Egyptian eurobond yields continued to decline on overweight investor demand, according to the most recent Africa DCM Market Update by BNP Paribas (pdf). Our friends at the bank tell us they are seeing strong buying activity from US and UK real-money funds in the secondary market. Yields on Egyptian eurobonds declined to their lowest level since issuance with five-year bonds trading at 4.98%,10-year at 5.99%, and 30-year ones at 7.43%. Also, the USD cost of funding declined by 125-150 bps in 2017 y-t-d driven by improved credit perception and favourable Emerging Markets sentiment, the report notes.
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M&A WATCH- Our friends at the Egyptian-American Enterprise Fund (EAEF) have acquired a significant minority stake in ophthalmic meds maker Orchidia Pharma Industries on Wednesday, EAEF announced in a statement (pdf). The transaction, executed through EAEF’s investment manager Lorax Capital Partners, will see the EAEF subscribe in an upcoming capital increase along with Orchidia founder Ossama Abbass. EAEF will also be acquiring Orchidia shares held by SPE Capital (formerly Swicorp Private Equity) “as well as a stake owned by other minority shareholders.” The size of the transaction was not disclosed. We had noted in July that Jordan’s Hikma had offered c. EGP 400 mn against a demand of EGP 450 mn from shareholders for a stake of undisclosed size. SPE Capital reportedly owned 38% of the company through its Intaj Capital II fund. It had been previously reported that EAEF was looking to for a majority stake of at least 55%. “EAEF intends to provide all necessary resources to fully support the company’s future growth plans to cater to the growing Egyptian market as well as develop Egypt’s export potential,” said EAEF Chairman James A. Harmon. “We hope that our investment would encourage and demonstrate to new foreign investors the significant potential in the Egyptian market,” he added. Arqaam Capital was financial advisor on the transaction, while TMS Law Firm and DLA Piper were legal advisors to EAEF and Abbass, respectively.
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EFG Hermes topped the EGX’s brokerage league table for October with a 17.7% market share. CI Capital placed second with a market share of 6.8%, followed by Beltone Financial (6.1%), Pioneer Holdings (5.5%), and Pharos Holding (4.1%).
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We got more government reaction yesterday to the disappointing news that Egypt fell six places to 128 on the World Bank Group’s Doing Business Report 2018. The reax ranged from frustration to outright shade. Vice Minister of Finance Amr El Monayer said that the criteria the report uses to measure taxation cannot accurately assess the success of tax policy. Senior officials from the Electricity Ministry took it a few steps further, saying that the WBG relies on “law firms” unsuited for the task to write its reports. An unnamed senior official tells AMAY that the WBG’s CEO had called Egypt’s electricity sector among the best in the world.
More policy announcements following the report: In the wake of Egypt ranking 170th globally for cross-border trade, Trade and Industry Minister Tarek Kabil announced that the government was streamlining procedures at Egypt’s ports, Ahram Gate reports. This would include setting up a (wait for it) “one stop shop” in all Egyptian port to obtain shipping, and import and export licenses. Kabil added that a committee had been formed to study reducing paperwork to obtain licenses. His statements come a day after El Monayer announced that the government will work on procedural amendments to cut down the number of hours it takes to pay taxes to improve Egypt’s ranking in that area.
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LEGISLATION WATCH- The House Economic Committee signed off yesterday on the proposed text of Article 30 of the Consumer Protection Act following “heated debate,” Al Shorouk reports. The proposal would require vendors to print a receipt for consumers who pay for purchased goods in installments, clearly indicating the price of the goods, the interest rate being imposed, and the value of the down payment. The purpose of the article is to make clear the vendors’ profit margins, according to committee members. The committee should complete its debate and amendments of the Act within two weeks, after which the proposed changes to the Consumer Act will be discussed in the House’s general assembly, committee head Amr Ghallab said, according to Ahram Gate.
The committee will begin discussing the Capital Markets Act once it completes its review of the Consumer Protection Act, according to Ghallab.
Elsewhere in parliament: The House Manpower Committee is “putting the final touches” on the Labor Unions Act, and has begun putting up the legislation for community dialogue, Al Shorouk reports. It remains unclear when the committee expects to complete its review of the legislation.
The House Health Committee is also preparing to discuss draft laws on medical liability and regulating the practice of speech therapy next week, according to Al Mal.
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The Ismail Cabinet agreed yesterday to extend the Tax Dispute Resolution Act’s mandate for an additional two years, according to a statement. The law, which had passed the House in September 2016, removed tax dispute cases from the courts and handed them over to newly-established committees to seek amicable settlements. Its mandate had originally been limited to one year, but the Finance Ministry had signaled in August that it would be looking to extend its application until all tax disputes are settled, particularly as it helped the ministry exceed its tax revenue targets for FY2016-17. Unless there’s a provision buried in the law making an extension a cabinet-level decision (and we’ve seen no evidence of that), expect this will now go back to the House for approval.
Cabinet also reportedly approved the purchase of wind-generate power from three stations that Lekela Power, Italgen, and Marubeni plan to construct, head of the Egyptian Electricity Transmission Company’s (EETC) tariff unit Lamiaa Youssef tells Al Borsa. The EETC will purchase the power at USD 0.036-0.038 per kWh for 25 years, government sources tell the newspaper. The stations will produce a combined 1.170 GW of power.
The ministers also agreed to suspend issuing licenses for billboards, and form a committee to set new regulations for the issuance of further licenses, Al Mal reports. The decision is meant to tackle the haphazard placement of billboards, according to Cabinet spokesperson Ashraf Sultan. This makes us very happy. Other decisions taken during the weekly meeting include:
- Issuing a decision to establish the information database for the state budget as a prelude to canceling cash payments by the end of this month;
- Approving a presidential decree ordering the restructuring of the Egyptian Survey Authority.
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EFSA planning changes to regs on treasury shares, mortgage finance: The Egyptian Financial Supervisory Authority (EFSA) is apparently still planning on making further changes to EGX regulations, this time with treasury stocks. EFSA is reportedly considering obliging shareholders who have acquired a stake north of 33% in a company through buybacks and eliminations of treasury stocks to make a mandatory tender offer, according to Al Borsa. The move is hoped would curb stock fraud via treasury shares, the newspaper said. EFSA is also drafting new amendments to the Mortgage Finance Act in cooperation with the Egyptian Businessmen’s Association, Al Ahram reports. The amendments will allow homebuyers to get a mortgage before construction on a property begins, in a bid to facilitate access to financing, said EFSA head Mohamed Omran. These changes just after EFSA shortened the IPO window to one month from the initial green light and eased restriction on investments funds.
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Net oil importers in the MENA region, including Egypt, can expect to see their growth rise to 4.3% this year from 3.6% in 2016, the IMF said in its Regional Economic Outlook October 2017 report. The upswing is expected to persist in 2018, supported by increasing domestic demand, supportive reforms, and the global uptick in growth. Egypt was particularly noted for efforts to address fiscal imbalances despite growth remaining largely unchanged. External imbalances among net oil importers in the region will also see improvement on the back international bond issuances (as is the case with Egypt) and an uptick in commodity prices.
Net oil exporters are not expected to fare as well, with overall growth expected to bottom out at 1.7% in 2017, driven by lower oil output under the OPEC-led agreement. “Low oil prices have kept the fiscal deficits large in many oil exporters, highlighting the need for a continued focus on deficit reduction. Budget deficits of oil exporters jumped to 10.6 percent of GDP in 2016 from 1.1 percent of GDP in 2014,” the IMF said.
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