudi internal matter.
Will the anti-corruption sweep also affect the Aramco IPO? Beyond Alwaleed and economy minister Adel Fakieh, the anti-corruption probe has also touched former finance minister and Aramco board member Ibrahim Al Assaf, according to Bloomberg. This comes despite no indication of any wrongdoing by Aramco as Al Assaf was reportedly arrested over alleged corrupt links in urban development. Analysts see the move will only strengthen Bin Salman’s push to liberalize the economy, a key component of which is the IPO. Separately, US President Donald Trump urged that Aramco list on the New York Stock Exchange in a tweet on Saturday. "I just spoke to the King a little while ago, and they will consider it," Trump told reporters on route to Japan, according to the FT.
In probably the strangest developments since the announcement of the arrests, the deputy governor of the Saudi province of Asir Prince Mansour bin Muqrin died in a helicopter crash, according to Al Arabiya.
The ‘purge’ in Riyadh continues to dominate headlines in the international press this morning. The Financial Times has a wrap-up and a look at how “the anti-corruption purge triggers investor uncertainty” along with a look at Alwaleed bin Talal as “Mohammed bin Salman aims to win Saudi game of thrones.” The Wall Street Journal’s wrap-up notes that Alwaleed apparently faces money laundering charges and looks at the prince’s investments in US assets, while coverage in the New York Times is led by David Kirkpatrick’s very solid Saudi Crown Prince’s Mass Purge Upends a Longstanding System.
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A gunman in Texas has killed at least 26 in an attack on a church overnight, according to CNN. The shooter was “clad in all black, with a ballistic vest strapped to his chest and a military-style rifle in his hands.” The gunman was identified as Devin Patrick Kelley, 26, and had apparently served in the US Air Force.
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