Trump sparks global complaint by recognizing Jerusalem as Israel’s capital,threatens to “inflame the region” with decision to move US embassy from Tel Aviv: Despite repeated warnings from his global counterparts, US President Donald Trump announced yesterday that the US embassy in Israel would be moving to Jerusalem from Tel Aviv. Trump said the Jerusalem Embassy Act, which has been waived by consecutive US presidents since Congress passed it in 1995, “marks the beginning of a new approach to conflict between Israel and the Palestinians,” claiming that “we cannot solve our problems by making the same failed assumptions and repeating the same failed strategies of the past.”
The Donald said the step was “long overdue” and necessary to achieving “lasting peace” in the region. You can watch Trump’s full speech here (runtime 11:41) or read the transcript provided by the White House.
Just about everyone else in the world (with the obvious exception of Bibi next door)could not disagree more. World leaders “condemned the US recognition of Jerusalem as Israel’s capital as an incendiary move in a volatile region,” Reuters says. Eight countries — Egypt, Bolivia, France, Italy, Sweden, Senegal, Uruguay, and the UK — have requested an emergency UN Security Council meeting this week. The Arab League will also hold an emergency summit on Saturday to discuss the decision. Morocco reportedly withdrew its ambassador to Washington in protest, while governments in Lebanon, Jordan, Germany, France, Turkey, Iran, and Australia — as well as the European Union and United Nations — warned of the potential conflict the decision could incite.
Official reaction from Egypt: The move, a departure decades of policy on the region, poses a real threat to regional stability and the future of the Palestinian-Israeli peace process, Egypt’s Foreign Ministry warned in a statement yesterday, adding that Trump’s decision violates international consensus that recognizes Jerusalem an occupied territory and a key part of the age-old conflict. President Abdel Fattah El Sisi confirmed Egypt’s stance on the matter in a phone call with his Palestinian counterpart, Mahmoud Abbas.
The usual suspects in Egypt chime in: Al Azhar’s Grand Imam Sheikh Ahmed Al Tayeb, the Coptic Orthodox Church, the members of the House of Representatives and political parties of all stripes condemned the move in the language you would expect.
In a televised speech yesterday, Abbas said the announcement effectively ends the US’decades-long role as mediator in the peace talks with Israel (see full text here, courtesy of AMAY). The Palestinian Liberation Organization will also hold an emergency meeting to discuss this most recent development and devise an appropriate response. Hamas officials also rejected the announcement, calling it a “flagrant aggression against the Palestinian people,” Reuters says.
In Gaza, Palestinians are gathering by the hundreds in protest, burning Israeli and US flags, The Associated Press reports. Protests also broke out in Jordan’s capital Amman, while Istanbul saw a few hundred demonstrators gather outside the US consulate.
Embassies in Cairo are issuing the usual security warnings. The Americans are noting that while they are “not aware of any planned demonstrations against this policy,” US citizens should watch the news, “maintain high level of vigilance, take appropriate steps to enhance your personal security and follow instructions of local authorities.” The Canadians are flagging a “heightened risk of demonstrations in Egypt” and warning their citizens to “remain vigilant and avoid all large gatherings.” So, people of Kanaka, stay off the parking lot widely known as the Sixth of October Bridge.
Bloviating aside, at the end of the day “there is little the Arab world can do to challengeTrump’s move,” Zeina Karam says in a piece for The Associated Press. “Arab powerhouses are mired in their own internal troubles.” The New York Times sang a similar tune, saying that many in the Middle East are wondering if “the real Arab response would amount to little more than a whimper.” Our favourite primer so far: Reuters offers a good break down over why there is “uproar over Trump’s Jerusalem declaration.”
The story is topping headlines and front pages across the globe, with coverage on The New York Times, Washington Post, BBC, CNN, Bloomberg, and every other news outlet under the sun.
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IPO WATCH- Al Tawfeek Leasing Co. has filed with the Financial Regulatory Authority for permission to list 24% of its shares on the EGX ahead of an IPO, according to Youm7. CEO Tarek Fahmy had said back in September that the company is planning to list 15% of its shares on the EGX before the year is out.
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The House of Representatives’ Health Committee lowers proposed licensing fees imposedon the healthcare sector and a possible new tax on the sale of construction materials before signing off on the Universal Healthcare Act on Tuesday, Al Borsa reports. The committee reduced taxes that would be imposed on construction materials to 0.5% of the value of every tonne sold, with a minimum baseline tax of EGP 5 per tonne. Prior to the amendments, cement companies would have had to pay EGP 20 for every tonne, while steel manufacturers would have paid EGP 50 tax imposed on every tonne sold. Producers of porcelain, marble and granite can expect to pay EGP 5 for every square meter sold. As for licensing fees, the Committee apparently reduced fees on establishing pharmacies, clinics, and hospitals to anywhere between EGP 500-3,000, the newspaper said. Sources had given Al Mal a different fee structure on Monday, so this is yet to be confirmed. As we noted yesterday, the committee had reduced premiums for citizens, so the cut on fees feeding into the system raises new questions about its financing.
To compensate for the cut in funding, the Committee approved raising the contribution ofthe sin tax to the new health system’s budget. EGP 0.75 from the sin tax on every pack of cigarettes will go towards funding the system, up from EGP 0.50, MP Haitham Al Hariri said. The committee had also proposed raising fees for obtaining and renewing drivers licenses. We have yet to see how these amendments would impact the EGP 10 bn deficit in the budget of the universal healthcare system.
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The Finance Ministry will reportedly begin its roadshow for January’s USD 3-4 bn USD-denominated eurobond issuance at the end of the December, sources tell Al Mal. They added that the ministry will be trying to list on the Luxembourg stock exchange and are primarily targeting investors in Europe and the US. Sources tell the newspaper to expect heavy global demand for the offering.
…There was no mention on the ministry’s choice of advisor for the transaction. The Finance Ministry had opened the bidding for investment banks interested in managing the issuance last month and would stop taking applications by November. The ministry will take 3-4 weeks to review the banks’ bids. BNP Paribas, Citi, JP Morgan, and NATIXIS were joint bookrunners last time around.
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Egypt recorded an overall budget deficit of EGP 85.3 bn for the first quarter of FY2017-18,or around 2% of GDP, compared to 2.2% (EGP 76.8 bn) in the same period last year, the Finance Ministry announced yesterday (pdf). Inflows into state coffers rose 33% y-o-y to EGP 129 bn during the quarter, compared to EGP 96.8 bn last year, on the back of higher tax revenues, which grew by 51.5% y-o-y to EGP 97.2 bn. Non-tax income declined slightly by 2.7% y-o-y to EGP 31.8 bn. Expenditures grew by 24.4% y-o-y to EGP 214.1 bn during the three-month period, from EGP 172.2 bn a year before. Planning Minister Hala El Said had announced last month that Egypt’s economy grew 5.2% in the first quarter of the current fiscal year, up from 3.4% in FY2016-17, while the primary budget deficit dropped to 0.1% of GDP from 0.9% a year before. The government is targeting a GDP growth rate of 5-5.25% for FY2017-18.
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The CBE repaid USD 600 mn to the African Export-Import Bank on Wednesday as part of a USD 3.2 bn facility, state news agency MENA reported, according to Al Masry Al Youm. This comes two days after the CBE repaid USD 2 bn to Afreximbank, bringing the total amount repaid to USD 2.6 bn. Egypt plans to make the final USD 600 mn payment next Monday, CBE Governor Tarek Amer told MENA. The central bank will also repay a USD 500 mn Afrexim trade facility agreement in April or May 2018, Afreximbank’s Executive Vice President Amr Kamel told reporters on Tuesday, Al Shorouk reports. Afreximbank had agreed to grant the facility in February 2016 to help Egyptian importers through the FX liquidity crisis.
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CORRECTION- Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross did not lead trade talks this week in Cairo with Trade Minister Tarek Kabil, as we incorrectly noted yesterday. The US delegation was led by Assistant U.S. Trade Representative for Europe and the Middle East Daniel Mullaney. The story has been corrected on our website, and we have more in today’s Diplomacy + Foreign Trade, below.
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